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DEFSEC Technologies (DFSC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DFSC

DEFSEC Technologies

(TSXV:DFSC)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:CAD 0.80â–²(24.84% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/14/26

The overall score is very low, driven primarily by severe financial distress. The company is burning cash rapidly with deeply negative margins, and the stock is in a persistent downtrend across all timeframes. The lack of profitability and negative cash flow are the most significant risks, outweighing the positive revenue growth. Technicals confirm extreme bearish momentum with no valuation floor to provide support.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthRevenue growth of 20.98% and TTM revenue of 7.52M show improving commercial traction. If sustained, this expanding top line can provide a larger base over which fixed costs are absorbed, support investment in the business, and improve the potential for eventual operating leverage.
Negative Factors
Deep Ongoing LossesLosses remain exceptionally large relative to revenue, showing that the current cost structure is far above the company’s operating base. Unless revenue growth and margin gains materially outpace expenses, persistent losses could consume equity, limit reinvestment, and delay a path to self-sustaining profitability.

DEFSEC Technologies (DFSC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%75%TSE:DFSC-85.87%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 1.16M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
6,253
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.1
Beta (1Y)
1.27
Revenue Growth
82.19%
EPS Growth
90.16%
Country
Canada
Employees
45
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Aerospace & Defense

DEFSEC Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

DEFSEC Technologies Inc. is dedicated to designing and commercializing cutting-edge tactical systems for the security and personal protection markets. The company's portfolio features DEFSEC Lightning, an advanced military digitization technology. It...

DEFSEC Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is critically weak. While revenue grew 21%, the company is deeply unprofitable with a -118% operating margin and -121% net margin. Cash flow is severely negative (-$7.82M operating cash flow), indicating a high cash burn rate. The balance sheet has low leverage (D/E 0.25), but equity is eroding rapidly due to losses, making this a high-risk financial profile.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

32Negative

Cash Flow

12Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.52M4.94M1.50M1.23M721.52K1.28M
Gross Profit1.90M664.32K486.50K-191.38K184.78K476.92K
EBITDA-8.25M-8.29M-5.91M-7.63M-9.73M-9.06M
Net Income-9.10M-9.63M-7.44M-9.31M-10.52M-9.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.45M12.92M5.62M11.76M7.32M8.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.53M6.73M256.83K5.41M170.54K2.69M
Total Debt1.29M1.30M302.22K429.52K2.55M361.16K
Total Liabilities5.34M5.12M4.25M7.82M8.33M2.59M
Stockholders Equity5.11M7.80M1.37M3.94M-1.00M6.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.03M-8.10M-9.17M-15.38M-5.62M-7.30M
Operating Cash Flow-7.82M-7.96M-9.06M-14.08M-4.26M-6.26M
Investing Cash Flow-223.86K-180.41K-111.15K-1.44M-1.11M-1.07M
Financing Cash Flow9.02M14.60M4.02M20.76M2.85M6.94M

DEFSEC Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.64

Price Trends

50DMA1.33Negative
100DMA1.94Negative
200DMA2.90Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.19Negative
RSI25.67Positive
STOCH19.51Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DFSC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.89, below the 50-day MA of 1.33, and below the 200-day MA of 2.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 25.67 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:DFSC.

DEFSEC Technologies Risk Analysis

DEFSEC Technologies disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DEFSEC Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

DEFSEC Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TSE:DFSC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:FTGTSE:FTG79OutperformCAD 799.76M35.7021.62%―17.40%56.91%
TSE:CAETSE:CAE66NeutralCAD 12.75B47.005.09%―2.54%-37.94%
TSE:MALTSE:MAL65NeutralCAD 1.95B29.017.85%0.58%16.14%49.57%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
TSE:MDATSE:MDA52NeutralCAD 6.69B50.925.52%―32.36%-8.42%
TSE:DPROTSE:DPRO42NeutralCAD 158.53M-3.46-29.09%―20.25%54.72%
TSE:DFSCTSE:DFSC38UnderperformCAD 2.94M-0.10-143.89%―82.19%90.16%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TSE:DFSCTSE:CAETSE:FTGTSE:MALTSE:DPROTSE:MDADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:DFSC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:DFSCDEFSEC Technologies Inc.0.64-3.77-85.49%
TSE:CAECAE Inc39.783.419.38%
TSE:FTGFiran Tech31.7721.36205.19%
TSE:MALMagellan Aerospace34.2316.8697.08%
TSE:DPRODraganfly Inc4.05-4.97-55.10%
TSE:MDAMDA Space Ltd.41.2519.8192.40%

DEFSEC Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

DEFSEC Receives ATF Classification Clearing Pro-1 Path to U.S. Civilian Market

Positive
Nov 3, 2026

DEFSEC Technologies develops next-generation tactical systems for military and security forces, including real-time battlefield digitization, countermeasures against electronic detection, lasers and drones, and less-lethal products for law enforcemen...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

DEFSEC Technologies Raises CAD$5.54 Million in Tactical Systems-Focused Private Placement

Positive
Aug 17, 2026

DEFSEC Technologies Inc. has arranged a private placement of 1,951,219 common shares or pre-funded warrants at CAD$2.84 each, bundled with an equal number of common share purchase warrants exercisable at CAD$3.30 for 60 months. The financing, led by...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 14, 2026