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SMC (SMCAY) AI Stock Analysis

SMCAY

SMC

(Other OTC:SMCAY)

Select Model
Rating:80.4Outperform
Price Target:$23.50â–²(16.25% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The overall score is driven primarily by SMCAY’s robust financial foundation, featuring strong growth, high profitability, and an extremely low-leverage balance sheet that materially reduces financial risk. Technical trends are supportive, with the stock in a sustained uptrend backed by positive momentum without clear signs of exhaustion. Valuation is reasonable but not cheap, with a moderate earnings multiple and modest yield that temper the upside but remain consistent with a high-quality industrial business.

Positive Factors
Revenue and ProfitabilityRevenue re-acceleration alongside strong gross and net margins indicates healthy demand and meaningful economics across the business. If maintained, this combination can support internal reinvestment, protect earnings through normal industrial cycles, and reinforce SMC’s ability to compete across its served automation markets.
Negative Factors
Volatile Free Cash FlowUneven free-cash-flow conversion weakens the consistency of SMC’s cash generation despite positive operating cash flow. Lower conversion can constrain internally funded investment, dividends, or other capital allocation, while volatility after investment and working-capital needs makes financial planning less predictable.

SMC (SMCAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%SMCAY+10.95%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$24.98B
Dividend Yield
1.20%
Average Volume (3M)
144.37K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.1
Beta (1Y)
0.88
Revenue Growth
11.80%
EPS Growth
37.63%
Country
US
Employees
24,773
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

SMC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

SMC Corporation, a global enterprise, is engaged in the manufacturing, processing, and worldwide sale of automated control systems, sintered filters, and various other filtration technologies. The company's comprehensive product lineup encompasses a...

SMC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

SMCAY shows strong revenue growth, high but slightly compressing margins, an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage, and generally solid cash generation despite some volatility in free cash flow. This combination supports a clearly above-average but not top-tier financial performance score.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

93Very Positive

Cash Flow

75Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue789.51B792.11B893.35B776.87B824.77B727.40B
Gross Profit355.01B363.04B404.46B363.08B421.16B363.85B
EBITDA219.61B245.45B249.60B286.09B283.97B248.42B
Net Income142.28B156.34B177.39B178.32B224.61B192.99B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.11T2.10T2.32T2.09T1.93T1.77T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments711.60B685.55B714.79B511.29B623.50B697.05B
Total Debt5.00B5.04B5.11B13.07B12.19B11.54B
Total Liabilities187.82B172.46B197.44B208.69B225.62B210.68B
Stockholders Equity1.92T1.93T2.12T1.88T1.70T1.56T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow088.85B38.40B-6.10B27.24B75.16B
Operating Cash Flow0196.66B200.31B98.21B101.62B156.09B
Investing Cash Flow035.23B-113.99B-131.90B-87.09B-116.22B
Financing Cash Flow0-100.20B-99.80B-87.93B-113.30B-88.93B

SMC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price20.21

Price Trends

50DMA21.81Negative
100DMA22.09Negative
200DMA21.91Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.58Positive
RSI39.09Neutral
STOCH60.38Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMCAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.61, below the 50-day MA of 21.81, and below the 200-day MA of 21.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SMCAY.

SMC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SMCAY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IRIR85Outperform$31.06B22.4213.53%0.10%7.96%161.68%
SMCAYSMCAY80Outperform$25.29B20.079.68%1.20%11.80%37.63%
IEXIEX79Outperform$17.18B32.3913.31%1.24%6.93%14.08%
EMREMR76Outperform$92.00B35.9112.69%1.35%4.82%-1.66%
PHPH72Outperform$113.48B31.1425.11%0.84%8.31%4.96%
ROKROK68Neutral$48.44B40.8033.32%1.27%11.27%25.32%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%SMCAYEMRIEXPHROKIRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SMCAY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SMCAYSmc Corp Sponsored ADR20.213.1618.56%
EMREmerson Electric164.9427.0819.64%
IEXIdex Corporation233.8467.8740.89%
PHParker-Hannifin Corp899.82134.3117.55%
ROKRockwell Automation436.2076.4721.26%
IRIngersoll Rand Inc.80.054.135.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026