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OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMVKY) AI Stock Analysis

OMVKY

OMV Aktiengesellschaft

(Other OTC:OMVKY)

Select Model
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:$24.00▲(12.93% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

The score is supported primarily by solid financial performance, improving balance-sheet strength, and strong valuation metrics. Positive technical momentum adds support, while energy-sector cyclicality and weaker cash conversion limit the upside.

Positive Factors
Profitability ReboundThe TTM rebound shows stronger revenue and substantially improved profitability after weaker prior periods. Higher EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate effective cost capture and earnings support from the integrated downstream businesses, strengthening near-term financial capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Commodity-Cycle VolatilityLarge swings in revenue and earnings reduce the durability and predictability of OMV's profits. Because upstream, refining, and chemicals results depend on market spreads and commodity conditions, future performance can weaken materially when the cycle turns.

OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMVKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%OMVKY+65.04%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$110.78B
Dividend Yield
4.09%
Average Volume (3M)
13.91K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.9
Beta (1Y)
0.08
Revenue Growth
13.51%
EPS Growth
164.22%
Country
US
Employees
22,315
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Integrated

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

OMV Aktiengesellschaft, an Austrian-based enterprise, functions as a global energy and chemicals corporation, with operations spanning Austria, Germany, Romania, Norway, New Zealand, the United Arab Emirates, and broader regions across Central, Easte...

How the Company Makes Money

OMV makes money primarily by earning revenues from three major parts of its business: (1) Upstream (Exploration & Production), (2) Downstream (Refining & Marketing), and (3) Chemicals & Materials. 1) Upstream (Exploration & Production) - OMV generate...

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:27.74%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call balanced significant near‑term operational and market headwinds with strong underlying financial resilience and a highly strategic transformational transaction. Underlying operating cash generation (ex‑NWC), the Chemicals outperformance and the creation of Borouge International materially strengthen OMV’s long‑term earnings and cash‑flow profile. Near‑term lowlights include Energy earnings pressure, production and sales declines, large net working capital build, an operational hedging loss and logistics disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz closure. Overall the strategic and financial positives — particularly the Borouge International deal and strong ex‑NWC cash generation — outweigh the operational and market lowlights, though volatility and execution risks remain.

Positive Updates

Strong underlying cash generation (ex-NWC)
Operating cash flow excluding net working capital was very strong at >EUR 1.6 billion in Q1 2026, considerably higher than prior quarter and prior year, driven by stronger refining margins, improved Gas & Power Eastern Europe contribution and realized gas derivatives.

Negative Updates

Energy segment earnings decline
Clean operating result of the Energy segment declined 21% YoY to EUR 723 million, primarily due to negative market effects, reduced sales volumes and the absence of a prior‑year EUR 48 million arbitration award benefit.

Company Guidance

OMV's 2026 guidance includes an average Dated Brent of $85–$95/bbl, a THE gas price around €45/MWh and an OMV average realized gas price of €35–€40/MWh; expected average oil & gas production of 280–290k boe/d with unit production costs near $11/bbl; a refining indicator margin guided to $10–$15/bbl and European refinery utilization above 90%; olefin cracker utilization ~90% with ethylene indicator margin >€550/t and propylene >€420/t; a full‑year clean tax rate slightly below 50%; management cautioned that widening crude differentials and Middle East volatility could materially affect fuels and that retail/commercial margins are expected to be below 2025 even as total fuel sales volumes are guided higher. Financially, OMV reported €3.5bn cash and €3.1bn undrawn facilities, a post‑transaction leverage of ~17% (well under the 30% threshold), and said it will take only 50% of the anticipated minimum 2026 Borouge dividend up front, with the remainder expected in H2.

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong recovery in revenue and earnings, improving profitability, lower debt, higher equity returns, and sharply improved free cash flow support the score. Cyclicality, lower historical margins, and weaker cash conversion are notable risks.

Income Statement

75Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.74B23.35B33.29B38.54B60.63B34.90B
Gross Profit7.40B5.47B9.65B10.31B16.80B11.12B
EBITDA6.95B5.13B7.73B7.64B13.86B7.60B
Net Income3.18B1.03B1.45B1.55B3.71B2.19B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.73B46.32B48.81B50.66B56.86B53.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.07B6.17B7.03B8.30B9.56B6.35B
Total Debt7.81B10.86B9.41B9.13B10.28B10.85B
Total Liabilities23.00B25.74B24.20B25.29B30.24B31.80B
Stockholders Equity18.16B14.34B17.87B18.24B19.15B15.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.53B1.31B1.94B2.22B4.82B4.52B
Operating Cash Flow5.97B5.01B5.46B5.71B7.76B7.02B
Investing Cash Flow-5.26B-2.65B-3.15B-3.03B-1.97B-1.82B
Financing Cash Flow-1.97B-2.72B-3.13B-3.77B-2.66B-2.98B

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price21.25

Price Trends

50DMA20.38Positive
100DMA18.92Positive
200DMA17.47Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.13Negative
RSI59.08Neutral
STOCH63.89Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMVKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.53, above the 50-day MA of 20.38, and above the 200-day MA of 17.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OMVKY.

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

OMVKY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
EQNREQNR79Outperform$116.16B10.1127.45%3.12%12.89%129.13%
SHELSHEL79Outperform$306.98B9.2718.01%2.78%18.22%136.13%
EE78Outperform$88.64B10.4015.47%4.01%9.45%204.92%
OMVKYOMVKY78Outperform$27.81B7.9320.68%4.09%13.51%164.22%
BPBP75Outperform$129.80B14.7415.61%4.00%26.40%473.45%
ECEC70Outperform$35.51B9.0715.34%3.78%6.48%18.12%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%100%OMVKYBPECESHELEQNRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
OMVKY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
OMVKYOmv Aktiengesellschaft21.258.0861.37%
BPBP plc.50.3917.2151.88%
ECEcopetrol17.198.2091.15%
EEni S.P.A.60.8025.4371.89%
SHELShell Plc108.6936.9751.55%
EQNREquinor48.7525.62110.76%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026