Rio Tinto Limited stock analysis
Rio Tinto Limited (RTNTF) Stock Price & Analysis
RTNTF Stock Chart & Stats
- Day’s Range
- $97.79 - $106.78
- 52-Week Range
- $81.38 - $141.65
- Previous Close
- $102.31
- Volume
- N/A
- Average Volume (3M)
- 200
- Market Cap
- $144.64B
- Enterprise Value
- $311.21B
- Total Cash (Recent Filing)
- $9.50B
- Total Debt (Recent Filing)
- $22.84B
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 11.6
- Beta
- 0.91
- Next Earnings
- Feb 24, 2027 (Est.)
- EPS Estimate
- 3.75
- Last Dividend Ex-Date
- Aug 14, 2026
- Dividend Yield
- 4.55%
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Productivity And Cost Improvement
The productivity program is already generating measurable savings and has a substantially larger run-rate target. If execution continues, lower unit costs should support cash generation and partially offset commodity-price, inflation and foreign-exchange pressure over the next several quarters.
Copper And Project Growth Pipeline
Growth investments are concentrated in copper and lithium, commodities linked to electrification, while Simandou adds substantial future iron-ore capacity. Progress on these projects can broaden the portfolio and provide a multi-year production platform beyond existing assets.
Balance-sheet Scale And Credit Quality
Rio Tinto retains significant asset scale and historically moderate leverage, giving it a stronger financial base than a highly indebted miner. This supports continued investment in large projects and provides capacity to manage commodity-cycle volatility, despite the recent leverage increase.
Bears Say
Commodity-cycle And Margin Volatility
The earnings model remains exposed to benchmark commodity prices, production volumes and operating costs. Choppy revenue and a sharp margin deterioration show that strong profitability is not consistently protected, making medium-term earnings and cash generation sensitive to market and operating swings.
Weaker Free-cash-flow Conversion
Lower free-cash-flow conversion suggests that more earnings are being absorbed by reinvestment, working capital or other cash needs. Sustained weakness could reduce flexibility for dividends, debt reduction and growth spending even while accounting profitability remains solid.
Operational And Contingent-risk Exposure
Safety events, asset-level production challenges and the Mongolia tax arbitration create risks that can affect operating continuity, costs and cash outcomes. These issues add execution uncertainty around a capital-intensive portfolio and may offset benefits from productivity and project expansion.
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Rio Tinto Limited Stock Smart Score
Company Description
Rio Tinto Limited
Globally, Rio Tinto Group's primary activities encompass the discovery, extraction, and refinement of various mineral deposits. Its comprehensive product portfolio features essential commodities like aluminum, copper, diamonds, gold, borates, titanium dioxide, salt, iron ore, and lithium. The company maintains and operates a broad infrastructure, including both surface and subterranean mines, processing mills, refining and smelting facilities, power generation sites, and dedicated research and support centers. Founded in 1873, Rio Tinto Group's central offices are situated in London, United Kingdom.
- Sector
- Basicmaterials
- Industry
- Industrial Materials
- CEO
- Simon Callas Trott
- Employees
- 56,890
- Website
- www.riotinto.com
- Address
- Level 43, 120 Collins Street, Melbourne, VIC, 3000, AU
Rio Tinto Limited (RTNTF) Earnings & Revenues
RTNTF Company Deck
RTNTF Earnings Call
Earnings Call SentimentPositive
The call emphasized strong, broad-based operational and financial momentum — notably robust EBITDA growth (+28%), a 75% lift in free cash flow, significant productivity gains already banked ($870m) and an interim dividend uplift (+43%). Major projects (Simandou, OT) are progressing and management is targeting material run-rate cost benefits ($1.8bn) and longer-term copper and lithium growth targets. Headwinds and risks include safety incidents (two fatalities), a furnace breach shifting sales into 2027, asset-level performance variability (IOC, Kennecott), external cost and FX pressures (~$1.5bn impact) and a Mongolia tax arbitration (~$900m exposure). Overall, the positive operational and financial developments and clear execution on productivity and project milestones outweigh the lowlights and near-term disruptions.
View all RTNTF earnings summariesRTNTF Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
Technical Analysis
Overall Consensus
| Indicator | Bullish | Neutral | Bearish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Consensus | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| Technical Analysis | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Moving Averages | 1 | 0 | 11 |









