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Avant Brands (TSE:AVNT)
TSX:AVNT

Avant Brands (AVNT) AI Stock Analysis

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Avant Brands

(TSX:AVNT)

Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
Avant Brands is experiencing revenue growth and international expansion, which are positives for future prospects. However, the company faces significant profitability challenges, reflected in negative margins and return on equity. Technical indicators show neutral to weak momentum, and the valuation is impacted by negative earnings and lack of dividends. Overall, while growth potential exists, profitability and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the stock’s score.

Avant Brands (AVNT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Avant Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvant Brands Inc. cultivates, produces, and markets premium cannabis products in Canada. The company offers medical and recreational cannabis products under the BLK MKT, Tenzo, GreenTec, cognoscente, Treehugger, and Pristine brands. It distributes cannabis through medical and recreational sales channels, as well as an e-commerce website. The company was formerly known as GTEC Holdings Ltd. and changed its name to Avant Brands Inc. in July 2021. Avant Brands Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Kelowna, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvant Brands generates revenue primarily through the cultivation, production, and sale of cannabis products. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers through retail channels, as well as wholesale distribution to licensed dispensaries and other retail partners. Avant Brands leverages its strong brand reputation and commitment to quality to drive sales, while also exploring opportunities for strategic partnerships and product innovations to expand its market share and enhance its revenue potential.

Avant Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 11, 2025
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: -15.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Avant Brands reported strong financial performance with record revenue and growth, positive cash flow, and international market expansion despite competitive challenges in the Canadian market.
Q1-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth
Avant Brands exceeded guidance with gross revenue of $8.9 million and net revenue increased by 15% year-over-year to a record $8.1 million. Gross margin reached a record $4.7 million with a healthy 58% margin overall.
Positive Cash Flow and EBITDA
Generated positive cash flow at a record $3.8 million and achieved a 47% adjusted EBITDA margin of net revenue. Avant has achieved positive EBITDA for 6 of the past 7 quarters.
International Market Expansion
Secured 5 new cannabis export agreements, bringing the total to 12 across Israel, Australia, and Germany. Export remains the fastest-growing channel.
Strong Export Pricing
Maintained strong export selling prices at $4.30 a gram, with the BLK MKT brand maintaining its premium price point.
Private Placement for Growth
Announced a private placement to secure up to $3.89 million in gross proceeds to support working capital needs.
Negative Updates
Competitive Canadian Market
The Canadian recreational market, especially in Ontario, remains highly competitive, impacting domestic performance.
Company Guidance
During the Avant Brands Q1 2024 earnings call, the company disclosed a robust financial performance, surpassing their guidance with gross revenue reaching $8.9 million, against an anticipated $8.2 to $8.8 million. Net revenue climbed by 15% year-over-year, hitting a record $8.1 million. The gross margin was at a healthy 58%, with Canadian recreational sales at 63% and exports achieving an impressive 74% margin. The firm generated a record positive cash flow of $3.8 million and reported an adjusted EBITDA of the same amount, reflecting a 47% margin. Avant also announced a private placement to secure up to $3.89 million to bolster working capital, with a strategic investor contributing a lead order of $600,000. Additionally, the company’s export channel expanded significantly with five new agreements, solidifying its presence in international markets and offsetting domestic challenges.

Avant Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Avant Brands faces significant challenges in achieving profitability and maintaining financial stability. While revenue has grown, persistent negative profit margins and operational inefficiencies hinder overall financial health. The balance sheet stability is somewhat reassuring, but negative equity trends and cash flow inconsistencies pose risks. The company needs to improve cost management and operational efficiency to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Avant Brands has experienced revenue growth from 2020 to the TTM period, but the company struggles with negative profit margins. The gross profit margin is negative, reflecting cost challenges. Net profit margin is also significantly negative due to high operating expenses relative to revenue. The EBITDA and EBIT margins are deeply negative as well, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio over time, with equity covering liabilities, indicating some stability. However, the negative trajectory in stockholders' equity and total assets highlights potential financial strain. Return on equity is negative due to ongoing net losses, raising concerns about future profitability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Avant Brands shows a fluctuating cash flow situation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some conversion efficiency, but free cash flow remains limited and inconsistent. Free cash flow growth has been erratic, highlighting challenges in generating consistent cash from operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
36.33M35.80M26.34M20.15M9.50M7.91M
Gross Profit
-2.14M-1.68M12.43M3.91M1.90M6.15M
EBIT
-12.17M-13.35M-1.45M-8.54M-3.86M1.22M
EBITDA
-17.25M-19.45M4.84M-3.08M-9.31M-5.07M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-20.72M-22.55M-5.07M-7.54M-11.23M-10.17M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
794.00K1.74M794.00K6.78M14.49M625.00K
Total Assets
82.55M59.47M82.55M67.03M50.57M40.80M
Total Debt
18.70M17.01M18.70M3.01M623.00K7.50M
Net Debt
17.93M15.27M17.93M-3.75M-13.69M6.87M
Total Liabilities
33.22M26.62M33.22M18.79M2.70M12.38M
Stockholders Equity
49.33M32.85M49.33M43.92M47.87M28.42M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
321.00K401.00K1.85M-4.90M-6.22M-1.12M
Operating Cash Flow
429.00K507.00K5.41M-3.46M-5.62M-357.00K
Investing Cash Flow
-89.00K-78.00K-7.03M-3.10M-1.65M-1.38M
Financing Cash Flow
-88.00K539.00K-4.38M-993.00K20.96M393.00K

Avant Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.82
Price Trends
50DMA
0.96
Negative
100DMA
1.05
Negative
200DMA
0.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
39.70
Neutral
STOCH
22.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AVNT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.87, below the 50-day MA of 0.96, and below the 200-day MA of 0.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AVNT.

Avant Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSDHB
64
Neutral
C$6.88M181.82-3.45%4.04%80.24%
53
Neutral
$5.22B3.32-45.04%2.83%16.81%-0.27%
43
Neutral
$8.88M-51.80%32.63%-90.15%
$5.31M
$4.79M
$19.09M-63.75%
$7.38M6.609.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AVNT
Avant Brands
0.82
-1.28
-60.95%
TSE:DHB
Delivra Health Brands
0.22
-0.18
-45.00%
SRUTF
Sproutly Canada
LVRLF
CordovaCann
0.06
-0.01
-14.29%
IMCC
IM Cannabis Corp
6.20
2.85
85.07%
CLCFF
Christina Lake Cannabis
0.03
0.00
0.00%

Avant Brands Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Avant Brands Inc. Announces Key Outcomes from 2025 Annual General Meeting
Neutral
May 31, 2025

Avant Brands Inc. held its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where 16.19% of its common shares were represented. Key outcomes included the election of six directors, re-appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as auditors, and approval of amendments to the company’s deferred share unit and long-term incentive plans. Additionally, the repricing of certain warrants and convertible debentures was approved, reflecting strategic adjustments to enhance shareholder value and operational flexibility.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Avant Brands Announces Shareholder Meeting and Repricing Amendments
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Avant Brands Inc. has announced its upcoming annual general and special meeting of shareholders, scheduled for May 30, 2025. The meeting will address several key business items, including the approval of repricing amendments to the exercise price of certain warrants and the conversion price of debentures, which were previously issued in a private placement. These amendments, aimed at adjusting the financial terms of the debentures and warrants, are subject to shareholder and Toronto Stock Exchange approval. This move could potentially impact Avant’s financial strategy and market positioning, offering more favorable terms to stakeholders involved in these financial instruments.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Avant Brands Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results Amid International Growth
Positive
Apr 11, 2025

Avant Brands reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with significant increases in gross and net revenue, driven by robust international demand for its premium cannabis products. The company achieved a 41% increase in export wholesale revenue, particularly in markets like Australia, Germany, and Israel. Despite a decline in recreational and domestic wholesale revenue due to strategic realignment, Avant continues to focus on scaling its global footprint and delivering sustainable long-term value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.