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Spruce Power Holding (SPRU) AI Stock Analysis

SPRU

Spruce Power Holding

(NYSE:SPRU)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:$1.50â–²(15.38% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/17/26

The overall score is heavily pressured by a fragile financial position, marked by high leverage and weak cash generation, and a bearish technical trend with the stock trading below all major moving averages. While operational efficiency shows early signs of improvement, persistent net losses and a negative P/E ratio underscore the lack of profitability. A recent corporate governance update provides a slight positive offset but does not mitigate the primary risks.

Positive Factors
Contracted Solar RevenueOwning and servicing rooftop systems under multi-year leases and PPAs provides revenue visibility beyond a single quarter. A larger operating asset base can support recurring customer payments and service-related cash flows, provided production and payment performance hold.
Negative Factors
Heavy LeverageDebt is very large relative to equity, materially reducing financial flexibility. High leverage can constrain investment, increase sensitivity to operating shortfalls, and leave fewer resources available for growth or balance-sheet repair, while negative ROE shows returns remain inadequate for shareholders.

Spruce Power Holding (SPRU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-50%0%50%100%150%SPRU-50.38%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$25.03M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
107.74K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.1
Beta (1Y)
1.24
Revenue Growth
9.77%
EPS Growth
90.31%
Country
US
Employees
159
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Solar

Spruce Power Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Spruce Power Holding Corporation owns and operates distributed solar energy assets in the United States. The company offers electricity for homeowners through subscription-based payments and solar renewable energy credits (SRECs) for contracted price...

How the Company Makes Money

Spruce Power primarily makes money from cash flows generated by residential solar systems it owns and operates under long-term customer contracts. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) recurring customer payments under legacy residential solar a...

Spruce Power Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:-60.61%|Next Earnings Date:May 16, 2021
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized meaningful operational progress: strong margin expansion, large reductions in O&M and SG&A, a 49% increase in operating EBITDA, and a materially improved net loss, supported by a stable customer base and a solid cash balance. Offsetting these positives are a slight year-over-year revenue decline driven by weather, lower noncash amortization and customer buyouts, a going concern disclosure tied to the near‑term maturity classification of the SP1 facility, and substantial outstanding debt that requires successful refinancing. Management has secured an SP1 extension and is actively pursuing refinancing, which partially mitigates financing risk but leaves execution uncertainty. Overall, operational and profitability improvements are significant and appear to outweigh the financing and timing headwinds noted.

Positive Updates

Strong Operating EBITDA Growth
Operating EBITDA of $18.4M in Q1 2026, up 49% year-over-year from $12.3M in Q1 2025, driven by margin expansion and operational efficiencies.

Negative Updates

Modest Revenue Decline
Revenue of $23.4M in Q1 2026, down from $23.8M in Q1 2025 (≈1.7% decline). Decline attributable to lower noncash amortization from acquired solar agreements, lower PPA revenue due to weather impacts and customer buyouts.

Company Guidance

Management said its full‑year 2026 outlook remains generally consistent with prior expectations and they expect full‑year operating EBITDA to be in line with budget (Q1 operating EBITDA was $18.4M, +49% YoY), with lower Q1 O&M and collections being offset by higher servicing activity and collections in the second half; O&M is expected to increase sequentially through the year but remain generally in line with full‑year expectations (Q1 O&M $1.2M, down 70% YoY) and SG&A run‑rate should continue to improve (Q1 SG&A $11.6M, down 21% YoY). They continue to advance refinancing initiatives—SP1 maturity extended to October 2026 with a potential extension to January 2027 pending a signed term sheet—and highlighted liquidity and balance sheet metrics of $85.6M total cash (≈$50M unrestricted), $668M total debt with a blended interest rate of ~6.6% (including hedges), $8.2M of debt repaid in the quarter, and a contracted customer base of ~84,000.

Spruce Power Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. Improving gross margins and a return to positive operating profit are offset by persistent net losses, stalled revenue growth, and a highly leveraged balance sheet with negligible cash flow relative to debt.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

20Very Negative

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue108.52M111.81M82.11M79.86M23.19M0
Gross Profit71.49M72.91M42.13M42.05M13.24M0
EBITDA68.48M55.47M-8.56M1.03M-34.82M53.29M
Net Income-7.33M-26.03M-70.49M-65.83M-93.93M28.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets818.40M837.27M898.48M895.02M895.90M393.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.66M54.84M72.80M141.35M240.14M351.68M
Total Debt667.23M681.89M711.07M625.68M503.01M241.00K
Total Liabilities695.48M716.02M752.33M680.35M606.93M31.41M
Stockholders Equity120.40M118.83M143.71M212.34M279.95M361.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow67.00K-3.75M-42.16M-34.16M-63.49M-52.13M
Operating Cash Flow104.00K-3.53M-41.81M-33.66M-63.49M-48.49M
Investing Cash Flow28.82M24.78M-101.41M-16.73M-29.01M-14.83M
Financing Cash Flow-37.84M-37.25M79.43M-16.81M-19.19M85.36M

Spruce Power Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.30

Price Trends

50DMA1.66Negative
100DMA2.01Negative
200DMA3.00Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.11Negative
RSI30.56Neutral
STOCH23.14Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPRU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.30 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.42, below the 50-day MA of 1.66, and below the 200-day MA of 3.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SPRU.

Spruce Power Holding Risk Analysis

Spruce Power Holding disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Spruce Power Holding reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Spruce Power Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

SPRU against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
TURBTURB54Neutral$10.69M3.5412.90%―209.90%―
SMXTSMXT45Neutral$22.38M-2.3062.85%―284.69%60.47%
SPRUSPRU43Neutral$25.03M-3.10-6.09%―9.77%90.31%
BEEMBEEM42Neutral$19.50M-0.93-73.59%―-20.49%43.15%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%SPRUBEEMTURBSMXTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SPRU and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SPRUSpruce Power Holding Corporation1.32-1.35-50.56%
BEEMBeam Global0.81-1.45-64.38%
TURBTurbo Energy, S.A. Sponsored ADR0.81-2.30-73.92%
SMXTSolarMax Technology, Inc.4.20-7.02-62.58%

Spruce Power Holding Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings

Spruce Power Shifts Corporate Domicile From Delaware to Texas

Neutral
Oct 6, 2026

Spruce Power Holding Corporation is changing its state of incorporation from Delaware to Texas, a redomiciliation approved by its board on May 1, 2026 and by approximately 86% of shareholders at the reconvened annual meeting on August 25, 2026. The c...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Spruce Power Board Changes Highlight Major Shareholder Influence

Neutral
Sep 16, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Spruce Power director Clara Nagy McBane submitted her resignation from the board, contingent on agreement over the treatment of her outstanding equity awards and confirmation of ongoing indemnification and directors and officer...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Spruce Power Shareholders Approve Directors, Redomiciling to Texas

Positive
Aug 26, 2026

On August 25, 2026, Spruce Power reconvened its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, originally convened on August 11 and adjourned after shareholders approved a proposal to postpone the session. At the reconvened meeting, investors elected two Class...

Shareholder Meetings

Spruce Power Adjourns 2026 Annual Shareholder Meeting

Neutral
Aug 11, 2026

On August 11, 2026, Spruce Power Holding Corporation held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, where shareholders approved a proposal allowing the meeting to be adjourned if necessary. With 11,832,946 votes in favor and 890,184 against, the compa...

Executive/Board Changes

Spruce Power Announces Major Legal Leadership Transition

Neutral
Jul 17, 2026

Spruce Power Holding Corporation has appointed Bobby L. Owens as General Counsel, effective July 13, 2026, reflecting a leadership change in the company’s legal function. Owens brings extensive experience from prior roles at OXEA Corporation an...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026