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Oregon Bancorp (ORBN) AI Stock Analysis

ORBN

Oregon Bancorp

(Other OTC:ORBN)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:$41.00â–²(1.36% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/23/26

The score is driven primarily by middling financial performance: profitability remains positive but revenue and margins have weakened versus prior years, with added variability in leverage and cash flow. Technicals are somewhat supportive with price above longer-term moving averages and moderate momentum. Valuation is a headwind due to a high P/E and only modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Ongoing profitabilityContinued profitability provides an internal source of capital for lending, technology, and customer support initiatives. Although earnings have cooled, maintaining positive operating results gives the bank greater resilience than a business already operating at a loss and supports ongoing operations.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trendA multi-year decline in revenue points to weaker top-line momentum and can constrain the bank’s ability to grow earnings through its existing customer and lending base. If sustained, softer revenue would reduce operating leverage and limit resources available for expansion.

Oregon Bancorp (ORBN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%ORBN+75.82%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$99.70M
Dividend Yield
1.99%
Average Volume (3M)
1,274
Price to Earnings (P/E)
38.8
Beta (1Y)
-0.06
Revenue Growth
-1.21%
EPS Growth
-21.86%
Country
US
Employees
30
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Oregon Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Oregon Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Willamette Valley Bank that provides banking services to businesses and individuals. It operates through two segments, Community Banking and Home Mortgage Lending. The company offers check...

Oregon Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitable but cooling: revenue has generally trended down since 2020 (including -5.1% in 2025) and net margin compressed materially from ~25%–27% (2020–2021) to ~9%–10% (2023–2025). Balance sheet is adequately capitalized with manageable 2025 leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.48) but leverage and cash flow have been notably volatile across years, and ROE is modest (~4%–5% in 2024–2025).

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.78M34.28M37.31M36.18M47.80M91.47M
Gross Profit21.21M26.05M27.93M32.02M46.92M90.35M
EBITDA3.30M4.33M4.76M5.18M9.40M29.82M
Net Income2.61M3.21M3.38M3.55M6.90M22.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets465.79M452.24M470.02M395.42M401.95M411.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.48M32.41M42.54M24.23M78.78M72.11M
Total Debt22.00M37.00M57.09M1.90M2.46M2.17M
Total Liabilities391.22M375.73M396.55M322.44M328.82M336.11M
Stockholders Equity74.57M76.50M73.48M72.98M73.13M75.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow03.37M3.12M41.38M46.34M85.88M
Operating Cash Flow03.37M3.12M13.57M46.88M86.62M
Investing Cash Flow011.53M-54.16M-57.45M-25.94M-36.58M
Financing Cash Flow0-24.03M74.23M-10.22M-14.28M-5.80M

Oregon Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price40.45

Price Trends

50DMA39.98Positive
100DMA36.40Positive
200DMA31.15Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.18Negative
RSI63.37Neutral
STOCH40.07Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORBN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.10, above the 50-day MA of 39.98, and above the 200-day MA of 31.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORBN.

Oregon Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

ORBN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
OPHCOPHC83Outperform$115.50M5.2916.39%―24.01%20.16%
ASRVASRV70Outperform$83.42M9.147.48%2.44%2.43%75.47%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
TCBSTCBS65Neutral$49.87M14.346.14%1.44%5.94%51.02%
HFBLHFBL64Neutral$69.25M10.6811.12%2.49%7.94%43.98%
ORBNORBN56Neutral$100.61M38.753.44%1.99%-1.21%-21.86%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%ORBNASRVHFBLOPHCTCBSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ORBN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ORBNOregon Bancorp 40.4518.0980.90%
ASRVAmeriServ Financial, Inc.4.631.6253.82%
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp Inc. Of Louisiana23.117.6649.54%
OPHCOptimumbank9.275.25130.60%
TCBSTexas Community Bancshares, Inc.17.251.469.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026