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Netscout Systems (NTCT)
NASDAQ:NTCT

Netscout Systems (NTCT) AI Stock Analysis

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Netscout Systems

(NASDAQ:NTCT)

67Neutral
Netscout Systems demonstrates strengths in cash flow generation and has shown recent operational improvements, particularly in cybersecurity and service assurance. However, challenges remain with profitability and valuation concerns due to negative earnings. The cautiously optimistic earnings call sentiment and positive technical indicators contribute to a moderately favorable overall score.

Netscout Systems (NTCT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Netscout Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetScout Systems, Inc. provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions for protect digital business services against disruptions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers nGeniusONE management software that enables customers to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules that enable its customers to analyze and troubleshoot traffic in radio access and Wi-Fi networks. It also provides nGeniusPULSE, an active testing tool that enables enterprises to identify infrastructure performance issues and determine application availability, reliability, and performance; and nGenius Business Analytics solution, which enables service providers to analyze their network traffic. In addition, the company offers ISNG, an advanced passive network probe; packet flow systems that deliver targeted network traffic access to various monitoring and security tools and systems; and a suite of test access points that enable non-disruptive access to network traffic. Further, it provides cybersecurity solutions to protect their networks against distributed denial of service attacks under the Arbor brand, such as Arbor Sightline, Arbor Threat Mitigation System, Arbor Insight, Arbor Edge Defense, and Arbor Cloud. Additionally, it offers advanced threat detection solutions, such as Omnis Cyber Investigator. It serves enterprise customers in various industries, including financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utilities, education, transportation, and retail; mobile operators, wireline operators, cable operators, Internet service providers, and cloud providers; and governmental agencies through a direct sales force, and indirect reseller and distribution channels. NetScout Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetScout Systems makes money primarily through the sale of its network performance management and cybersecurity solutions. The company's revenue streams include the sale of hardware and software products, as well as subscription services for ongoing software updates and support. Additionally, NetScout generates income from professional services such as consulting and training, which help customers optimize the use of their solutions. Key partnerships with telecommunications companies and large enterprises contribute significantly to its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to long-term contracts and recurring revenue.

Netscout Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Netscout Systems faces challenges in profitability and revenue growth, as evidenced by the income statement metrics. Despite this, the balance sheet shows a solid equity position, and cash flows remain robust, providing liquidity and operational flexibility. However, sustained losses impact overall financial health and investor confidence.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The trailing twelve months (TTM) data shows a decline in revenue and profitability indicators. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are concerning, with the company experiencing a negative net income. Revenue growth has been erratic, with recent periods showing a decline. The negative EBITDA margin highlights operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability, with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio indicates a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets funded by equity. However, return on equity is negative, driven by recent net losses, which is a concern for investors.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement is a strong point for the company, with positive operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that the company generates cash efficiently despite reported net losses. Operating cash flow has shown resilience, supporting the company's liquidity position.
Breakdown
Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
829.46M914.53M855.58M831.28M891.82M
Gross Profit
642.04M691.43M641.39M609.18M649.63M
EBIT
-149.83M77.66M49.73M37.13M17.64M
EBITDA
-51.43M174.01M155.10M147.19M147.61M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-147.73M59.65M35.87M19.35M-2.75M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
423.13M419.00M703.20M476.45M386.46M
Total Assets
2.60B2.82B3.19B3.09B3.12B
Total Debt
150.08M160.47M415.34M423.62M531.00M
Net Debt
-239.59M-226.32M-220.82M-43.55M192.51M
Total Liabilities
703.24M790.91M1.13B1.08B1.18B
Stockholders Equity
1.89B2.03B2.06B2.01B1.94B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
52.47M146.00M285.61M197.40M205.10M
Operating Cash Flow
58.81M156.65M296.01M213.92M225.02M
Investing Cash Flow
13.36M15.30M-68.35M24.70M-4.31M
Financing Cash Flow
-69.35M-419.43M-54.16M-118.31M-286.87M

Netscout Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.61
Price Trends
50DMA
20.94
Positive
100DMA
21.88
Negative
200DMA
21.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
61.29
Neutral
STOCH
69.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTCT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.76, above the 50-day MA of 20.94, and above the 200-day MA of 21.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTCT.

Netscout Systems Risk Analysis

Netscout Systems disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Netscout Systems reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Netscout Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.60B21.9416.09%2.03%3.84%10.25%
73
Outperform
$1.08B17.766.35%-0.13%263.78%
73
Outperform
$1.26B24.8924.36%1.42%4.90%9.91%
67
Neutral
$971.55M165.533.78%9.54%
67
Neutral
$1.51B-21.26%-1.55%-250.10%
61
Neutral
$1.89B-78.83%-11.00%-792.47%
60
Neutral
$10.94B10.37-6.73%2.98%7.75%-12.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTCT
Netscout Systems
21.61
1.29
6.35%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
14.80
3.99
36.91%
RDWR
Radware
22.07
2.74
14.17%
SPNS
Sapiens
28.39
-3.76
-11.70%
VRNT
Verint Systems
17.87
-13.00
-42.11%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.16
1.87
12.23%

Netscout Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the third quarter, particularly in the Cybersecurity and Service Assurance segments, with significant revenue growth and earnings per share exceeding expectations. However, challenges remain with a year-to-date decline in overall revenue and specific struggles in the Service Assurance and Service Provider verticals. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a positive outlook for the fiscal year end.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Revenue and Earnings Expectations
Q3 fiscal year 2025 revenue was approximately $252 million, up 16% compared to the prior year period. Diluted earnings per share was $0.94, up approximately 29% from previous year.
Strong Cybersecurity Growth
Cybersecurity revenue increased approximately 29% in Q3 and 7% for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025.
Service Assurance Segment Performance
Service Assurance revenue in Q3 increased by approximately 9% due to early order acceleration.
Product Revenue Surge
Product revenue was $128.2 million for Q3, an increase of 33.8% year-over-year.
Operating Profit Margin Improvement
Operating profit margin for Q3 was 35.6%, compared with 29% in the same quarter last year.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline for Nine Months
Revenue for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025 was approximately $618 million, down approximately 1% year-over-year.
Service Assurance Year-to-Date Decline
Service Assurance revenue decreased by 5.5% for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025.
Service Provider Customer Vertical Decrease
Service provider customer vertical revenue decreased 7.2% for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025.
Company Guidance
During NETSCOUT's Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company reported strong performance with third-quarter revenue reaching approximately $252 million, marking a 16% increase from the prior year. This was driven by robust growth in both Cybersecurity, which saw a 29% revenue increase, and Service Assurance product lines. The company achieved a diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.94, up 29% year-over-year. For the first nine months of the fiscal year, revenue was $618 million, reflecting a slight 1% decrease due to prior year benefits from backlog-related revenue and a business divestiture. The corresponding EPS for this period was $1.70, representing a 3% increase. Looking ahead, NETSCOUT updated its fiscal year 2025 outlook, anticipating revenue between $810 million to $820 million and non-GAAP EPS in the range of $2.15 to $2.25, maintaining the midpoint from previous guidance. The company highlighted its confidence in meeting full fiscal year goals, supported by customer orders received earlier than expected and ongoing initiatives in addressing cybersecurity threats and service assurance needs.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.