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Ayr Wellness (AYR.A) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AYR.A

Ayr Wellness

(CNQX:AYR.A)

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Rating:40.1Neutral
Price Target:CAD 0.15â–¼(-5.16% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:12/07/25

Ayr Wellness faces significant financial and operational challenges, with declining profitability, increasing debt, and negative cash flows. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are poor with a negative P/E ratio. The recent initiation of CCAA proceedings further highlights the company's financial distress.

Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Ayr Wellness (AYR.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%TSE:AYR.A0.00%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 432.06K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.0
Beta (1Y)
2.95
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
Canada
Employees
2,440
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Ayr Wellness Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ayr Wellness Inc. is a vertically integrated, multi-state cannabis company that handles the cultivation, manufacturing, and retail sales of its own branded cannabis products. Their diverse product line includes items such as concentrates, edibles, an...

How the Company Makes Money

Ayr Wellness generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of cannabis products in both retail and wholesale markets. The company operates a network of dispensaries that sell its branded products directly to consumers, which...

Ayr Wellness Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2025(Q4-2024)|% Change Since:-61.25%|Next Earnings Date:Sep 11, 2025
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call highlighted strategic moves to strengthen the business through operational streamlining and market expansion, particularly in Ohio. However, significant challenges persist, including price compression and various operational difficulties, leading to a decline in profitability and substantial impairment charges.

Positive Updates

Strong Wholesale Revenue Growth
CPG wholesale revenue in 2024 was up 20% year-over-year, with core brands Kynd, Haze, and Later Days up 126% over the prior year.

Negative Updates

Price Compression Across Various Markets
Price compression continued to impact margins, with BDSA flower pricing decreasing sequentially across all markets, ranging from 5% to 12%.

Company Guidance

During the Ayr Wellness fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings call, Interim CEO Steven Cohen and President George DeNardo discussed the company's strategic focus on sustainable growth and profitability amidst industry challenges. The call highlighted that full-year sales remained flat at $463.6 million compared to the previous year, with retail sales declining by 4% and wholesale sales increasing by 28%. Adjusted gross margin was reported at 51.6%, down from 55% the previous year, primarily due to price compression and a shift in revenue from retail to wholesale. Ayr emphasized its commitment to core markets, including Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and announced plans to divest non-core assets like those in Illinois. The $10 million CapEx guidance for 2025, excluding potential Virginia investments, reflects a careful approach to capital deployment. Ayr's leadership transition includes the upcoming departure of CFO Brad Asher, with a focus on building a resilient leadership team to drive future success.

Ayr Wellness Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ayr Wellness is experiencing financial challenges, with declining profitability, increasing debt levels, and negative cash flows. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and manage its leverage to stabilize its financial position.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

50Neutral

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue452.90M463.63M463.63M465.62M357.61M155.11M
Gross Profit158.83M176.68M202.44M190.44M138.10M103.10M
EBITDA-96.32M-154.53M84.60M-67.66M87.69M17.21M
Net Income-310.37M-359.31M-272.43M-245.47M-16.95M-176.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.26B1.27B1.46B1.76B1.86B615.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.64M35.48M50.77M80.64M154.34M127.24M
Total Debt634.32M621.88M597.77M621.66M483.82M190.62M
Total Liabilities946.67M904.31M889.20M928.56M839.85M465.01M
Stockholders Equity324.33M379.53M581.78M833.32M1.02B150.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.58M-15.14M-12.44M-96.66M-127.78M21.74M
Operating Cash Flow11.68M9.63M27.16M-34.16M-27.78M36.51M
Investing Cash Flow-18.34M-21.81M-24.15M-66.50M-219.63M-62.25M
Financing Cash Flow-26.90M-3.10M-32.89M26.96M274.51M144.57M

Ayr Wellness Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.15

Price Trends

50DMA0.16Negative
100DMA0.15Positive
200DMA0.16Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Neutral
STOCH50.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AYR.A, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, below the 50-day MA of 0.16, and below the 200-day MA of 0.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Neutral momentum. The RSI at is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:AYR.A.

Ayr Wellness Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

TSE:AYR.A against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:GTIITSE:GTII75OutperformCAD 1.90B11.416.82%―3.81%344.13%
TSE:CURATSE:CURA59NeutralCAD 3.12B-60.28-4.47%―1.50%81.84%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
TSE:VRNOTSE:VRNO51NeutralCAD 2.17B-1.65-28.93%―0.61%37.92%
TSE:AYR.ATSE:AYR.A40NeutralCAD 18.10M-0.03-74.75%―――
TSE:CLTSE:CL40UnderperformCAD 365.32M-1.89-28.27%―-5.83%-115.39%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%TSE:AYR.ATSE:CURATSE:GTIITSE:CLTSE:VRNODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:AYR.A and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:AYR.AAyr Wellness Inc.0.150.000.00%
TSE:CURACuraleaf Holdings (Otc)11.770.040.34%
TSE:GTIIGreen Thumb Industries (OTC)8.70-0.95-9.84%
TSE:CLCresco Labs OTC0.80-0.83-50.92%
TSE:VRNOVerano Holdings Corp.6.320.000.00%

Ayr Wellness Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings

AYR Wellness Initiates CCAA Proceedings Amid Restructuring Efforts

Negative
Nov 17, 2025

AYR Wellness Inc. has initiated proceedings under the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act in Canada as part of its restructuring efforts. This move is aligned with a previously disclosed Restructuring Support Agreement, which involves transiti...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

AYR Wellness Completes Auction, Initiates Core Asset Sale

Neutral
Nov 11, 2025

AYR Wellness has announced the successful completion of a public foreclosure auction, resulting in its senior noteholders acquiring core assets through a new acquisition vehicle. This marks a significant milestone in AYR’s restructuring process...

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing

AYR Wellness Initiates Article 9 Proceedings in Debt Restructuring

Neutral
Oct 13, 2025

AYR Wellness has announced the commencement of Article 9 proceedings as part of its debt restructuring process with senior noteholders. This phase involves a foreclosure sale of certain assets and equity interests in specified subsidiaries across sev...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025