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Corby Spirit&Wn B NV (CSW.B) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:CSW.B

Corby Spirit&Wn B NV

(TSX:CSW.B)

Select Model
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:CAD 18.00â–²(17.65% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/28/26

The overall score reflects a combination of strong financial performance and record earnings growth, supported by positive guidance, RTD‑led share gains and an attractive dividend‑backed valuation, while being tempered by increased leverage, uneven cash flow, Q4 revenue softness, commission weakness and margin and market uncertainties, against a technically stable but not strongly trending share price.

Positive Factors
RTD-led revenue growthRecord revenue and strong RTD adoption show Corby is gaining share in a growing beverage segment. RTDs now represent a substantial revenue base, supporting future growth, product mix development and broader consumer relevance.
Negative Factors
Uneven revenue durabilityAlthough FY2026 produced record revenue, the pack also shows a sharp latest-period decline and weaker Q4 domestic case goods. Such volatility makes demand and earnings durability less predictable across reporting periods.

Corby Spirit&Wn B NV (CSW.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%TSE:CSW.B+17.68%EWC+24.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 436.13M
Dividend Yield
6.30%
Average Volume (3M)
3,973
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.3
Beta (1Y)
0.18
Revenue Growth
10.09%
EPS Growth
21.92%
Country
Canada
Employees
283
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Corby Spirit&Wn B NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Corby Spirit & Wine Ltd. engages in manufacturing, marketing, and importation of spirits and wines. It operates through the following segments: Case Goods and Commissions. The Case Goods segment produces and distributes alcoholic beverages. The Commi...

How the Company Makes Money

Corby makes money primarily by selling alcoholic beverage products (spirits and wines) into the Canadian market through provincial liquor boards, retailers, and other approved channels. Its revenue model is centered on (1) brand-led case volume sales...

Corby Spirit&Wn B NV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 25, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:0.95%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a largely positive picture: Corby delivered a record fiscal year with double-digit revenue growth, strong RTD volume/mix expansion, outsized earnings and EPS growth, improved leverage, and strategic actions (brand sale, increased ABG ownership, Pernod Ricard renewal). Key negatives include a Q4 revenue softness driven by LCBO order phasing, a year-over-year decline in operating cash flow, commission weakness in represented lines, margin pressure from RTD mix and input costs, and notable market uncertainty (especially around Ontario data availability and the potential return of U.S. products). On balance the operational and financial achievements substantially outweigh the near-term challenges and uncertainties.

Positive Updates

Record Full-Year Revenue
Corby delivered record FY2026 revenue of $271.6 million, up 10% reported and 11% organic year-over-year.

Negative Updates

Q4 Reported Revenue Softness and LCBO Order Phasing
Q4 revenue was $71.1 million, down 1% reported and flat organically; domestic case goods declined 3% reported and 2% organic in Q4 due to unfavorable LCBO order phasing (orders pulled into Q3 ahead of ERP upgrades).

Company Guidance

Management guided to continued earnings growth in FY‑27 despite a tougher comparison and uncertainty around a potential return of U.S. imports, saying it will protect margins, keep disciplined investments and accelerate RTD expansion while defending spirits share. They pointed to FY‑26 results to support the outlook: record revenue of $271.6M (+10% reported, +11% organic) with RTDs now ~40% of revenue (RTD volume +18% vs category +7%; ABG volume +14.3% vs category −2.7%), adjusted earnings from operations $53.7M (+12%), adjusted EPS $1.23 (+15%) (reported EPS $1.17, +22%), Q4 revenue $71.1M (−1% reported, flat organic) with Q4 adjusted earnings from operations $11.8M (+3%) and Q4 adjusted EPS $0.26, annual cash from operations $37.1M (Q4 cash $17.7M), net debt $88.4M (net debt/adjusted EBITDA 1.3x, down from 1.4x), FY dividends $0.96 per share (quarterly dividend $0.25, up 4% vs prior quarter), a ~72% dividend payout ratio of operating cash flow, the $39.2M sale of Lamb's, and increased ABG ownership to 95%.

Corby Spirit&Wn B NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi‑year revenue and earnings growth, high margins and improving returns on equity support a solid financial profile, but higher leverage, prior margin compression and volatile cash generation introduce moderate financial risk.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue271.65M271.65M246.79M229.66M162.96M159.39M
Gross Profit132.90M132.90M123.00M115.77M94.11M96.04M
EBITDA68.62M67.72M63.26M57.11M44.95M47.11M
Net Income33.42M33.42M27.43M23.91M21.96M23.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets415.23M415.23M402.81M420.48M362.60M253.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.61M853.00K179.00K32.00M155.01M52.46M
Total Debt105.27M105.27M110.59M140.84M101.62M3.70M
Total Liabilities227.27M227.27M219.48M238.88M182.61M70.31M
Stockholders Equity187.97M187.97M183.33M181.60M180.00M183.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.95M33.90M42.33M28.24M30.71M-14.18M
Operating Cash Flow37.10M37.10M44.77M31.52M35.43M45.52M
Investing Cash Flow-14.72M2.95M9.16M-23.74M-107.00M-17.72M
Financing Cash Flow-39.38M-39.38M-58.40M-3.13M71.57M-27.80M

Corby Spirit&Wn B NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price15.30

Price Trends

50DMA15.17Positive
100DMA15.07Positive
200DMA14.43Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.05Negative
RSI50.71Neutral
STOCH50.98Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CSW.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.30 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.25, above the 50-day MA of 15.17, and above the 200-day MA of 14.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CSW.B.

Corby Spirit&Wn B NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

TSE:CSW.B against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:CSW.BTSE:CSW.B81OutperformCAD 438.21M13.3117.72%6.30%10.09%21.92%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
TSE:BRTSE:BR39UnderperformCAD 15.37M-4.20-14.61%―-9.67%90.36%
TSE:BKTSTSE:BKTS37UnderperformCAD 1.82M-1.53319.36%―-52.31%64.37%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TSE:CSW.BTSE:BRTSE:DWSTSE:RUMTSE:BKTSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:CSW.B and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:CSW.BCorby Spirit&Wn B NV15.252.3318.02%
TSE:BRBig Rock Brewery0.65-0.26-28.33%
TSE:DWSDiamond Estates Wines & Spirits0.14-0.02-12.12%
TSE:RUMRocky Mountain Liquor0.07-0.02-24.44%
TSE:BKTSBeckett's Inc.0.010.000.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026