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ON Semiconductor (ON)
NASDAQ:ON
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ON Semiconductor (ON) AI Stock Analysis

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ON

ON Semiconductor

(NASDAQ:ON)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$55.00
▲(12.70% Upside)
ON Semiconductor's overall stock score is driven by a solid earnings call performance and strong cash flow generation, despite challenges in revenue growth and valuation concerns. The company's strategic focus on key growth areas like AI and automotive, along with effective cash management, supports its long-term potential.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
These acquisitions enhance ON Semiconductor's analog and mixed-signal offerings, positioning the company for growth in AI and data centers.
Automotive and Industrial Growth
Growth in these sectors reflects stabilization and demand normalization, crucial for long-term revenue stability and market leadership.
Technological Innovations
These innovations indicate strong R&D progress, enhancing ON Semiconductor's market leadership in power solutions and energy efficiency.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue and Margins
The decline in revenue and profit margins poses a risk to future profitability, challenging the company's ability to sustain long-term growth.
Regional Revenue Declines
These regional declines highlight challenges in key markets, potentially affecting the company's global revenue base and growth prospects.
Impact of Noncore Business Exits
While focusing on core strengths, these exits create short-term revenue headwinds, impacting overall financial performance and growth.

ON Semiconductor (ON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ON Semiconductor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionON Semiconductor (ON) is a leading global supplier of semiconductor-based solutions, specializing in the design and manufacture of a wide range of semiconductor products. The company operates across various sectors, including automotive, industrial, communications, consumer electronics, and computing. Its core product offerings include power management solutions, sensors, analog ICs, and discrete components, which enable energy efficiency and connectivity in electronic devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyON Semiconductor generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products. The company's revenue model is based on selling integrated circuits, discrete components, and custom solutions to a diverse customer base that spans multiple industries. Key revenue streams include automotive electronics, where ON provides solutions for electric vehicles and advanced driver-assistance systems, as well as industrial applications that require energy-efficient power management and sensing technology. Additionally, ON has established significant partnerships with major technology firms, enhancing its market presence and driving sales through collaborative projects. Factors such as the growing demand for energy-efficient solutions, the expansion of electric vehicles, and advancements in IoT technology contribute to the company's earnings.

ON Semiconductor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Business Type
Revenue by Business Type
Highlights revenue generated from different business segments, providing insight into which areas are driving growth and where the company might be vulnerable to market changes.
Chart InsightsON Semiconductor's Intelligent Sensing Group (ISG) and Advanced Solutions Group are experiencing revenue declines, with ISG facing a significant drop due to strategic exits and legacy product phase-outs. Despite these challenges, the Power Solutions Group shows resilience, particularly driven by demand in AI data centers and EV markets. The earnings call highlights mixed sentiment, with growth in China and AI sectors offset by automotive and ISG weaknesses. Management's focus on structural efficiencies and strategic investments aims to stabilize and enhance long-term growth prospects.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

ON Semiconductor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook with strong performance in key segments like automotive, industrial, and AI. Strategic acquisitions and technological advancements position the company well for future growth, despite regional revenue declines and macroeconomic challenges. The sentiment is slightly positive, with a focus on long-term growth potential.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Revenue and Gross Margin Guidance
Third quarter revenue of $1.55 billion exceeded the midpoint of guidance, with non-GAAP gross margin at 38%, driven by disciplined execution and favorable mix.
Strong Automotive and Industrial Growth
Automotive revenue grew 7% sequentially, while Industrial grew 5%, reflecting stabilization and demand normalization in key markets.
Significant Progress in AI Segment
AI revenue approximately doubled year-over-year in Q3 and is expected to reach $250 million in 2025, indicating strong momentum and strategic wins in AI data centers.
Strategic Acquisitions Enhancing Portfolio
Acquisition of Vcore Power Technology and IP assets from Aura Semiconductor is expected to strengthen analog and mixed-signal offerings, aiding in AI and data center growth.
Geographical Revenue Growth
Revenue in the Americas grew 22% sequentially, and Japan was up 38% quarter-over-quarter, driven by automotive and aerospace markets.
Key Technological Innovations
Launch of vertical GaN (vGaN) platform and developments in silicon carbide (SiC) JFET and Treo platform indicate strong R&D progress and market leadership in power solutions.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Europe and China
European revenue was down 4% due to macroeconomic softness, and China revenue decreased by 7% sequentially, highlighting regional challenges.
ISG Revenue Decline
Revenue for the Intelligent Sensing Group (ISG) was $230 million, a decline of 18% year-over-year due to strategic refocusing.
Impact of Noncore Business Exits
Exiting noncore businesses resulted in a $45 million revenue headwind in Q3, with an expected $300 million impact for 2026.
Macro and Geopolitical Uncertainties
Ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties affect visibility and restocking decisions by OEMs, impacting market dynamics.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call, onsemi reported that their revenue reached $1.55 billion, surpassing the midpoint of their guidance. The company achieved a non-GAAP gross margin of 38% and earnings per share at the higher end of their range at $0.63. Automotive revenue grew by 7% and Industrial revenue by 5% sequentially. The Americas saw a significant 22% sequential revenue increase, while Japan's revenue rose 38% quarter-over-quarter. However, Europe and China experienced declines of 4% and 7%, respectively. For the fourth quarter, onsemi anticipates revenue between $1.48 billion and $1.58 billion, with a non-GAAP gross margin expected to range from 37% to 39%. The company continues to focus on expanding its Treo platform, which now has a design funnel exceeding $1 billion, and plans to double the number of products sampling this year.

ON Semiconductor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ON Semiconductor shows mixed financial performance with declining revenue and profitability, as indicated by reduced margins and negative revenue growth. However, the company maintains a solid balance sheet with moderate leverage and strong cash flow generation, positioning it well for future growth opportunities.
Income Statement
65
Positive
ON Semiconductor's income statement shows a decline in revenue and profitability in the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -3.3%. Gross profit margin decreased to 37.2% from 44.8% in the previous year, and net profit margin fell to 7.3% from 22.2%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also saw significant declines. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive net income, indicating resilience in a challenging market environment.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) decreased to 5.6% in the TTM period from 17.9% in the previous year, suggesting reduced profitability. However, the equity ratio remains healthy, showcasing a strong capital structure with stockholders' equity covering a significant portion of total assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 27.4% in the TTM period, highlighting effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.45, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70 further underscores the company's ability to convert earnings into cash, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.19B7.08B8.25B8.33B6.74B5.25B
Gross Profit2.21B3.22B3.88B4.08B2.71B1.72B
EBITDA916.80M2.54B3.22B3.01B1.88B970.10M
Net Income319.10M1.57B2.18B1.90B1.01B234.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.01B14.09B13.22B11.98B9.63B8.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.87B2.99B2.48B2.92B1.35B1.08B
Total Debt3.63B3.37B3.36B3.23B3.10B3.49B
Total Liabilities5.08B5.28B5.41B5.77B5.02B5.11B
Stockholders Equity7.91B8.80B7.78B6.19B4.59B3.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.64B1.21B438.40M1.60B1.29B400.70M
Operating Cash Flow1.78B1.91B1.98B2.63B1.78B884.30M
Investing Cash Flow-639.50M-1.01B-1.74B-705.40M-915.10M-453.60M
Financing Cash Flow-1.14B-683.80M-686.50M-370.00M-569.40M-244.00M

ON Semiconductor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price48.80
Price Trends
50DMA
50.10
Negative
100DMA
52.12
Negative
200DMA
48.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
44.55
Neutral
STOCH
17.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ON, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 48.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.00, below the 50-day MA of 50.10, and above the 200-day MA of 48.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ON.

ON Semiconductor Risk Analysis

ON Semiconductor disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ON Semiconductor reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ON Semiconductor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$4.83T56.55109.42%0.02%71.55%64.54%
76
Outperform
$19.23B14.7310.97%6.23%5.87%-20.93%
68
Neutral
$19.43B65.353.87%-16.13%-81.06%
67
Neutral
$33.69B14.6111.17%2.25%8.01%10.41%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$21.34B41.173.00%1.47%-17.33%-76.71%
58
Neutral
$19.03B-1.01%-0.65%-114.26%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ON
ON Semiconductor
48.80
-21.61
-30.69%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
15.37
5.74
59.61%
NVDA
Nvidia
188.08
40.49
27.43%
STM
STMicroelectronics
23.64
-2.57
-9.81%
UMC
United Micro
7.31
0.47
6.87%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
34.42
-9.56
-21.74%

ON Semiconductor Corporate Events

ON Semiconductor Exceeds Expectations in Q3 2025
Nov 4, 2025

ON Semiconductor Corporation, a key player in the semiconductor industry, focuses on automotive and industrial markets, offering innovative power and sensing technologies. The company reported its third quarter 2025 results, surpassing expectations with a revenue of $1,550.9 million and a GAAP gross margin of 37.9%. The results highlight the company’s strategic strength and market resilience.

M&A Transactions
onsemi Acquires Aura Semiconductor’s Vcore Power Technologies
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, onsemi announced a strategic acquisition agreement with Aura Semiconductor to acquire Vcore power technologies and associated intellectual property licenses. This acquisition aims to enhance onsemi’s power management portfolio, particularly in AI data center applications, by delivering solutions with superior power density and efficiency. The transaction, valued at up to $144 million, is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025 and is anticipated to have minimal impact on onsemi’s earnings in the first fiscal year following the close.

The most recent analyst rating on (ON) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ON Semiconductor stock, see the ON Stock Forecast page.

ON Semiconductor’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strategic Growth
Aug 6, 2025

In the recent earnings call, ON Semiconductor Corporation presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both positive growth and ongoing challenges. The company reported strong growth in the Chinese market and the AI data center sector, alongside strategic milestones with the Treo platform and share repurchases. However, these positive developments were tempered by declines in automotive and ISG revenue, as well as lower gross margin guidance due to underutilization charges.

ON Semiconductor: Navigating Uncertainties and Risks in 2024
Aug 5, 2025

ON Semiconductor Corporation faces significant business risks due to various trends, uncertainties, and potential changes in their operational and financial landscape. The company regularly updates its risk factors, but there have been no substantial changes from those disclosed in their 2024 Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements in their reports highlight potential discrepancies between projected and actual outcomes, emphasizing the inherent uncertainty in their strategic plans. Investors are advised to consider these risks carefully, as unforeseen factors could materially impact the company’s performance and stock value.

ON Semiconductor Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 5, 2025

ON Semiconductor Corporation, commonly known as onsemi, is a leading provider of intelligent power and sensing technologies, primarily serving the automotive and industrial sectors. The company is recognized for its innovative solutions that drive advancements in vehicle electrification, sustainable energy grids, industrial automation, and 5G infrastructure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025