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Oramed Pharm (ORMP) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Debt & Financing - Risk 1We may have difficulty realizing the full value of the Warrants.
The Closing Penny Warrant will be exercisable upon the earliest of (i) March 14, 2025, (ii) the date on which the Note has been repaid in full, and (iii) the Management Sale Trigger Date (as defined therein), if any, and will expire on the date that is the fifth anniversary of the issuance date. For purposes of the Penny Warrants, the Management Sale Trigger Date is generally the first date that certain members of Scilex management engage in certain sales or other similar transfers of shares of Scilex Common Stock or other of Scilex's or any of its subsidiaries' securities, subject to certain exceptions as are customary for lock-up agreements executed by directors and officers in connection with financings or similar transactions. The Subsequent Penny Warrants will vest and become exercisable on the date that is the later of (i) Subsequent Penny Warrant Vesting Date, and (ii) the earliest of (A) March 14, 2025, (B) the date on which the Note has been repaid in full and (C) the Management Sale Trigger Date, if any. Each Subsequent Penny Warrant will expire on the date that is the fifth anniversary of the issuance date; provided that, if the Note is repaid in full prior to the Subsequent Penny Warrant Vesting Date applicable to such Subsequent Penny Warrant, such Subsequent Penny Warrant will expire on the date the Note is repaid in full. The Transferred Warrants are listed on Nasdaq, have an exercise price of $11.50 per share, are fully exercisable, and expire on November 10, 2027. Because of the foregoing restrictions on exercisability of the Closing Penny Warrant and the Subsequent Penny Warrants, and exercise price of the Transferred Warrants, we may not be able to exercise the Warrants for shares of Scilex Common Stock at a time when it would be financially beneficial for us to do so. Accordingly, there is no guarantee that we will be able to realize the full or any value of the Warrants.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 2We have lent a substantial amount of funds to Scilex. In the event that Scilex is unable to service its obligations under the Note and defaults on such Note, it could have a material adverse effect on our business.
On September 21, 2023, we were issued the Note in an aggregate principal amount of $101,875,000 by Scilex pursuant to the Scilex SPA. The Note matures on March 21, 2025 and is payable in six principal installments, with the first installment paid on December 21, 2023. Interest under the Note accrues at a fluctuating per annum interest rate equal to the sum of (1) the greater of (x) four percent (4%) and (y) Term SOFR (as defined in the Note) and (2) eight and one half percent (8.5%), payable in-kind on a monthly basis. There is no guarantee that Scilex will be able to service its repayment obligations under the Note. Although the Note is secured by a first priority security interest in and liens on all of the assets of Scilex and its subsidiaries, no assurance can be made that Scilex will be able to repay the Note when due or that we will be able to foreclose on such assets and recover enough value upon the sale of such assets to repay the amounts owed to us. In such an event, we could lose all or a substantial portion of our loan investment. Additionally, Scilex has disclosed in its periodic reports filed with the SEC that there is substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern. If Scilex is unable to continue as a going concern or defaults on the Note, we may be unable to recover some or all of the principal amount of the Note, which could have a material adverse affect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3If we fail to complete the transactions contemplated under the JV Agreement with HTIT, if such joint venture is not successful, or if we fail to realize the benefits we anticipate from such joint venture, we may not be able to capitalize on the full market potential of our drug products and technology.
On January 22, 2024, we entered into the JV Agreement with HTIT, pursuant to which, subject to the terms and conditions set forth in the JV Agreement, the parties will establish a JV based on Oramed's oral drug delivery technology. The consummation of the JV Agreement is subject to and contingent upon the parties entering into additional agreements within a three-month period, including an asset transfer agreement for the transfer of Oramed's intellectual property to the JV, a commercial supply agreement for the manufacture and supply of products by HTIT to the JV, as well as other documents and agreements to regulate the relationship of the parties and the JV to be formed pursuant to the JV Agreement. There is no assurance that the parties will complete and sign these additional agreements within the agreed timeline or at all. If such agreements are not signed within the agreed timeframe, then either party may apply a 30-day extension, after which the JV Agreement may be terminated and voided by either party. Thereafter, the consummation of the JV transaction is further subject to the satisfaction or waiver of certain other closing conditions within a three-month period following the completion of the aforesaid ancillary agreements. If the closing conditions are not met within the agreed timeframe, then either party may apply a 30-day extension, after which the JV Agreement may be terminated and voided by either party. If we do not successfully complete the ancillary agreements in a timely manner, or at all, this may harm our ability to complete additional clinical trials and marketing of our oral insulin candidate. In addition, this may cause irreparable harm to our financial position and business operations. Furthermore, there can be no assurances that the JV will receive the necessary regulatory approvals for the Phase 3 oral insulin trial in the United States or that our drug products and our technology will be developed and commercialized successfully. In addition, the JV will subject us to a number of risks including risks relating to the lack of full control of the JV, potential disagreements with HTIT about how to manage the JV that may result in the delay or termination of the commercialization of our products or product candidates or that result in costly litigation or arbitration that diverts management attention and resources, conflicting interests of the JV, and the JV and its business not being profitable. While we believe that our board representation, voting rights and other contractual rights with respect to the JV will serve to mitigate some of these risks, we may have disagreements with the other directors and HTIT that could impair our ability to influence the JV to act in a manner that we believe is in the best interest of the Company.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 42
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Our stockholders may experience significant dilution as a result of any additional financing using our equity securities.
To the extent that we raise additional funds by issuing equity securities, including in connection with any strategic opportunity or pursuant to the ATM Agreement, our stockholders may experience significant dilution. Additionally, we may, from time to time or in connection with a strategic alternative, issue additional shares of common stock at a discount from the current trading price of our common stock. As a result, our stockholders would experience immediate dilution upon the purchase of any shares of our common stock sold at such discount. In addition, as opportunities present themselves, we may enter into financing or similar arrangements in the future, including the issuance of convertible debt securities, preferred stock or common stock. If we issue common stock or securities convertible into common stock, our common stockholders would experience additional dilution and, as a result, our stock price may decline.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2Future sales of common stock or the issuance of securities senior to our common stock or convertible into, or exchangeable or exercisable for, our common stock could materially adversely affect the trading price of our common stock, and our ability to raise funds in new equity offerings.
Future sales of substantial amounts of our common stock, including pursuant to any strategic opportunity, the ATM Agreement (as defined below), or other equity-related securities in the public market or privately, or the perception that such sales could occur, could adversely affect prevailing trading prices of our common stock and could impair our ability to raise capital through future offerings of equity or other equity-related securities. We anticipate that we will need to raise capital through offerings of equity and equity related securities. We can make no prediction as to the effect, if any, that future sales of shares of our common stock or equity-related securities, or the availability of shares of common stock for future sale, will have on the trading price of our common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3As the market price of our common stock may fluctuate significantly, this may make it difficult for you to sell your shares of common stock when you want or at prices you find attractive.
The price of our common stock is currently listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market and on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange and constantly changes. In recent years, the stock market in general has experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations. We expect that the market price of our common stock will continue to fluctuate. These fluctuations may result from a variety of factors, many of which are beyond our control. For example, we experienced a significant decline in the market price of our common stock after announcing the results of our ORA-D-013-1 Phase 3 trial in January 2023. These factors include: - market acceptance of our new strategy, once determined and announced;- clinical trial results and the timing of the release of such results;- the amount of cash resources and our ability to obtain additional funding;- announcements of research activities, business developments, technological innovations or new products by us or our competitors;- entering into or terminating strategic relationships;- changes in government regulation;- departure of key personnel;- disputes concerning patents or proprietary rights;- changes in expense level;- future sales of our equity or equity-related securities;- public concern regarding the safety, efficacy or other aspects of the products or methodologies being developed;- activities of various interest groups or organizations;- media coverage; and - status of the investment markets.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4Our failure to maintain compliance with the Nasdaq Capital Market's continued listing requirements could result in the delisting of our common stock.
Our common stock is currently listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market. In order to maintain this listing, we must satisfy minimum financial and other requirements. Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2) requires the minimum bid price of our common stock on the Nasdaq Capital Market to remain above $1.00. If the bid price of our common stock closes below $1.00 per share for 30 consecutive business days, we would be in violation of Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2). In accordance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5810(c)(3)(A), we would have 180 calendar days to regain compliance with the minimum bid requirement. While we intend to engage in efforts to maintain compliance, and thus maintain our listing, there can be no assurance that we will continue to meet all applicable Nasdaq Capital Market requirements in the future, especially in light of any strategic transaction we may choose to undertake. If our common stock were removed from listing with the Nasdaq Capital Market, it may be subject to the so-called "penny stock" rules. The SEC has adopted regulations that define a "penny stock" to be any equity security that has a market price per share of less than $5.00, subject to certain exceptions, such as any securities listed on a national securities exchange, which is the exception on which we currently rely. For any transaction involving a "penny stock," unless exempt, the rules impose additional sales practice requirements on broker-dealers, subject to certain exceptions. If our common stock were delisted and determined to be a "penny stock," a broker-dealer may find it more difficult to trade our common stock and an investor may find it more difficult to acquire or dispose of our common stock on the secondary market. If our common stock is delisted and there is no longer an active trading market for our shares, it may, among other things: cause stockholders difficulty in selling our shares without depressing the market price for the shares or selling our shares at all; substantially impair our ability to raise additional funds; result in a loss of institutional investor interest and fewer financing opportunities for us; and/or result in costly litigation, significant liabilities and diversion of our management's time and attention and could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, business and results of operations. A delisting would also reduce the value of our equity compensation plans, which could negatively impact our ability to retain employees.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5Our issuance of warrants, options and RSUs to investors, employees and consultants may have a negative effect on the trading prices of our common stock as well as a dilutive effect.
We have issued and may continue to issue warrants, options, RSUs and convertible notes at, above or below the current market price. As of March 26, 2026, we had outstanding warrants exercisable for 20,000 shares of common stock at a weighted average exercise price of $4.13 and options exercisable for 1,548,633 shares of common stock at a weighted average exercise price of $7.1. We also had outstanding RSUs for 1,707,383 shares of common stock. In addition to the dilutive effect of a large number of shares of common stock and a low exercise price for the warrants and options, there is a potential that a large number of underlying shares of common stock may be sold in the open market at any given time, which could place downward pressure on the trading of our common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6Future sales of our common stock by our existing stockholders could adversely affect our stock price.
The market price of our common stock could decline as a result of sales of a large number of shares of our common stock in the market, or the perception that these sales could occur. We experienced a significant decline in the market price of our common stock and a significant increase in trading volume after announcing the results of our ORA-D-013-1 Phase 3 trial in January 2023. Any strategic decision we make as a result of our strategic review process may also negatively affect our common stock price or cause volatility in the market price of our common stock. Sales of large amounts of our securities or large variations in trading volume might make it more difficult for us to sell equity securities in the future at a time and at a price that we deem appropriate. As of March 26, 2026, we had outstanding 40,446,179 shares of common stock, a large majority of which are freely tradable. Giving effect to the exercise in full of all of our outstanding warrants, options and restricted stock units, or RSUs, including those currently unexercisable or unvested, we would have outstanding 45,887,558 shares of common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7Delaware law could discourage a change in control, or an acquisition of us by a third party, even if the acquisition would be favorable to you, and thereby adversely affect existing stockholders.
The Delaware General Corporation Law contains provisions that may have the effect of making more difficult or delaying attempts by others to obtain control of the Company, even when these attempts may be in the best interests of stockholders. Delaware law imposes conditions on certain business combination transactions with "interested stockholders." These provisions and others that could be adopted in the future could deter unsolicited takeovers or delay or prevent changes in our control or management, including transactions in which stockholders might otherwise receive a premium for their shares of common stock over then current market prices. These provisions may also limit the ability of stockholders to approve transactions that they may deem to be in their best interests.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8Our stockholder rights plan, or "poison pill," includes terms and conditions which could discourage a takeover or other transaction that stockholders may consider favorable.
On November 16, 2025, our Board declared a dividend of one common stock purchase right (a "Right") for each outstanding share of common stock. The dividend was paid on November 27, 2025, to the stockholders of record at the close of business on November 27, 2025. Each Right initially entitles the registered holder to purchase from us one share of common stock at a price of $10.00 per share of common stock, subject to adjustment. The description and terms of the Rights are set forth in a Rights Agreement dated as of November 17, 2025, as the same may be amended from time to time, between us and Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Company, as Rights agent. Until the earlier to occur of (i) 10 business days following a public announcement that a person or group of affiliated or associated persons has become a person or group of affiliated or associated persons acquires beneficial ownership of 15% or more of the outstanding shares of common stock (an "Acquiring Person") or (ii) 10 business days (or such later date as may be determined by action of the Board prior to such time as any person or group of affiliated or associated persons becomes an Acquiring Person) following the commencement of, or public announcement of an intention to make, a tender or exchange offer the consummation of which would result in any person or group of affiliated or associated persons becoming an Acquiring Person (the earlier of such dates being called the "Distribution Date"), the Rights will be evidenced, with respect to certificates representing Common Stock (or book entry shares of common stock) outstanding as of the Record Date, by such certificates (or such book entry shares). In the event that any person or group of affiliated or associated persons becomes an Acquiring Person, each holder of a Right, other than Rights beneficially owned by the Acquiring Person (which will thereupon become void), will thereafter have the right to receive upon exercise of a Right that number of shares of common stock (or cash, other assets, debt securities of the Company, or any combination thereof) having a market value of two times the exercise price of the Right. The Rights have certain anti-takeover effects, including potentially discouraging a takeover that stockholders may consider favorable. The Rights will cause substantial dilution to a person or group that attempts to acquire us on terms not approved by the board of directors.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9Our management will have significant flexibility in using the net proceeds of any offering of securities.
We intend generally to use the net proceeds from any offerings of our securities for expenses related to our clinical trials, research and product development activities, and for general corporate purposes, including general working capital purposes. Our management will have significant flexibility in applying the net proceeds of any such offering and we will necessarily be using our capital when we decide on new strategic initiatives. The actual amounts and timing of expenditures will vary significantly depending on a number of factors, including the amount of cash used in our operations and our research and development efforts. Management's failure to use these funds effectively would have an adverse effect on the value of our common stock and could make it more difficult and costly to raise funds in the future.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10It may be difficult to enforce a U.S. judgment against us or our officers and directors and to assert U.S. securities laws claims in Israel.
Almost all of our directors and officers are nationals and/or residents of countries other than the United States. As a result, service of process upon us, our Israeli subsidiary and our directors and officers, may be difficult to obtain within the United States. Furthermore, because the majority of our assets and investments, and most of our directors and officers are located outside the United States, it may be difficult for investors to enforce within the United States any judgments obtained against us or any such officers or directors. Additionally, it may be difficult to assert U.S. securities law claims in original actions instituted in Israel. Israeli courts may refuse to hear a claim based on a violation of U.S. securities laws because Israel is not the most appropriate forum in which to bring such a claim. In addition, even if an Israeli court agrees to hear a claim, it may determine that Israeli law and not U.S. law is applicable to such claim. If U.S. law is found to be applicable, the content of applicable U.S. law must be proved as a fact, which can be a time-consuming and costly process. Certain matters of procedure will also be governed by Israeli law. Subject to specified time limitations and legal procedures, under the rules of private international law currently prevailing in Israel, Israeli courts may enforce a U.S. judgment in a civil matter, including a judgment based upon the civil liability provisions of the U.S. securities laws, as well as a monetary or compensatory judgment in a non-civil matter, provided that the following key conditions are met: - subject to limited exceptions, the judgment is final and non-appealable;- the judgment was given by a court competent under the laws of the state in which the court is located and is otherwise enforceable in such state;- the judgment was rendered by a court competent under the rules of private international law applicable in Israel;- the laws of the state in which the judgment was given provides for the enforcement of judgments of Israeli courts;- adequate service of process has been effected and the defendant has had a reasonable opportunity to present its arguments and evidence;- the judgment and its enforcement are not contrary to the law, public policy, security or sovereignty of the State of Israel;- the judgment was not obtained by fraud and does not conflict with any other valid judgment in the same matter between the same parties; and - an action between the same parties in the same matter was not pending in any Israeli court at the time the lawsuit was instituted in the U.S. court. If any of these conditions are not met, Israeli courts will likely not enforce the applicable U.S. judgment.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 11We may not realize a return on the shares of DNA, Entera, Nano, Alpha Tau and Pelthos that we own.
DNA's ordinary shares are traded on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange and Entera's ordinary shares, and Alpha Tau's ordinary shares, Lifeward's ordinary shares. Nano's common stock and Pelthos's common stock are traded on the Nasdaq Stock Market, which are subject to market fluctuations. In addition, the shares of DNA, Entera, Alpha Tau, Nano and Pelthos have historically experienced relatively low trading volume. As a result, there is no guarantee that we will be able to resell those shares at the prevailing market prices or that we will realize a positive return on such shares.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 12We may become involved in securities and stockholder litigation that could divert management's attention and harm the Company's business, and insurance coverage may not be sufficient to cover all costs and damages.
In the past, securities and stockholder litigation has often followed certain significant business transactions, such as the sale of a company or announcement of any other strategic transaction, or the announcement of negative events, such as negative results from clinical trials. The market price of our common stock dropped substantially when we announced the results of the ORA-D-013-1 Phase 3 trial. We may be exposed to such litigation even if no wrongdoing occurred. Litigation is usually expensive and diverts management's attention and resources, which could adversely affect our business and cash resources and our ability to consummate a potential strategic transaction or the ultimate value our stockholders receive in any such transaction.
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