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Sumco
(OTC:SUOPY)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▼(-11.55% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance, with compressed margins, a recent net loss, and sustained negative free cash flow alongside higher leverage. Technical indicators are mixed with subdued momentum, offering only modest support. Valuation is also hindered by a negative P/E, reflecting the current loss-making profile.
Positive Factors
Strategic Wafer Position
A global customer base across IDMs and foundries, combined with exposure to 300mm and epitaxial wafers, gives SUMCO a strategically important role in semiconductor production. These substrate products can support durable demand as chipmakers expand advanced and high-volume capacity.
Negative Factors
Margin and Profitability Pressure
Gross margin fell from about 33% in 2022 to about 12% in 2025, while the company moved to a net loss and negative operating profit. This deterioration materially weakens earnings resilience and makes sustained profitability more dependent on a cyclical recovery.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strategic Wafer Position
A global customer base across IDMs and foundries, combined with exposure to 300mm and epitaxial wafers, gives SUMCO a strategically important role in semiconductor production. These substrate products can support durable demand as chipmakers expand advanced and high-volume capacity.
Read all positive factors
Sumco (SUOPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$7.97B
Dividend Yield0.44%
Average Volume (3M)2.35K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.80
Revenue Growth0.55%
EPS Growth-361.99%
CountryUS
Employees9,714
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySemiconductors
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-161.60
Shares Outstanding175,083,620
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume2,347
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.24
Price to Book (P/B)0.84
Price to Sales (P/S)1.13
P/FCF Ratio-42.24
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.34
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.03
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit0.30
Enterprise Value/Ebitda0.10
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Sumco Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Sumco Corporation, operating globally alongside its affiliated entities, manufactures and distributes silicon wafers that are crucial for the semiconductor industry. Its primary sales territories encompass Japan, the United States, China, Taiwan, ...
How the Company Makes Money
SUMCO primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling silicon wafers to semiconductor manufacturers. Its core revenue stream is product sales of silicon wafers—especially 300mm wafers used in advanced, high-volume semiconductor production—where...
Sumco Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed picture: operational and cash-generation strengths (stable EBITDA, JPY 100b operating cash flow, material CapEx reduction, full-year operating profit) and clear execution/market headwinds (Q4 and full-year net losses, sharply higher depreciation, product-mix pressure, structural 200mm decline, legacy inventory overhang and near-term guidance for Q1 losses). Management is constructive on longer-term AI-driven demand and leading-edge positioning but warns of near-term inventory normalization and NAND capacity lag.Positive Updates
Beat on Q4 Sales and Forecast
Q4 sales of JPY 105.2 billion, up JPY 6.1 billion Q-on-Q (≈+6.2% from JPY 99.1b). Sales overshot forecast by JPY 5.0 billion due to late arrival of goods and positive FX.
Negative Updates
Q4 and Q1 Profitability Weakness
Q4 operating profit was negative JPY 4.5 billion, ordinary loss JPY 5.9 billion and net loss attributable JPY 10.8 billion. Q1 guidance projects sales JPY 100 billion and an operating loss of JPY 6.0 billion with a net loss attributable of JPY 10.0 billion.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Beat on Q4 Sales and Forecast
Q4 sales of JPY 105.2 billion, up JPY 6.1 billion Q-on-Q (≈+6.2% from JPY 99.1b). Sales overshot forecast by JPY 5.0 billion due to late arrival of goods and positive FX.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q1 with sales of JPY 100.0 billion, an operating loss of JPY 6.0 billion, an ordinary loss of JPY 10.0 billion and a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of JPY 10.0 billion, assuming FX of JPY 155/USD; they said Q1 operating losses widen JPY 1.5 billion Q‑on‑Q (sales down from JPY 105.2b to JPY 100.0b), driven by periodic plant maintenance and one‑off maintenance costs, costs rising JPY 2.1 billion Q‑on‑Q and depreciation declining JPY 4.3 billion Q‑on‑Q. For the full year ended Dec‑2025 they reported sales JPY 409.6 billion, operating profit JPY 1.3 billion, ordinary loss JPY 3.8 billion, net loss attributable JPY 11.7 billion, EBITDA JPY 112.4 billion, total CapEx JPY 79.9 billion (down from JPY 214.9b in 2024), depreciation JPY 115.6 billion (up JPY 36.7b YoY) and free cash flow negative JPY 11.4 billion after operating cash flow JPY 100.0 billion and investing outflow JPY 111.4 billion; balance sheet metrics include total assets JPY 1,127.9 billion, liabilities JPY 480.2 billion, equity‑to‑asset ratio 51.3% and gross D/E 0.61x, and the board set a fiscal year‑end dividend of JPY 10 per share. Management expects structural declines in 200‑mm (‑21% in 2023, ‑13% in 2024, ‑4% in 2025) but recovery in 300‑mm (‑11% in 2023, +2% in 2024, +9% in 2025), forecasts wafer consumption to grow from this year into next as NAND/DRAM capacity ramps (DRAM AI demand ~500–600k wafers/month today rising to ~1.5m over 3–4 years, NAND inference demand ~200k wafers/month), and said customer capacity additions will take ~12 months with leading‑edge wafer increases expected in H2 when the new plant comes online.Sumco Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 424.80B | 429.53B | 396.62B | 425.94B | 441.08B | 335.67B |
| Gross Profit | 35.19B | 52.33B | 72.73B | 108.25B | 143.35B | 80.12B |
| EBITDA | 108.35B | 117.89B | 113.25B | 144.66B | 169.53B | 104.33B |
| Net Income | -28.15B | -12.32B | 19.88B | 63.88B | 70.20B | 41.12B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.14T | 1.13T | 1.17T | 1.07T | 892.55B | 764.82B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 111.77B | 75.35B | 95.67B | 156.35B | 259.31B | 224.67B |
| Total Debt | 367.34B | 354.10B | 353.95B | 224.45B | 141.38B | 141.07B |
| Total Liabilities | 495.62B | 480.51B | 515.45B | 437.56B | 301.07B | 241.98B |
| Stockholders Equity | 568.16B | 578.77B | 592.11B | 572.15B | 533.55B | 476.15B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -11.53B | -177.62B | -160.57B | 54.01B | 36.92B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 104.89B | 69.63B | 96.34B | 179.46B | 104.71B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -116.85B | -247.88B | -247.68B | -126.35B | -67.34B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -9.15B | 112.29B | 43.46B | -23.15B | 99.10B |
Sumco Technical Analysis
Positive
42.96
Price Trends
42.00
Positive
45.70
Negative
34.25
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.03
Negative
63.74
Neutral
100.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUOPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.57, above the 50-day MA of 42.00, and above the 200-day MA of 34.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SUOPY.
Sumco Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $3.51B | 149.78 | 2.62% | ― | -2.52% | -64.30% | |
62 Neutral | $5.63B | 3,592.89 | 1.00% | ― | 45.81% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
61 Neutral | $25.44B | 83.24 | 7.61% | 0.24% | 3.19% | 2.73% | |
50 Neutral | $744.33M | -3.89 | -4.38% | ― | -6.25% | 51.32% | |
49 Neutral | $7.97B | -45.25 | -4.82% | 0.44% | 0.55% | -361.99% | |
48 Neutral | $1.87B | -1.73 | -282.74% | <0.01% | -12.21% | -39.87% |
* Technology Sector Average
SUOPY
Sumco
45.51
22.53
98.07%
AXTI
AXT
85.87
80.47
1490.19%
DQ
Daqo New Energy
11.00
-17.19
-60.98%
ENTG
Entegris
166.47
66.56
66.61%
VECO
Veeco
57.38
26.52
85.94%
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc
35.28
9.11
34.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.