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RedHill Biopharma (RDHL) AI Stock Analysis

RDHL

RedHill Biopharma

(NASDAQ:RDHL)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:$0.42â–¼(-6.11% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/09/26

The overall score of 38 is heavily weighed down by extreme fundamental distress. The most significant factor is the 97% collapse in year-over-year revenue and persistent cash burn, raising serious viability concerns. Secondary factors include deeply negative profitability metrics and long-term bearish technical trends, leaving the stock with no notable strengths.

Positive Factors
GI portfolio repositioningAcquiring exclusive commercialization rights to established GI products gives RedHill a more substantial commercial platform than its recent revenue base. Rebyota and Clenpiq offer existing sales, regulatory approvals, payer coverage, and a foundation for scaling revenue through focused commercialization.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue contractionThe sharp top-line decline indicates that RedHill’s prior revenue base was not durable and leaves the company needing successful commercialization of newer assets. Until replacement revenue scales, the contraction limits operating leverage, weakens earnings visibility, and increases dependence on external funding.

RedHill Biopharma (RDHL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%RDHL-65.14%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$1.22M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-2.9
Beta (1Y)
1.96
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
13
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

RedHill Biopharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

RedHill Biopharma Ltd. is a specialized pharmaceutical firm concentrating its efforts mainly on therapies for digestive tract conditions and various infections. The company markets several gastrointestinal medications: Movantik, which addresses opioi...

RedHill Biopharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Reflects extreme financial distress driven by a 97% revenue collapse and relentless cash burn, overshadowing a marginal recovery in equity.

Income Statement

10Very Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

15Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.55M286.00K8.04M6.53M61.80M85.76M
Gross Profit6.16M286.00K4.85M3.07M28.46M36.35M
EBITDA-7.82M-7.65M-7.59M26.27M-22.18M-63.03M
Net Income-9.31M-429.00K-8.27M23.92M-71.67M-97.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.38M25.34M18.04M23.05M158.87M181.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.87M3.97M4.62M6.36M19.98M38.00M
Total Debt214.00K1.07M356.00K1.17M122.69M87.81M
Total Liabilities22.79M21.08M22.73M20.98M207.27M172.31M
Stockholders Equity-4.41M4.27M-4.68M2.07M-48.40M8.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.21M-9.66M-9.38M-35.83M-29.38M-65.16M
Operating Cash Flow-8.20M-9.65M-9.37M-35.82M-29.18M-65.05M
Investing Cash Flow-12.00K1.69M-9,0003,9898.30M-8.14M
Financing Cash Flow3.78M7.32M8.42M21.38M11.45M73.46M

RedHill Biopharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.44

Price Trends

50DMA0.56Negative
100DMA0.64Negative
200DMA0.81Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Positive
RSI33.74Neutral
STOCH20.49Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RDHL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.48, below the 50-day MA of 0.56, and below the 200-day MA of 0.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RDHL.

RedHill Biopharma Risk Analysis

RedHill Biopharma disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RedHill Biopharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our limited operating history, especially under current COVID-19 pandemic conditions, makes it difficult to evaluate our business and prospects.Q4, 2021
2.The license agreements we maintain, including our license agreement with Cosmo, may be amended or terminated. If we or the other parties to our license agreements amend or terminate the license agreements, the development, testing, manufacture, production and sale of our products or product candidates may be delayed or terminated, and our business may be adversely affected.Q4, 2021
3.Supply chain and shipping disruptions may result in shipping delays, a significant increase in shipping costs, and could increase product costs and result in lost sales and reputational damage, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and financial condition.Q4, 2021

RedHill Biopharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

RDHL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TAKTAK67Neutral$67.25B27.165.07%3.37%0.67%-12.01%
TEVATEVA65Neutral$47.43B70.179.18%―4.40%―
IRWDIRWD64Neutral$578.34M4.40-57.40%―26.19%―
PRGOPRGO58Neutral$2.19B-1.26-55.97%7.35%-4.18%-2138.82%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
SIGASIGA47Neutral$218.42M-69.72-1.53%―-70.13%-103.41%
RDHLRDHL38Underperform$3.45M-2.85206.75%―――

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%RDHLIRWDPRGOSIGATEVATAKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
RDHL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RDHLRedHill Biopharma Ltd0.39-0.69-64.17%
IRWDIronwood Pharmaceuticals3.501.6387.17%
PRGOPerrigo Company15.78-2.67-14.47%
SIGASiga Technologies3.04-4.16-57.78%
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited42.0923.59127.51%
TAKTakeda Pharmaceutical Company20.917.3554.20%

RedHill Biopharma Corporate Events

RedHill Biopharma Reports RHB-204 MAP-Killing Confirmation

Nov 2, 2026

RedHill Biopharma is a specialty biopharmaceutical company developing oral antimicrobial therapies, including RHB-204 and RHB-104, with a focus on MAP-related Crohn’s disease and mycobacterial infections. Its lead RHB-204 is a fixed-dose combin...

RedHill Biopharma Regains Global Rights to RHB-102 After Hyloris Deal Termination

Oct 21, 2026

On October 15, 2026, RedHill Biopharma terminated its License & Development Agreement with Hyloris Pharmaceuticals covering exclusive rights to RHB-102 outside North America, a deal originally signed in February 2025. As part of the mutual termin...

RedHill Biopharma Backs $2.9 Million NCI-Funded Opaganib–CAR T Trial in Ultra-High-Risk Myeloma

Oct 19, 2026

On October 19, 2026, RedHill Biopharma announced that its partner, the University of Oklahoma, received a five-year $2.9 million grant from the National Cancer Institute to clinically evaluate opaganib in combination with CAR T-cell therapy in ultra-...

RedHill Biopharma Expands U.S. ATM ADS Offering With New Prospectus Supplement

Oct 13, 2026

On October 13, 2026, RedHill Biopharma filed a prospectus supplement in the United States to increase the maximum aggregate amount of American Depositary Shares that can be sold under its existing at-the-market offering agreement with H.C. Wainwright...

RedHill Biopharma Wins Nasdaq Bid-Price Compliance Extension to April 2027

Oct 7, 2026

On October 6, 2026, RedHill Biopharma reported it received a notification from Nasdaq granting an additional 180 days, until April 5, 2027, to regain compliance with the exchange’s $1.00 minimum bid price requirement for its American Depositary...

RedHill Biopharma Reshapes GI Portfolio With Asset Sale and New Licensing Deals

Sep 30, 2026

On August 27, 2026, RedHill Biopharma completed the sale of its 70% stake in Talicia Holdings Inc. to a subsidiary of Apotex Health Corp. for an upfront $18 million and up to $35 million in potential milestone payments tied to worldwide net sales. Th...

RedHill Biopharma Reshapes GI Portfolio With Rebyota, Clenpiq Deal and Talicia Sale

Sep 30, 2026

RedHill Biopharma reported on September 30, 2026 that it has executed a full strategic portfolio reset, transforming itself into a more focused commercial GI player centered on Rebyota and Clenpiq. The company paid Ferring Pharmaceuticals $12 million...

RedHill Biopharma Inks 13-Year Global Deal for Ferring’s Rebyota and U.S. Rights to Clenpiq

Sep 1, 2026

On September 1, 2026, RedHill Biopharma said it had completed a major strategic shift in its GI business by divesting its Talicia product and redeploying $12 million of the $18 million proceeds to acquire exclusive global commercialization rights to...

RedHill Biopharma Sells Talicia Stake to Apotex for $18 Million Upfront

Aug 31, 2026

RedHill Biopharma, a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on U.S. development and commercialization of gastrointestinal, infectious disease and oncology drugs, has built a late-stage pipeline that includes oral agents such as opaganib, RHB-102...

RedHill Biopharma Shareholders Approve Leadership Changes and Share Structure Amendment

Aug 7, 2026

At an adjourned Annual General Meeting held on August 7, 2026, RedHill Biopharma shareholders approved all resolutions, including the reappointment of Kesselman & Kesselman, a member of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, as the company...

RedHill Biopharma Reschedules Quorum-Delayed AGM to August 7

Aug 6, 2026

RedHill Biopharma announced that its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, scheduled for August 6, 2026, was adjourned due to the absence of a legally required quorum. The company said the meeting will reconvene on August 7, 2026, at 3:00 p.m. Isra...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026