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Oregon Bancorp Inc (ORBN)
OTHER OTC:ORBN
US Market
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Oregon Bancorp (ORBN) AI Stock Analysis

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ORBN

Oregon Bancorp

(OTC:ORBN)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(2.27% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/23/26
The score is primarily held back by middling financial performance—multi-year revenue decline, meaningful margin compression, and volatility in leverage/cash flow—despite remaining profitable. Technicals are supportive due to a strong price trend, but an extremely overbought RSI increases near-term risk. Valuation further limits the score given the high P/E and only modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Adequate capitalization
Stable equity (~$73–77M) and a moderate 2025 debt-to-equity (~0.48) provide a durable capital cushion for a regional bank. This supports regulatory compliance, underwriting capacity and shock absorption, enabling steady lending and strategic flexibility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
A persistent top-line decline since 2020, including a -5.1% drop in 2025, signals structural demand or competitive challenges. Sustained revenue erosion constrains scale economics, limits reinvestment capacity, and makes margin recovery and ROE improvement more difficult over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Adequate capitalization
Stable equity (~$73–77M) and a moderate 2025 debt-to-equity (~0.48) provide a durable capital cushion for a regional bank. This supports regulatory compliance, underwriting capacity and shock absorption, enabling steady lending and strategic flexibility over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Oregon Bancorp (ORBN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oregon Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Oregon Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Willamette Valley Bank that provides banking services to businesses and individuals. It operates through two segments, Community Banking and Home Mortgage Lending. The company offers ch...
How the Company Makes Money
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Oregon Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitable but weakening versus prior years: revenue has generally trended down since 2020 (including -5.1% in 2025) and net margins compressed from ~25%–27% (2020–2021) to ~9%–10% (2023–2025). Balance sheet capitalization is adequate with manageable 2025 leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.48), but leverage and cash flows have been volatile over time, and ROE is modest (~4%–5% in 2024–2025).
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.96M34.28M37.31M36.18M47.80M91.47M
Gross Profit23.22M26.05M27.93M32.02M46.92M90.35M
EBITDA3.80M4.33M4.76M5.18M9.40M29.82M
Net Income3.00M3.21M3.38M3.55M6.90M22.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets465.42M452.24M470.02M395.42M401.95M411.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.27M32.41M42.54M24.23M78.78M72.11M
Total Debt24.00M37.00M57.09M1.90M2.46M2.17M
Total Liabilities389.29M375.73M396.55M322.44M328.82M336.11M
Stockholders Equity76.13M76.50M73.48M72.98M73.13M75.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.37M3.12M41.38M46.34M85.88M
Operating Cash Flow0.003.37M3.12M13.57M46.88M86.62M
Investing Cash Flow0.0011.53M-54.16M-57.45M-25.94M-36.58M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-24.03M74.23M-10.22M-14.28M-5.80M

Oregon Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.09
Price Trends
50DMA
34.86
Positive
100DMA
30.75
Positive
200DMA
28.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.22
Positive
RSI
78.88
Negative
STOCH
59.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORBN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.14, above the 50-day MA of 34.86, and above the 200-day MA of 28.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 78.88 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORBN.

Oregon Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$113.60M5.1716.39%24.01%20.16%
76
Outperform
$73.93M12.0310.69%2.53%7.71%60.72%
73
Outperform
$82.01M9.787.13%2.76%4.91%127.20%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$50.95M14.556.14%1.30%5.94%51.02%
55
Neutral
$100.48M32.563.95%2.00%2.31%-4.17%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORBN
Oregon Bancorp
40.12
21.92
120.52%
ASRV
Ameriserv Financial
4.96
2.03
69.23%
HFBL
Home Federal Bancorp Of Louisiana
24.30
11.46
89.21%
OPHC
Optimumbank Holdings
8.95
4.71
111.08%
TCBS
Texas Community
17.46
1.38
8.58%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2026