Want to see PSMT full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Pricesmart
(NASDAQ:PSMT)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$188.00
▲(6.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/09/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial health (notably strong balance-sheet positioning) and a positive, growth-leaning earnings outlook with strong comps, membership, and digital trends. Technicals also support the view with a clear uptrend. These positives are tempered by a rich valuation (high P/E, low yield) and cash-flow/margin pressures highlighted in the financial statements and call.
Positive Factors
Membership durability
Growing membership, accelerating membership income, and a record renewal rate support a durable recurring revenue stream. The expanding member base and higher-tier adoption can reinforce customer loyalty, improve club economics, and provide a stable contribution alongside merchandise sales.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Recent gross- and operating-margin deterioration shows that sales growth is not fully translating into profitability. If pricing, product mix, or cost headwinds persist, weaker margins could limit earnings growth and reduce the cash available for expansion and member-value investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Membership durability
Growing membership, accelerating membership income, and a record renewal rate support a durable recurring revenue stream. The expanding member base and higher-tier adoption can reinforce customer loyalty, improve club economics, and provide a stable contribution alongside merchandise sales.
Read all positive factors
Pricesmart (PSMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.20B
Dividend Yield0.83%
Average Volume (3M)219.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)32.4
Beta (1Y)0.49
Revenue Growth10.18%
EPS Growth9.70%
CountryUS
Employees13,000
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryDiscount Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)5.21
Shares Outstanding30,860,523
10 Day Avg. Volume210,380
30 Day Avg. Volume219,437
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio4.07
Price to Book (P/B)2.58
Price to Sales (P/S)0.61
P/FCF Ratio31.25
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$181.50Price Target Upside2.42% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)6.42
Revenue Forecast (FY)$6.46B
Pricesmart Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
PriceSmart, Inc. owns and operates U.S.-style membership shopping warehouse clubs in the United States, Central America, the Caribbean, and Colombia. The company provides basic and private label merchandise and consumable and non-consumable produc...
How the Company Makes Money
PriceSmart generates revenue primarily through (1) sales of merchandise to members in its warehouse club stores and (2) membership fees. Merchandise sales are the largest component of revenue and come from selling goods across key categories such ...
Pricesmart Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 08, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a largely positive operational and financial picture: strong top-line growth, improved margins, digital momentum, membership strength, and progress on strategic expansion (Chile, DCs, private label, technology). Challenges are primarily related to currency volatility and FX costs, higher inventory and preopening costs, localized margin pressure in Colombia from wage and labor-hour changes, and increased investing cash use. Overall the upbeat sales, margin improvements, membership metrics, and disciplined investment roadmap outweigh the transitory and market-driven headwinds.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q3 net merchandise sales and total revenue reached nearly $1.5B. Net merchandise sales increased 12.5% (8.5% constant currency) and comparable net merchandise sales increased 10.7% (6.9% constant currency). For the first nine months, net merchandise sales were almost $4.3B (up 11.0% / 8.6% CC) and total revenue almost $4.4B.
Negative Updates
Foreign Currency and FX Transaction Costs
Total other expense was a $10.5M net loss in Q3 versus $7.2M prior year, primarily due to increased foreign currency transaction costs. The company still holds TTD 44.1M in Trinidad-denominated cash/investments that cannot be readily converted to USD.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q3 net merchandise sales and total revenue reached nearly $1.5B. Net merchandise sales increased 12.5% (8.5% constant currency) and comparable net merchandise sales increased 10.7% (6.9% constant currency). For the first nine months, net merchandise sales were almost $4.3B (up 11.0% / 8.6% CC) and total revenue almost $4.4B.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's forward-looking commentary was constructive: they said comps are trending into Q4 with comparable net merchandise sales for the four weeks ended June 28 up 11.2% (6.5% constant currency), following Q3 comps of +10.7% (+6.9% cc) on Q3 net merchandise sales of almost $1.5B (+12.5% / +8.5% cc); they plan to open six additional clubs to bring total clubs to 63, and expect to invest roughly $100 million of CapEx on Chile's first three clubs and central office over the next several fiscal years. Key operational milestones and timing included completing RELEX in Q2 FY2027, opening a Jamaica distribution center in FY2026 and a Dominican Republic DC in FY2027, and consolidating the Miami cold DC into the Miami dry facility in FY2027 to lower landed costs; they also flagged a ~10 basis‑point SG&A preopening impact from Chile. Digital and membership growth underpin the outlook: digital sales hit $99.6M (+26.2%) or 6.9% of net merchandise sales, online orders +20.3%, accounts exceeded 2.1M (+8.6%), Platinum members rose to 21.3% (from 16.1%), membership income +17.6% with membership income steady at 1.7% of revenue and a 12‑month renewal rate at a record 90.5%. Financial metrics cited to support the stance included Q3 adjusted EBITDA $90.4M (+14.5%), operating income $65.6M (4.4% of revenue), net income $39.7M ($1.28/share), and liquidity of $254.6M cash + $113.7M short‑term investments, while management emphasized that ongoing supply‑chain and tech investments should improve availability and reduce landed costs over time.Pricesmart Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Aug 2025 | Aug 2024 | Aug 2023 | Aug 2022 | Aug 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.69B | 5.27B | 4.91B | 4.41B | 4.07B | 3.62B |
| Gross Profit | 1.00B | 914.37M | 846.92M | 758.57M | 679.53M | 642.13M |
| EBITDA | 342.07M | 306.17M | 297.00M | 252.93M | 233.90M | 219.38M |
| Net Income | 158.41M | 144.90M | 137.12M | 107.89M | 103.29M | 96.68M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.60B | 2.27B | 2.02B | 2.01B | 1.81B | 1.71B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 322.19M | 325.27M | 225.53M | 331.06M | 248.87M | 252.29M |
| Total Debt | 325.45M | 329.06M | 249.63M | 278.18M | 281.36M | 267.29M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.21B | 1.02B | 899.73M | 898.57M | 817.33M | 789.58M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.39B | 1.25B | 1.12B | 1.11B | 991.07M | 915.35M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 73.73M | 103.17M | 39.04M | 114.82M | 1.17M | 13.99M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 274.36M | 261.31M | 207.59M | 257.33M | 121.83M | 127.17M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -222.15M | -128.88M | -175.45M | -222.08M | -74.76M | -116.72M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 9.34M | 14.20M | -150.03M | -41.05M | -12.21M | -95.14M |
Pricesmart Technical Analysis
Negative
177.21
Price Trends
179.08
Negative
175.84
Negative
159.40
Positive
Market Momentum
-2.85
Negative
40.70
Neutral
13.23
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 177.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 171.45, below the 50-day MA of 179.08, and above the 200-day MA of 159.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.23 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSMT.
Pricesmart Risk Analysis
Pricesmart disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pricesmart reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Pricesmart Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 Outperform | $397.05B | 44.97 | 28.27% | 0.62% | 9.23% | 12.69% | |
73 Outperform | $5.20B | 32.37 | 12.01% | 0.83% | 10.18% | 9.70% | |
69 Neutral | $11.62B | 19.96 | 27.35% | ― | 9.09% | 4.77% | |
68 Neutral | $71.87B | 16.34 | 26.66% | 2.89% | 1.95% | 12.49% | |
67 Neutral | $846.77B | 38.53 | 22.74% | 0.92% | 6.16% | 4.00% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
62 Neutral | $5.58B | -30.41 | -72.30% | ― | 49.73% | -2843.22% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
PSMT
Pricesmart
168.66
54.00
47.09%
COST
Costco
895.31
-42.48
-4.53%
TGT
Target
158.19
75.00
90.15%
WMT
Walmart
106.73
4.77
4.68%
BJ
Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings
92.03
-4.40
-4.56%
TBBB
BBB Foods, Inc. Class A
51.35
25.50
98.65%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.