TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Sleep Number (SNBRQ) AI Stock Analysis

Top Page

SNBRQ

Sleep Number

(Other OTC:SNBRQ)

Select Model
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:$0.01▼(-10.00% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/23/26

The score is driven by extremely weak financial performance (declining revenue, losses, negative cash flow, and negative equity) and a highly adverse corporate event outcome (bankruptcy asset sale with expected cancellation of common stock). Technicals reinforce the risk with a severe downtrend, while valuation metrics provide no offset given ongoing losses and no dividend data.

Positive Factors
Direct-to-Consumer ModelThe direct-to-consumer model gives Sleep Number control over customer acquisition, pricing, service, and the sales experience. Owning retail and digital channels can support higher gross profit per unit, direct customer relationships, and attached accessory sales over time.
Negative Factors
Bankruptcy Asset SaleCompletion of the bankruptcy asset sale represents a fundamental break in the company’s ownership and operating structure. Proceeds were largely used to repay financing, while cancellation of common stock indicates that existing shareholders are not expected to retain economic participation.

Sleep Number (SNBRQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-50%0%50%100%150%SNBRQ-99.82%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$2.93M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
197.26K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.0
Beta (1Y)
4.03
Revenue Growth
-16.69%
EPS Growth
-698.31%
Country
US
Employees
3,114
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sleep Number Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Sleep Number Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, retails, and services sleep solutions in the United States. It offers smart beds and adjustable bases, pillows, sheets, and other bedding products....

How the Company Makes Money

Sleep Number primarily makes money by selling sleep products directly to consumers, with revenue driven mainly by (1) smart beds and bed bases, and (2) accessories and services tied to those purchases. Its core revenue stream is the retail sale of Sl...

Sleep Number Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 11, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:-99.59%|Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mix of encouraging operational progress and meaningful near-term financial stress. Highlights include a successful and fast product reset with strong early consumer metrics (NPS gains, ARU improvement, lower returns), improving March and April demand trends, e-commerce growth, sizeable cost-savings execution, and short-term lender support that provided $55 million of incremental liquidity. Offsetting these positives are significant YoY revenue decline (-19%), margin compression (~329 bps YoY), negative free cash flow for the quarter, a short-term $25 million term loan maturing June 30, 2026 that requires a recapitalization, and continued reliance on discounts to clear legacy inventory. Overall the company shows tangible operational momentum but remains exposed to capital-structure and cash-flow risk until a longer-term financing solution is secured.

Positive Updates

Product Reset and Strong Early Product Metrics
Completed a full product reset across all stores in <4 weeks; stores with the new lineup showed 12% higher ARU versus stores with legacy products. ComfortMode (launched Jan, broad rollout Mar 23) drove +15 point improvement in overall NPS and +27 points versus prior entry-level C series; ComfortMode has ~100 bps lower return rate versus the historical product it replaces.

Negative Updates

Significant YoY Revenue Decline
Q1 net sales declined 19% year-over-year (reported $319 million), reflecting weak January/early-February demand due to weather and macro conditions and reduced media investment (-21% investment in Q1 vs prior year).

Company Guidance

Guidance for Q2 is cautious: the company expects net sales to be down low single digits to flat year‑over‑year, with media investment roughly flat to Q1 but meaningfully higher than last year, and April demand running in line with internal expectations (March demand improved ~6% YoY, the first YoY demand growth in two years). Key metrics underpinning the outlook include Q1 net sales of $319M (‑19% YoY), adjusted EBITDA ~$5.8M, gross margin 57.9% (‑329 bps YoY, with discounting accounting for <100 bps of the decline), adjusted operating expenses $195M (down $42M, ‑18% YoY), Q1 free cash flow use $13.2M (≈$20M favorable to plan, $6M unfavorable vs prior year), ARU ~$6,021 (stores reset with new lineup showed ~12% higher ARU), end‑of‑Q1 liquidity ~$40M with lender amendment adding ~ $55M incremental relief including a $25M term loan due 6/30/2026 and temporary relief from a $30M minimum liquidity covenant through 6/30/26. Product and marketing signals that support the guidance: ComfortMode NPS +15 pts overall (+27 vs prior entry‑level), a ~100 bps lower return rate for ComfortMode, ComfortNext Lux selling at ~ $4,000, e‑commerce demand +5% YoY in April, AI citations +25% YTD, and cost actions identifying >$235M of annualized savings with $200M executed (and a $50M plan ~30% executed YTD); management declined to provide further financial guidance while it pursues strategic and financing options with advisors.

Sleep Number Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are severely weakened: sharp TTM revenue decline (~27.8%), net losses in the latest annual period and TTM, and operating/free cash flow turning negative. The balance sheet is highly pressured with negative shareholders’ equity and sizable debt, limiting financial flexibility and increasing funding risk.

Income Statement

24Negative

Balance Sheet

18Very Negative

Cash Flow

22Negative

Sleep Number Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.01

Price Trends

50DMA0.02Negative
100DMA0.09Negative
200DMA2.65Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI16.44Positive
STOCH20.94Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNBRQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 2.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 16.44 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SNBRQ.

Sleep Number Risk Analysis

Sleep Number disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sleep Number reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.27PART II: OTHER INFORMATION28Item 1.Legal Proceedings28Item 1A.Risk Factors28Q1, 2026

Sleep Number Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

SNBRQ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ETDETD68Neutral$513.16M12.978.40%23.62%-5.72%-22.50%
LZBLZB65Neutral$1.22B15.287.86%3.18%0.20%-10.08%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
MLKNMLKN60Neutral$1.48B15.247.34%3.49%1.20%―
PRPLPRPL43Neutral$13.08M-0.27107.92%―-0.74%42.52%
SNBRQSNBRQ37Underperform$6,915-0.0231.47%―-16.69%-698.31%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%50%100%SNBRQETDMLKNLZBPRPLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SNBRQ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SNBRQSleep Number Corp0.01-5.10-99.80%
ETDEthan Allen Interiors20.360.985.06%
MLKNMillerKnoll, Inc.21.496.8446.73%
LZBLa-Z-Boy Incorporated30.44-0.17-0.56%
PRPLPurple Innovation, Inc.3.00-16.93-84.95%

Sleep Number Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A Transactions

Sleep Number Completes Asset Sale, Shareholders Wiped Out

Negative
Aug 3, 2026

Sleep Number Corporation and its subsidiaries, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on June 12, 2026 in the Southern District of New York, have completed the court-approved sale of substantially all of the company&#8217;s assets to SNBR,...

Legal ProceedingsM&A Transactions

Sleep Number Amends Bankruptcy Asset Sale Agreement

Neutral
Jul 23, 2026

On June 12, 2026, Sleep Number entered into a stalking horse asset purchase agreement with SNBR, Inc., a subsidiary of Sleep Country Canada, to sell substantially all of its assets for $415 million in cash plus the assumption of certain liabilities,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026