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Tenaris SA (TS)
NYSE:TS
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Tenaris SA (TS) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

Tenaris SA

(NYSE:TS)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
â–²(13.12% Upside)
Tenaris SA's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and attractive valuation. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and mixed earnings call sentiment highlights challenges such as declining sales and tariff impacts. The company's robust cash position and strategic project deliveries provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Position
A robust cash position enhances financial stability, enabling strategic investments and providing a buffer against market volatility.
Strategic Project Deliveries
Delivering on strategic projects strengthens client relationships and market reputation, supporting long-term growth and competitive positioning.
Efficient Cash Generation
Efficient cash generation supports reinvestment in business operations and shareholder returns, enhancing long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Decreasing revenue growth may indicate market saturation or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future profitability and expansion.
Impact of Increased Tariffs
Higher tariffs can increase costs and reduce competitiveness, affecting pricing strategies and profit margins over the long term.
Challenges in Argentina
Operational challenges in key regions like Argentina can limit growth opportunities and strain resources, impacting overall business performance.

Tenaris SA (TS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenaris SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells seamless and welded steel tubular products; and provides related services for the oil and gas industry, and other industrial applications. The company offers steel casings, tubing products, mechanical and structural pipes, cold-drawn pipes, and premium joints and couplings; coiled tubing products for oil and gas drilling and workovers, and subsea pipelines; and umbilical tubing products; and tubular accessories. It also provides sucker rods, industrial equipment, heat exchangers, and utility conduits for buildings, as well as sells energy and raw materials. In addition, it offers financial services. The company operates in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Tenaris S.A. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Tenaris S.A. is a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.à r.l.
How the Company Makes MoneyTenaris generates revenue primarily through the sale of its steel pipe products to customers in the oil and gas industry. The company's revenue model is built on selling seamless and welded pipes, along with value-added services such as technical support and product customization. Key revenue streams include sales to exploration and production companies and to service companies that support these operations. Additionally, Tenaris benefits from long-term contracts with major oil companies, which provide stability and predictability in revenue. The company also engages in partnerships and alliances with other industry players to enhance its market reach and operational efficiency, contributing positively to its earnings.

Tenaris SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted sequential growth in sales and EBITDA, a strong cash position, and successful global project deliveries. However, these positives were offset by year-on-year sales decline, increased tariffs impacting market conditions, challenges in Argentina, and uncertainty in future sales and pricing due to tariffs. The sentiment is mixed with both positive achievements and significant challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Increase in Sales and EBITDA
Second quarter sales reached $3.1 billion, up 6% sequentially, and EBITDA increased by 5% sequentially to $733 million, with an EBITDA margin close to 24%.
Strong Free Cash Flow
The company generated $538 million in free cash flow for the quarter after a dividend payment of $600 million and share buybacks of $237 million.
Robust Financial Position
Net cash position amounted to $3.7 billion at the end of the quarter, highlighting a strong financial position.
Strategic Project Deliveries
Successful delivery of pipes and coatings to complex line pipe projects globally, including high-profile projects with Equinor, ConocoPhillips, Shell, Azule, and Chevron.
Positive Developments in Pemex
Pemex issued a $12 billion financing facility, potentially increasing operations and addressing supplier debt.
Negative Updates
Year-on-Year Sales Decline
Sales decreased by 7% year-on-year, primarily due to decreased drilling activity in several regions.
Impact of Increased Tariffs
Increase in U.S. Section 232 tariffs from 25% to 50% on steel imports has introduced market uncertainty and is expected to impact pricing and competitive environment.
Challenges in Argentina
Slow growth in the Vaca Muerta shale play due to financing challenges and reduced rig count in southern Argentina.
Reduced Offshore Pipeline Deliveries
Expected lower deliveries to offshore line pipe projects in the second half of 2025, with impacts on sales.
Uncertain Fourth Quarter Outlook
Uncertainty regarding the impact of tariffs on pricing and sales in the fourth quarter, with limited visibility on future trends.
Company Guidance
During the Tenaris S.A. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance that highlighted a complex outlook for the remainder of the year. Sales for the second quarter were reported at $3.1 billion, reflecting a 7% year-on-year decrease but a 6% sequential increase, primarily due to higher North American OCTG prices and stable volumes. The average selling prices in the Tubes segment fell 2% compared to the same quarter last year but rose 6% sequentially. EBITDA increased by 5% sequentially to $733 million, maintaining a margin close to 24%. Free cash flow stood at $538 million after accounting for an operating cash flow of $673 million and capital expenditure of $135 million. However, the company anticipates a high single-digit decline in sales for the third quarter, influenced by reduced invoicing in fracking operations and lower line pipe shipments. Other factors, such as increased U.S. Section 232 tariffs on steel imports, are expected to influence pricing and market dynamics, possibly affecting margin trends. The net cash position at the quarter's end was $3.7 billion, factoring in a $600 million dividend payment and $237 million in share buybacks. Looking ahead, Tenaris expects lower sales in the third quarter but remains cautious about the fourth quarter, anticipating some price adjustments in response to market conditions.

Tenaris SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tenaris SA exhibits strong profitability with robust gross and net profit margins. The balance sheet is healthy with low leverage and high equity ratio, though revenue growth is declining. Cash flows are strong but show a decline in growth rate, which could impact future investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tenaris SA has demonstrated strong income statement performance with robust gross and net profit margins. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is approximately 33.8%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin stands at 17%, showcasing profitability. However, there is a noticeable decline in revenue growth, from a high in 2023 to a decrease in 2025, which could indicate market saturation or competitive pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, underscoring low leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio is strong at 81.3%, pointing to a highly capitalized structure. Return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 12.1%, driven by solid net income, though slightly lower compared to previous years, suggesting potential areas for efficiency improvements.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Tenaris SA has been generating strong cash flows with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.95, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.29, highlighting good quality earnings. However, the free cash flow growth rate has seen a decline, which could impact future investment capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.81B12.52B14.87B11.76B6.52B5.15B
Gross Profit3.99B4.39B6.47B4.67B1.91B1.06B
EBITDA3.08B3.16B5.19B3.82B1.86B86.55M
Net Income2.01B2.04B3.92B2.55B1.10B-642.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.41B20.45B21.08B17.55B14.45B13.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.05B3.05B3.61B1.53B715.98M1.46B
Total Debt472.37M582.32M203.96M840.94M448.22M876.35M
Total Liabilities3.61B3.64B4.05B3.52B2.34B2.27B
Stockholders Equity16.58B16.59B16.84B13.91B11.96B11.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.90B2.16B3.78B769.87M-125.52M1.33B
Operating Cash Flow2.59B2.87B4.40B1.17B119.08M1.52B
Investing Cash Flow-494.05M-1.40B-2.69B-163.56M267.90M-2.09B
Financing Cash Flow-2.37B-2.40B-1.13B-178.34M-647.96M-375.32M

Tenaris SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price35.36
Price Trends
50DMA
35.97
Negative
100DMA
35.62
Negative
200DMA
35.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
42.72
Neutral
STOCH
30.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.41, below the 50-day MA of 35.97, and below the 200-day MA of 35.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TS.

Tenaris SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
16.25B18.7328.83%0.50%12.15%91.88%
78
Outperform
49.17B16.3117.22%1.80%2.13%54.69%
77
Outperform
20.84B11.4317.72%2.76%-4.08%-29.26%
74
Outperform
$18.92B9.4012.06%4.77%-12.06%-21.43%
71
Outperform
51.69B11.8620.16%3.27%0.94%-4.63%
70
Outperform
4.89B10.827.18%3.82%-1.21%-54.44%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TS
Tenaris SA
34.78
4.48
14.79%
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
50.52
15.16
42.87%
FTI
TechnipFMC
40.37
14.31
54.91%
HAL
Halliburton
25.11
-3.13
-11.08%
NOV
NOV
13.35
-2.01
-13.09%
SLB
Schlumberger
35.52
-5.20
-12.77%

Tenaris SA Corporate Events

Tenaris Completes First Tranche of Share Buyback Program
Aug 11, 2025

Tenaris S.A. announced the completion of the first tranche of its USD 1.2 billion Share Buyback Program, initiated on June 6, 2025. From August 4 to August 8, 2025, the company repurchased 3,813,885 ordinary shares for approximately USD 67.86 million. As of August 8, 2025, Tenaris held 26,534,450 ordinary shares in treasury, representing 2.48% of its total issued share capital, with plans to cancel these shares in due course.

Tenaris Completes First Tranche of Share Buyback Program
Aug 4, 2025

Tenaris S.A. announced the completion of the first tranche of its USD 1.2 billion Share Buyback Program, which was initially announced on June 6, 2025. Between July 28 and August 1, 2025, the company repurchased 1,692,262 ordinary shares for a total of €26,477,016 (approximately USD 30,459,724). As of August 1, 2025, Tenaris held 22,720,565 ordinary shares in treasury, representing 2.12% of its total issued share capital. The company plans to cancel these treasury shares in due course, potentially impacting its share value and market positioning.

Tenaris S.A. Releases 2025 Half-Year Financial Report
Aug 1, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Tenaris S.A. released its half-year report for 2025, detailing its financial performance and management’s insights for the first half of the year. The report, prepared in compliance with Luxembourg’s transparency laws, highlights the company’s adherence to International Financial Reporting Standards and includes unaudited consolidated financial statements. The report also discusses the company’s strategic focus on adapting to energy transitions and potential growth through acquisitions and joint ventures. This release provides stakeholders with a comprehensive view of Tenaris’s current financial health and strategic direction, emphasizing its commitment to maintaining a robust market position amid evolving industry dynamics.

Tenaris S.A. Discusses Q2 2025 Results and Market Outlook
Aug 1, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Tenaris S.A. held a conference call with investors and analysts to discuss its second quarter results, market conditions, and future outlook. The discussion, led by CEO Paolo Rocca and senior management, highlighted the company’s performance and strategic positioning within the steel pipe and oil and gas industries, providing insights into market trends and economic conditions impacting its operations.

Tenaris S.A. Reports Decrease in Sales for First Half of 2025
Aug 1, 2025

Tenaris S.A. has released its consolidated condensed interim financial statements for the six-month period ending June 30, 2025. The report highlights a decrease in net sales compared to the previous year, with a total of $6,007,884 thousand in 2025, down from $6,763,221 thousand in 2024. Despite the decline in sales, the company achieved a net income of $1,059,570 thousand for the period, indicating a slight decrease from the $1,098,451 thousand reported in the same period last year. These financial results reflect the company’s ongoing challenges in maintaining sales growth amidst fluctuating market conditions.

Tenaris Reports Q2 2025 Results with Increased Sales and Cash Flow
Jul 31, 2025

Tenaris S.A. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing a 6% increase in net sales compared to the first quarter, driven by higher North American OCTG prices. Despite a rise in sales costs, EBITDA and net income improved, maintaining stable margins. The company generated $538 million in free cash flow, which was used for dividends and share buybacks, resulting in a net cash position of $3.7 billion as of June 30, 2025. Looking ahead, Tenaris anticipates a moderate decline in sales for the second half of the year due to reduced drilling activity and increased tariff costs. The company expects U.S. OCTG imports to decrease and prices to rise following recent tariff hikes on steel imports.

Tenaris Completes First Tranche of Share Buyback Program
Jul 7, 2025

Tenaris S.A. announced the completion of the first tranche of its USD 1.2 billion Share Buyback Program, which was initially announced on June 6, 2025. From June 30 to July 4, 2025, the company repurchased 1,702,505 ordinary shares for a total of €27,200,630, equivalent to USD 31,975,944. As of July 4, 2025, Tenaris held 15,396,773 ordinary shares in treasury, representing 1.44% of its total issued share capital. The company plans to cancel these treasury shares in due course, which may impact its share capital structure and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2025