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Loblaw Companies (TSE:L)
TSX:L
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Loblaw Companies (L) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:L

Loblaw Companies

(TSX:L)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$63.00
â–²(13.57% Upside)
Loblaw Companies' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. However, the high valuation and mixed technical indicators temper the overall outlook. Continued focus on operational efficiency and strategic growth initiatives will be crucial for sustaining momentum.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Loblaw Companies (L) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Loblaw Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLoblaw Companies Limited, a food and pharmacy company, engages in the grocery, pharmacy, health and beauty, apparel, general merchandise, financial services, and wireless mobile products and services businesses in Canada. It operates in two segments, Retail and Financial Services. The Retail segment operates corporate and franchise-owned retail food, and associate-owned drug stores. This segment also includes in-store pharmacies, other health and beauty product stores, apparel stores, and other general merchandise stores. The Financial Services segment provides credit card and banking services, the PC Optimum program, insurance brokerage services, and telecommunication services. It also offers PC Health app, a health and wellness app that provides Canadians with access to healthcare resources and support. Loblaw Companies Limited provides its products and services under various brands. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Brampton, Canada. Loblaw Companies Limited operates as a subsidiary of George Weston Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyLoblaw generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and pharmacy products across its extensive network of retail locations. The company operates a multi-channel revenue model, including brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce platforms, which allows it to capture a broad customer base. Key revenue streams include the sale of grocery items, pharmacy prescriptions, and health and beauty products. Additionally, Loblaw benefits from its private label offerings, which typically have higher margins compared to national brands. The company also earns revenue from loyalty programs, such as PC Optimum, which drives customer engagement and repeat purchases. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers further enhance its product offerings and pricing competitiveness, contributing to overall earnings.

Loblaw Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance and growth, particularly in revenue and store expansion. Despite some challenges with vendor cost increases and tariffs, the overall outlook remains positive with strategic investments and successful market share gains.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue growth of 5.2% reaching $14.5 billion, an increase of $725 million over last year. Excluding divestitures, revenue growth would have been 5.4%.
Increased Earnings
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 7.4% to $1.8 billion, and adjusted diluted earnings per share grew by 11.6% to $2.40. GAAP net earnings per share increased by 60%.
Food Retail Tonnage Growth
Sales tonnage and basket growth led to significant market share gains, with food same-store sales increasing by 3.5%.
Expansion and New Store Openings
Opened 10 new stores this quarter, with 20 out of the planned 80 new stores for the year already operational.
Successful U.S. Store Performance
The Seattle TNT store significantly exceeded sales expectations, contributing positively to overall performance.
Digital Sales Growth
Online sales increased by 17.5%, driven by strength in the PCX delivery channel.
AI Integration in Supply Chain
AI-driven initiatives are improving supply chain operations, including inventory management and transport scheduling.
4-for-1 Stock Split
Announced a stock split effective August 18, 2025, with shareholders of record receiving three additional shares for each common share held.
Negative Updates
Higher-than-Normal Cost Increase Requests
Concerns over cost increase requests from global vendors, with only 1/3 of supplier cost submissions being tariff-related.
Tariff Impact on Sales
Sales volume on tariff-impacted items declined by more than 15% in some weeks, indicating a negative impact from ongoing tariffs.
Uncertain Economic Environment
Acknowledged macroeconomic uncertainties and a conservative position on guidance, reflecting caution in a challenging economic environment.
Company Guidance
During the Loblaw Companies Limited Second Quarter 2025 Results Call, the company reported strong financial performance driven by strategic initiatives and market share gains. Revenue grew by 5.2% to $14.5 billion, a $725 million increase from the previous year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 7.4% to $1.8 billion. The company achieved a remarkable 11.6% increase in adjusted diluted EPS to $2.40, while GAAP net earnings per share surged by 60%, partly due to completed amortization of the Shoppers Drug Mart acquisition. Food retail saw a 5.8% growth in absolute sales, outpacing same-store sales by 230 basis points, while drug retail posted a 4.8% increase in absolute sales. Loblaw's internal CPI-like food inflation was lower than Canada's grocery CPI, and online sales jumped 17.5%. The company also announced a 4-for-1 stock split, with new stores and AI-driven operational improvements contributing to positive outlooks for future growth.

Loblaw Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Loblaw Companies demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability, and efficient cash flow generation. The company maintains healthy margins and returns on equity, though moderate leverage requires careful management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Loblaw Companies has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.18%. The company maintains strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 32.29% and a net profit margin of 3.96%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 6.97% and 11.63%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. The steady improvement in margins over the years reflects effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.77, indicating a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity is robust at 22.23%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced capital structure. However, the increasing debt levels over the years could pose potential risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Loblaw Companies exhibits strong cash flow generation with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of 3.82%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.54 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.66 indicate solid cash conversion efficiency. The consistent growth in free cash flow over the years highlights the company's ability to generate cash to support operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.29B61.01B59.53B56.50B53.17B52.71B
Gross Profit20.11B19.73B19.04B17.98B16.73B15.99B
EBITDA7.25B6.90B6.64B6.17B5.79B4.96B
Net Income2.47B2.17B2.10B1.92B1.88B1.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.45B40.88B38.98B38.15B36.61B35.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.90B2.11B1.95B1.93B2.44B1.94B
Total Debt19.52B19.18B18.17B17.61B16.55B16.61B
Total Liabilities29.25B29.61B27.36B26.69B24.88B24.75B
Stockholders Equity11.03B11.09B11.46B11.30B11.57B10.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.89B3.60B3.58B3.18B3.65B4.03B
Operating Cash Flow5.86B5.80B5.65B4.75B4.83B5.19B
Investing Cash Flow-2.04B-2.02B-1.84B-2.37B-1.27B-1.38B
Financing Cash Flow-4.15B-3.82B-3.93B-2.75B-3.25B-3.28B

Loblaw Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price55.47
Price Trends
50DMA
56.00
Negative
100DMA
55.85
Negative
200DMA
51.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
47.49
Neutral
STOCH
45.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:L, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 55.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.74, below the 50-day MA of 56.00, and above the 200-day MA of 51.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:L.

Loblaw Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$64.43B26.6221.77%1.66%3.26%22.10%
69
Neutral
20.30B20.1913.23%1.54%2.26%12.56%
69
Neutral
11.47B16.3612.94%1.65%1.96%9.26%
64
Neutral
2.34B16.8517.84%3.27%3.04%4.17%
63
Neutral
13.80B-95.41-2.30%2.30%7.58%-155.93%
63
Neutral
32.74B32.2219.06%1.34%3.21%-12.20%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:L
Loblaw Companies
55.47
12.31
28.52%
TSE:EMP.A
Empire Co Cl A NV
49.68
11.06
28.64%
TSE:MRU
Metro Inc.
93.94
12.20
14.93%
TSE:NWC
North West
48.96
0.38
0.78%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
33.50
5.16
18.21%
TSE:WN
George Weston
85.33
13.16
18.23%

Loblaw Companies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Split
Loblaw Completes Four-For-One Stock Split
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

Loblaw Companies Limited has completed a four-for-one stock split of its common shares, effective as of August 19, 2025. This move, executed through a stock dividend, is expected to enhance the liquidity of Loblaw’s shares and potentially broaden its investor base, reflecting the company’s strategic efforts to strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:L) stock is a Buy with a C$261.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loblaw Companies stock, see the TSE:L Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2025