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Peraso (PRSO) AI Stock Analysis

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PRSO

Peraso

(NASDAQ:PRSO)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:$0.34â–¼(-11.52% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

PRSO scores low primarily due to weak financial performance (shrinking revenue, very large operating losses, and significant ongoing cash burn). Technicals also weigh on the score with the stock trading below all key moving averages and negative MACD. Offsetting factors include strong gross margins and a more constructive recent narrative from the earnings call (sequential improvement and defense/UAV product traction), supported by a new $10M strategic private placement that improves near-term liquidity—though dilution and visibility risks remain.

Positive Factors
Strong Gross MarginSolid gross margins indicate Peraso’s mmWave products can retain meaningful value relative to revenue, providing potential operating leverage if volumes improve. The margin profile supports reinvestment and suggests future growth could contribute more effectively toward covering the company’s fixed cost base.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction and Deep LossesShrinking revenue alongside very large operating and net losses shows that Peraso has not yet achieved a scale-supported business model. Unless demand and volume recover, the current cost structure will continue to absorb gross profit and limit the company’s ability to build durable earnings.

Peraso (PRSO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-50%0%50%100%150%PRSO-57.51%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$5.77M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.30M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.6
Beta (1Y)
1.13
Revenue Growth
-38.47%
EPS Growth
61.35%
Country
US
Employees
42
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Semiconductors

Peraso Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Peraso Inc. operates as a fabless semiconductor company, specializing in the design and sale of semiconductor devices and modules. A key area of its expertise is millimeter-wave (mmWave) technology, particularly for the 60-gigahertz frequency band an...

Peraso Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-46.72%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mixed picture: near‑term financials show sequential improvement (revenue up ~36% q/q, higher gross margins, reduced sequential loss) and meaningful strategic progress (new PRM2145 module, >50 Gbps demo, defense revenue and partnerships, manufacturing scalability, and a $25M committed equity facility). However, these positives are tempered by a significant year‑over‑year revenue decline (~‑40.9% YoY), ongoing net losses and negative adjusted EBITDA, irregular order patterns from fixed wireless customers, and supply constraints (memory shortages) that limit near‑term visibility and warranted the decision to not provide guidance. Overall the company has encouraging strategic momentum and improved sequential execution, but material financial and demand uncertainties remain.

Positive Updates

Sequential Revenue Growth
Total net revenue of $1.3M in Q2 2026 increased approximately 36% sequentially from $1.0M (driven by fulfillment of a previously delayed order). Product revenue rose to $1.2M from $0.7M in the prior quarter (≈+71%).

Negative Updates

Year‑over‑Year Revenue Decline
Total net revenue of $1.3M in Q2 2026 decreased from $2.2M in Q2 2025, a decline of approximately 40.9% year‑over‑year; product revenue followed the same trend (from $2.2M to $1.2M).

Company Guidance

Peraso said it will not provide quarterly guidance due to insufficient visibility from irregular order patterns, but offered directional metrics and near‑term expectations: Q2 revenue was $1.3M (up ≈36% sequential), product revenue $1.2M, gross margin 63.7% (vs 61.5% prior quarter), GAAP operating expenses $3.1M (non‑GAAP OpEx ~$2.9M run‑rate), GAAP net loss $2.2M (‑$0.16/share) and non‑GAAP net loss $2.1M (‑$0.15/share) with adjusted EBITDA of ‑$2.0M; cash was ~$3.3M at June 30 (vs $2.7M at March 31; net cash increase ~$0.6M driven by ~$2.4M ATM proceeds), weighted average shares ~14.1M, total shares outstanding ~15.1M, and manufacturing capacity of ~30k–50k units/month (scalable toward 100k/month). Looking ahead, management expects supply dislocations and elevated memory prices to likely extend into Q4, believes PRM2145 modules will be available for customer evaluation in Q4, anticipates some ground‑based defense shipments potentially late this year with drone shipments ramping in Q1–Q2 next year, and has a committed ROTH equity facility for up to $25M to support growth.

Peraso Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are weak: TTM revenue declined to $8.4M (~-9.8%) and profitability is deeply negative (EBIT margin ~-83%, net margin ~-86%). Cash flow is a major risk with TTM operating cash flow of about -$6.5M and free cash flow of about -$6.9M, indicating ongoing financing dependence. The main offset is a relatively clean balance sheet with minimal debt (~$0.13M vs. ~$4.9M equity; debt-to-equity ~0.03), but returns remain very weak (ROE around -1.61).

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.37M12.19M14.57M13.75M14.87M5.68M
Gross Profit4.74M7.07M7.53M1.87M5.95M2.41M
EBITDA-6.74M-4.49M-6.46M-17.22M-21.87M-6.56M
Net Income-7.17M-4.75M-10.73M-16.80M-32.40M-10.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.79M6.08M7.21M10.71M22.49M47.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.32M2.89M3.34M1.58M2.91M15.16M
Total Debt128.00K192.00K321.00K719.00K1.49M667.00K
Total Liabilities1.86M1.44M3.74M6.63M7.23M5.88M
Stockholders Equity4.92M4.64M3.47M4.08M15.26M42.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.87M-5.72M-4.58M-4.78M-17.03M-12.25M
Operating Cash Flow-6.53M-5.61M-4.58M-4.69M-16.02M-12.02M
Investing Cash Flow-342.00K-107.00K01.01M10.04M6.63M
Financing Cash Flow8.43M5.26M6.34M3.44M1.92M9.57M

Peraso Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.38

Price Trends

50DMA0.45Negative
100DMA0.58Negative
200DMA0.80Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Positive
RSI45.99Neutral
STOCH31.32Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRSO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.40, below the 50-day MA of 0.45, and below the 200-day MA of 0.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRSO.

Peraso Risk Analysis

Peraso disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Peraso reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The issuance and sale of our common stock to Roth Principal Investments may cause dilution to our other stockholders and the sale of the shares of common stock acquired by Roth Principal Investments, or the perception that such sales may occur, could cause the price of our common stock to decrease.Q2, 2026
2.Our recent reduction in force undertaken to significantly reduce our ongoing operating expenses may not result in our intended outcomes and may yield unintended consequences and additional costs.Q3, 2024
3.We currently maintain and may expand operations outside of the United States which exposes us to significant risks.Q3, 2024

Peraso Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

PRSO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
MRAMMRAM52Neutral$310.35M-33.57-14.09%―28.74%-1527.71%
PXLWPXLW52Neutral$44.10M0.59434.73%―――
LEDSLEDS49Neutral$19.69M-17.46-43.09%―-16.64%-79.86%
SQNSSQNS48Neutral$38.14M-0.22-216.12%―-6.10%―
VLNVLN44Neutral$175.41M-4.58-31.56%―12.36%-0.38%
PRSOPRSO43Neutral$5.29M-0.56-161.43%―-38.47%61.35%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%400%PRSOPXLWLEDSSQNSMRAMVLNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
PRSO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PRSOPeraso, Inc.0.38-0.47-55.06%
PXLWPixelworks6.410.233.72%
LEDSSemiLEDs Corporation2.27-0.18-7.35%
SQNSSequans Communications S2.44-3.98-61.99%
MRAMEverspin Technologies Inc13.454.9558.24%
VLNValens1.43-0.29-16.86%

Peraso Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing

Peraso Completes $10 Million Private Placement with Nant Capital

Neutral
Nov 3, 2026

On October 28, 2026, Peraso completed a private placement with Nant Capital, LLC, issuing 3,271,355 common shares, pre-funded warrants for up to 16,593,563 shares and common warrants for up to 19,864,918 shares. The financing generated approximately...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing

Peraso Announces Strategic Private Placement with Nant Capital

Positive
Oct 26, 2026

On October 26, 2026, Peraso entered a definitive securities purchase agreement for a $10 million strategic private placement from Nant Capital, structured as common shares, pre‑funded warrants and two‑year common warrants at prices tied to Peraso’s O...

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings

Peraso CFO Resignation and Interim Leadership Transition

Neutral
Sep 11, 2026

On September 8, 2026, Peraso announced that Chief Financial Officer and Secretary James Sullivan had tendered his resignation from the company and its subsidiaries, effective October 2, 2026, citing personal reasons and no disagreements over operatio...

Executive/Board Changes

Peraso Board Approves Modest Executive Leadership Pay Increases

Positive
Aug 21, 2026

On August 21, 2026, Peraso Inc.’s compensation committee approved a five percent increase in annual base salary for its executive officers, retroactive to July 1, 2026, raising CEO Ronald Glibbery’s pay to $420,000, CFO James Sullivan’s to $320,250 a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026