T1 Energy AI Stock Analysis
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T1 Energy (TE) AI Stock Analysis
T1 Energy
(NYSE:TE)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (large losses, high leverage, and a return to significant free-cash-flow burn) and bearish technicals (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD). The earnings call provides some offset via improving operational execution, stronger margin trends, and better contract coverage, but near-term funding needs and reliance on a nonrecurring EBITDA benefit keep risk elevated; valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no indicated dividend.
T1 Energy (TE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $637.93M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 20.08M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -1.0
- Beta (1Y)
- 2.30
- Revenue Growth
- 426.99%
- EPS Growth
- 36.20%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 562
- Sector
- Industrials
- Sector Strength
- 63
- Industry
- Electrical Equipment & Parts
T1 Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
T1 Energy Inc specializes in the creation and distribution of battery cells, catering to diverse sectors including stationary power storage, electric vehicles, and maritime applications. The company operates globally, with a strong presence across Eu...
T1 Energy Earnings Call Summary
The call presented meaningful operational and strategic progress: strong Q2 module production (935 MW), a 300 bps gross margin improvement, significant commercial validation (641 MW Clearway offtake plus 900 MW Treaty Oak and ~3 GW contract coverage for 2026), steady G2_Austin construction with first cell production expected Q1 2027, and accretive IP and business acquisitions (TOPCon IP and KORE/T1 NRI). At the same time, the company faces nontrivial near-term challenges including dependence on a $24M one-time tariff refund in Q2 adjusted EBITDA, increased SG&A/legal costs, a modest cash balance ($149M) versus remaining Phase 1 CapEx ($200M–$250M), and delays/uncertainty around the comprehensive financing solution and Section 232 implementation mechanics. Overall, the company has clear execution momentum and market validation but still must close financing and manage short-term liquidity and legal/implementation risks.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated full‑year 2026 production guidance of 3.1–4.2 GW and said it now expects results near the high end of that range, after producing 935 MW of modules in 2Q26; Q2 gross margin was 19.5% (up ~300 bps vs. 1Q) and adjusted EBITDA was $10.7M (inclusive of a $24M nonrecurring IEEPA refund received after quarter end). T1 is advancing G2_Austin Phase 1 (2.1 GW) with first cell production targeted in Q1 2027, steel topping out in August, main building completion in Q4 and production‑line installation starting in Q4, and it continues to plan optional Phase 2 expansion toward ~5 GW; the company targets Phase 1 run‑rate revenue of $375–$450M and a matched 5 GW run‑rate of $650–$700M. Financially, cash and equivalents were $149M at quarter end and management completed a $120M private placement of convertible notes (due 2031) as a bridge while pursuing a comprehensive financing (expected to include a significant debt component) to fund remaining Phase 1 CapEx (estimated $200–$250M). Commercially, T1 has roughly 3 GW of contract coverage for 2026, announced a 641 MW Clearway offtake and a 900 MW Treaty Oak contract, and said Q3/Q4 run rates and adjusted EBITDA should exceed 2Q levels with further improvement into 2027 as G2 ramps.
T1 Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong revenue ramp and continued TTM growth, but profitability and cash generation are weak: low TTM gross margin (~8.3%), deeply negative TTM net margin (~-38.5%), rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.83), and a sharp deterioration to deeply negative TTM free cash flow (~-$184.8M) versus positive 2025 FCF.
Income Statement
22NegativeBalance Sheet
29NegativeCash Flow
18Very Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 996.85M | 755.29M | 2.94M | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gross Profit | 83.22M | 55.58M | 1.23M | 0 | -478.00K | -120.00K |
| EBITDA | -194.72M | -210.34M | -69.94M | -14.86M | -98.64M | -93.25M |
| Net Income | -383.64M | -367.83M | -450.15M | -71.94M | -98.79M | -93.38M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.64B | 1.37B | 1.34B | 732.90M | 828.44M | 627.03M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 79.11M | 182.45M | 72.64M | 254.31M | 563.04M | 563.96M |
| Total Debt | 778.50M | 327.19M | 713.38M | 0 | 14.40M | 0 |
| Total Liabilities | 1.37B | 1.05B | 1.10B | 98.19M | 108.31M | 81.55M |
| Stockholders Equity | 275.27M | 321.88M | 237.14M | 633.20M | 717.46M | 545.49M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -184.81M | 16.66M | -153.65M | -275.75M | -270.80M | -76.91M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 3.87M | 95.46M | -102.82M | -87.93M | -90.01M | -63.14M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -202.27M | -32.60M | -137.73M | -186.98M | -175.03M | -33.79M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 307.68M | 129.92M | 45.87M | 0 | 250.07M | 649.00M |
T1 Energy Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.48, below the 50-day MA of 3.40, and below the 200-day MA of 5.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TE.
T1 Energy Risk Analysis
T1 Energy disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. T1 Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksT1 Energy Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
AMSC75Outperform
BE67Neutral
NRGV55Neutral
FCEL48Neutral- TE43Neutral
EOSE42Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMSC | 75Outperform | $1.23B | 8.45 | 24.00% | ― | 31.08% | 701.97% |
| BE | 67Neutral | $54.82B | 117.41 | 39.60% | ― | 110.59% | 2341.67% |
| Sector * | 63Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
| NRGV | 55Neutral | $641.89M | -5.95 | -480.80% | ― | 145.27% | 31.27% |
| FCEL | 48Neutral | $821.93M | -3.19 | -22.15% | ― | 1.09% | 62.70% |
| TE | 43Neutral | $619.96M | -0.99 | -144.49% | ― | 426.99% | 36.20% |
| EOSE | 42Neutral | $637.47M | 1.93 | -71.95% | ― | 319.91% | ― |
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | T1 Energy Inc. | 2.13 | -1.36 | -38.97% | |
| AMSC | American Superconductor Corporation | 25.77 | -7.86 | -23.37% | |
| FCEL | Fuelcell Energy | 10.95 | 3.91 | 55.54% | |
| BE | Bloom Energy | 209.47 | 105.92 | 102.29% | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises, Inc. | 1.99 | -13.21 | -86.91% | |
| NRGV | Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. | 3.87 | 0.76 | 24.44% |
T1 Energy Corporate Events
T1 Energy Files Resale Prospectus for Convertible Notes
NeutralOn January 21, 2026, T1 Energy filed an automatic shelf registration statement with the SEC, and on October 30, 2026 it added a resale prospectus supplement covering common shares issuable from an additional $50 million of 4.75% Convertible Senior No...
T1 Energy Issues Shares for Intellectual Property Acquisition
NeutralOn July 28, 2026, T1 Energy Inc. entered an intellectual property purchase agreement with Evervolt Green Energy Holding Pte. Ltd., following a call option exercised under a July 27, 2026 letter agreement. The deal covers Evervolt’s rights in specifie...
T1 Energy Registers Evervolt Share Resale Prospectus
NeutralOn January 21, 2026, T1 Energy Inc. filed an automatic shelf registration statement with the SEC, and on October 6, 2026, it filed a prospectus supplement covering the potential resale of 7,246,377 shares of its common stock by Evervolt Green Energy...
T1 Energy Raises Capital for G2 Austin Solar Expansion
PositiveT1 Energy Inc. operates in the energy sector with a strategic focus on solar manufacturing, centering current investment on Phase 1 of its G2_Austin solar cell fabrication facility. The company is expanding production infrastructure and acquiring spe...
T1 Energy Files Prospectus for Convertible Notes Share Resale
NeutralOn January 21, 2026, T1 Energy Inc. filed an automatic shelf registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and on August 28, 2026, it submitted a prospectus supplement to register for resale up to 32,258,059 shares of common sto...
T1 Energy Advances U.S. Solar Supply Chain Strategy
PositiveT1 Energy reported second-quarter 2026 net sales of $250.1 million, a net loss from continuing operations of $36.9 million and adjusted EBITDA of $10.7 million, aided by $24.4 million in tariff refunds, while ending June 30 with $156.4 million in cas...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026