Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA) AI Stock Analysis

481 Followers
RKDA

Arcadia Biosciences

(NASDAQ:RKDA)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:$0.22â–¼(-3.15% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:11/13/26

The score is pressured primarily by persistent losses and ongoing cash burn alongside sharply reduced equity, which elevate financing/dilution risk. Technicals also remain weak with negative momentum and the stock below key longer-term moving averages. Valuation support is limited due to negative earnings and no dividend, while corporate events add incremental risk due to Nasdaq compliance concerns despite steps to improve flexibility.

Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance SheetEffectively zero debt reduces refinancing and interest-rate exposure, preserving financial flexibility relative to a leveraged business. This gives Arcadia more capacity to direct available resources toward operations and commercialization without servicing a large debt burden.
Negative Factors
Persistent UnprofitabilityLarge operating losses show that the current revenue base does not yet support Arcadia’s cost structure, limiting the durability of earnings and internal funding. Continued losses can consume shareholder capital and make sustained investment in product commercialization more difficult.

Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%25%RKDA-94.05%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$343.50K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.24M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.0
Beta (1Y)
1.78
Revenue Growth
-12.24%
EPS Growth
17.56%
Country
US
Employees
8
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Agricultural Inputs

Arcadia Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. is a U.S.-based company that provides plant-derived health and well-being products. Additionally, it is actively engaged in agricultural research and development, with a particular focus on improving wheat crops. The aim of...

Arcadia Biosciences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025(Q1-2025)|% Change Since:-94.84%|Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The earnings call reflected a strong start to 2025, with significant revenue growth in the Zola brand and effective cost control measures. However, challenges such as a decline in gross margin and an increase in inventory and cash consumption were noted. The pending business combination with Roosevelt Resources is a positive development, enhancing future prospects.

Positive Updates

Zola Revenue Growth
Zola coconut water revenue grew 90% year-over-year, driven by a 70% increase in new distribution gains.

Negative Updates

Gross Margin Decline
The gross margin rate decreased to 43% in Q1 from 52% in Q1 of the previous year.

Company Guidance

During the Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. first-quarter 2025 conference call, significant growth and strategic shifts were highlighted. The company reported a remarkable 90% year-over-year increase in revenue for its Zola coconut water, primarily due to a 70% rise in new distribution channels. Operating expenses saw a 16% reduction, despite incurring nearly half a million dollars in transaction-related fees. The gross margin stood at 43%, maintaining a trend of exceeding 30% for nine consecutive quarters. Arcadia continued to monetize its intellectual property, securing $750,000 in cash for certain soy patents, which allowed for the elimination of a $1,000,000 contingent liability. The pending business combination with Roosevelt Resources is progressing, aiming for completion by late summer, with a fixed equity share ratio of 90-10 between Roosevelt Partners and Arcadia stockholders. The call also mentioned a strong pipeline and new product innovations expected to further boost Zola's market presence. Overall, the company is focused on streamlining operations and enhancing financial performance in 2025.

Arcadia Biosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue is growing and gross margin is positive (~35%), and the company has effectively no debt. However, profitability remains very weak with large operating losses and a deeply negative net margin, equity has eroded sharply over time, and operating/free cash flow are still negative (TTM OCF/FCF about -$3.6M), implying elevated funding and dilution risk until margins and cash generation improve.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.06M4.86M5.04M4.45M7.42M6.78M
Gross Profit2.08M1.76M2.08M2.28M1.32M-1.93M
EBITDA-12.81M-2.30M-6.85M-5.73M-14.75M-27.71M
Net Income-10.23M-2.34M-7.04M-13.98M-15.38M-14.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.72M6.55M13.52M19.70M28.92M43.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.84M4.56M4.24M11.64M20.64M28.68M
Total Debt00155.00K1.01M2.02M3.29M
Total Liabilities2.31M2.41M7.29M7.00M8.02M12.72M
Stockholders Equity2.40M4.14M6.22M12.84M21.03M31.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.56M-4.74M-9.64M-15.30M-14.05M-26.88M
Operating Cash Flow-3.56M-4.74M-9.63M-15.29M-13.98M-25.87M
Investing Cash Flow0750.00K7.34M-4.34M1.42M16.61M
Financing Cash Flow5.28M6,0009,0005.51M4.52M21.90M

Arcadia Biosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.22

Price Trends

50DMA0.29Negative
100DMA0.46Negative
200DMA0.93Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Negative
RSI59.12Neutral
STOCH65.32Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RKDA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, below the 50-day MA of 0.29, and below the 200-day MA of 0.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RKDA.

Arcadia Biosciences Risk Analysis

Arcadia Biosciences disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arcadia Biosciences reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Arcadia Biosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

RKDA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
CTVACTVA59Neutral$8.10B7.843.55%1.18%1.05%-51.65%
RKDARKDA44Neutral$572.91K-0.02-339.85%―-12.24%17.56%
SEEDSEED42Neutral$9.41M-0.7188.44%―-25.50%-905.27%
FMCFMC39Underperform$878.91M-0.16-308.88%6.32%-21.99%-677.23%
BIOXBIOX38Underperform$14.85M-0.06-216.09%―-26.10%14.85%
AVDAVD37Underperform$25.98M-0.44-32.98%―-5.79%46.69%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%RKDAAVDFMCSEEDBIOXCTVADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
RKDA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RKDAArcadia Biosciences Inc.0.22-3.55-94.11%
AVDAmerican Vanguard Corporation0.90-4.18-82.26%
FMCFMC Corp5.06-8.48-62.63%
SEEDOrigin Agritech0.66-0.76-53.52%
BIOXBioceres Crop Solutions0.22-1.46-86.79%
CTVACorteva9.19-0.62-6.31%

Arcadia Biosciences Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split

Arcadia Biosciences Shareholders Approve Governance and Capital Moves

Positive
Sep 15, 2026

At Arcadia Biosciences’ Annual Meeting held on September 10, 2026, stockholders representing about 52.3% of outstanding common shares participated in votes on a series of corporate governance and capital structure proposals. Gregory D. Waller was ele...

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Arcadia Biosciences Receives Nasdaq Listing Compliance Notice

Negative
Sep 4, 2026

On August 31, 2026, Arcadia Biosciences disclosed that Nasdaq had notified the company its stockholders’ equity, reported at $633,000 as of June 30, 2026, fell below the $2.5 million minimum required for continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026