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Imperial Metals Corp (TSE:III)
TSX:III
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Imperial Metals (III) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:III

Imperial Metals

(TSX:III)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$7.00
▼(-27.91% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/10/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (strong profitability and conservative leverage), partially offset by cyclical volatility and inconsistent free cash flow. Technicals are supportive but look overextended, and valuation appears reasonable on earnings but lacks dividend support.
Positive Factors
Profitability turnaround
Recent profitability marks a meaningful improvement from losses in 2021–2023, with strong operating and net margins continuing in TTM. This stronger earnings base can support internal reinvestment and improve resilience, provided operating performance holds.
Negative Factors
Revenue volatility
TTM revenue growth turned sharply negative after strong growth in 2024–2025, exposing the company to meaningful volatility in realized prices, production volumes, or both. Persistent contraction would weaken operating leverage and make recent profitability harder to sustain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability turnaround
Recent profitability marks a meaningful improvement from losses in 2021–2023, with strong operating and net margins continuing in TTM. This stronger earnings base can support internal reinvestment and improve resilience, provided operating performance holds.
Read all positive factors

Imperial Metals (III) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Imperial Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Imperial Metals Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of base and precious metals in the United States, Switzerland, China, the Philippines, Singapore, and Canada. It explores for copp...
How the Company Makes Money
Imperial Metals makes money primarily by producing minerals and selling the resulting products into commodity markets. Its core revenue model is driven by: (1) Sales of metal production: The company extracts ore and processes it into saleable prod...

Imperial Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a meaningful turnaround with strong profitability and margins in 2024–TTM and a generally conservative leverage profile. Key offsets are sharp TTM revenue weakness after prior growth and uneven free cash flow (declining in TTM and not consistently covering net income), which raises cyclicality and cash-conversion risk.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue660.50M691.78M494.37M344.45M172.80M133.59M
Gross Profit228.77M294.81M161.22M-13.46M-28.72M10.43M
EBITDA324.04M393.86M215.11M22.81M-35.88M11.83M
Net Income108.28M153.78M106.26M-36.72M-75.97M-26.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.99B1.79B1.66B1.41B1.30B1.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments86.94M36.82M58.12M24.94M27.54M33.39M
Total Debt197.50M178.79M372.85M319.79M197.79M40.42M
Total Liabilities926.35M766.00M834.25M695.76M563.97M423.25M
Stockholders Equity1.07B1.03B823.63M716.23M735.73M763.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow75.66M126.90M-26.84M-126.28M-231.26M-87.18M
Operating Cash Flow292.37M348.56M155.41M-3.81M-86.76M15.02M
Investing Cash Flow-211.70M-212.53M-161.07M-125.33M-127.82M-102.91M
Financing Cash Flow-44.41M-156.78M37.62M126.56M208.27M87.21M

Imperial Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.71
Price Trends
50DMA
8.48
Negative
100DMA
7.90
Negative
200DMA
8.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Positive
RSI
22.73
Positive
STOCH
18.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:III, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.53, above the 50-day MA of 8.48, and above the 200-day MA of 8.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.73 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:III.

Imperial Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$1.22B11.9968.47%11.54%54.30%272.06%
72
Outperform
C$1.11B10.0410.49%―4.77%-43.42%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
C$900.15M-18.05-14.45%――-67.26%
51
Neutral
C$352.62M-44.07-9.42%――-324.25%
46
Neutral
C$1.20B-27.69-36.55%128.75%―-19.67%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:III
Imperial Metals
6.23
-0.59
-8.65%
TSE:ARG
Amerigo Resources
7.54
4.82
177.51%
TSE:FDY
Faraday Copper
4.07
1.95
91.98%
TSE:MARI
Marimaca Copper
6.66
-3.98
-37.41%
TSE:LA
Los Andes Copper
11.60
2.95
34.10%

Imperial Metals Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Imperial Metals Expands High-Grade Gold Mineralization at Porcher Island
Positive
Oct 28, 2026
Imperial Metals reported spring 2026 diamond drilling results from its Porcher Island gold property near Prince Rupert, British Columbia, where all ten holes intersected gold and silver mineralization. The program confirmed and extended near-surfa...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Advances Red Chris Block Cave Plan as Long-Life Copper-Gold Project Takes Shape
Positive
Oct 22, 2026
Imperial Metals reported progress on the definitive feasibility study for the Red Chris Block Cave project, a major copper-gold development beneath the existing open pit in British Columbia’s Golden Triangle, and provided a third-quarter 202...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Imperial Metals Q2 Profit Falls as Lower Grades Hit Output, Permitting Supports Future Mine Life
Negative
Aug 6, 2026
Imperial Metals reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $166.5 million, down from $175.8 million a year earlier, as fewer concentrate shipments and lower grades at its Mount Polley and Red Chris mines weighed on results. Net income fell to $22.0 m...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 10, 2026