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Chartwell Retirement Residences (TSE:CSH.UN)
TSX:CSH.UN

Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Chartwell Retirement Residences

(TSX:CSH.UN)

61Neutral
Chartwell Retirement Residences shows moderate overall performance. Strengths include strong cash flow generation, positive earnings call guidance, and strategic acquisitions. However, high leverage and thin profitability margins present risks. The stock's high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which could be a concern. Positive corporate events and technical analysis indicate a generally favorable outlook, albeit with caution due to valuation.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Improvements
Chartwell's balance sheet continues to move in the right direction, with a reduced net debt/EBITDA ratio and improved cost of capital.
Demographic Impact
Chartwell Retirement Residences is expected to be the primary beneficiary of improving occupancy, limited new supply, and increasing demographic tailwinds.
Strategic Initiatives
Strategic initiatives have driven a stronger portfolio, including the disposition of the LTC platform and capital recycling, improving property quality.
Negative Factors
Valuation Concerns
Chartwell's premium valuation might be a concern despite its above-average growth outlook, balance sheet improvements, and strong fundamental backdrop.

Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Chartwell Retirement Residences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChartwell is an unincorporated, open-ended real estate trust which indirectly owns and operates a complete range of seniors housing communities, from independent supportive living through assisted living to long term care. It is the largest operator in the Canadian seniors living sector with over 200 quality retirement communities in four provinces including properties under development. Chartwell is committed to its vision of Making People's Lives BETTER and to providing a happier, healthier and more fulfilling life experience for its residents.
How the Company Makes MoneyChartwell Retirement Residences generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of retirement communities. The company's revenue model is based on offering a range of living arrangements that cater to different levels of care needs, from independent living to more intensive assisted living and memory care services. Each of these services is priced according to the level of care and amenities provided, contributing to the company's income. Additionally, Chartwell may engage in partnerships with healthcare providers to offer enhanced care services, further augmenting its revenue streams. The company also focuses on maintaining high occupancy rates and operational efficiencies to maximize profitability. Rent and service fees collected from residents form the core of Chartwell's revenue, with supplementary income derived from ancillary services offered within its communities.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chartwell Retirement Residences shows moderate financial health. Revenue and free cash flow are growing, but profitability is thin and leverage is high, indicating potential risks if not managed properly. Strong cash flow generation is a positive, but operational efficiencies need improvement to enhance EBIT margins.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Chartwell Retirement Residences shows a mixed financial performance. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 40.0%, which is decent but has decreased slightly from previous years. The net profit margin for 2024 stands at 2.6%, indicating thin profitability. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 is 15.3%, which is positive, but EBIT margin is zero, reflecting operational challenges. EBITDA margin is strong at 38.7%, suggesting that non-operational expenses are significant.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet indicates stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.42 in 2024, showing high leverage. Return on equity is low at 2.1%, indicating limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is 26.2%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing. This high leverage could pose risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Chartwell Retirement Residences exhibits a healthy cash flow with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 8.96, indicating strong cash generation relative to income. Free cash flow grew significantly from 2023 to 2024, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 4.18, reflecting efficient cash management. Despite some volatility in investing activities, the cash flow position remains robust.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
848.54M736.24M706.80M903.61M924.72M
Gross Profit
339.36M272.87M242.10M273.89M302.22M
EBIT
0.0036.08M30.28M51.95M76.78M
EBITDA
328.20M184.49M188.43M220.04M256.46M
Net Income Common Stockholders
22.41M128.27M27.39M10.13M14.88M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
20.05M24.62M28.47M95.49M70.16M
Total Assets
4.09B3.23B3.51B3.42B3.49B
Total Debt
2.60B2.03B2.34B2.35B2.52B
Net Debt
2.58B2.00B2.31B2.25B2.45B
Total Liabilities
3.01B2.44B2.74B2.59B2.76B
Stockholders Equity
1.07B791.46M769.80M826.11M733.98M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
93.58M28.18M26.35M40.98M52.23M
Operating Cash Flow
200.85M157.43M137.71M156.32M184.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-652.99M78.94M-165.61M-36.49M-62.19M
Financing Cash Flow
447.57M-240.21M-39.11M-94.51M-75.16M

Chartwell Retirement Residences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.27
Price Trends
50DMA
16.73
Positive
100DMA
16.17
Positive
200DMA
15.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Negative
RSI
71.44
Negative
STOCH
71.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CSH.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.97, above the 50-day MA of 16.73, and above the 200-day MA of 15.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.44 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CSH.UN.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$2.11B3.2422.26%3.98%5.77%108.23%
74
Outperform
C$413.54M16.674.57%7.39%6.36%13.91%
70
Outperform
C$6.88B24.481.29%3.51%4.45%
61
Neutral
C$4.98B205.702.36%3.47%20.03%-63.03%
60
Neutral
$2.80B11.090.20%8508.36%6.13%-16.84%
58
Neutral
C$1.63B-6.27%3.45%3.85%-266.02%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CSH.UN
Chartwell Retirement Residences
18.27
6.17
50.99%
TSE:CAR.UN
Canadian Apartment
42.15
-2.33
-5.24%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
11.21
-0.71
-5.96%
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
17.96
1.28
7.67%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
3.77
0.46
13.90%
BOWFF
Boardwalk REIT
48.08
-4.34
-8.28%

Chartwell Retirement Residences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance, significant occupancy gains, and successful acquisitions, suggesting a positive outlook. However, challenges remain in competitive markets like Ottawa and in managing construction costs for new developments. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negative ones.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating and Financial Results
Q1 2025 saw a 400 basis points operating margin expansion and a 21.3% same-property net operating income growth, driven by increases in occupancy.
Sequential Occupancy Gain
Achieved a 110 basis points sequential quarter occupancy gain in the same-property portfolio, reaching 91.5% in Q1 2025, reversing historical seasonal trends of occupancy declines.
Significant Financial Improvements
Net income was $33.2 million in Q1 2025 compared to a net loss of $2 million in Q1 2024. FFO grew by 43.1% to $56.2 million.
Successful Acquisitions
Acquired several high-quality assets, including Chartwell Victoria Harbour and Chartwell Rosemont, adding critical mass in key regions like Vancouver Island and Montreal.
Reduction in Staffing Agency Costs
Reduced staffing agency costs by 50% in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024, now below pre-pandemic levels.
Portfolio Optimization
Repositioned the underperforming Duke of Devonshire residence by entering into a long-term lease with The Ottawa Hospital, improving asset utilization.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Competitive Markets
Ottawa remains a competitive market, impacting the ability to reach higher occupancy levels quickly.
Development and Construction Costs
High construction costs continue to pose challenges for new developments, with a 20-25% gap between current and required market rents for feasibility.
Company Guidance
During the Chartwell Retirement Residences Q1 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, CEO Vlad Volodarski reported a robust quarter with a 21.3% increase in same-property net operating income and a 400-basis point expansion in operating margin. The company achieved a 91.5% occupancy rate, reflecting a 110-basis point sequential increase, and projects this to rise to 92.2% by June 2025, with a target of 95% by year-end. Financially, Chartwell reported Q1 2025 net income of $33.2 million, a significant turnaround from a $2 million net loss in Q1 2024. Funds from operations (FFO) grew by 43.1% to $56.2 million year-over-year. The company also improved its leverage metrics, with an interest coverage ratio of 2.8x and a net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 8.2x. Additionally, staffing agency costs were reduced by 50% compared to the previous year, contributing to the financial improvements. Looking forward, Chartwell plans to continue its focus on occupancy and cash flow growth, while also engaging in portfolio optimization and strategic acquisitions.

Chartwell Retirement Residences Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chartwell Retirement Residences Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
May 8, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences reported a significant financial turnaround in Q1 2025, with a net income of $33.2 million compared to a net loss in the previous year. The company achieved a 32.4% increase in resident revenue and a 21.3% growth in same-property net operating income, driven by higher occupancy rates and effective management strategies. Chartwell’s strategic focus on increasing occupancy and cash flows positions it to capitalize on growing demand in the senior housing market, with a target occupancy rate of 95% by year-end.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CSH.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CSH.UN is a Neutral.

Chartwell Retirement Residences scores moderately due to mixed financial performance and high P/E ratio. While cash flow and strategic acquisitions are strengths, high leverage and thin margins are concerns. Positive earnings call guidance and corporate events enhance future prospects.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CSH.UN stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Chartwell Retirement Residences Announces Board Elections and Key Voting Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced the election of its board of directors and trustees during its annual meeting held on May 7, 2025. The meeting also resulted in the reappointment of KPMG LLP as auditors and an advisory vote on executive compensation, with strong support for the proposed nominees and compensation approach. These decisions are expected to reinforce Chartwell’s governance structure and operational stability, potentially impacting its market position positively.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CSH.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CSH.UN is a Neutral.

Chartwell Retirement Residences scores moderately due to mixed financial performance and high P/E ratio. While cash flow and strategic acquisitions are strengths, high leverage and thin margins are concerns. Positive earnings call guidance and corporate events enhance future prospects.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CSH.UN stock, click here.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Announces Cash Distribution and Positive Occupancy Trends
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a cash distribution of $0.051 per Trust Unit, payable on May 15, 2025, with eligible unitholders able to participate in the Distribution Reinvestment Plan to increase their ownership without fees. The company also reported positive momentum in occupancy rates, driven by strong demand and demographic growth, which is expected to continue through 2025, potentially enhancing its market position and benefiting stakeholders.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CSH.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CSH.UN is a Neutral.

Chartwell Retirement Residences has a moderate overall stock score. Strengths include strong cash flow generation and positive corporate events like strategic acquisitions. However, high leverage, thin profitability margins, and a potentially overvalued P/E ratio are key risks. The company is making strides in operational growth and efficiency, but further improvements are needed to enhance financial stability and shareholder returns.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CSH.UN stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Expands Quebec Portfolio with Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences has expanded its portfolio by acquiring two retirement residences, Résidence Le Florilège and Chartwell L’Envol, along with the remaining interest in Chartwell Trait-Carré, all located in Quebec City. These acquisitions, valued at over $247 million, are part of Chartwell’s strategy to enhance its presence in high-growth markets with high-quality, recently developed properties that boast strong occupancy rates. The integration of these properties is expected to be seamless, as they are already managed by Chartwell, and will contribute positively to the company’s portfolio quality and competitive positioning in the seniors housing industry.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Chartwell Retirement Residences Announces Q1 2025 Results Release and AGM Details
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 8, 2025, followed by a conference call and webcast on May 9, 2025, to discuss the results. Additionally, Chartwell will hold its annual general meeting on May 7, 2025, both in person and virtually. These events are significant for stakeholders as they provide insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Announces Cash Distribution and Positive Occupancy Trends
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a cash distribution of $0.051 per Trust Unit, payable on April 15, 2025, with a Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) that allows unitholders to increase their ownership without fees. The company reported robust winter sales activity, leading to higher occupancy rates and expects continued positive momentum due to strong demand driven by demographic growth and a shortage of long-term care beds.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Retirement Residences Announces $400 Million Debenture Offering
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a $400 million offering of senior unsecured debentures, divided equally between Series E and Series F, with interest rates of 3.650% and 4.500%, maturing in 2028 and 2032, respectively. The proceeds are intended to repay existing debts and finance future acquisitions, potentially enhancing Chartwell’s financial flexibility and growth prospects in the senior housing market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chartwell Retirement Residences Reports Strong Q4 2024 Results
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences reported a significant financial turnaround in the fourth quarter of 2024, with a notable increase in resident revenue and a shift from a net loss to a net income. The company attributes its success to improvements in employee engagement, resident satisfaction, and operational efficiency, alongside strategic growth and optimization efforts. Chartwell’s CEO expressed confidence in sustaining strong performance through continued focus on operational excellence and capital management, positioning the company well for future growth.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chartwell Announces Cash Distribution and Reports Strong Occupancy Trends
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

Chartwell Retirement Residences announced a cash distribution of $0.051 per Trust Unit, payable on March 17, 2025, with the option for unitholders to participate in a Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) that includes a 3% bonus in units. Additionally, Chartwell reported higher than usual January occupancy rates due to strong winter sales activity, with expectations of continued positive momentum into the spring, indicating robust demand and potential growth in occupancy rates.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.