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Alvopetro Energy (ALV) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:ALV

Alvopetro Energy

(TSXV:ALV)

Select Model
Rating:85.3Outperform
Price Target:CAD 13.00â–²(36.55% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/19/26

The high overall score is driven primarily by Alvopetro’s strong profitability, conservative balance sheet, and robust cash generation, which together indicate a resilient financial profile. An attractive combination of a low P/E and a solid dividend yield further supports the rating, while positive technical trends add momentum, tempered slightly by the potential for short‑term consolidations given elevated momentum indicators.

Positive Factors
High ProfitabilityVery high gross, operating, and net margins indicate that Alvopetro converts production revenue into substantial earnings. If these margins remain supported by its Brazilian gas assets and operating model, they can provide resilience and funding capacity across the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Revenue and FCFUneven historical revenue and free-cash-flow performance makes future results less predictable than the latest margins suggest. This volatility reflects the cyclical E&P model and can complicate production planning, reinvestment decisions, and the consistency of shareholder distributions.

Alvopetro Energy (ALV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%TSE:ALV+59.87%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 355.17M
Dividend Yield
7.05%
Average Volume (3M)
42.84K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.2
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
28.63%
EPS Growth
24.06%
Country
Canada
Employees
67
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Alvopetro Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alvopetro Energy Ltd. is an energy company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. As of December 31, 2021, its asset base featured ownership stakes in the Caburé and Murucututu natural gas propert...

How the Company Makes Money

Alvopetro makes money primarily by producing and selling hydrocarbons (with a focus on natural gas) from its operated and non-operated interests in onshore Brazilian fields. Revenue is generated from the sale of produced volumes under commercial arra...

Alvopetro Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 17, 2025(Q4-2024)|% Change Since:139.68%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The earnings call highlighted strong growth in production, reserve increases, and strategic expansion into new markets, demonstrating a positive outlook for 2025. While there were some financial challenges in Q4 2024, such as decreased operating netback and foreign exchange losses, the overall sentiment remains optimistic due to operational achievements and strategic initiatives.

Positive Updates

Increased Production Capacity
Alvopetro's January and February production averaged 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up 37% from Q4 2024 production.

Negative Updates

Decreased Q4 Operating Netback
Operating netback decreased by $4.10 from the previous quarter, primarily due to lower sales volumes and prices.

Company Guidance

In the Q4 2024 results webcast, Alvopetro provided detailed guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics. The company has increased its firm natural gas supply to Bahiagás by 33%, leading to an average production of 2,375 barrels of oil equivalent per day in January and February, up 37% from Q4 2024. The operating netback was reported at $55.09, with a margin of 86%, despite a 4% reduction in realized sales price and a 17% reduction in volumes. Alvopetro announced a dividend increase to US$0.10 per share for Q1 2025, reflecting higher sales volumes. The year-end reserve report showed a 65% increase in 1P reserves, totaling 4.5 million BOE, and a 5% increase in 2P reserves, totaling 9.1 million BOE. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with $13.2 million in working capital and no debt. Alvopetro has strategically entered the Canadian market, drilling two wells in the Mannville heavy oil fairway, aiming to capitalize on multi-zone reservoirs. The company projects a strong 2025 with a focus on maintaining a balanced capital allocation model, emphasizing both organic growth and stakeholder returns.

Alvopetro Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Alvopetro shows very strong profitability, conservative leverage, and solid cash generation across income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow, with the main risk being cyclical volatility in revenue and cash flow growth.

Income Statement

88Very Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.68M54.79M45.52M58.03M63.51M34.98M
Gross Profit41.38M35.99M32.46M53.83M48.47M20.13M
EBITDA46.16M41.05M28.11M41.96M46.28M22.16M
Net Income27.72M23.50M16.30M28.52M31.73M5.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets153.62M139.86M101.02M109.83M98.43M73.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.07M32.34M21.70M18.33M19.78M11.47M
Total Debt26.40M26.98M7.86M8.68M9.43M14.52M
Total Liabilities46.19M44.66M21.66M21.62M22.02M22.61M
Stockholders Equity107.44M95.20M79.36M88.21M76.41M51.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.56M10.88M19.60M20.25M22.74M19.78M
Operating Cash Flow49.68M41.52M34.90M47.70M47.53M24.29M
Investing Cash Flow-30.78M-33.40M-11.69M-27.75M-22.77M-3.98M
Financing Cash Flow635.45K2.83M-17.99M-21.74M-16.55M-13.74M

Alvopetro Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price9.52

Price Trends

50DMA9.89Negative
100DMA9.49Positive
200DMA8.72Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.10Negative
RSI47.83Neutral
STOCH30.63Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ALV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.47, below the 50-day MA of 9.89, and above the 200-day MA of 8.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ALV.

Alvopetro Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:ALV against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:ALVTSE:ALV85OutperformCAD 355.17M9.2327.62%7.05%28.63%24.06%
TSE:JOYTSE:JOY69NeutralCAD 377.89M14.767.55%―4.49%64.96%
TSE:GASXTSE:GASX60NeutralCAD 273.07M6.2557.31%―39.79%―
TSE:RBYTSE:RBY56NeutralCAD 426.31M16.817.79%―15.04%-61.00%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TSE:RECOTSE:RECO43NeutralCAD 213.15M-11.58-6.71%――45.08%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%TSE:ALVTSE:RECOTSE:GASXTSE:JOYTSE:RBYDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:ALV and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:ALVAlvopetro Energy9.523.4356.22%
TSE:RECOReconnaissance Energy Africa Ltd.0.52-0.01-1.89%
TSE:GASXNG Energy International Corp.1.00-0.04-3.85%
TSE:JOYJourney Energy (OTC)5.601.7545.45%
TSE:RBYRubellite Energy Inc4.541.9071.97%

Alvopetro Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

Alvopetro Lifts August Sales to 3,124 boepd and Advances Brazilian Gas Drilling Program

Positive
Sep 3, 2026

Alvopetro Energy reported August sales volumes of 3,124 boepd, with 2,989 boepd from Brazil and 135 bopd from Canada, underpinned by strong natural gas output from the Caburé and Murucututu fields and associated NGLs. The company is also progres...

Business Operations and Strategy

Alvopetro Reports Initial 183-H2 Well Results at Murucututu Gas Field

Positive
Aug 31, 2026

Alvopetro Energy has completed drilling its 183-H2 well on the 100% owned Murucututu natural gas field in Brazil, reaching a total measured depth of 3,176.5 metres in an area previously assigned prospective resources by independent evaluator GLJ. Ope...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2026