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Tourism Holdings Limited (NZ:THL)
:THL
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Tourism Holdings Limited (THL) AI Stock Analysis

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NZ:THL

Tourism Holdings Limited

(THL)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(36.36% Upside)
Action:N/A
Date:10/05/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance in 2026 (profit and cash flow recovery and strong operating margins), tempered by leverage, uneven cash conversion, and recent revenue decline. Technicals are mildly supportive with price above key moving averages and a positive MACD, while valuation is reasonable with a mid-range P/E and a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Profitability recovery
The return to profitability and strong underlying earnings growth indicate that THL has regained operating traction after a weaker period. If rental demand and cost discipline persist, the improved earnings base can support reinvestment, debt reduction, and more resilient shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Debt remains higher than equity, leaving THL more sensitive to downturns in travel demand and fleet-related earnings. Although leverage improved from 2025, the capital structure can still constrain investment capacity and increase the financial impact of weaker operating conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability recovery
The return to profitability and strong underlying earnings growth indicate that THL has regained operating traction after a weaker period. If rental demand and cost discipline persist, the improved earnings base can support reinvestment, debt reduction, and more resilient shareholder returns.
Read all positive factors

Tourism Holdings Limited (THL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tourism Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tourism Holdings Limited (THL), an Auckland, New Zealand-headquartered company incorporated in 1984, is a prominent tourism operator with a presence spanning Australia, New Zealand, and the United States. The enterprise functions through distinct ...
How the Company Makes Money
THL primarily makes money by renting motorhomes and campervans to travelers on short- and medium-term bookings. Rental revenue is generated through daily/weekly hire charges that vary by vehicle class, seasonality, booking lead time, and trip dura...

Tourism Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a rebound in 2026 with a return to positive net income (32.5M) and strong operating profitability (EBIT margin ~16%, EBITDA margin ~30%). Offsetting this are a 2026 revenue decline (~10.8%), still-elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.08x), and historically volatile cash generation with low 2026 operating cash flow coverage vs EBIT (~0.29x).
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue852.87M937.23M921.73M609.98M345.75M
Gross Profit323.69M570.63M547.55M373.23M194.97M
EBITDA253.36M145.95M189.62M159.09M53.46M
Net Income32.51M-25.77M39.38M49.86M-1.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.58B1.57B1.50B1.23B595.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments46.51M49.88M56.87M70.56M38.82M
Total Debt692.88M759.60M650.16M479.53M179.92M
Total Liabilities937.08M997.00M880.57M673.17M264.16M
Stockholders Equity641.08M577.88M616.89M561.38M331.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow62.43M-13.81M-111.73M-67.58M-29.16M
Operating Cash Flow71.56M28.56M-95.64M-56.44M-21.62M
Investing Cash Flow40.55M-41.72M-6.68M93.08M15.78M
Financing Cash Flow-117.41M5.94M82.50M-3.76M3.48M

Tourism Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.20
Price Trends
50DMA
2.75
Positive
100DMA
2.64
Positive
200DMA
2.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
49.53
Neutral
STOCH
41.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NZ:THL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.77, below the 50-day MA of 2.75, and below the 200-day MA of 2.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NZ:THL.

Tourism Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$615.76M19.335.14%4.44%-9.00%―
54
Neutral
$676.57M17.5712.23%4.30%9.03%-2.47%
51
Neutral
$222.75M21.383.61%10.26%-1.92%―
50
Neutral
$739.05M38.351.17%6.45%-1.23%-50.97%
48
Neutral
$133.88M-0.32-79.57%4.56%6.47%-193.50%
45
Neutral
$8.83M20.98-17.64%―90.03%-53.08%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NZ:THL
Tourism Holdings Limited
2.77
0.19
7.41%
NZ:SKC
SKYCITY Entertainment Group Limited
0.67
-0.04
-6.34%
NZ:WHS
Warehouse Group
0.67
-0.10
-13.64%
NZ:KMD
KMD Brands Limited
1.89
-2.48
-56.85%
NZ:TRA
Turners Automotive Group Ltd
7.38
0.63
9.35%
NZ:CCC
Cooks Coffee Company Limited
0.14
-0.07
-35.71%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 05, 2026