TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) AI Stock Analysis

TMDE

TMD Energy Limited

(NYSE MKT:TMDE)

Select Model
Rating:28Underperform
Price Target:$0.55â–¼(-3.68% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/01/26

TMDE scores poorly, driven primarily by severely distressed financials: a collapse in revenue, negative gross and net margins, and an almost fully eroded equity base against roughly $21.3M of debt, leaving leverage near 33x and real solvency risk. Technicals reinforce the caution, with the stock trading well below its 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages and a negative MACD, though momentum oscillators have flattened into neutral territory. Valuation provides no offset, as the company is loss-making (negative P/E) and pays no dividend. The one constructive element is the return to positive operating and free cash flow alongside a meaningful debt reduction, but this is not yet enough to offset the structural weakness in the business.

Positive Factors
Marine-fuel value-chain positionTMD Energy operates across marine-fuel trading, procurement, logistics, and delivery, giving it an integrated role in the downstream bunkering chain. This established specialization can support customer relationships and recurring commercial activity as ship operators continue requiring dependable fuel access.
Negative Factors
Sharp profitability deteriorationThe latest results show a substantial weakening in both revenue and profitability, with gross margin compressed to 0.57% and a much larger net loss. Persistently thin margins would reduce reinvestment capacity and make earnings highly sensitive to costs, spreads, and demand.

TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%0%100%200%300%400%500%TMDE-9.40%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$14.54M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
98.33K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.9
Beta (1Y)
-2.27
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
66
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Oil & Gas Midstream

TMD Energy Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TMD Energy Limited, an investment holding entity, centers its operations on delivering marine fuel bunkering solutions across key Southeast Asian and East Asian maritime hubs, specifically Hong Kong, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, and Vietnam. The c...

TMD Energy Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are very weak. Revenue has collapsed and profitability flipped from razor-thin margins to losses that extend all the way to the gross profit line (-$0.4M gross profit, -$3.2M operating, -$4.6M net). The balance sheet is the biggest concern: shareholders' equity has been nearly wiped out at $0.6M against roughly $21.3M of debt, implying leverage near 33x and deeply negative return on equity. The only meaningful positive is a return to positive operating cash flow (~$2.6M) and free cash flow (~$1.8M) after a heavy 2024 cash burn, plus a sizeable reduction in total debt. Until margins stabilize and equity is rebuilt, solvency and execution risk remain elevated.

Income Statement

15Very Negative

Balance Sheet

12Very Negative

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue137.93M133.31M688.61M633.08M702.10M
Gross Profit2.14M-428.90K16.04M12.09M13.26M
EBITDA2.02M-1.96M12.85M10.21M8.22M
Net Income-750.19K-4.56M1.88M2.00M2.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets124.94M30.69M110.10M104.40M81.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.06M978.73K16.07M4.83M11.27M
Total Debt92.44M21.30M79.86M24.76M28.35M
Total Liabilities102.33M29.92M90.96M82.18M61.89M
Stockholders Equity21.59M638.18K17.88M17.45M16.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.98M1.82M-28.04M-2.50M-6.09M
Operating Cash Flow-1.04M2.59M-24.29M654.22K518.56K
Investing Cash Flow-2.34M-1.08M-3.76M-3.15M-6.61M
Financing Cash Flow3.53M-2.32M38.66M-2.49M8.05M

TMD Energy Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.57

Price Trends

50DMA0.67Negative
100DMA0.74Negative
200DMA0.95Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Negative
RSI49.29Neutral
STOCH44.92Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TMDE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.61, below the 50-day MA of 0.67, and below the 200-day MA of 0.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TMDE.

TMD Energy Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TMDE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PARRPARR78Outperform$3.82B4.4057.75%―13.19%―
CAPLCAPL59Neutral$859.28M15.85-72.93%9.33%0.29%21.69%
WKCWKC56Neutral$1.91B-12.79-13.12%2.30%21.07%62.41%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
CLNECLNE51Neutral$317.44M-3.30-16.68%―4.50%52.98%
AMTXAMTX44Neutral$90.21M-1.3719.17%―2.95%43.31%
TMDETMDE28Underperform$14.54M-4.90-242.97%―――

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%TMDECLNEWKCCAPLPARRAMTXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TMDE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TMDETMD Energy Limited0.62-0.04-6.52%
CLNEClean Energy Fuels1.44-1.34-48.20%
WKCWorld Kinect Corporation37.3412.3149.18%
CAPLCrossamerica Partners LP22.513.8720.77%
PARRPar Pacific Holdings76.2435.7188.11%
AMTXAemetis Inc1.25-0.81-39.32%

TMD Energy Limited Corporate Events

TMD Energy Adopts Cayman Governance Practices Under NYSE Home Country Exemption

Oct 29, 2026

On October 29, 2026, TMD Energy Limited disclosed that it is relying on the NYSE American’s home country practice exemption to follow Cayman Islands corporate governance rules in place of certain U.S. exchange requirements. The move covers area...

TMD Energy Posts Sharp Profit Decline as FY2026 Net Loss Widens to $19.1 Million

Oct 29, 2026

On October 29, 2026, TMD Energy Limited reported audited results for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026, showing that total revenue fell 10.2% to about $545 million amid weaker bunkering demand driven by tariff-related trade disruptions and geopolit...

TMD Energy Shareholders Approve Dual-Class Structure and Board Slate at 2026 AGM

Oct 7, 2026

On October 7, 2026, TMD Energy Limited held its 2026 Annual General Meeting in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia, where shareholders approved a redesignation of the company’s authorized share capital into dual-class shares comprising 400 million Class A...

TMD Energy Sets October 7, 2026 Shareholder Meeting to Restructure Share Capital

Sep 10, 2026

On September 10, 2026, TMD Energy Limited announced it will hold its annual general meeting of shareholders in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia, on October 7, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Malaysia time. Shareholders of record as of August 28, 2026 will be eligible to...

TMD Energy Issues RM212.8 Million Corporate Guarantee for Malaysian Islamic Financing

Aug 11, 2026

On August 11, 2026, TMD Energy Limited executed a corporate letter of guarantee in favor of Malaysia’s MBSB Bank Berhad to support additional requirements on existing Islamic financing facilities totaling up to RM212.8 million (about US$52 mill...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2026