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Tapestry (TPR)
NYSE:TPR
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Tapestry (TPR) AI Stock Analysis

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TPR

Tapestry

(NYSE:TPR)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$125.00
▲(8.79% Upside)
Tapestry's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting robust performance and growth prospects, particularly for the Coach brand. However, high leverage and a very high P/E ratio suggest financial risks and potential overvaluation. The company's strategic focus on marketing and brand building is promising, but challenges with Kate Spade and tariff pressures remain significant concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Tapestry's consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective brand strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances Tapestry's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders, bolstering financial health.
Operating Margin Expansion
Projected operating margin expansion reflects improved operational efficiency and cost management, strengthening Tapestry's profitability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage could constrain Tapestry's financial flexibility, increasing risk in economic downturns and limiting investment capacity.
Kate Spade Underperformance
Underperformance of Kate Spade indicates brand-specific challenges, potentially impacting overall company growth and profitability.
Tariff Impact
Tariff-related cost pressures could erode margins and profitability, posing a long-term challenge to Tapestry's cost structure.

Tapestry (TPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tapestry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTapestry, Inc. is a leading American luxury fashion holding company that owns and operates a portfolio of prestigious brands, including Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. Established in 2017, Tapestry focuses on providing high-quality, innovative products across various sectors in the fashion industry, including handbags, accessories, footwear, and apparel. The company emphasizes a commitment to craftsmanship, sustainability, and customer experience, targeting affluent consumers in both domestic and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyTapestry generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury handbags, accessories, and footwear across its brand portfolio. The company operates through a multi-channel approach, including direct-to-consumer sales through its retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. Key revenue streams include full-price sales, promotional sales, and outlet sales. Tapestry also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance brand visibility and drive customer engagement. Additionally, the company focuses on expanding its global presence, particularly in emerging markets, which contributes to its earnings growth.

Tapestry Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Brand
Revenue by Brand
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Tapestry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Tapestry reported strong financial performance with record revenue and earnings, particularly driven by the Coach brand. However, challenges remain, particularly with the underperformance of Kate Spade and significant tariff-related cost pressures.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Year for Tapestry
Tapestry delivered $7 billion in revenue with a 20% operating margin and $5.10 in adjusted EPS, growing meaningfully versus the prior year.
Coach Brand Performance
Coach achieved a 10% increase in revenue, with fourth-quarter constant currency top-line gains of 13% and double-digit growth across key markets: North America up 16%, China up 22%, and Europe up 12%.
Strong New Customer Acquisition
Tapestry acquired over 6.8 million new customers in North America during the year, with Coach welcoming over 4.6 million new customers in North America alone.
Operating Margin Expansion
The company delivered a record fourth-quarter gross margin of 76.3%, 140 basis points above the prior year.
Negative Updates
Kate Spade Underperformance
Kate Spade's revenue decreased by 13% during the fourth quarter, and the brand is undergoing a strategic reset for durable growth.
Impact of Tariffs
Tapestry faces a significant $160 million profit headwind from tariffs, representing approximately 230 basis points of margin pressure.
Noncash Impairment Charge
Tapestry recorded a noncash impairment charge of over $850 million related to Kate Spade, influenced by tariffs and incremental investments.
Company Guidance
During the conference call, Tapestry provided a comprehensive overview of its fiscal year 2025 performance and guidance for fiscal year 2026, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported a total revenue of $7 billion, with an operating margin of 20% and an adjusted EPS of $5.10, reflecting significant growth from the previous year. Additionally, Tapestry achieved its target of over $5 in earnings and returned more than $3 billion to shareholders, emphasizing its commitment to delivering best-in-class total returns. The company also noted strong customer acquisition, particularly among Gen Z and millennials, with over 6.8 million new customers in North America. For fiscal year 2026, Tapestry expects revenue to approach $7.2 billion, driven by mid-single-digit growth across key regions, and anticipates EPS growth of 4% to 7%, despite $160 million in tariff-related headwinds. The company plans to return over $1 billion to shareholders and make significant investments in marketing and brand building, particularly for its Coach and Kate Spade brands.

Tapestry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tapestry shows stable revenue growth and strong gross profit margins, but faces challenges in profitability and leverage. High debt levels pose a risk, although cash flow generation remains robust. Improvement in operational efficiency and leverage reduction are needed.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tapestry's income statement shows a stable revenue growth rate of 1.92% in the latest year, with a strong gross profit margin of 75.44%. However, the net profit margin has significantly decreased to 2.61% from 12.23% the previous year, indicating a decline in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.55, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity has decreased to 21.36%, showing reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the high leverage suggests a lower proportion of equity in the asset base.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 22.61%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.78, suggesting good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.01B7.01B7.01B6.67B6.67B6.66B
Gross Profit5.29B5.29B5.29B4.89B4.89B4.71B
EBITDA526.40M526.40M526.40M1.37B1.37B1.39B
Net Income183.20M183.20M183.20M816.00M816.00M936.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.58B6.58B6.58B13.40B13.40B7.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.12B1.12B1.12B7.20B7.20B741.50M
Total Debt3.90B3.90B3.90B8.76B8.76B3.29B
Total Liabilities5.72B5.72B5.72B10.50B10.50B4.84B
Stockholders Equity857.80M857.80M857.80M2.90B2.90B2.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.09B1.09B1.09B1.15B1.15B791.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.22B1.22B1.22B1.26B1.26B975.20M
Investing Cash Flow914.00M914.00M914.00M-1.04B-1.04B5.70M
Financing Cash Flow-7.18B-7.18B-7.18B5.21B5.21B-1.04B

Tapestry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price114.90
Price Trends
50DMA
109.10
Positive
100DMA
102.39
Positive
200DMA
88.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.60
Positive
RSI
53.24
Neutral
STOCH
54.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 114.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.85, above the 50-day MA of 109.10, and above the 200-day MA of 88.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPR.

Tapestry Risk Analysis

Tapestry disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tapestry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tapestry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.28B35.076.82%1.20%-1.63%-72.22%
64
Neutral
$23.78B139.549.76%1.26%5.09%-80.06%
63
Neutral
$741.81M1.8261.33%51.76%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$1.36B12.68%62.96%
51
Neutral
$125.32M-35.01%-15.35%61.40%
46
Neutral
$2.67B-142.38%-16.69%-279.61%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPR
Tapestry
114.71
65.14
131.41%
FOSL
Fossil Group
2.36
1.25
112.61%
CPRI
Capri Holdings
22.27
0.88
4.11%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
104.54
13.36
14.65%
REAL
RealReal
12.09
9.11
305.70%
LUXE
LuxExperience
9.19
2.10
29.62%

Tapestry Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tapestry Board Member JP Bilbrey to Step Down
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

John P. (JP) Bilbrey, a member of the Board of Directors of Tapestry, Inc., announced on September 16, 2025, that he will not seek re-election at the company’s annual meeting of stockholders on November 13, 2025. His decision is not due to any disagreement with the company, and he will continue to serve on the board until the meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPR) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tapestry stock, see the TPR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Tapestry Announces $3 Billion Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Tapestry, Inc. announced a new $3 billion share repurchase authorization, replacing the existing program from November 2021. The company also introduced its ‘Amplify’ growth strategy during its Investor Day, aiming for mid-single-digit revenue growth and significant shareholder returns through 2028. Tapestry plans to return $4 billion to shareholders via share repurchases and dividends, supported by robust free cash flow, and targets operational improvements, including expanding operating margins and achieving double-digit earnings growth by fiscal 2028.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPR) stock is a Hold with a $104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tapestry stock, see the TPR Stock Forecast page.

Tapestry’s Earnings Call: Record Revenue Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Tapestry’s latest earnings call revealed a strong financial performance, marked by record revenue and earnings, largely driven by the success of the Coach brand. However, the company faces challenges, including the underperformance of Kate Spade and significant cost pressures from tariffs.

Tapestry Reports Record Revenue and Growth in Fiscal 2025
Aug 15, 2025

Tapestry, Inc. is a global house of iconic accessories and lifestyle brands, including Coach and Kate Spade, known for their commitment to innovation and authenticity in the fashion industry. The company recently reported its fiscal 2025 fourth quarter and full year results, highlighting record revenues and significant growth in its Coach brand. Tapestry achieved a record fourth quarter revenue of $1.7 billion, an 8% increase from the previous year, and a record annual revenue of $7.0 billion, driven by a 10% growth in the Coach brand. The company also expanded its gross margin by 210 basis points and returned $2.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Looking forward, Tapestry anticipates continued revenue and earnings growth in fiscal 2026, despite potential impacts from tariff and trade policies, positioning itself for long-term growth and increased shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025