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Sidus Space, Inc. Class A (SIDU) AI Stock Analysis

SIDU

Sidus Space, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:SIDU)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$1.00â–¼(-6.54% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/17/26

Sidus Space (SIDU) is heavily burdened by severe operational cash burn, steep revenue declines, massive shareholder dilution, and an entrenched technical downtrend. While recent capital raises have fortified the balance sheet with $167 million in cash—providing a crucial runway for commercialization without debt risk—the company remains a highly speculative, unprofitable investment until it can successfully transition its technological milestones into sustainable, recurring revenue.

Positive Factors
Strengthened LiquidityThe large liquidity increase and absence of borrowings provide a stronger funding base for commercialization, manufacturing expansion, and product development. This reduces near-term financing pressure and gives management more capacity to pursue its stated growth initiatives while revenue remains small.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionThe sharp revenue declines show that technical progress has not yet translated into expanding commercial demand. A shrinking revenue base makes it harder to absorb fixed operating costs, delays the path to sustainable margins, and leaves future performance dependent on successful customer conversion.

Sidus Space, Inc. Class A (SIDU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%0%100%200%300%400%500%SIDU+0.96%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$106.18M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.20M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.5
Beta (1Y)
1.80
Revenue Growth
-32.61%
EPS Growth
65.30%
Country
US
Employees
99
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Aerospace & Defense

Sidus Space, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Sidus Space, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, launch, and data collection of commercial satellite worldwide. The company’s space services include satellite design and manufacturing, such as LizzieSat, LizzieSat-XL, and Lunar Lizzie. It also o...

Sidus Space, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-58.85%|Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call highlights substantial progress on financing, technology qualification (LizzieSat vibration test), strategic partnerships, and a strengthened balance sheet (cash $167M, no debt), which materially reduce near-term financing risk and support commercialization investments. However, operational performance shows meaningful near-term weaknesses: steep year-over-year revenue declines (Q2 -54%, H1 -37%), rising SG&A and worse adjusted EBITDA, and significant share dilution (~+55% shares outstanding). The company is clearly transitioning from development to commercialization, but converting technical milestones into recurring revenue remains the central near-term challenge.

Positive Updates

Material Capital Raise and Strengthened Liquidity
Raised approximately $159 million gross in Q2 2026 via two registered direct offerings (April $58.5M and May $100M) with net proceeds of ~ $146M; cash increased from $43.2M at year start to $167M as of 06/30/2026 (≈+287%), working capital $168M, and no outstanding borrowings after asset-backed loan repayment.

Negative Updates

Significant Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the six months ended 06/30/2026 was $942k vs $1.5M year-ago (↓37%); Q2 revenue was $583k vs $1.3M prior-year quarter (↓54%). Related-party revenue declined sharply (from ~$648k to ~$161k); third-party revenue down ≈8% for the first half.

Company Guidance

Management guided that initial full commercial availability of the Fortis VPX platform is anticipated in early 2027 (subject to integration and customer qualification) and that the company will deploy net proceeds of approximately $146 million (from Q2 gross raises of roughly $159 million) to accelerate commercialization, expand manufacturing, strengthen business development/government capture, speed next‑generation satellite production and pursue margin‑accretive recurring revenue with the goal of improving gross margins, expanding operating leverage and progressing to sustainable positive cash flow. As of 06/30/2026 Sidus held $167 million in cash and $168 million in working capital after repaying its asset‑backed loan in January, had 101 million Class A shares outstanding (versus 65 million at 12/31/2025), used $9.1 million in operating cash and invested $7.3 million in property & equipment in H1; H1 revenue was $942k (down 37% YoY) with a H1 net loss of $10.0M (improved 17% vs $12.0M) and adjusted EBITDA loss of $9.7M, while Q2 revenue was $583k (down 54% YoY), Q2 net loss $4.8M (improved 15%) and Q2 adjusted EBITDA loss $5.1M. Operational guidance highlighted that the next LizzieSat cleared vibration qualification (clearing the path to launch and expected to drive Fortis to TRL‑9 on orbit) and noted Sidus’s inclusion in the Russell 3000/2000/Microcap indexes effective June 26, 2026.

Sidus Space, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Sidus Space shows a stark contrast between a pristine balance sheet, boasting $188.8 million in equity and near-zero debt, and severe operational distress. Shrinking revenues, massive net losses, and an accelerating free cash flow deficit of $30.6 million TTM weigh heavily on the score.

Income Statement

8Very Negative

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

7Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.83M3.38M4.67M5.96M7.29M1.41M
Gross Profit-4.72M-5.69M-1.47M1.64M-4.25M-366.57K
EBITDA-25.78M-25.01M-13.50M-13.36M-11.74M-3.25M
Net Income-27.43M-29.47M-17.52M-14.33M-12.84M-3.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets194.80M66.09M37.75M19.35M10.30M17.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments166.52M43.18M15.70M1.22M2.30M13.71M
Total Debt1.23M8.95M10.14M4.82M2.41M4.14M
Total Liabilities5.96M15.46M14.21M12.22M6.42M6.64M
Stockholders Equity188.84M50.64M23.54M7.13M3.88M10.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.57M-26.33M-23.30M-18.96M-14.19M-2.70M
Operating Cash Flow-19.42M-18.15M-15.83M-11.75M-12.09M-2.48M
Investing Cash Flow-11.15M-8.17M-7.47M-7.69M-2.10M-217.84K
Financing Cash Flow193.46M53.80M37.79M18.36M2.78M16.39M

Sidus Space, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.07

Price Trends

50DMA1.73Negative
100DMA2.08Negative
200DMA2.65Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.20Negative
RSI23.70Positive
STOCH19.87Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIDU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.27, below the 50-day MA of 1.73, and below the 200-day MA of 2.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 23.70 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SIDU.

Sidus Space, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Sidus Space, Inc. Class A disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sidus Space, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Sidus Space, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SIDU against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
RKLBRKLB61Neutral$32.75B-188.05-7.56%―52.53%38.89%
BKSYBKSY51Neutral$731.33M-9.12-55.79%―4.07%45.58%
PLPL51Neutral$4.90B-11.78-93.11%―44.12%-262.46%
SIDUSIDU46Neutral$110.34M-1.52-35.30%―-32.61%65.30%
SATLSATL44Neutral$510.42M-5.03-3465.39%―――
YSSYSS44Neutral$868.10M-2.84-18.11%―――

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%SIDUBKSYRKLBSATLPLYSSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SIDU and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SIDUSidus Space, Inc. Class A1.05-0.02-1.87%
BKSYBlacksky Technology Inc.16.64-2.09-11.16%
RKLBRocket Lab Usa, Inc.52.07-4.50-7.95%
SATLSatellogic Inc.3.081.3881.18%
PLPlanet Labs Pbc12.960.262.05%
YSSYork Space Systems, Inc.5.99-27.62-82.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026