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Asseco Poland SA (ACP) AI Stock Analysis

PL:ACP

Asseco Poland SA

(Warsaw:ACP)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:PLN 222.00▼(-10.88% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:09/16/25

The score is driven primarily by stable financials—consistent revenue and margins, manageable debt, but with declining equity returns and recent cash flow concerns. Technical analysis is neutral due to missing indicators, and the company is moderately valued offering only average income, resulting in a balanced but unspectacular risk/reward profile.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthConsistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective business model, supporting long-term financial stability.
Negative Factors
Increasing Debt LevelsRising debt levels can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Asseco Poland SA (ACP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%PL:ACP+24.28%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
PLN 4.59B
Dividend Yield
5.34%
Average Volume (3M)
151.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.7
Beta (1Y)
1.00
Revenue Growth
1.52%
EPS Growth
106.58%
Country
PL
Employees
30,932
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Asseco Poland SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Asseco Poland S.A. is a prominent information technology (IT) firm specializing in the creation and distribution of software solutions, with significant operations in its home country of Poland and an extensive international presence. Its business ac...

How the Company Makes Money

Asseco Poland SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, implementation services, and ongoing maintenance and support contracts. The company earns income from both one-time sales and recurring subscription models. Key reven...

Asseco Poland SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:3.88%|Next Earnings Date:May 23, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call portrayed a strong operational and financial quarter with record top-line and profit growth, margin expansion, healthy backlog expansion and constructive M&A, supported by diversified segment strength (public sector, finance, ERP). Key negatives were mainly timing and one-off items: elevated Q2 tax from a Sapiens dividend, impairments/write-downs (notably Asseco Spain), and temporary cash/working-capital pressure at Matrix (Formula Systems) driven by factoring and late public payments. Management framed many negatives as cyclical, one-off or addressed by ongoing actions. Overall, the positive operational momentum, margin improvement and backlog growth substantially outweigh the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Record high revenue and profitability
Group revenue rose 16% year-on-year to PLN 9.25 billion; operating profit increased ~38% to above PLN 1.08 billion; net profit increased ~52% to PLN 430 million.

Negative Updates

Weak cash generation and working capital timing in Formula Systems / Matrix
Matrix IT within Formula Systems showed poor cash generation in the 6-month period due to prior-year factoring and late payments from public sector clients; Formula Systems cash conversion lagged peers (~84–93%), lowering consolidated cash ratios and creating seasonality/collection timing issues.

Company Guidance

Management gave a cautious but positive outlook rather than formal guidance, saying 2026 looks “very decent” while flagging seasonal cash pickup in Q3/Q4 and plans to convert one‑off public‑sector work into recurring revenue; they highlighted H1 metrics of PLN 9.25bn revenue (+16% YoY), operating profit >PLN 1.08bn (+38%), and net profit ~PLN 430–460m (+~52%), with non‑IFRS EBITDA PLN 1.5bn, non‑IFRS EBIT PLN 1.24bn and non‑IFRS net profit PLN 485m, 5‑yr revenue CAGR 6% (software/proprietary services 7%); FX helped with +PLN 284m sales / +PLN 29m non‑IFRS op profit, organic delta was +PLN 855m sales / +PLN 243m op profit and post‑June acquisitions added +PLN 121m sales / +PLN 35m op profit; order backlog up ~12% (fixed FX) / 18% (variable FX) overall with Asseco Poland +21%, Asseco International ~+10–11% and Formula Systems ~+10–20%, cash conversion ~105% group (113% Poland, 133% International, ~84–93% Formula) and proportional net cash ~PLN 1.3bn after Q2 dividends.

Asseco Poland SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Asseco Poland SA shows stable revenues, solid sector margins, prudent leverage, and good solvency. However, return on equity is declining, and recent cash flow weakness points to emerging liquidity pressures despite an overall mature and stable financial profile.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

61Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.04B16.78B17.13B16.90B17.37B14.50B
Gross Profit3.71B3.62B3.89B3.73B3.78B3.24B
EBITDA2.47B2.36B2.71B2.59B2.76B2.24B
Net Income1.29B1.14B519.90M482.80M502.30M467.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.77B23.06B20.32B18.84B20.13B18.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.36B7.31B3.53B3.30B3.75B3.20B
Total Debt3.64B3.31B3.91B4.10B3.97B3.43B
Total Liabilities10.59B10.17B10.68B9.77B9.92B8.92B
Stockholders Equity6.96B7.43B5.50B5.30B6.55B6.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.02B2.59B1.99B2.28B1.43B1.47B
Operating Cash Flow2.25B2.88B2.35B2.49B1.85B1.59B
Investing Cash Flow1.59B1.66B-508.10M-893.20M-490.60M-599.90M
Financing Cash Flow-1.51B-541.70M-1.61B-1.93B-809.80M-983.20M

Asseco Poland SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price249.10

Price Trends

50DMA231.04Positive
100DMA212.18Positive
200DMA193.57Positive

Market Momentum

MACD6.40Negative
RSI60.97Neutral
STOCH66.45Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PL:ACP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 249.10 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 234.17, above the 50-day MA of 231.04, and above the 200-day MA of 193.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PL:ACP.

Asseco Poland SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

PL:ACP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
PL:ACPPL:ACP58NeutralPLN 20.29B13.6618.50%5.34%1.52%106.58%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%PL:ACPPL:SPRPL:ABSPL:ALLPL:FABPL:QNTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
PL:ACP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PL:ACPAsseco Poland SA244.5047.2123.93%
PL:SPRSpyroSoft SA319.00-179.00-35.94%
PL:ABSAsseco Business Solutions SA87.003.504.19%
PL:ALLAilleron SA16.360.925.96%
PL:FABFabrity Holding S.A.26.802.419.87%
PL:QNTQuantum software S.A.41.6017.3071.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025