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SKF AB (SKFRY) AI Stock Analysis

27 Followers
SKFRY

SKF AB

(Other OTC:SKFRY)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:$28.00â–²(0.64% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/23/26

The overall score of 59 reflects a company with strong operational momentum and a robust balance sheet, offset by a weak technical picture and a high valuation multiple. The positive earnings call, highlighting organic growth and margin expansion, is the most significant positive factor. However, the stock's price is currently in a downtrend, and the high P/E ratio limits upside appeal. The company's financial foundation is solid, but the market is pricing in near-term cyclical headwinds.

Positive Factors
Organic growth and margin expansionOrganic growth combined with higher operating margins indicates that SKF is gaining demand while converting sales more efficiently. This supports durable earnings quality, provides resources for investment, and strengthens the company’s ability to compete across industrial markets over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining underlying revenue trendThe prolonged revenue decline shows that SKF’s solid profitability is not yet translating into broad-based top-line expansion. If weaker industrial demand persists, lower volumes could limit operating leverage, slow recovery in margins, and constrain the pace of earnings growth.

SKF AB (SKFRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%SKFRY+15.75%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$12.71B
Dividend Yield
3.22%
Average Volume (3M)
17.45K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
27.0
Beta (1Y)
1.13
Revenue Growth
-3.04%
EPS Growth
8.32%
Country
US
Employees
37,271
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories

SKF AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AB SKF (publ) is a global enterprise dedicated to the innovation, production, and distribution of bearings, seals, and lubrication systems, alongside providing related expert services. The company's operations are structured into two main divisions:...

How the Company Makes Money

SKF makes money primarily by selling physical products and related services to industrial and automotive customers. Its core revenue stream comes from the sale of bearings (the company’s main product category) used in applications such as electric mo...

SKF AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.71%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Continuing operations delivered 4.3% organic growth, a 16.3% adjusted operating margin, improved operating cash flow, strong performance in Specialized Industrial Solutions, robust growth in the Americas and India and Southeast Asia, and faster-than-planned rightsizing savings. These positives were partly offset by weak and volatile Automotive demand, higher input costs, increased working capital, separation-related costs, regional softness in Europe and flattish growth in China and Northeast Asia, plus seasonally lower expected Q4 margins for Specialized Industrial Solutions.

Positive Updates

Strong Continuing-Operations Organic Growth
SKF's continuing operations delivered 4.3% organic growth in Q3 2026, driven by high demand in selective OEM markets including defense, drives, and infrastructure, as well as strong growth in Specialized Industrial Solutions.

Negative Updates

Automotive Demand Decline
The discontinued Automotive business faced volatile and weak demand, with negative growth of 4%, primarily due to weak development in Europe. Management said overall demand remained challenging, although commercial vehicles and aftermarket performed strongly in the Americas and China and Northeast Asia.

Company Guidance

For continuing operations, SKF expects sales to strengthen somewhat in quarter four year-over-year, with roughly the same activity levels and somewhat improved growth in the fourth quarter, while market volatility and continued uncertainty remain; quarter-four currency guidance is SEK +150 million, and cost inflation is not expected to materially change in Q4 versus Q3. For the full year, the tax rate is estimated at 27%, additions to property, plant, and equipment are expected to end at SEK 2.5 billion, a further decrease of SEK 0.5 billion, and items affecting comparability remain at SEK -2.5 billion-SEK 3 billion. The rightsizing program is expected to reach the SEK 2 billion annual run rate by mid-2027, about half year prior to the original plan; Automotive separation costs increase by approximately SEK 0.5 billion, from SEK 2.5 billion to some SEK 3 billion, offset by a corresponding reduction in industrial footprint optimization. Working capital targets are around 29% of sales midterm and 27% of sales long-term, while Specialized Industrial Solutions is intended to reach roughly the same profitability margin as Bearing Solutions in mid-term.

SKF AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

SKF's financial performance is mixed. The income statement is under pressure from declining revenue and compressing margins, scoring 42. However, the balance sheet is a fortress with low leverage, scoring 68. Cash flow is adequate but shows strain, scoring 55. The overall financial health is sound but navigating a cyclical earnings trough.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.83B91.58B98.72B103.88B96.93B81.73B
Gross Profit24.95B22.67B27.37B26.34B24.47B23.27B
EBITDA13.15B14.31B14.61B14.78B11.66B13.82B
Net Income4.78B3.93B6.47B6.39B4.47B7.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets124.31B106.42B119.69B111.87B110.92B99.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.55B9.15B11.03B13.32B11.22B13.66B
Total Debt20.74B15.34B20.76B21.33B21.27B19.34B
Total Liabilities60.34B50.75B57.44B56.95B56.88B54.26B
Stockholders Equity61.50B53.56B59.65B52.74B51.93B43.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.65B4.79B5.11B8.02B428.00M1.36B
Operating Cash Flow6.45B8.39B10.79B13.78B5.64B5.25B
Investing Cash Flow-2.58B-1.50B-5.60B-5.87B-5.35B-3.15B
Financing Cash Flow1.67B-12.67B-7.57B-4.51B-3.40B-3.51B

SKF AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price27.82

Price Trends

50DMA27.37Positive
100DMA27.09Positive
200DMA26.19Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.20Positive
RSI51.58Neutral
STOCH52.38Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKFRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.78, above the 50-day MA of 27.37, and above the 200-day MA of 26.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SKFRY.

SKF AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SKFRY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RBCRBC75Outperform$15.49B43.2010.39%―17.42%36.26%
LECOLECO73Outperform$15.41B26.8937.78%1.12%11.02%11.74%
SNASNA70Outperform$18.98B18.8716.84%2.65%2.93%0.65%
KMTKMT66Neutral$1.87B3.1038.97%3.33%32.48%529.12%
TKRTKR65Neutral$7.58B26.698.86%1.30%5.95%-4.17%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
SKFRYSKFRY59Neutral$12.73B26.958.36%3.22%-3.04%8.32%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%SKFRYKMTLECORBCSNATKRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SKFRY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SKFRYSKF AB Class B27.823.3313.61%
KMTKennametal Inc23.99-1.28-5.06%
LECOLincoln Electric282.8664.7329.68%
RBCRbc Bearings485.5556.2713.11%
SNASnap-on Inc368.6248.6015.19%
TKRTimken108.9135.4948.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026