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Peoples Financial (PFBX) AI Stock Analysis

PFBX

Peoples Financial

(Other OTC:PFBX)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$22.50â–¼(-6.25% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

PFBX scores below average, driven primarily by deteriorating financial performance and an unattractive valuation. Revenue is contracting, margins are compressing, and the P/E of 28.4x is well above regional bank norms despite weakening fundamentals — this valuation disconnect is the most significant risk. The near-zero debt and strong equity base provide meaningful downside protection, preventing a lower score. Technical indicators are neutral-to-mildly positive, with the stock in a gentle uptrend but lacking strong momentum. The very low beta limits both upside and downside volatility. Overall, PFBX offers balance sheet safety but lacks the earnings growth, capital efficiency, and valuation support needed to warrant a higher score.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageMinimal reported debt reduces solvency risk and interest burden, giving the bank greater flexibility to absorb credit or funding stress and support lending. Stable to modestly higher equity further reinforces its conservative financial position.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionDeclining revenue signals weaker loan demand, spread income, or fee generation and limits operating leverage. If this persists, it could pressure profitability and reduce the bank’s ability to grow its deposit, lending, and service franchise.

Peoples Financial (PFBX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%PFBX+19.86%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$110.82M
Dividend Yield
1.50%
Average Volume (3M)
1,105
Price to Earnings (P/E)
26.7
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
-8.85%
EPS Growth
-11.60%
Country
US
Employees
131
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Peoples Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Peoples Financial Corporation functions as the bank holding company for The Peoples Bank, delivering a comprehensive suite of banking, financial, and trust services. These offerings cater to individuals, governmental bodies, and both small and commer...

How the Company Makes Money

PFBX makes money primarily through its banking subsidiary by earning interest and fees from providing financial products and services. The core revenue stream is net interest income: the bank collects interest on loans and other interest-earning asse...

Peoples Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak overall. The income statement is the primary concern, with revenue declining -8.4% and net margins compressing to ~15.5% from normalized levels near 23.6%. The 2024 results were inflated by a likely one-time gain, masking an even weaker underlying trend. The balance sheet is a clear strength — virtually no debt and growing equity to $101.4M — but ROE has fallen to just 3.7%, indicating poor capital deployment. Cash flow generation is declining, with TTM operating cash flow of only $4.4M on a $771M asset base. The fortress balance sheet provides downside protection, but deteriorating revenue, margins, and cash flows weigh heavily on the score.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.90M27.51M39.45M38.90M30.10M26.41M
Gross Profit27.79M27.51M29.97M33.02M27.86M31.25M
EBITDA5.72M6.44M10.12M12.90M8.20M10.65M
Net Income3.70M3.91M21.70M9.17M8.94M8.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets771.02M729.24M831.85M797.74M861.64M818.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments356.48M162.07M416.39M362.27M383.00M426.79M
Total Debt38.50M800.00K018.50M0889.00K
Total Liabilities669.32M628.58M741.85M728.46M806.45M727.22M
Stockholders Equity101.39M100.67M90.00M69.28M55.19M91.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.37M4.20M5.06M6.51M5.74M2.64M
Operating Cash Flow4.44M4.50M6.03M9.05M7.91M4.58M
Investing Cash Flow-1.07M24.50M68.01M62.38M-104.23M-196.25M
Financing Cash Flow2.30M-117.16M10.91M-81.47M79.16M150.11M

Peoples Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price24.00

Price Trends

50DMA24.01Negative
100DMA23.19Positive
200DMA22.08Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI51.04Neutral
STOCH74.60Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PFBX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.92, below the 50-day MA of 24.01, and above the 200-day MA of 22.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PFBX.

Peoples Financial Risk Analysis

Peoples Financial disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Peoples Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Peoples Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

PFBX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AUBNAUBN77Outperform$90.49M10.249.42%4.24%-1.64%21.56%
LSBKLSBK75Outperform$145.41M16.747.78%1.92%4.31%24.16%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
PBHCPBHC58Neutral$106.74M2342.47-5.76%2.40%-6.61%-78.36%
PFBXPFBX46Neutral$111.93M26.674.14%1.50%-8.85%-11.60%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%PFBXAUBNLSBKPBHCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
PFBX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PFBXPeoples Financial24.004.1020.60%
AUBNAuburn National Bancorporation25.500.692.79%
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp18.754.9035.41%
PBHCPathfinder16.952.2215.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026