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WasteCo Group Limited (NZ:WCO)
:WCO
New Zealand Market
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WasteCo Group Limited (WCO) AI Stock Analysis

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NZ:WCO

WasteCo Group Limited

(WCO)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$0.01
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:N/A
Date:10/05/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak profitability and very high leverage with a thin equity base, which increases financial risk. Rapid revenue growth and recently positive (but volatile) free cash flow provide some support, while technical and valuation inputs are limited by missing indicators and a loss-driven negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue scaling
Revenue expansion from approximately $18.8m in 2022 to $70.2m in 2026 shows substantial scaling and improving demand across the waste-services platform. A larger operating base can support broader customer coverage and provide more scope for fixed-cost absorption if execution and margins improve.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage
Debt of about $58.1m against only $3.2m of equity produced debt-to-equity of roughly 18.1x in 2026. This thin equity cushion leaves limited protection if operating performance remains weak and makes financing costs and refinancing needs more consequential.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue scaling
Revenue expansion from approximately $18.8m in 2022 to $70.2m in 2026 shows substantial scaling and improving demand across the waste-services platform. A larger operating base can support broader customer coverage and provide more scope for fixed-cost absorption if execution and margins improve.
Read all positive factors

WasteCo Group Limited (WCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WasteCo Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
WasteCo Group Limited operates throughout New Zealand, providing a full spectrum of waste management, recycling, industrial cleaning, and environmental services. The company's diverse offerings include various waste collection and disposal solutio...

WasteCo Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (from ~18.8m in 2022 to ~70.2m in 2026) is a clear positive, but profitability is weak with negative operating profit and a large net loss in 2026 (net margin ~-17.6%). Balance sheet risk is elevated due to very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~18.1x) and a thin equity cushion, while cash flow is improving but still volatile with a sharp free cash flow decline in 2026 versus 2025.
Income Statement
36
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue70.22M56.41M48.23M34.39M18.78M
Gross Profit4.39M56.41M10.02M3.86M1.82M
EBITDA5.72M1.26M2.73M3.86M3.22M
Net Income-12.35M-9.85M-4.13M-1.99M-168.41K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.68M80.14M67.66M43.12M38.87K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16M5.85M1.75M873.00K14.41K
Total Debt58.08M56.93M45.41M27.85M313.70K
Total Liabilities67.48M64.84M51.27M33.23M338.85K
Stockholders Equity3.20M15.30M16.39M9.89M-299.98K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow653.00K3.42M-2.40M-4.96M-5.53M
Operating Cash Flow2.46M4.47M1.18M3.59M3.74M
Investing Cash Flow-1.09M-6.42M-16.75M-13.01M-12.11M
Financing Cash Flow-10.19M8.39M14.10M9.60M104.40K

WasteCo Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.53B22.5426.92%3.67%10.35%24.08%
61
Neutral
$227.51M15.58―3.21%9.60%82.63%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
44
Neutral
$59.36M-0.92―6.99%13.88%-133.17%
43
Neutral
$8.05M-0.63――24.48%-3.70%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NZ:WCO
WasteCo Group Limited
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
NZ:SKL
Skellerup Holdings
7.91
2.91
58.14%
NZ:LOC
Locate Technologies Limited
0.04
-0.04
-50.00%
NZ:STU
Steel & Tube Holdings Limited
0.30
-0.38
-55.88%
NZ:SCT
Scott Technology Limited
2.75
0.34
14.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 05, 2026