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Safe Bulkers (SB) AI Stock Analysis

SB

Safe Bulkers

(NYSE:SB)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:$9.00▲(18.27% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

Safe Bulkers earns a solid overall score driven by exceptional recent earnings growth, a robust balance sheet, and an attractive valuation profile. The company's impressive Q2 profitability, higher charter rates, and active shareholder return program are the most significant positive factors. The score is somewhat constrained by short-term technical weakness and industry-specific macroeconomic uncertainties.

Positive Factors
Fleet modernizationA younger-than-industry fleet and continued newbuild deliveries can support operating efficiency, charter appeal and compliance over the medium term. Environmental upgrades on 26 vessels, a 22% carbon-intensity reduction and zero CII-E vessels further strengthen the fleet’s competitive position.
Negative Factors
CapEx and debt burdenLarge fleet-investment commitments alongside sizable debt can constrain financial flexibility, particularly if freight rates weaken before new vessels generate sufficient earnings. Funding the program may require additional borrowing or capital, increasing exposure to interest costs and execution pressure.

Safe Bulkers (SB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%SB+82.63%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$911.80M
Dividend Yield
2.93%
Average Volume (3M)
1.15M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.3
Beta (1Y)
0.84
Revenue Growth
10.81%
EPS Growth
81.30%
Country
US
Employees
10
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Marine Shipping

Safe Bulkers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Safe Bulkers, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, specializes in the ocean-going transportation of dry bulk commodities. The company maintains and operates a fleet of dry bulk carriers, primarily utilized for shipping essential bulk cargoes suc...

How the Company Makes Money

Safe Bulkers makes money primarily by earning charter revenues from leasing its dry-bulk vessels to customers (charterers) who need seaborne transportation for bulk commodities. Its main revenue streams typically include: (1) Time charters, where a c...

Safe Bulkers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 27, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:2.92%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a clearly improved operational and financial performance in Q2 2026: materially higher EBITDA and EPS, stronger TCEs, lower operating costs, robust liquidity, active shareholder returns (dividends and buybacks), and continued fleet renewal with environmental upgrades. Offsetting risks discussed include geopolitical sensitivity (Hormuz scenarios), potential softening of Chinese demand and thermal coal volumes, limited near-term alternative-fuel penetration in the order book, and sizable ongoing CapEx and debt commitments. Overall, company fundamentals and cash generation appear strong and management portrays a resilient position, while acknowledging macro and industry-specific headwinds.

Positive Updates

Strong Quarterly Profitability Gains
Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 was $50.3M versus $25.5M in Q2 2025, an increase of approximately 97.5%. Adjusted EPS rose to $0.28 from $0.01 year-over-year (~+2700%), reflecting materially improved earnings.

Negative Updates

Exposure to Market & Geopolitical Uncertainty
Results and outlook depend on open/closed Straits of Hormuz scenarios; management highlighted both open and closed cases and the trade sensitivity to geopolitical developments, adding uncertainty to supply-demand dynamics.

Company Guidance

Management guided that market fundamentals remain supportive, forecasting global GDP ~3% for 2026/27, BIMCO dry-bulk demand growth ~3% with supply growth of ~2% (open Hormuz) or ~1% (closed), iron ore +3%, grains +5%, coal -1% to -2%, China GDP 4.4% and India 6.5%; freight market strength was highlighted by Cape spot ≈ $38,000 and Kamsarmax ≈ $18,000, with all 7 Capes on period charters averaging $24,600/day, 1.7 years remaining and >$105M contracted backlog from Capes. Company-level guidance emphasized a 46-vessel fleet (avg age 10.3 yrs vs global 12.5), an order book ≈13% of fleet (24 Phase‑3 ordered since 2021, 14 delivered, 2 dual‑fuel due Q1‑2027, 10 more newbuilds to 2029), net debt/vessel $8M, leverage 30%, liquidity $143M cash + $200M RCF = $343M firepower, contracted backlog $154M (of which $92M paid), CapEx $277M, H1 revenue $169M, Q2 adjusted EBITDA $50.3M and adj. EPS $0.28, average Q2 TCE $20,642, daily OPEX ~$6,207, dividend increased to $0.075 (19th consecutive, ~4% yield) and a 10M share repurchase program, while operational metrics include zero CII‑E vessels and a 22% carbon‑intensity reduction.

Safe Bulkers Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Driven by a robust balance sheet with healthy leverage (D/E 0.65) and recovering net profit margins (18.7% TTM). While historic heavy CapEx caused free cash flow volatility, recent operating cash flows and liquidity have stabilized.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue307.50M275.74M307.63M284.40M349.72M329.03M
Gross Profit136.03M99.06M140.17M119.41M210.02M194.87M
EBITDA167.78M132.25M190.46M159.42M242.57M245.13M
Net Income86.98M38.56M97.38M77.35M172.55M174.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.43B1.40B1.40B1.34B1.25B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments134.54M153.15M128.42M89.94M114.38M102.08M
Total Debt511.45M540.14M536.64M507.92M414.36M377.65M
Total Liabilities558.88M572.48M571.48M547.30M474.00M415.08M
Stockholders Equity870.28M830.71M831.62M792.51M771.92M679.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow88.51M60.30M-14.32M-86.90M34.72M107.97M
Operating Cash Flow130.94M102.29M130.46M122.21M218.00M217.20M
Investing Cash Flow-104.82M9.70M-71.73M-151.73M-229.40M8.55M
Financing Cash Flow-64.92M-52.37M-25.86M29.14M-40.10M-225.90M

Safe Bulkers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price7.61

Price Trends

50DMA8.47Negative
100DMA7.79Positive
200DMA6.98Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.12Positive
RSI44.06Neutral
STOCH60.89Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.23, below the 50-day MA of 8.47, and above the 200-day MA of 6.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SB.

Safe Bulkers Risk Analysis

Safe Bulkers disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Safe Bulkers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.As a Marshall Islands corporation, and with certain of our subsidiaries organized under the laws of the Marshall Islands and other offshore jurisdictions, our corporate structure and operations are subject to economic substance laws and related regulatory requirements, compliance with which could affect our business and operating results.Q4, 2025
2.Changes in U.S. or Chinese port fee policies, including the potential reimposition of retaliatory charges on vessels linked to either country, may increase expenses and adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.Q4, 2025

Safe Bulkers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SBLKSBLK80Outperform$3.18B11.0811.71%6.63%6.34%141.62%
ESEAESEA79Outperform$442.29M3.4428.60%4.53%2.53%14.22%
PANLPANL75Outperform$521.17M10.6110.94%3.14%22.50%233.42%
SBSB72Outperform$911.81M10.3210.32%2.93%10.81%81.30%
GNKGNK66Neutral$1.14B28.600.02%6.87%25.64%156.91%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
CMDBCMDB53Neutral$476.55M130.730.90%―――

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%100%SBESEAGNKSBLKPANLCMDBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SBSafe Bulkers Inc8.013.5780.28%
ESEAEuroseas Ltd67.2710.2017.88%
GNKGenco Shipping & Trading Ltd26.1910.6868.80%
SBLKStar Bulk Carriers28.3611.3466.60%
PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.7.963.2468.72%
CMDBCostamare Bulkers Holdings Limited19.616.7452.37%

Safe Bulkers Corporate Events

Safe Bulkers Declares Quarterly Dividends on Series C and D Preferred Shares

Oct 2, 2026

Safe Bulkers, Inc., the Monaco-based drybulk shipping company listed in New York and Athens, declared cash dividends on its 8.00% Series C and Series D cumulative redeemable perpetual preferred shares on October 2, 2026. The board approved payments o...

Safe Bulkers Updates Major Shareholdings After Athens Share Capital Increase

Sep 16, 2026

Safe Bulkers, Inc. is an international dry bulk shipping company that transports major commodities and maintains listings on regulated markets including Euronext Athens. Its equity structure is characterized by significant stakes held through entitie...

Safe Bulkers’ New Shares Begin Trading on Euronext Athens After Private Placement

Sep 11, 2026

On September 11, 2026, Safe Bulkers announced that Euronext Athens had approved the admission of 12,000,000 new common shares, issued via a private placement through an accelerated bookbuilding process, to trading on its Main Market of regulated secu...

Safe Bulkers Confirms Board Elections and Auditor at 2026 Annual Meeting

Sep 10, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Safe Bulkers, Inc. reported the results of its annual meeting of stockholders held in Monaco, where shareholders elected three Class III directors. Konstantinos Adamopoulos, Kristin H. Holth and Vasilis Hajioannou were chosen t...

Safe Bulkers Raises €80.4 Million in Dual-Listed Private Share Placement

Sep 9, 2026

On September 9, 2026, Monaco-based Safe Bulkers, Inc. announced it had completed and priced a private placement of 12,000,000 new common shares to selected investors via an accelerated bookbuild led by Piraeus Bank, DNB Carnegie and Fearnley Securiti...

Safe Bulkers Plans €-Denominated Private Placement and Trading Suspension on Euronext Athens

Sep 9, 2026

On September 8, 2026, Monaco-based Safe Bulkers, Inc. announced it is contemplating a private placement of approximately 12 million new common shares, with pricing to be set in euros via an accelerated bookbuilding run by Piraeus Bank, DNB Carnegie a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026