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Robinsons Retail (RRETY) AI Stock Analysis

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RRETY

Robinsons Retail

(Other OTC:RRETY)

Select Model
Rating:61.2Neutral
Price Target:$3.50▼(-0.71% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is primarily constrained by rising leverage, margin compression, and weak longer-term technical momentum. Strong cash generation, revenue growth, low valuation, and a high dividend yield provide meaningful support.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue GrowthSteady revenue expansion indicates continued demand across Robinsons Retail’s operating base and supports the durability of its sales model. Maintaining top-line growth into the TTM period can provide a foundation for reinvestment, scale benefits, and recovery in earnings if profitability improves.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionProfitability has become less consistent despite continued sales growth, with net, EBIT, and EBITDA margins below their 2024 levels. Persistent cost or mix pressure would limit the earnings benefit of revenue expansion and could weaken the company’s ability to fund growth internally.

Robinsons Retail (RRETY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%RRETY-33.85%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$375.74M
Dividend Yield
11.02%
Average Volume (3M)
641
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.14
Revenue Growth
4.45%
EPS Growth
12.10%
Country
US
Employees
23,172
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Department Stores

Robinsons Retail Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Robinsons Retail Holdings, Inc. functions as a prominent multi-format retail enterprise situated in the Philippines. The company's operations are broadly categorized into several key divisions: Supermarkets, Department Stores, DIY (Do-It-Yourself) St...

Robinsons Retail Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-44.63%|Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2019
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call shows broad operational momentum: revenue growth across the group, strong drugstore and DIY performance, margin expansions in several segments, active store roll-out and positive minority-investment developments. These positives are tempered by a significant full‑year decline in net income to parent (‑44.3%) due to the absence of a prior one‑time gain, underperformance in department stores, working capital build and higher debt from acquisition financing. Management provided constructive guidance for 2026 (SSSG 2%–4%, continued store additions and targeted CapEx), and balance-sheet metrics remain manageable (net debt/equity 0.35x). Overall, the operational improvements and growth initiatives outweigh the one-off and segment-specific negatives.

Positive Updates

Top-line Growth — Q4 and Full Year
Net sales rose 7.0% in Q4 to PHP 61.1 billion and increased 5.7% for full year 2025 to PHP 210.4 billion, driven by same-store sales growth, new store openings and the one-month consolidation of Premiumbikes.

Negative Updates

Sharp Drop in Net Income to Parent (Full Year)
Net income attributable to parent declined 44.3% year-on-year to PHP 5.7 billion for full year 2025, largely due to the absence of a one-time gain from the prior-year BPI‑RBank merger.

Company Guidance

Management’s FY2026 guidance calls for 130–170 net new store additions (still skewed to Food and Drugstore) supported by about PHP 5.7 billion of organic CapEx, with same‑store sales growth targeted at 2–4% for the year and a planned improvement in gross margin of “around 15–20” (transcript did not specify whether basis points or percentage points); management also gave a rough store-opening breakdown that included Drugstores ~70–80 new stores, DIY ~5 and Specialty (including Premiumbikes) ~10, noted Jan–Feb sales are tracking within the 2–4% SSSG range, and indicated Uncle John’s net additions of ~20–30 stores.

Robinsons Retail Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth and cash generation are solid, but compressed profitability and rising leverage weigh on the financial profile. The score reflects the average of the income statement score of 65, balance sheet score of 55, and cash flow score of 70.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue219.55B215.16B199.17B193.32B178.82B153.33B
Gross Profit45.54B31.40B48.11B45.63B42.28B35.23B
EBITDA19.40B18.20B22.76B16.80B17.15B14.32B
Net Income5.40B5.84B10.28B4.10B5.85B4.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets161.37B173.94B169.95B155.02B141.53B134.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.28B15.42B13.14B13.17B17.77B16.17B
Total Debt63.12B65.54B46.33B45.41B34.43B33.57B
Total Liabilities92.76B98.12B77.34B75.65B64.95B57.72B
Stockholders Equity65.58B72.56B88.54B75.28B72.43B71.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.68B8.88B7.67B8.45B10.53B4.73B
Operating Cash Flow15.88B14.60B12.43B14.96B16.08B7.18B
Investing Cash Flow-5.68B-6.31B-2.53B-21.43B-4.59B-270.34M
Financing Cash Flow-10.94B-6.11B-9.94B1.89B-9.90B-12.09B

Robinsons Retail Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.52

Price Trends

50DMA4.25Negative
100DMA5.42Negative
200DMA6.21Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.13Negative
RSI54.44Neutral
STOCH99.49Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RRETY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.89, below the 50-day MA of 4.25, and below the 200-day MA of 6.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RRETY.

Robinsons Retail Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

RRETY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MM76Outperform$6.35B8.8515.81%3.06%0.34%58.61%
KSSKSS66Neutral$2.66B9.956.68%2.08%-2.87%28.86%
RRETYRRETY61Neutral$633.12M6.017.81%11.02%4.45%12.10%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JMIAJMIA46Neutral$701.32M-5.68-304.73%―27.37%18.19%
HEPSHEPS43Neutral$968.08M-5.78-386.05%―15.26%―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%RRETYKSSMJMIAHEPSPLBLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
RRETY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RRETYRobinsons Retail Holdings, Inc.3.52-1.78-33.52%
KSSKohl's Corporation24.008.4854.64%
MMacy's24.706.2133.56%
JMIAJumia Technologies5.33-4.82-47.49%
HEPSD-Market Electronic Services & Trading2.770.4619.91%
PLBLPolibeli Group Ltd7.24-1.92-20.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026