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Spruce Power Holding (SPRU) AI Stock Analysis

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SPRU

Spruce Power Holding

(NYSE:SPRU)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:$1.50▲(5.63% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/13/26

Spruce Power Holding's overall score is heavily weighed down by a highly leveraged balance sheet, active going concern risks, and a prevailing technical downtrend. While the company has executed a striking structural turnaround with significant cost reductions and a return to positive free cash flow, its massive debt burden and negative trailing valuation metrics require a successful refinancing execution before long-term stability can be realized.

Positive Factors
Operating cost reductionSustained reductions in SG&A and broader operating expenses can improve cash conversion and operating resilience. The combination of a lower cost base, staffing reductions and higher adjusted operating cash flow strengthens the company’s ability to support its contracted asset portfolio over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Refinancing and liquidity riskThe company’s near-term financial stability remains dependent on completing refinancing or taking other actions because available liquidity may not cover relevant maturities. Until definitive documents close, this unresolved funding requirement can constrain investment, increase financing pressure, and overshadow operational improvements.

Spruce Power Holding (SPRU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%SPRU-76.25%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$26.76M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
114.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-20.3
Beta (1Y)
1.07
Revenue Growth
-0.67%
EPS Growth
96.43%
Country
US
Employees
159
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Solar

Spruce Power Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Spruce Power Holding Corporation owns and operates distributed solar energy assets in the United States. The company offers electricity for homeowners through subscription-based payments and solar renewable energy credits (SRECs) for contracted price...

Spruce Power Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:2.16%|Next Earnings Date:May 17, 2021
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented meaningful operational improvements, including lower SG&A, stronger year-to-date adjusted operating cash flow, debt repayments, staffing reductions and progress on a refinancing term sheet. However, these positives were offset by lower revenue and electricity production, higher quarterly O&M costs, seasonal fourth-quarter pressure and significant refinancing, liquidity and going concern risks. The call's overall tone was balanced, with refinancing execution remaining the critical unresolved issue.

Positive Updates

Refinancing Progress and SP1 Maturity Extension
On October 30, Spruce executed a nonbinding term sheet covering SP1, SP2 and SP3, satisfying the condition to extend the SP1 maturity to January 30, 2027. Management described this as a meaningful milestone and is negotiating definitive arrangements before the deadline.

Negative Updates

Revenue Decline Driven by Lower Production and SREC Revenue
Third-quarter revenue totaled $29.7 million, down approximately 3% year-over-year. Electricity production declined, contributing to lower PPA and SREC revenue, while unusually challenging weather included record summer heat, heavier rainfall, cloud cover and storms across several key markets.

Company Guidance

Management said fourth quarter revenue is typically affected by seasonal solar production, with “definitely a Q4 seasonal adjustment from Q3”; regarding the prior-year “20%” sequential decline, Tom said, “The 20% number, I'm not really sure of.” SG&A expense in Q3 was “not a full run rate,” “could taper down in future quarters,” and management “would expect something less,” while O&M expense is “in line with plan” and the company remains “on track to reduce our O&M expense for the full year”; O&M expense for the first 9 months of 2026 was approximately 13% below the prior year period. Balance-sheet priorities for the remainder of the year are to preserve liquidity and advance the refinancing process, with the nonbinding term sheet satisfying the condition to extend the SP1 maturity to January 30, 2027, although the proposed transaction remains subject to negotiation, definitive documentation and closing conditions.

Spruce Power Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

SPRU shows an impressive operational turnaround characterized by a return to positive cash flow generation ($10.4M TTM) and strong gross profit margins (65.9%). However, the score is heavily penalized by a highly leveraged balance sheet featuring an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 5.54 and shrinking equity base.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

75Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue107.49M111.81M82.11M79.86M23.19M0
Gross Profit72.57M72.91M42.13M42.05M13.24M0
EBITDA55.55M55.47M-8.56M1.03M-34.82M53.29M
Net Income-436.00K-26.03M-70.49M-65.83M-93.93M28.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets806.82M837.27M898.48M895.02M895.90M393.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.06M54.84M72.80M141.35M240.14M351.68M
Total Debt647.10M681.89M711.07M625.68M503.01M241.00K
Total Liabilities677.26M716.02M752.33M680.35M606.93M31.41M
Stockholders Equity129.56M118.83M143.71M212.34M279.95M361.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.45M-3.75M-42.16M-34.16M-63.49M-52.13M
Operating Cash Flow10.45M-3.53M-41.81M-33.66M-63.49M-48.49M
Investing Cash Flow29.25M24.78M-101.41M-16.73M-29.01M-14.83M
Financing Cash Flow-51.13M-37.25M79.43M-16.81M-19.19M85.36M

Spruce Power Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.42

Price Trends

50DMA1.56Negative
100DMA1.87Negative
200DMA2.78Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Negative
RSI48.00Neutral
STOCH49.63Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPRU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.38, below the 50-day MA of 1.56, and below the 200-day MA of 2.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SPRU.

Spruce Power Holding Risk Analysis

Spruce Power Holding disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Spruce Power Holding reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.We are subject to risks associated with proxy contests and other actions of activist stockholders.Q3, 2024
2.Our performance may be negatively impacted by our recent Chief Executive Officer transitionQ3, 2024
3.We are subject to risks associated with proxy contests and other actions of activist stockholders.Q2, 2024

Spruce Power Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

SPRU against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
TURBTURB54Neutral$10.56M3.7912.90%―209.90%―
SPRUSPRU51Neutral$26.76M-20.29-0.36%―-0.67%96.43%
BEEMBEEM46Neutral$16.29M-0.78-73.59%―-20.49%43.15%
SMXTSMXT40Underperform$20.20M-2.2562.85%―284.69%60.47%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%SPRUBEEMTURBSMXTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SPRU and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SPRUSpruce Power Holding Corporation1.42-3.69-72.21%
BEEMBeam Global0.68-1.15-62.95%
TURBTurbo Energy, S.A. Sponsored ADR0.85-0.55-39.36%
SMXTSolarMax Technology, Inc.4.11-7.60-64.89%

Spruce Power Holding Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Spruce Power Amends Credit Agreement, Plans Facility Refinancing

Neutral
Nov 5, 2026

On October 30, 2026, certain Spruce Power subsidiaries amended their KeyBank credit agreement, replacing specified refinancing-document delivery requirements with a comprehensive long-term financial model due November 9, 2026. The amendment also cond...

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings

Spruce Power Shifts Corporate Domicile From Delaware to Texas

Neutral
Oct 6, 2026

Spruce Power Holding Corporation is changing its state of incorporation from Delaware to Texas, a redomiciliation approved by its board on May 1, 2026 and by approximately 86% of shareholders at the reconvened annual meeting on August 25, 2026. The c...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Spruce Power Board Changes Highlight Major Shareholder Influence

Neutral
Sep 16, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Spruce Power director Clara Nagy McBane submitted her resignation from the board, contingent on agreement over the treatment of her outstanding equity awards and confirmation of ongoing indemnification and directors and officer...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Spruce Power Shareholders Approve Directors, Redomiciling to Texas

Positive
Aug 26, 2026

On August 25, 2026, Spruce Power reconvened its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, originally convened on August 11 and adjourned after shareholders approved a proposal to postpone the session. At the reconvened meeting, investors elected two Class...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026