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Canadian Apartment (TSE:CAR.UN)
TSX:CAR.UN

Canadian Apartment (CAR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Canadian Apartment

(TSX:CAR.UN)

70Outperform
Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) presents a balanced investment opportunity. The company's strong cash flow and revenue growth are major strengths. However, high leverage and net income volatility pose risks. Technical indicators are favorable, and the valuation is reasonable, supported by a decent dividend yield. Recent corporate strategies and positive events, while not directly impacting the score, suggest a strategic focus on growth and efficiency, potentially benefiting long-term investors.
Positive Factors
Market Valuation
CAP REIT's units currently trade at an 8.6% discount to the NAV estimate, suggesting potential for upside.
Portfolio Strategy
CAP REIT continues to execute its strategy of high grading its portfolio through divesting non-core assets.
Rental Income
Same-property monthly in-place rents rose 5.7% year-over-year, which more than offset a 50bp drop in same-property occupancy to 97.9%.
Negative Factors
Asset Sales Impact
FFO per unit has been negatively impacted due to asset sales, although these transactions are generally accretive to NAV.
Earnings Performance
Q4/24 results were below expectations with NFFO coming in at $104.3M vs. the estimate of $108.6M.
Interest Expense
Greater interest expense from refinancing mortgage debt at higher interest rates impacted financial performance as the weighted average rate on mortgages rose from 2.80% in Q4/23 to 3.11% in Q4/24.

Canadian Apartment (CAR.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Canadian Apartment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT), trading under the symbol CAR.UN, is one of Canada's largest residential landlords. The company specializes in the acquisition, ownership, and management of multi-unit residential rental properties, including apartment buildings, townhouses, and manufactured home communities. CAPREIT operates across Canada and has a growing presence in the Netherlands, providing quality rental accommodations to a diverse tenant base.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) generates revenue primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of residential properties. The company owns and manages a wide variety of rental units, including apartments and townhomes, which provide a steady stream of rental payments from tenants. Additionally, CAPREIT invests in maintaining and upgrading its properties to increase their value and attract higher rental rates, thereby enhancing its income potential. The company may also engage in property acquisitions to expand its portfolio and capitalize on market opportunities. CAPREIT's earnings are influenced by factors such as occupancy rates, rental market trends, and operational efficiency. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures may also play a role in its growth strategy, though specific partnerships are not detailed.

Canadian Apartment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Canadian Apartment demonstrates steady revenue growth and strong cash-generating abilities. However, high leverage and instability in net income present challenges. The stable equity position is a positive, but reducing debt could further improve financial health.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The company has shown consistent revenue growth with a revenue increase of 4.5% in the latest year. The gross profit margin has remained strong, averaging around 60% over the years. However, the volatility in net income, particularly the negative net income in 2023, indicates potential profitability challenges. The absence of EBIT in the latest data may suggest operational restructuring.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position, with an equity ratio consistently above 50%. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage. The company's total debt has decreased slightly over recent years, but the high leverage remains a risk factor.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statements reveal a positive trend in free cash flow growth, with a noticeable increase in 2024. Operating cash flow remains robust, showing the company's strong cash-generating capability. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio fluctuates, partly due to variations in net income.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.11B1.07B1.01B933.14M882.64M
Gross Profit
672.03M630.41M592.44M609.99M578.17M
EBIT
0.00615.95M728.11M516.13M553.58M
EBITDA
552.38M-274.86M697.07M541.37M587.55M
Net Income Common Stockholders
292.74M-411.57M13.64M1.39B925.93M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
146.76M35.22M51.68M73.41M121.72M
Total Assets
15.58B16.97B17.74B17.71B15.50B
Total Debt
6.04B7.11B7.01B6.46B5.56B
Net Debt
5.90B7.08B6.97B6.39B5.44B
Total Liabilities
6.55B7.69B7.74B7.31B6.23B
Stockholders Equity
9.03B9.28B10.00B10.40B9.27B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
399.04M308.09M261.56M252.01M236.50M
Operating Cash Flow
648.85M615.92M598.03M551.43M481.36M
Investing Cash Flow
1.74B-138.47M-502.97M-1.11B-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.29B-495.23M-132.32M512.50M185.45M

Canadian Apartment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price42.15
Price Trends
50DMA
41.34
Positive
100DMA
41.06
Positive
200DMA
44.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
54.74
Neutral
STOCH
54.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CAR.UN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 42.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.27, above the 50-day MA of 41.34, and below the 200-day MA of 44.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:CAR.UN.

Canadian Apartment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.46B5.578.71%2.17%9.53%-46.06%
76
Outperform
C$2.11B3.2422.26%3.94%5.77%108.23%
75
Outperform
C$923.94M8.175.83%4.30%3.85%-31.81%
70
Outperform
C$6.88B24.481.29%3.51%4.45%
61
Neutral
C$517.80M14.049.03%3.99%-0.29%
60
Neutral
$2.80B11.090.20%8508.36%6.13%-16.84%
58
Neutral
C$1.63B-6.27%3.44%3.85%-266.02%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CAR.UN
Canadian Apartment
42.15
-2.33
-5.24%
TSE:BEI.UN
Boardwalk REIT
66.98
-4.74
-6.61%
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
17.96
1.28
7.67%
TSE:MRG.UN
Morguard NA REIT UN
17.40
1.89
12.19%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
11.21
-0.71
-5.96%
TSE:MI.UN
Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
12.82
-1.97
-13.32%

Canadian Apartment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -0.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong operational and financial performance, characterized by high occupancy rates, rent growth, and effective capital recycling strategies. Despite increased interest expenses and maintenance costs, the company demonstrated robust financial strength and a strategic focus on optimizing their portfolio. Overall, the sentiment is positive with a clear emphasis on growth and stability.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
High Occupancy and Rent Growth
Occupancy remained high at 98%, with average rent at $1,617 per month. Rent growth drove a 5.2% increase in total portfolio operating revenues.
Strong Financial Performance
NOI increased by 6.1%, with a 60 basis point margin expansion to 67.1%. Diluted FFO per unit increased by 3.3% to $0.659 for the quarter.
Successful Capital Recycling Strategy
Nearly $1 billion in Canadian rental properties transacted in 2024, $219 million in European property sales completed, and over $1 billion in additional property dispositions in the Netherlands announced.
Debt Reduction and Financial Strength
Total debt to gross book value ratio decreased to 40.9% from 41.6%. Mortgages carry a low weighted average effective interest rate of just over 3%.
Negative Updates
Higher Interest Expenses
Higher interest expenses partially offset the healthy organic growth achieved in the quarter.
Increased Repairs and Maintenance Costs
Higher repairs and maintenance costs incurred, impacting margins despite scaling back on certain discretionary capital expenditures.
Company Guidance
During the Canadian Apartment Properties REIT (CAPREIT) Q3 2024 earnings call, a robust set of metrics highlighted significant operational and strategic achievements. CAPREIT reported a high occupancy rate of 98% with an average rent of $1,617 per month. Rent growth led to a 5.2% increase in total portfolio operating revenues, with a 6.1% rise in NOI, expanding the margin by 60 basis points to 67.1%. Despite higher repairs and maintenance costs, diluted FFO per unit increased by 3.3% to $0.659 for the quarter. Over the first nine months, rent growth was 6.4%, and diluted FFO per unit rose by 6.5%, maintaining a conservative payout ratio of 57.3%. CAPREIT's strategic repositioning involved $1 billion in Canadian rental property transactions and $219 million in European property sales, with further dispositions planned, including a $740 million MHC portfolio sale set for closing in Q4 2024. The company's total debt to gross book value ratio improved to 40.9%, and a strategic CapEx program reduced capital spend by 7% year-over-year, enhancing cash flow generation.

Canadian Apartment Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CAPREIT Reports Strategic Divestments and Reinvestment in Q1 2025
Positive
May 8, 2025

CAPREIT reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a strategic focus on simplifying its platform and upgrading its Canadian apartment portfolio. The company completed $400 million in strategic dispositions in Canada and Europe and plans further divestments in the Netherlands. These moves are part of CAPREIT’s strategy to reinvest proceeds into high-quality, mid-market rental properties, aiming to strengthen its market position and improve operational efficiency.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CAR.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CAR.UN is a Neutral.

Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) presents a balanced investment opportunity. The company’s steady revenue growth and strong cash flow generation are significant positives. However, the high leverage and net income volatility pose risks. Technical indicators are neutral, and the valuation remains reasonable. Positive corporate events reflect strategic growth and commitment to shareholder value, but they have no direct weight in the overall score due to the lack of earnings call data.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CAR.UN stock, click here.

Dividends
CAPREIT Announces April 2025 Distribution
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAPREIT) announced its April 2025 monthly distribution of $0.12917 per Unit, payable on May 15, 2025. This announcement reflects CAPREIT’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its unitholders, showcasing its strong financial performance and stable growth in the rental housing market.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CAR.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CAR.UN is a Outperform.

Canadian Apartment’s stock is well-supported by strong financial and operational results. While the financial performance is solid with steady revenue and cash flow growth, high leverage remains a concern. Technical indicators show positive momentum, and recent corporate events highlight strategic advancements. The valuation is reasonable, backed by a decent dividend yield, making the stock a balanced investment with moderate growth potential.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CAR.UN stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CAPREIT to Reinvest $189 Million from European Asset Sale into Canadian Market
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

CAPREIT announced that its subsidiary, ERES, has entered into an agreement to sell 1,446 residential suites in the Netherlands for approximately $522 million. This move is part of CAPREIT’s strategy to reduce its non-core European exposure, with plans to reinvest the proceeds into the Canadian residential apartment market. The transaction is expected to close between early August and mid-September 2025, with CAPREIT anticipating a receipt of approximately $189 million from a special distribution. The funds will be used to repay debt, fund future acquisitions in Canada, and for general business purposes.

Dividends
CAPREIT Announces March 2025 Distribution
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

CAPREIT announced its March 2025 monthly distribution of $0.12917 per Unit, payable on April 15, 2025, to Unitholders of record as of March 31, 2025. This announcement reflects CAPREIT’s ongoing commitment to providing consistent returns to its investors, highlighting its strong position in the rental housing market and its significant growth in cash distributions since its IPO.

Dividends
CAPREIT Announces Increased February 2025 Distribution
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

CAPREIT has announced an increase in its February 2025 monthly distribution to $0.12916 per Unit, marking an annualized distribution of $1.55. This decision reflects CAPREIT’s ongoing commitment to enhancing shareholder value and maintaining its strong market presence in the real estate sector, as evidenced by its substantial portfolio and sustained growth in distributions.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CAPREIT Reports Robust 2024 Financial Results Amid Market Adjustments
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

CAPREIT announced strong financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024. Despite a decrease in the number of suites and sites and a slight decline in overall occupancy, the company reported increased operating revenues and net operating income compared to the previous year. The results underscore CAPREIT’s solid performance in adjusting to market conditions, with improved rental rates in both its Canadian and Dutch portfolios. The company’s financial health is reflected in its net income for the year, signaling a recovery from a loss recorded in the previous year, and a stable distribution per unit.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CAPREIT Enhances Portfolio with $194 Million in Strategic Transactions
Positive
Feb 10, 2025

CAPREIT has announced a strategic shift in its portfolio with the completion of key acquisitions and dispositions totaling $194 million. The company sold non-core assets in Brampton and Charlottetown while acquiring newly constructed rental properties in Vancouver and Edmonton. These transactions bolster CAPREIT’s presence in Western Canada, aligning with its strategy of upgrading its portfolio with properties that offer both value and growth potential. The moves are part of a broader capital reallocation plan aimed at enhancing the company’s core platform and supporting the Canadian housing market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.