TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Track Group (TRCK) AI Stock Analysis

TRCK

Track Group

(Other OTC:TRCK)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:$0.45▼(-1.33% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/10/26

Track Group's moderate overall score is anchored by fundamental improvements in its capital structure, including massive debt reduction, strong positive cash flow generation, and strategic corporate reorganizations. However, the stock's upside is currently limited by contracting top-line revenue, short-term bearish technical momentum, and a valuation multiple distorted by one-time profitability spikes.

Positive Factors
Positive cash generationTTM operating cash flow of approximately $5.7M and free cash flow of $4.4M show the business is currently converting operations into cash. This provides internal funding for device support, software delivery and contract execution, improving resilience versus earlier periods with negative free cash flow.
Negative Factors
Thin core profitabilityCore profitability remains fragile despite the headline net-income rebound. Revenue declined about 1.7% and EBIT margin stayed below 1%, while losses in 2022–2025 indicate that earnings have not yet demonstrated consistent operating durability. This limits dependable reinvestment and lowers resilience if contract growth slows.

Track Group (TRCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%TRCK+67.04%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$19.01M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
23.31K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
0.8
Beta (1Y)
1.47
Revenue Growth
1.10%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
91
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Hardware, Equipment & Parts

Track Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Track Group, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, specializes in the development, production, and global distribution of advanced location tracking devices. Its diverse product portfolio encompasses hardware solutions like the ReliAlert XC4, a GPS moni...

How the Company Makes Money

Track Group primarily makes money by selling and servicing electronic monitoring programs for government and justice-system customers. Revenue is generally generated through (a) fees for monitoring services (often priced per enrolled/monitored indivi...

Track Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Track Group has executed a successful balance sheet restructuring, cutting debt significantly and restoring positive equity while generating a robust $4.36 million in trailing free cash flow. However, the score is restrained by ongoing revenue contraction and razor-thin core operating margins, indicating the recent bottom-line surge is largely driven by non-operating items.

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

75Positive

Cash Flow

80Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue36.25M35.22M36.89M34.48M36.97M39.66M
Gross Profit16.32M16.80M16.60M15.30M17.35M21.11M
EBITDA4.41M4.43M2.88M4.02M780.13K10.65M
Net Income21.46M-1.88M-3.08M-3.39M-7.39M3.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.88M40.30M37.67M40.24M44.68M53.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.39M4.10M3.57M4.06M5.31M8.42M
Total Debt18.91M43.45M42.95M43.51M44.01M44.14M
Total Liabilities26.49M51.85M49.28M48.74M49.74M51.15M
Stockholders Equity16.40M-11.54M-11.61M-8.49M-5.05M2.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.36M1.38M3.09M-687.40K-2.26M314.49K
Operating Cash Flow5.71M4.27M4.91M3.88M802.96K4.82M
Investing Cash Flow-5.38M-4.38M-3.84M-4.56M-3.06M-4.51M
Financing Cash Flow3.18M-11.40K-365.07K-511.47K-515.50K1.38M

Track Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.45

Price Trends

50DMA0.51Negative
100DMA0.58Negative
200DMA0.54Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Negative
RSI40.49Neutral
STOCH41.49Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRCK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.47, below the 50-day MA of 0.51, and below the 200-day MA of 0.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TRCK.

Track Group Risk Analysis

Track Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Track Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Track Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TRCK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TRCKTRCK62Neutral$18.64M0.76-446.20%―1.10%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
WATTWATT46Neutral$50.63M-3.19-29.36%―430.52%90.43%
SOBRSOBR38Underperform$355.56K-0.04-310.87%―17.67%92.17%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%200%300%TRCKWATTIMTESOBROSTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TRCK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TRCKTrack Group 0.450.1867.04%
WATTEnergous Corp.9.161.8425.14%
IMTEIntegrated Media Technology0.45-0.41-47.91%
SOBRSobr Safe, Inc.0.07-3.04-97.88%
OSTOstin Technology Group Co., Ltd.1.700.000.00%

Track Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Track Group Forms New Holding Subsidiary for Financing

Positive
Aug 24, 2026

On August 18, 2026, Track Group, Inc. formed Track Group Holdings, LLC as a wholly owned subsidiary and contributed all of its equity interests in Track Group Americas, Track Group Analytics, Track Group – Puerto Rico, and Emerge Monitoring to...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2026