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Nokia (NOK)
NYSE:NOK
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Nokia (NOK) Risk Analysis

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Nokia disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nokia reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q4, 2024

Risk Distribution
34Risks
32% Finance & Corporate
21% Tech & Innovation
21% Legal & Regulatory
12% Production
9% Ability to Sell
6% Macro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Nokia Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q4, 2024

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 11 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 11 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
34
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
34
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
1Risks added
1Risks removed
10Risks changed
Since Dec 2024
1Risks added
1Risks removed
10Risks changed
Since Dec 2024
Number of Risk Changed
10
-1
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 1
10
-1
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 1
See the risk highlights of Nokia in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 34

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 11/34 (32%)Below Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights2 | 5.9%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Our share and/or ADS price may be volatile and subject to fluctuations.
Our share and/or ADS price may be volatile and could be subject to fluctuations in response to various factors, some of which are beyond our control. In addition to the factors described in this “Risk Factors” section, other factors that could cause fluctuations in our share price include, among others, high volatility in the securities markets generally and volatility in telecommunications and technology companies’ securities in particular, trading volumes, speculation in the media or retail or institutional investment communities regarding the Company and our prospects, future developments in our industry and competitors, our financial results and the expectations of financial analysts, as well as the timing or content of any public communications, including reports of operating results, by us or our competitors. Further, factors in the public trading market for our stock may produce price movements that may or may not comport with macro, industry or company-specific fundamentals, including, without limitation, the sentiment of retail investors (including as may be expressed on financial trading and other social media sites and online forums), the direct access by retail investors to broadly available trading platforms, the amount and status of short interest in our securities, access to margin debt, trading in options and other derivatives on our common stock and any related hedging and other trading factors.The capital markets have experienced extreme volatility that has often been unrelated to the operating performance of particular companies. In addition, in the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of a company’s securities, stockholders often institute securities class action litigation against that company. This type of litigation could result in substantial costs and divert our management’s attention and resources, which could have a material adverse effect on our cash flows, our ability to execute our business strategy and our ability to make distributions to our stockholders.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Changed
Requirement for non-Finnish shareholders to provide detailed information to obtain advantageous withholding tax treatment for dividends.
As described in more detail under “General facts on Nokia–Taxation”, non-Finnish shareholders are required to provide certain information in order to benefit from the reduced dividend withholding tax rates set out in the applicable tax treaties. Furthermore, custodians are required to fulfill certain strict requirements, take over certain responsibilities and assume liability for incorrectly applied withholding tax, or a higher withholding tax rate will apply. Such requirements will likely impose an additional administrative burden on shareholders or result in the higher withholding rate becoming applicable for non-Finnish shareholders.
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 8.8%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
The carrying amount of our goodwill may not be recoverable.
We assess the carrying amount of goodwill annually, or more frequently if events or changes in circumstances indicate that such carrying amount may not be recoverable. We assess the carrying amount of other identifiable assets if events or changes in circumstances indicate that their carrying amounts may not be recoverable, for instance, if we would not generate revenues from our businesses as anticipated, or if our businesses would not generate sufficient positive operating cash flows. These, or other factors, may lead to a decrease in the value of our assets, including intangible assets and the goodwill attributed to our businesses, resulting in impairment charges that may adversely affect our net profit for the year. While we believe the estimated recoverable values are reasonable, actual performance in the short and long term and our assumptions on which we base our calculations could materially differ from our forecasts, which could impact future estimates of our businesses’ recoverable values, and may result in impairment charges.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
The amount of dividend and/or repayment of capital and other profit distributions such as share buybacks to shareholders for each financial period is uncertain.
As announced on 30 January 2025, our Board proposes that the Annual General Meeting 2025 authorizes the Board to resolve on the distribution of an aggregate maximum of EUR 0.14 per share as dividend from the retained earnings and/or as assets from the reserve for invested unrestricted equity in respect of financial year 2024. Our Annual General Meeting 2024, held on 3 April 2024, authorized the Board to resolve on the distribution of an aggregate maximum of EUR 0.13 per share as dividend from the retained earnings and/or as assets from the reserve for invested unrestricted equity in respect of the financial year 2023. Furthermore, in the first quarter of 2024, under the authorization granted to the Board by the Annual General Meeting 2023, we announced a share buyback program to repurchase shares to return up to EUR 600 million of cash to shareholders in tranches over a period of two years. The program was launched in March 2024, and it was accelerated in July by increasing the number of shares to be repurchased during the year 2024. The whole EUR 600 million program was completed in November 2024. Additionally, in November 2024, the Board initiated a share buyback program under the authorization granted by the Annual General Meeting 2024 to offset the dilutive effect of the Infinera acquisition. The program targets to repurchase 150 million shares for an aggregate purchase price not exceeding EUR 900 million. The repurchases commenced in November 2024 and will end latest by 31 December 2025. We cannot assure that we will distribute dividends and/or capital repayments on the shares issued by us, nor is there any assurance as to the amount of any dividend and/or repayment of capital we may pay, including but not limited to situations where we make commitments to increase our dividends. Neither can we guarantee that we finalize the announced share buyback program. The payment and the amount of any dividend and/or repayment of capital as well as additional share buyback programs is subject to the discretion of the general meeting of our shareholders and our Board, and will depend on available cash balances, expected cash flow generation, anticipated cash needs, retained earnings, the results of our operations and our financial condition and terms of outstanding indebtedness, as well as other relevant factors such as restrictions, prohibitions or limitations imposed by applicable laws. Further, even if any conditions or factors covering the issuance or distribution of dividends are met, the Board or the shareholders have in the past decided, and may going forward decide, not to issue or distribute dividends or initiate additional buyback programs.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
Our governance, internal controls and compliance processes could fail to detect errors or wrongdoings and to prevent regulatory penalties at corporate level, in operating subsidiaries and joint ventures.
Nokia is a publicly listed company and, as such, subject to various securities, reporting and accounting rules and regulations. For instance, we must monitor and assess our internal control over financial and sustainability reporting and the compliance of those with the applicable rules and regulations. Furthermore, the maturity of our internal control over sustainability reporting is still to reach the level of internal control over financial reporting. A failure of our corporate functions, our business groups, our operating subsidiaries or our joint ventures to maintain effective internal control over financial and sustainability reporting, or to comply with the applicable securities, reporting and accounting rules and regulations, could adversely affect the accuracy and timeliness of our financial reporting, which could result, for instance, in loss of confidence in us or in the accuracy and completeness of our financial reports and the Sustainability Statement, or otherwise in the imposition of fines or other regulatory measures, which could have a material adverse effect on us.Integrity and high ethical standards are an essential part of our culture. However, despite our Group-wide compliance measures, including ethical business trainings and other actions (including towards our suppliers), we may not be able to prevent breaches of law or governance standards within our business, subsidiaries, joint ventures or in our supply chain. If we fail to or are unable to comply with applicable law and regulations, we could experience penalties and adverse rulings in enforcement and other proceedings.
Debt & Financing2 | 5.9%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
We may not have access to sources of funding on favorable terms, or at all.
In periods when the capital and credit markets experience significant volatility, the amounts, sources and cost of capital available to us may be adversely affected. Deteriorating economic conditions or financial uncertainty in any of the markets in which we sell our products could reduce business confidence and adversely impact spending patterns, and thereby could adversely affect the amounts, sources and cost of capital available to us. Our business requires a significant amount of cash as we continue to invest in our R&D and other future capabilities. We rely on multiple sources of funding for short-term and long-term capital and aim to minimize the liquidity risk by maintaining a sufficient cash position and having committed credit lines in place. However, if economic conditions deteriorate or the credit market tightens, there can be no assurances that we will be able to generate sufficient amounts of capital or to maintain an efficient capital structure from time to time.We also may not be able to have access to additional sources of funds that we may need from time to time with reasonable terms, or at all. If we cannot access capital or sell receivables on a commercially viable basis, our business, financial condition and cash flow could materially suffer.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
We may not be able to maintain our investment grade credit ratings
Moody’s, S&P Global Ratings, Fitch and other credit rating agencies have assigned credit ratings to us. Our goal is to maintain our investment grade credit ratings. However, there can be no assurances that we will be able to maintain our current investment grade credit ratings. In the event our credit rating is downgraded, it could have a material adverse effect, for instance, on our cost of funds and related margins, our business and results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, or access to capital markets.
Corporate Activity and Growth4 | 11.8%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Our efforts aimed at managing and improving our financial or operational performance may not lead to targeted results, benefits, cost savings or improvements in our competitiveness.
We are continuously targeting increased efficiency of our operations. The strategic and operational changes to our business and a program to reset our cost base while protecting our R&D capacity and commitment to technology leadership announced in October 2023 continue. The program targets to lower our cost base on a gross basis (i.e., before inflation) by between EUR 800 million and EUR 1 200 million by the end of 2026 compared to 2023, assuming on-target variable pay in both periods.Failure by us to determine the appropriate operational structure, prioritization of operating expenses and other costs, to identify and implement the appropriate measures to increase simplicity and improve cost-efficiency, or to maintain achieved efficiency levels, could limit our future investments and have a material adverse effect on our competitiveness, results of operations and financial condition. Our current and future cost-saving measures may be costly, potentially disruptive to operations, and may not lead to sustainable improvements in our overall competitiveness and profitability, and there can be no assurance that such measures will be met as planned in contemplated timeframes or at all. Our plans may be altered in the future, including adjusting any projected financial or other targets. The anticipated costs or the level of disruption expected from implementing such plans or restructurings may be higher than expected. Efforts to plan and implement cost-saving initiatives may divert management attention from the rest of the business and adversely affect our business. There are also several other factors that may prevent or delay a successful implementation of any cost-saving or efficiency improvement initiatives, including, among others, the following: ¦the need to make additional investments in other areas such as 5G-Advanced and 6G, enterprise, security, cloud, artificial intelligence, development of new standard essential patents and automation/digitalization of services and our own operations;¦inaccuracy in our expectations with respect to market growth, customer demand and other trends;¦legislative constraints or unfavorable changes in legislation in the markets in which we operate influencing timing, costs and expected savings of certain contemplated initiatives;¦our ability to align and adjust resources, systems and tools, including digitalization and automation of processes, related to implementation of planned organizational changes; ¦intended business plans may require us to inform or consult with employees and labor representatives, and such processes may influence the timing, costs and extent of expected savings and the feasibility of certain contemplated initiatives; ¦inflation driving increase in cost base; and¦bargaining power of our suppliers which may prevent us from achieving targeted procurement savings.Furthermore, cost-saving initiatives may negatively affect our ability to develop new or improve existing products and compete effectively in certain markets, and there is no guarantee that we will continue to be able to successfully innovate or remain technologically competitive.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
We are involved in joint ventures and other affiliated companies with their own governance and system infrastructure and are exposed to risks inherent to companies under joint management or not having direct management control.
We have a number of joint ventures, including those where Nokia is the minority partner, and other affiliated companies with their own governance and system infrastructure where Nokia does not have direct management control. The agreements related to our joint ventures may require unanimous consent or the affirmative vote of a qualified majority of the shareholders to take certain actions, thereby possibly slowing down the decision-making process or impairing our ability to implement our key policies and practices, such as our compliance processes and culture, in a comprehensive or timely manner. In addition, joint venture companies and other affiliated companies having their own governance and system infrastructure, such as our local service companies focusing on networks field services, involve inherent risks such as those associated with a complex corporate governance structure, lack of transparency or uniform controls and procedures and consequent risks of compliance breaches or other similar issues, or issues in dissolving such entities or divesting their shareholdings, assets and liabilities, and may also involve negative public perceptions caused by the joint venture partner that are adverse to us.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
Changed
We may be unable to successfully implement our strategic plans, sustain or improve the operational and financial performance of our business groups, correctly identify or successfully pursue business opportunities, correctly anticipate or successfully mitigate technological disruptions or otherwise grow our business.
plans, sustain or improve the operational and financial performance of our business groups, correctly identify or successfully pursue business opportunities, correctly anticipate or successfully mitigate technological disruptions or otherwise grow our business. Our success depends on our ability to become and remain a leading provider of technology, software and services in the industries and markets in which we operate. However, there can be no assurance that we will correctly identify trends, opportunities or threats that we need to pursue or mitigate to achieve our goals or targets. For example, our plans assume sustained growth in traffic over our customers’ networks. For this to happen, video streaming needs to continue to grow significantly or new high-data use cases (for instance, Virtual Reality or Augmented Reality) need to be developed and drive high concurrency traffic. We also assume a growing number of use cases and demand for low latency services. Should these not materialize, demand for our products and services could be negatively affected. Our path to continued technology leadership lies in long-term research and development to drive innovation across a comprehensive portfolio of network equipment, software, services and licensing. We are investing, for instance, in 5G-Advanced and 6G research, security and the development of new standard-essential patents. The R&D of innovative products, services and technologies is a complex and uncertain process, and there can be no assurance that our investments will result in technologies, products or services that achieve or retain broad or timely market acceptance, are commercially successful, answer to the expanding needs or preferences of our customers or consumers, or lead to breakthrough innovations that we could use for value creation. As an example, while we believe that the progress of cloudification and open RAN and openness in general creates an opportunity for us to differentiate with our products and to better serve our customers, it may lead to entry of new competitors with different business models to build multi-vendor RAN networks. The virtualization and cloudification of core and radio networks and the convergence of IT and telecommunications may lower barriers of entry for IT and webscale companies in the traditional telecommunications industry, or they may build up tight strategic partnerships with our traditional competitors or our communications service provider customers. This enhanced competition may lead to increased price competition and negatively affect our margins. Virtualization and disaggregation might also affect other parts of our portfolio and lead to changes in competitive landscape, business models, and margin profile. Also, reaching certain technology limits, for example in Optical or in spectral efficiency gains in 6G, might adversely change the demand pattern and competitive dynamics for our products and services. We see the network as a key enabler of metaverse opportunities, but the network capabilities will need to evolve to fulfill the anticipated needs. We implement our strategic plans, for instance, by entering into licensing arrangements, partnering with third parties and have entered into a number of and may engage in the future in transactions, such as divestments and acquisitions, mergers, joint ventures and minority investments that could complement or improve our existing operations or technologies, sharpen our business focus and enable us to grow our business. Additionally, we may make investments in certain investment funds, including NGP Capital, that invest in other companies. There can be no assurance that our efforts to continuously improve our operations and realize efficiencies will or continue to generate the expected results or improvements, or that we will achieve intended targets or financial objectives related to such efforts. For instance, the underlying rationale, initial assumptions or the business case in terms of profits, revenue, strategic impact or otherwise justifying the creation or continuation of the arrangement may not be realized. We may also encounter issues or inefficiencies related to our organizational and operational structure, including being unable to successfully implement the business plans. Also, the planned transactions may not ultimately be completed on favorable terms or at all, or transactions may result in liabilities or claims, such as indemnification or breach of contract claims. The divestment or investment decisions we make may subject us to litigation arising from minority shareholders’ actions and investor dissatisfaction with the activities of our business. Shareholder disputes, if resolved against us, could have a material adverse effect on us.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 4
Added
We may be unable to realize the anticipated benefits, synergies, cost savings or efficiencies from acquisitions, and we may encounter issues or inefficiencies related to our organizational and operational structure including being unable to successfully implement related business plans.
The level of effort required for successful integration of acquired businesses or assets depends on the complexity of the acquired business or asset. There can be no assurance that we will be able to realize the intended organizational and operational benefits and potentially targeted cost savings related to our business plans in the manner or within the timeframe currently anticipated. The risks and uncertainties relating to the integration include, among others, the distraction of our management’s attention from our business resulting in performance shortfalls, the disruption of our ongoing business, interference with our ability to maintain our relationships with customers, vendors, regulators and employees, and inconsistencies in our services, standards, quality, product road maps, controls, procedures and policies, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.These failures could be triggered, among others, by the following factors impacting the integration process and operations:¦adverse contractual issues or disputes with respect to various agreements with third parties, employment agreements, or pension and other post-employment benefits-related funding or liability issues;¦our failure to identify issues and liabilities at the target business or assets during the due diligence and pre-acquisition process by which we may be exposed to unknown, larger or contingent liabilities of acquired businesses, such as those related to contractual obligations, taxes, pensions, environmental liabilities, disputes and compliance matters;¦disruptions caused, for instance, by reorganizations, which may result in inefficiency within the new organization through loss of key employees or delays in implementing our intended structural changes, among other issues;¦inability to rationalize or streamline our organization or product lines/services, or to retire legacy products and related services as a result of pre-existing customer commitments;¦loss of, or lower volume of, business from key customers, or the inability to renew agreements with existing customers or establish new customer relationships, including limitations linked to customer policies with respect to aggregate vendor share or supplier diversity policies or increased efforts from competitors aiming to capitalize on disruptions; conditions and burdens imposed by laws, regulators or industry standards on our business, or adverse regulatory or industry developments or litigation affecting us;¦unanticipated changes in business, industry or general economic conditions that affect the assumptions underlying the acquisition;¦issues relating to fraud, non-compliance with applicable laws and regulations, improper accounting policies, improper internal control or other improper activities;¦challenges relating to the consolidation or ongoing integration of corporate, financial data and reporting, control and administrative functions;¦the coordination of R&D, marketing and other support functions of the combined business may fail or cause inefficiencies or other administrative burdens; ¦our inability to eliminate the complexity of our corporate structure following the acquisition; and¦impairments related to goodwill and other intangible assets, for instance, due to business performance after an acquisition or differences in evaluating the goodwill with respect to the acquired businesses.Additionally, the anticipated cost reductions and other benefits expected to arise from the acquisitions and integration of businesses, as well as related costs to implement such measures, are derived from our estimates, which are uncertain. The underlying assumptions are inherently uncertain and subject to a variety of significant business, economic, and competitive factors, risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in the expected synergy benefits and related cost estimates.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 7/34 (21%)Above Sector Average
Innovation / R&D1 | 2.9%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
We may fail to invest effectively and profitably in new competitive high-quality products, services, upgrades and technologies or bring them to the market in a timely manner. We also may fail to adapt to changing business models.
Our business performance and results of operations will depend to a significant extent on our ability to succeed in the following areas:¦maintaining and developing a competitive product portfolio and service capability that is attractive to our customers, for instance by keeping pace with technological advances in our industry and pursuing technologies that become commercially accepted and price competitive; ¦maintaining compliance with regulatory requirements and standards;¦introducing new products, services and upgrades of current products and doing so on a cost-efficient and timely basis;¦developing new or enhancing existing processes and tools for our service offerings;¦optimizing the amount of customer or market-specific technology, product and feature variants in our product portfolio; ¦continuing to meet evolving expectations and enhancing the quality of our products and services, complying with emerging industry standards as well as introducing products and services that have desired features and attributes, such as energy efficiency; ¦maintaining and building up strategic partnerships in our value creation chain (e.g., in product creation and project delivery); and¦leveraging our technological strengths and addressing competing technological and product developments carried out by competitors while keeping prices and costs at competitive levels.The industries in which we operate are characterized by rapidly evolving technologies, frequent new technological requirements, product feature introductions and evolving industry standards. The participants in the markets where we operate compete on the basis of product and service offerings, technical capabilities and quality in addition to price and affordability.The R&D of new, innovative and technologically advanced products, such as 5G-Advanced, Open RAN, 6G, IoT, the cloud and software as well as upgrades to current products and new generations of technologies, is a complex and an uncertain process requiring high levels of innovation and investment, including trying to accurately anticipate technological, regulatory and market trends. We may focus our resources on products and technologies that do not become widely accepted or ultimately prove unviable. Additionally, many of our current and planned products are highly complex and may contain defects or errors that are, for instance, detected only after deployment in telecommunications networks. Even if we invest in new competitive products, services, upgrades or technologies and proactively manage the costs related to our portfolio of products and services, including component sourcing, manufacturing, logistics and other operations, we may still fail to maintain or improve our market position, competitiveness or scale, keep prices and costs at competitive levels or provide high-quality products and services.Certain of our competitors have significant resources to invest in market exploration and may seek new monetization models or drive industry development and capture value in areas where we may not currently be competitive or do not have similar resources available to us. These areas may include monetization models linked to large amounts of consumer data, large connected communities, home or other entertainment services, alternative payment mechanisms or marketing products. We also face competition from various companies that may be able to develop technologies or products that become preferred over those developed by us or result in adverse effects on us through, for instance, developing technological innovations that make our innovations less relevant. In addition, reduced government funding and support for our R&D activities could affect our ability to develop new technology or products.
Trade Secrets4 | 11.8%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
Our patent licensing income and other intellectual property-related revenues are subject to risks and uncertainties such as our ability to maintain our existing sources of intellectual property-related revenue, establish new sources of revenue and protect our intellectual property from infringement. A proportionally significant share of the current patent licensing income is generated from the smartphone market, which is rapidly changing and features a limited number of large vendors.
The continued strength of our intellectual property portfolios depends on our ability to create new relevant technologies, products and services through our R&D activities and to protect and, where necessary, enforce our intellectual property rights (IPR). If those technologies, products and services do not become relevant, and therefore attractive to potential licensees, the strength of our intellectual property portfolios could be reduced. Despite the steps that we have taken to protect our technology investments with IPR, we cannot be certain that any rights or pending applications will be granted or that the rights granted in connection with any future patents or other IPR will be valid and sufficiently broad to protect our innovations and maintain the relative strength of our portfolio. Third parties may infringe our intellectual property relating to our proprietary technologies or disregard their obligation to seek necessary licenses under our patents or seek to pay less than reasonable licensing fees. As a result, we may be unable to continue to develop or protect our intellectual property-related revenue or establish new sources of revenue. Regulatory, geopolitical and other developments regarding protection awarded to technology innovations, compensation trends with respect to licensing and the underlying businesses of our licensees, over which we have limited control, may impact our ability to protect, monetize or divest our intellectual property. Any patents or other IPR may be challenged, invalidated or circumvented, and any right granted under our patents may not provide competitive advantages for us. In the technology sector generally, certain licensees are actively avoiding concluding license agreements on fair and reasonable commercial terms, or are withholding making license payments, while some suggest that licensors may be able to collect unreasonably high license payments, with both behaviors attracting regulatory attention. Authorities in various countries have increasingly monitored patent monetization and may aim to influence the terms on which patent licensing arrangements or patent divestments may be executed, which could compromise control over or protection of our technology and proprietary information. Such terms may be limited to a certain country or region, which may, for example, lead to fragmentation of the global framework for licensing of global technology standards; however, authorities could potentially seek to widen the scope and even impose global terms, potentially resulting in further an adverse effect on our ability to monetize our patent portfolios.There is no assurance that past levels are indicative of future levels of intellectual property-related revenue. Poor performance by any of Nokia’s patent or technology licensees may impact Nokia financially, for example, if a licensee’s ability to pay is reduced, the licensee decides to divest or scale back a particular part of its business or it becomes insolvent or bankrupt. Additionally, poor performance of potential or current licensees may limit a licensee’s motivation to seek new or renew existing licensing arrangements with us. Furthermore, patent license agreements can cover both past and future sales of licensees, and the portion of the income that relates to licensees’ past sales is not expected to have a recurring benefit. Ongoing patent income from licensing is generally subject to various factors (for instance, sales by the licensees) that we have little or no control over, and it can vary considerably from time to time based on factors such as the terms of agreements we enter into with licensees.We seek to expand the scope of our licensing activities to other areas, in particular those that implement mobile communications and multimedia technologies, such as the automotive, consumer electronics, IoT and multimedia. The actors in some of these industries may not have traditionally paid intellectual property-related royalties and the expansion of our licensing activities into such industries may involve litigation. In addition, entering highly fragmented markets or markets with a high volume of licensees may affect our effectiveness and/or profitability.We retained our patent portfolio after the sale of the Devices & Services business in 2014. Following the sale of the Devices & Services business, Nokia is no longer required to agree upon cross-licenses to cover Nokia’s handset business, which has contributed to growing our licensing revenue. While this has been our practice, there can be no guarantee that this can be continued in the future. Also, in the past, parts of our intellectual property development were driven by innovation from the Devices & Services business. As we no longer own this business, our future intellectual property relating to the mobile phone sector may lessen and our ability to influence industry trends and technology selections may reduce.We also enter into business agreements on behalf of our business groups, which may grant certain licenses to our patents. Some of these agreements may inadvertently grant licenses to our patents with a broader scope than intended, or they may otherwise make the licensing and enforcement of our patents more difficult.
Trade Secrets - Risk 2
To renew existing license agreements and conclude new license agreements with potential licensees, we may and have engaged in legal actions to enforce our intellectual property rights against unlawful infringement, the outcomes of which are uncertain.
Although the majority of our license agreements are concluded amicably, and while we strive to reach negotiated settlements of any disputes in relation to license agreements with companies using our intellectual property, sometimes it is necessary to engage in litigation or arbitration in order to renew existing license agreements which have expired or to conclude new license agreements with unlicensed parties. In certain cases, we have engaged in litigation or arbitration proceedings to enforce our rights, for instance to enforce our patents or to establish the terms of a patent license agreement. Due to the nature of litigation and arbitration proceedings, there can be no assurances as to the final outcome, timing or costs involved in such litigation or arbitration proceedings or as to our ability to renew existing license agreements or conclude new license agreements with potential licensees on acceptable commercial terms. Such litigation may also have an adverse effect on customer relationships.In other cases, other companies have commenced and may continue to commence actions against us seeking to challenge the validity of our intellectual property, including our patents, or to contest our licensing practices or file competition law complaints with courts or competition authorities. In the event that one or more of our patents is challenged, a court may invalidate the patent or determine that the patent is not enforceable. The outcome of court proceedings is difficult to predict and, consequently, our ability to use intellectual property for revenue generation may from time to time depend on favorable court rulings. Additionally, if any of our patents is invalidated, or if the scope of the claims in any patents is limited by a court decision, we could be prevented from using such patents as a basis for product differentiation or from licensing the invalidated or limited portion of our IPR. Even if such a patent challenge is not successful, the related proceedings could be expensive and time-consuming, divert the attention of our management and technical experts from our business and have an adverse effect on our reputation. Any diminution in the protection of our IPR could cause us to lose certain benefits of our R&D investments.
Trade Secrets - Risk 3
Our products, services and business models depend on technologies that we have developed as well as technologies that are licensed to us by certain third parties. As a result, evaluating the rights related to the technologies we use or intend to use is increasingly challenging, and we expect to continue to face claims that we have allegedly infringed third parties’ IPR. The use of these technologies may also result in increased licensing costs for us, restrictions on our ability to use certain technologies in our products and/or costly and time-consuming litigation.
Our products and services include increasingly complex technologies that we have developed or that have been licensed to us by certain third parties. The amount of such proprietary technologies and the number of parties claiming to own relevant IPR continue to increase. The holders of patents and other IPR potentially relevant to these complex technologies may be unknown to us, may have different business models, may refuse to grant licenses to their proprietary rights or may otherwise make it difficult for us to acquire a license on commercially acceptable terms. If licensing agreements are not available on commercially acceptable terms, we could be precluded from making and selling the affected products or could face increased licensing costs. As new features are added to our products, we may need to acquire further licenses, including from new and sometimes unidentified owners of intellectual property. The lack of availability of licenses for copyrighted content, delayed negotiations or restrictive IPR license terms may have a material adverse effect on the cost or timing of content-related services and products offered by us, mobile network operators or third-party service providers. The cumulative costs of obtaining any necessary licenses are difficult to predict and may be significant.Additionally, although we endeavor to ensure that we and the companies collaborating with us possess appropriate IPR or licenses, we cannot fully avoid the risks of IPR infringement by suppliers of components, processes and other various layers in our products, or by companies with which we collaborate. Similarly, we and our customers may face claims of infringement in connection with the use of our products. Any restrictions on our ability to sell our products due to expected or alleged infringements of third-party IPR and any IPR claims, regardless of merit, could result in a material loss of profits, costly litigation, the obligation to pay damages and other compensation, the diversion of the attention of our key employees, product shipment delays or the need for us to develop non-infringing technology or to enter into a licensing agreement on unfavorable commercial terms.In line with standard practice in our industry, we generally indemnify our customers for certain intellectual property-related infringement claims initiated by third parties relating to products or services purchased from us. These may include claims from non-practicing entities having no product or service business. If such claims are made directly against our customers, we may in certain cases have limited opportunities to participate in the process addressing such claims including in negotiations and in defenses, or to evaluate the outcomes and resolutions in advance. All IPR indemnifications can result in significant payment obligations for us that are difficult to estimate in advance. Moreover, our indemnification responsibilities typically arise whether or not the IPR assertions against our customers have merit.Since all technology standards that we use and rely on, including mobile communication technologies such as the Universal Mobile Telecommunications System (UMTS), Long-Term Evolution (LTE) and 5G, or fixed line communication technologies, include certain IPR, we cannot avoid risks of facing claims for infringement of such rights due to our reliance on such standards. We believe the number of third parties declaring their patents to be potentially relevant to these standards is increasing, which may increase the likelihood that we will be subject to such claims in the future. As the number of market entrants and the complexity of technologies increase, it remains likely that we will need to obtain licenses with respect to existing and new standards from other licensors. While we believe most of such IPR actually found to be essential to a particular standard carries an obligation to be licensed on fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory terms, not all intellectual property owners agree to apply such terms, nor do all owners agree on what is fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory. As a result, we have experienced costly and time-consuming litigation proceedings against us and our customers or suppliers over such issues, and we may continue to experience such litigation in the future.From time to time, certain existing patent licenses may expire or otherwise become subject to renegotiation. The inability to renew or finalize such arrangements or renew licenses with acceptable commercial terms may result in litigation, which may be expensive and time-consuming and divert the efforts of our management and technical experts from our business and, if decided against us, could result in unfavorable judgments or restrictions on our ability to sell certain of our products or require us to pay increased licensing fees, fines or other penalties and expenses, and/or to enter into costly settlements.Our patent license agreements may not cover all the future businesses that we may enter, our existing business may not necessarily be covered by our patent license agreements if there are changes in our corporate structure or our subsidiaries, or our newly acquired businesses may already have patent license agreements with terms that differ from similar terms in our patent license agreements. This may result in increased costs, restrictions in the use of certain technologies or time-consuming and costly disputes whenever there are changes in our corporate structure or our subsidiaries, or whenever we enter into new business areas or acquire new businesses. We make accruals and provisions to cover our estimated total direct IPR costs for our allegedly infringing products. Our estimated total direct IPR costs take into account items such as payments to licensors, accrued expenses under existing agreements and provisions for potential liabilities. We believe our accruals and provisions are at an appropriate level. The ultimate outcome, however, may differ from the provided level, which could have an adverse impact on us.
Trade Secrets - Risk 4
Changed
While the primary source of Nokia Technologies business group net sales and profits is licensing of the Nokia patents, we are also engaged with licensing of technologies, as well as with other business ventures, including technology innovation and incubation. Expected net sales and profitability for these businesses may not materialize as planned or, for some of these businesses, at all.
There can be no assurances that our Nokia Technologies business group, or any other part of Nokia, will be successful in innovation and incubation or in generating net sales and profits through its business plans, for instance, in patent and technology licensing. The industries in which we operate, or may operate in the future, are generally fast paced, rapidly evolving, innovative and at different levels of maturity. Additionally, we are entering into new business areas based on our technology assets and may explore new business ventures. Such business areas or plans may be adversely affected by adverse industry and market developments in the numerous diverse markets in which we operate, and the investments we make may not achieve the targeted scale, intended benefits or yield expected rates of return.
Cyber Security1 | 2.9%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Changed
We are exposed to risks related to information security. Our business model relies on solutions for distribution of services and software or data storage, which entail inherent risks relating to applicable regulatory regimes, cybersecurity incidents and other unauthorized access to network or data. Our business and operations rely on data confidentiality and security incidents may adversely affect of privacy and/or our business.
Our business and operations rely on confidentiality of proprietary and other sensitive information, for instance related to our employees and our customers, including our government customers. Our business models rely on certain centralized data processing solutions and cloud or remote delivery-based services for distribution of services and software or data storage, accessible by our partners or subcontractors according to the roles and responsibilities defined.We, our service companies and joint ventures, products and online services, marketing and developer sites and third parties that we contract have been and may in the future be subject to cybersecurity incidents, including hacking, ransomware, viruses, worms and other malicious software, unauthorized modifications, or other illegal activities that may cause potential security risks and other harm to us, our customers or consumers and other end-users of our products and services. Information Technology is rapidly evolving, the techniques used to obtain unauthorized access or sabotage systems change frequently and the parties behind cyber-attacks and other industrial espionage are sophisticated and have extensive resources, and it is not commercially or technically feasible to mitigate all known vulnerabilities in a timely manner or to eliminate all risk of cyber-attacks and data breaches. The widespread availability of artificial intelligence capabilities adds an extra dimension to cyber threats. Additionally, we contract with multiple third parties in various jurisdictions who collect and use certain data on our behalf. Although we have processes in place designed to ensure appropriate collection, handling and use of such data, third parties may use the data inappropriately or breach laws and agreements in collecting, handling or using or leaking such data. Our business is also vulnerable to theft, fraud or other forms of deception, sabotage and intentional acts of vandalism and espionage by third parties and employees. Further, compared to our fully integrated group companies, our ability to mitigate and oversee risk of cyber-attacks and data breaches may be more limited in our joint venture companies and other group companies having their own governance and system infrastructure, such as our local service companies focusing on network field services.The cybersecurity incidents may lead to lengthy and costly incident response, remediation of the attack or breach, legal proceedings and fines imposed on us, as well as adverse effects to our reputation and brand value. Additionally, cyber-attacks can be difficult to prevent, detect or contain. We cannot rule out the possibility that there may have been cyber-attacks that have been successful and/or evaded our detection. We continue to invest in risk mitigating actions; however, there can be no assurance that such investments and actions will prevent or detect future cyber-attacks. Additionally, the cost and operational consequences of implementing further information system protection measures, especially if prescribed by national authorities, could be significant. We may not be successful in implementing such measures in due time, which could lead to business disruptions and the implementation to be more expensive, time-consuming and resource-intensive. There are increasing regulatory requirements globally mandating how incidents should be managed and reported. Multi-faceted, multi-jurisdictional reporting requirements may be difficult to comply with the timescales required.In connection with providing products and services to our customers, certain personal and consumer data is collected, stored and processed through us, either by us or by our business partners or subcontractors in various jurisdictions. Loss, improper disclosure or processing or leakage of any personal or consumer data collected by us, or which is made available to us or our partners or subcontractors or stored in or through our products and services, could have a material adverse effect on us and harm our reputation and brand. Additionally, governmental authorities may seek to misuse our network products to access the personal data of individuals without our involvement; for example, through the so-called lawful intercept capabilities of network infrastructure, impairing our reputation.
Technology1 | 2.9%
Technology - Risk 1
Inefficiencies, incidents, malfunctions or disruptions of information technology systems and processes could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations. As our business operations, including those we have outsourced, rely on complex IT systems, networks and related services, our reliance on the precautions taken by us and external companies to ensure the reliability of our own and third-party IT systems, networks and related services is increasing. Consequently, certain disruptions in IT systems and networks affecting us and our external providers could also have a material adverse effect on our business.
All IT systems, networks and processes are potentially vulnerable to damage, incidents, malfunction or interruption from a variety of sources. Our own and customer-facing operations rely on the efficient and uninterrupted operation of complex and centralized IT systems, networks and processes, which are integrated with those of third parties. The ongoing migration to cloud-based architectures and network function virtualization has introduced further complexity and associated risk. We are, to a significant extent, relying on third parties for the provision of IT services. While we have outsourced certain functions, we have also increased our dependence on the reliability of external providers as well as on the security of communication with them. We may experience disruptions if our partners do not deliver as expected or if we are unable to successfully manage systems and processes together with our business partners. We will often need to use new service providers and may, due to technical developments or choices regarding technology, increase our reliance on certain new technologies, such as cloud, and certain other services that are used over the internet rather than using a traditional licensing model. Switching to new service providers and introducing new technologies is inherently risky and may expose us to an increased risk of disruptions in our operations, for instance due to network inefficiency or outage, a cybersecurity or a compliance incident, malfunctions, failure in disaster recovery or IT service continuity or other disruptions resulting from IT systems and processes. We are constantly seeking to improve the quality and security of our IT systems. However, despite precautions taken by us, we may fail to successfully secure our IT and any malfunction or disruption of our current or future systems or networks, such as an outage in a telecommunications network used by any of our IT systems, or a cybersecurity incident, such as an attack, malware, ransomware or other event that leads to an unanticipated interruption or malfunction of our IT systems, processes, networks or data leakages, could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and brand value. A disruption of services relying on our IT, for instance, could cause significant discontent among customers and their end-users and may result in claims, contractual penalties or deterioration of our brand value. Further, while we are increasing our investments in digitalizing our operations and transforming our IT, the legacy IT systems may be gradually more vulnerable to malfunction, disruptions or security incidents than the new IT systems replacing them.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 7/34 (21%)Above Sector Average
Regulation3 | 8.8%
Regulation - Risk 1
We operate in many jurisdictions around the world, and we are subject to various legal frameworks addressing corruption, fraud, competition, privacy, security, trade policies, environment, human rights, supply chains and other risk areas. At any given time, we may be subject to inspections, investigations, claims, and government proceedings, and the extent and outcome of such proceedings may be difficult to estimate with any certainty. We may be subject to material fines, penalties and other sanctions as a result of such investigations.
Bribery and anti-corruption laws in effect in many countries prohibit companies and their intermediaries from making improper payments to public officials or private individuals for the purpose of obtaining new business, maintaining existing business relationships or gaining any business advantage. Certain anti-corruption laws such as the United States Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) also require the maintenance of proper books and records, and the implementation of controls and procedures in order to ensure that a company’s operations do not involve corrupt payments. Since we operate throughout the world and given that some of our customers are government-owned entities and that our projects and agreements often require approvals from public officials, there is a risk that our employees, suppliers or commercial third-party representatives may take actions that are in violation of our compliance policies and of applicable anti-corruption laws.In many parts of the world where we operate, local practices and customs may be inconsistent with our policies, including the Nokia Code of Conduct, and could violate anti-corruption laws, including the FCPA and the UK Bribery Act 2010, and applicable European Union regulations, as well as applicable economic sanctions, embargoes and applicable competition and privacy laws. Our employees, or other parties acting on our behalf, could violate policies and procedures intended to promote compliance with anti-corruption laws, economic sanctions, competition or privacy laws or other applicable regulations. Violations of these laws by our employees or other parties acting on our behalf, regardless of whether we had participated in such acts or had knowledge of such acts, could result in us or our employees becoming subject to criminal or civil enforcement actions, including fines or penalties, disgorgement of profits and suspension or disqualification of sales. Additionally, violations of law or allegations of violations may result in reputational harm and loss of business and adversely affect our brand and reputation. Detecting, investigating and resolving such situations may also result in significant costs, including the need to engage external advisers, and consume significant time, attention and resources from our management and other key employees. The results and costs of such investigations or claims may be difficult to predict and could lead to, for instance, lengthy disputes, fines, fees or indemnities, costly settlement or the deterioration of the Nokia brand. Furthermore, even without allegations of misconduct against us, our employees or other parties acting on our behalf, we may face loss of business as a result of improper conduct or alleged improper conduct by our competitors.As part of mergers and acquisitions, we may be subject to claims, fines, investigations or assessments for conduct that we failed to or were unable to discover or identify in the course of performing our due diligence, including unknown or unasserted liabilities and issues relating to fraud, trade compliance, non-compliance with applicable laws and regulations, improper accounting policies or other improper activities.
Regulation - Risk 2
Changed
Changes in various existing regulations or in their application and emerging new regulation in areas such as security, privacy, artificial intelligence, digital economy and sustainability, including rolling back, variation and divergence of certain legislative acts, impacting current or new technologies, products or telecommunications and technology sectors in general, may adversely affect our operations and business results.
We develop our products based on existing regulations and technical standards. In the case of new technology, we must often rely on our predictions for and interpretation of unfinished technical standards and upcoming or draft regulations or, in certain cases, have products developed in the absence of applicable regulations and standards. Fragmentation of rules, lengthy legislative processes and unpredictability of regulatory changes present a particular challenge. Due in part to this fragmentation, we face a risk in the inability to meet regulatory or market expectations on security and privacy in our products and services, and perceived or actual breaches of our information systems or customer information systems if fault is attributable to Nokia.An increase in regulation of the digital economy and telecommunications following the European Commission’s ambitious Green Deal and Path to Digital Decade could fail to find the right balance between political ambitions and practical considerations, which might negatively affect Nokia and have a stifling effect on innovation due to strict product liability requirements, limits on the use of data, and extensive due diligence and reporting requirements. From a spectrum policy perspective, unrealistic spectrum pricing, failure to enable access to additional spectrum in various bands and/or failure to achieve frequency band harmonization could also adversely impact Nokia’s customers and Nokia itself.New development and changes in applicable data and privacy-related regulatory frameworks, such as the EU General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), the EU Data Act and the recent adoption of EU AI Act, eEvidence Regulations and the upcoming ePrivacy Regulations, including similar regulations in other countries and their application may adversely affect our business, including possible changes that increase costs, limit or restrict possibilities to offer products or services, or reduce or could be seen to reduce the privacy aspects of our offerings. For instance, countries could require governmental interception capabilities or issue regulations aimed at allowing direct governmental access to data for the products and services we offer. Such requirements or regulations could adversely affect us, if, among other things, we decide to reduce our sales to such markets, or if such requirements or regulations would be limiting our ability to use components, products or software that we have developed or sourced from other companies. Our current business models and operations rely on certain centralized data processing solutions and cloud or remote delivery-based services for distribution of services and software or data storage, which have certain inherent risks, including those stemming from applicable regulatory regimes, including data protection or data localization, that may cause limitations in implementing such business models or conducting business. An increase in the protectionist stances of governments around the world, which impact the free flow of data across borders, has already affected and may further affect our global service delivery model. Furthermore, we observe that enforcement actions and investigations by regulatory authorities related to data security incidents and privacy violations continue to increase. Unauthorized disclosure, transfer or loss of sensitive or confidential data, whether through systems failure, employee negligence, fraud or misappropriation, by us, our vendors or other parties with whom we do business (if they fail to meet the standards we impose) could subject us to significant litigation, monetary damages, regulatory enforcement actions, fines and criminal prosecution in one or more jurisdictions. In addition, our involvement in defense related projects lead to applicability of defense industry regulations. In addition to the existing data protection regulations, we recognize the increasing importance of security regulations that impact various aspects of our operations. These regulations are not limited to data protection but also encompass network security, product compliance, and associated costs. Recent regulatory moves in various jurisdictions highlight the need for compliance with security standards that affect our product lines and operational decisions. These regulations may lead to increased costs and complexities due to the lack of harmonization across different jurisdictions. While these regulations may not directly impact us at present, they have indirect effects on our business operations and strategic planning.Artificial intelligence has the potential to revolutionize our operations by providing valuable tools that augment our capabilities and enable the delivery of higher-performing products and services. By leveraging AI, we can efficiently and reliably process large volumes of data, automate tasks that are too complex or time-consuming to perform manually, and unlock new insights that inform our decision making. While AI adoption offers numerous benefits, it also presents several risks and challenges. One of the main risks is the potential for non-responsible use of AI, which could lead to non-compliance with relevant regulations, such as the new EU AI Act, loss of sensitive data or intellectual property, or inadvertent infringement of third-party rights. Additionally, careless use of AI can lead to errors in work product and create new vulnerabilities in our systems, which could be exploited by malicious actors, leading to data breaches or other security incidents. Another risk associated with AI is the potential for bias in AI decision making. AI systems can perpetuate existing biases and discriminatory practices, which could lead to unfair treatment of customers or employees. Furthermore, the regulatory landscape around artificial intelligence is evolving and there is a risk that regulation outside the EU may be less robust and more permissive, which could reduce our innovative agility and competitiveness.We are seeing an increase in climate and other sustainability-related regulations and customer requirements globally. In the longer term, such regulations or requirements could impact, for instance, our energy, component and logistic costs or competitiveness of our product offering, as well as affect availability of financing from ESG-focused investors or financial institutions. Changes to existing regulation related to Sustainable Finance, such as the EU Taxonomy Regulation and its delegated acts, the new EU Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive and the related delegated acts, as well as recently set regulations such as the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism Regulation, the EU Corporate Due Diligence Directive, the US SEC Climate Disclosure Rule, the California Corporate Data Accountability Act and the Climate Related Financial Risk Act will lead to more detailed reporting obligations, controls and documentation requirements and could also affect our ability to work with certain suppliers, as well as have an impact on how our products and sustainability footprint are perceived by the markets. For example, the EU Taxonomy Regulation aims to define rules for which economic activities contribute to sustainability objectives and mandates companies to report the share of their turnover, capital expenses and operating expenses aligned with specified technical criteria. If our business activities do not meet all the technical criteria as defined in the EU Taxonomy Regulation, or if our offering is not recognized by other similar standards developed around the world, it could potentially have some impact on our financing costs, share price or brand value in the longer term, depending on how such standards are interpreted and used by the markets, financial institutions and investors in the future.
Regulation - Risk 3
Changed
We conduct our business globally, being subject to direct and indirect regulation and exposed to geopolitical and regulatory risks, such as complex regulatory frameworks, unfavorable or unpredictable treatment in relation to trade sanctions, tariffs, tax matters and export controls (such as the changes in the U.S. and international trade policies, including the export and import controls and laws, particularly with regard to China, Mexico and Canada), exchange controls and other restrictions. We are also exposed to geopolitical conflicts and military actions, labor unrest, civil unrest, and public security and safety threats. These all could have a material adverse effect on us and our supply chain and our ability to sell or supply products and services, including network infrastructure equipment and components manufactured in such countries.
We have witnessed political unrest and open conflicts in the past in various markets in which we conduct business or in which we have operations, which have adversely affected our sales, profitability or operations in these markets, including the safety and security of our employees, and also in certain cases affected us outside these countries or regions. Any reoccurrence or escalation of such unrest could have a further material adverse effect on our people, sales or results of operations. For instance, an expansion of the current tensions in the Middle East with open conflict between sovereign states in the region or any further deterioration of the security situation in countries in the Sahel and West Africa, could impact our business on multiple levels such as market access over supply chain, general economic developments, security and safety of our operations in concerned countries, potential sanctions or boycotts, and reputational impacts. Escalating tensions in East Asia and territorial disputes by the South China Sea could lead to various risks, including short- or long-term supply chain disruptions from Taiwan. Should we decide to exit or otherwise alter our presence in a particular market, this may have an adverse effect on us through, for example, disruption to our operations in the event we need to relocate significant parts of our operations, triggered investigations, tax audits by authorities, claims by contracting parties or reputational damage. At Nokia, we make our sales in a transparent, regulated and compliant manner and in accordance with applicable laws and regulations. Notwithstanding our compliance measures, there exists a risk that the equipment we sell may subsequently be misused, relocated or resold without our knowledge or consent. The results and costs of investigations or claims against our international operations may be difficult to predict and could lead to lengthy disputes, fines or fees, indemnities or costly settlements. The regulatory, trade controls and sanctions legal environment can be difficult to navigate for companies with global operations, impacting ability to grow or maintain business in specific markets or enter new markets. As a global operator, Nokia conducts business subject to export controls regulations and in countries subject to various sanctions and our business may be impacted by new, existing or tightened export control regulations, sanctions, embargoes or other forms of economic and trade restrictions imposed on certain countries, regions and entities. Although we strive to conduct all operations of Nokia, and in particular any operations undertaken in countries targeted by sanctions, in accordance with our compliance program, we cannot ensure that breaches will not occur. Export controls, tariffs or other fees or levies imposed on our products and environmental, health, product safety, data protection and security, consumer protection, money laundering and other regulations that adversely affect the export, import, technical design, pricing or costs of our products could adversely affect our sales and results of operations. Further, we rely on multilateral trade regimes to help ensure a balanced playing field. Conflicts between countries and geopolitical tensions may lead to implementation of multiple and possibly conflicting unilateral measures or uncertainties impacting trade of products and services and which may also affect our customers’ ability or willingness to invest in capital expenditures and increase our costs or have adverse impacts on our operations and supply chain. For instance, we use products, components and sub-assemblies that are sourced from China, Mexico and Canada and are therefore subject to risks associated with international trade conflicts including between the U.S. and such countries, particularly with respect to export and import controls and laws. Furthermore, President Trump has spoken regularly about his desire to implement additional tariffs on foreign products. Rising political tensions could reduce trade volume, investment, technological exchange and other economic activities between major international economies, resulting in a material adverse effect on global economic conditions and the stability of global financial markets. Additionally, increasing tariffs could impact raw material prices, the cost of component parts and transportation. Any of the foregoing could have an adverse effect on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.We have a significant presence in emerging markets in which the political, economic, legal and regulatory systems are less predictable than in countries with more developed institutions. These markets represent a significant portion of our total sales, and a significant portion of expected future industry growth. Most of our suppliers are located in, and our products are manufactured and assembled in, emerging markets, particularly in Asia. Our business and investments in these markets may be subject to risks and uncertainties, including unfavorable or unpredictable treatment in relation to tax matters, exchange controls, restrictions affecting our ability to make cross-border transfers of funds, regulatory proceedings, unsound or unethical business practices, challenges in protecting our IPR, information security, nationalization, inflation, currency fluctuations or the absence of or unexpected changes in regulation, as well as other unforeseeable operational risks. Our business and results of operations may be adversely affected by regulation favoring the local industry participants, as well as other measures with potentially protectionist objectives or outcomes that host governments in various countries may take, including the introduction of local technical standards that divert from the globally adopted standards. Governments and regulators, particularly after changes in political regimes, may make legal and regulatory changes, slow down or reverse the adoption of favorable policy measures, or interpret and apply existing laws in ways that make our products and services less appealing to customers or require us to incur substantial costs, change our business practices or prevent us from offering our products and services. In particular, there is a growing trend in many countries to require minimum local content in products and/or services, and we may be required to invest in certain movement of operations or joint ventures to retain market share. Restrictive government policies or actions, such as the ones we saw in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic, or limitations on visas or work permits for certain foreign workers, may make it difficult for us to move our employees into and out of these jurisdictions. Our operations as well as employee recruitment and retention depend on our ability to obtain the necessary visas and work permits for our employees to travel and work in the jurisdictions in which we operate. The impact of changes in or uncertainties related to general regulation and trade policies could adversely affect our business and results of operations even in cases where the regulations do not directly apply to us or our products and services.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 2.9%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We are subject to litigation proceedings, which may be disruptive and expensive. In addition, an unfavorable outcome of litigation, arbitration, agreement-related disputes or product liability-related allegations against our business could have a material adverse effect on us.
We are a party to lawsuits, arbitration proceedings, agreement-related disputes and product liability-related allegations in the normal course of our business. Litigation, arbitration or agreement-related disputes can be expensive, lengthy and disruptive to normal business operations and divert the efforts of our management. Moreover, the outcomes of complex legal proceedings or agreement-related disputes are difficult to predict. An unfavorable resolution of a particular lawsuit, arbitration proceeding or agreement-related dispute could have a material adverse effect on us. Although our products are designed to meet all relevant safety standards and other recommendations and regulatory requirements globally, we cannot guarantee we will not become subject to product liability claims or be held liable for such claims, which could have a material adverse effect on us. We have been involved in several lawsuits alleging adverse health effects associated with our products, including those caused by electromagnetic fields, and the outcome of such procedures is difficult to predict, including potentially significant fines or settlements. Even a perceived risk of adverse health effects of mobile devices or base stations could have a material adverse effect on us, for instance, through a reduction in the demand for mobile devices, and a decreased demand for mobile networks or increased difficulty in obtaining sites for base stations.We record provisions for pending claims when we determine that an unfavorable outcome is likely and the loss can reasonably be estimated. Although we believe our provisions for pending claims are appropriate, due to the inherent uncertain nature of legal proceedings, the ultimate outcome or actual cost of settlement may materially differ from estimates. For a more detailed discussion of litigation to which we are a party, refer to Note 6.1. Commitments, contingencies and legal proceedings, in our consolidated financial statements.
Taxation & Government Incentives2 | 5.9%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
We have operations in many countries with different tax laws and rules, which may result in complex tax issues and disputes.
Taxation or other fees collected by governments or governmental agencies may result in unexpected payment obligations, and in response to prevailing difficult economic conditions in the public sector, coupled with already enacted and proposed fundamental changes in international tax regulations, there may be an increased aggressiveness in collecting such fees or taxes. We may be obliged to pay additional taxes for past periods as a result of changes in law, or changes of tax authority practice or interpretation (possibly with retroactive effect in certain cases), or inaccurate interpretations of tax laws by us resulting potentially in a material adverse effect on our cash flow and financial position. In particular, potential changes in reallocation of taxing rights and other fundamental international tax principles, the OECD Pillar project and digital business-related initiatives, our wide geographical footprint of operations and activities and changes in tax laws or global laws regarding transfer pricing could adversely impact our business, operating results and overall tax burden. There may also be unforeseen tax expenses that turn out to have an unfavorable impact on us, adverse tax consequences related to past acquisitions and divestments, and potential tax liabilities that we are currently not aware of. As a result, and given the inherently unpredictable nature of taxation, our tax rate may change from its current level and our cash flows regarding taxes may not be stable.As a company with global operations, we are subject to tax investigations in various jurisdictions, and such proceedings can be lengthy, involve actions that can hinder local operations and affect unrelated parts of our business, and the outcome of such proceedings is difficult to predict. While we have made provisions for certain tax issues, the provisions we have made may not be adequate to cover such increases.In the context of our sale of the Devices & Services business to Microsoft, we are required to indemnify Microsoft for certain tax liabilities, including (i) tax liabilities of the Nokia entities acquired by Microsoft in connection with the closing of the sale of the Devices & Services business; (ii) tax liabilities associated with the assets acquired by Microsoft and attributable to tax periods ending on or prior to the closing date of the sale of the Devices & Services business; and (iii) tax liabilities relating to the pre-closing portion of any taxable period that includes the closing date of the sale of the Devices & Services business.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 2
Our actual or anticipated performance, among other factors, could reduce our ability to utilize our tax attributes and deferred tax assets.
Deferred tax assets recognized on tax losses, unused tax credits and tax-deductible temporary differences are dependent on our ability to offset such items against future taxable income within the relevant tax jurisdiction. Such deferred tax assets are also based on our assumptions on future taxable earnings, and these may not be realized as expected which may cause the deferred tax assets to be materially reduced. Any such reduction could have a material effect on us. As an example, Nokia derecognized EUR 2.9 billion deferred tax assets related to Finland in 2020 and re-recognized EUR 2.5 billion of deferred tax assets related to Finland in 2022. Additionally, our earnings have been unfavorably affected in the past, and may continue to be in the future, in the event that no tax benefits are recognized for certain deferred tax items.
Environmental / Social1 | 2.9%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
Changed
We may be subject to increased scrutiny related to our sustainability activities and disclosures. Our reputation and brand as well as the willingness of customers and suppliers to do business with us could be harmed if we fail to meet the regulatory sustainability-related requirements, stakeholder expectations or our sustainability goals.
Our business could be negatively impacted if we fail to appropriately address existing and emerging sustainability matters, including related market pressure. We may fail or be unable to fully achieve one or more of our sustainability targets, such as our greenhouse gas emission commitments, due to a range of factors within or beyond our control, and we may adjust or modify our targets in light of new information, adjusted projections, or a change in business strategy, any of which could negatively impact our brand, reputation, and business. For instance, our decarbonization efforts are heavily dependent on the supply and use of renewable energy and biofuels which may not be available for our customers or supply chain in all markets or may not reach affordable cost levels for the actors in our value chain. It is also possible that stakeholders may be dissatisfied with our sustainability practices and targets or the speed of their implementation which could result in action against Nokia by regulators or other third parties or negative pressure on us or our stock.The sustainability regulatory environment is complex and volatile with new requirements proposed or adopted by various regulators worldwide requiring continuous and consistent monitoring of regulatory developments and evaluation to determine applicability to Nokia. Potential failure to, or perception of a failure to, adapt, disclose relevant metrics, set targets and implement actions and controls that are rigorous enough or otherwise in compliance with applicable regulations, or to prioritize the most material sustainability actions and targets, could negatively impact our brand, reputation, and business. We could also incur additional costs and require additional resources to address evolving regulatory requirements and to monitor and report on our sustainability performance programs, and those of our value chain partners, as required, and to comply with various sustainability practices and disclosure requirements. The high number of data points to be provided and the lack of global standardization in the ESG data disclosures makes ESG-related reporting difficult and resource consuming, which may contribute to challenges for investors to correctly assess disclosures or our ability to comply with each disclosure requirement. It is also possible that third parties rating our ESG practices and performance may make unfavorable, inaccurate or unsubstantiated interpretations of our ESG practices and performance based on their own assessments and publish such interpretations with or without offering us the possibility to comment.We may be unable to evaluate climate- and other sustainability-related risks and opportunities accurately and to identify and implement strategies for long-term resilience. We foresee that the global rate of technology adoption will be partially driven by sustainability matters, such as environmental impact of products and processes, energy efficiency, security, social and governance issues. For instance, increasing customer demands for sustainable products may necessitate significant investments in R&D, sourcing and relevant processes. Resource scarcity, environmental footprint of our global supply chain, increased regulatory requirements and scrutiny and changed societal expectations may require us to modify our supply chain practices. Geopolitics, unrest and changes in climate may lead to increasing labor migration and refugees pushing informal labor to supply chain. Extreme weather events or other climate-related disruptions could impact our customers, potentially leading to increased expectations regarding the resilience of our products and solutions. As artificial intelligence becomes part of both our product offerings, as well as of our processes, concerns regarding sustainable and ethical AI could lead to reputational damage or regulatory sanctions. Our involvement in defense sector could trigger increased scrutiny of our human rights due diligence and impact our reputation. Potential failure, or perceived failure, to meet sustainability disclosure regulations, standards, practices, stakeholder or societal expectations, or to achieve sustainability targets could result in regulatory fines or other sanctions, as well as negatively impact our reputation, employee retention or access to financing, compromise our stakeholder relationships and the willingness of our customers and suppliers to do business with us.
Production
Total Risks: 4/34 (12%)Below Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 2.9%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
We may face problems or disruptions in manufacturing, service creation, delivery, logistics or supply chain. Such challenges include securing availability of resources or components to meet the demand, ability to adapt supply, defects in products or related software or services, and achieving required efficiencies and flexibility. Our suppliers and partners may fail to meet product quality, health, safety or security requirements or comply with other regulations or local laws, such as environmental, social or labor laws. Additionally, adverse events, such as geopolitical disruptions, natural or man-made disasters, civil unrest or health crises, have and may continue to have an impact on our service delivery, production sites or the production sites of our suppliers and partners which are geographically concentrated
We have an extensive supply network, including a geographically dispersed manufacturing network consisting of both our own manufacturing and contract manufacturing partners. We, or third parties that we have outsourced manufacturing and services delivery to, may experience difficulties in adapting supply to meet the changing customer demand, ramping up and down production, adjusting network implementation capabilities as needed on a timely basis, maintaining an optimal inventory level, adopting new manufacturing processes, finding the most timely way to develop the best technical manufacturing solutions for new products, managing the increasingly complex manufacturing process, service creation and delivery process or achieving required efficiencies and flexibility. In addition, these operations are exposed to various risks and potential liabilities, including those related to geopolitics, transition to a low carbon economy, compliance with laws and regulations, exposure to environmental non-compliance and liabilities or other claims. In addition to operational complexity, these may increase our costs related to our supply chain.Our manufacturing operations depend on obtaining sufficient quantities of fully functional products, components, sub-assemblies, software, services, energy and other resources on a timely basis. In certain cases, a particular component or service may be available only from a limited number of suppliers or from a single supplier in the supply chain. Suppliers have and may, from time to time, extend lead times, limit supplies, change their partner preferences, increase prices, provide poor quality supplies or be unable to adapt to changes in demand due to capacity constraints or other factors, which could adversely affect our ability to deliver our products and services on a timely basis or increase our costs. For example, the past global semiconductor components shortage constrained our deliveries and led to increase in procurement prices. The continuing concerns around components and raw material availability and potential energy shortages in the market, if realized may have an impact on our ability to deliver to our customers and increase our costs. For instance, we see that the data center buildouts driven by AI are starting to impact prices of semiconductors. Also, certain raw materials, such as Gallium have seen price increases due to increased geopolitical tensions. The semiconductor supply chains are highly interdependent and sensitive to policy disruptions. We are working closely not only with our suppliers to ensure component availability but also with our customers to ensure we can meet their needs. We are also continuously optimizing our critical material buffer to prepare for balancing short-term disruptions. Many of our competitors and also companies from other industries utilize the same contract manufacturers, component suppliers and service vendors. If they have purchased capacity or components ahead of us, or if there is significant consolidation in the relevant supplier base, this could prevent us from acquiring the required components or services, which could limit our ability to supply our customers and increase our costs. Our increasing involvement in defense related projects may trigger the need to involve specialized and unique suppliers. Disruptions in this specialized supply chain may adversely impact our ability to fulfill contractual obligations.Our products are highly complex and defects in their design, manufacture and associated hardware, software, content and installation have occurred in the past and may continue to occur in the future. Quality issues may cause, for instance, delays in deliveries, loss of intellectual property, liabilities for network outages, court fees and fines due to breaches of significantly increasing regulatory privacy requirements and related negative publicity, and additional repair, product replacement or warranty costs to us, and harm our reputation and our ability to sustain or obtain business with our current and potential customers. With respect to our services, quality issues may relate to the challenges of having the services fully operational at the time they are made available to our customers and maintaining them on an ongoing basis. We may also be subject to damages due to product liability claims arising from defective products and components. We make provisions to cover our estimated warranty costs for our products and pending liability claims. We believe our provisions are appropriate, although the ultimate outcome may materially differ from the provisions that are provided for, which could have a material adverse effect on us.A large proportion of our manufacturing, service creation and delivery is carried out by third-party suppliers. These vary in size and often engage a number of tiers of suppliers, which limits our direct control. Suppliers may fail to meet our supplier requirements or customer expectations, such as related to product quality, safety and security. Certain suppliers may not comply with local laws, including, among others, local labor law, health and safety or environmental requirements. The activities we manage or that are managed by third parties for us may also be subject to negative publicity and purchasing boycotts, strikes or other forms of social, political, economic or environmental activism. These all can lead to exposure in the form of litigation, product recalls or brand damage through association.Many of our production sites or the production sites of our suppliers and partners are geographically concentrated, with a majority of such suppliers and partners based in Asia. We rely on efficient logistics chain elements, such as regional distribution hubs and transport chain elements (main ports, streets and airways). In the recent years, we have regionalized our supply network to increase resilience. However, in the event that any of these geographic areas are affected by any adverse conditions that disrupt production or deliveries from our suppliers and partners, such as trade restrictions, severe impacts of environmental events, geopolitical events, man-made or natural disasters (for instance, flooding, heavy rain or extreme heat that climate change is expected to further intensify or current unrest by the Red Sea), war, civil unrest or health crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic, our ability to deliver our products on a timely basis could be adversely affected. In a similar manner, these adverse conditions may also cause disruption to our service creation and delivery, which, in either case, may lead to a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations.
Employment / Personnel2 | 5.9%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Competition for employees and leaders is increasing globally. We may be unable to retain, motivate, develop, reskill and recruit appropriately skilled employees or we may fail in workforce balancing. Employees may face change fatigue or reduction in motivation and energy as our efforts to evolve our business and improve efficiency continue.
Our success in executing our strategy, to address opportunities in new technologies, business models and customer segments in particular, requires and is dependent on our ability to retain, motivate, develop, reskill and recruit appropriately skilled employees and, in particular, those with relevant technical expertise. Competition for employees and leaders particularly in some critical technology functions and niche markets such as system-on-chip and artificial intelligence is increasing globally. Our workforce has fluctuated over recent years as we have introduced changes in our strategy to respond to our business targets and endeavors. We continue with the strategic and operational changes announced in October 2023. The related program is expected to lead to a 72 000 to 77 000-employee organization. Such changes and uncertainty may cause disruption, fatigue and dissatisfaction among employees as our efforts to evolve our business and maximize operational efficiency continue. Employee motivation, energy, focus, morale and productivity may be reduced, causing inefficiencies and other problems across the organization resulting in the loss of key employees and increased costs in resolving and addressing such matters. The loss of key employees could result in resource gaps, some of which may only be noticed after a certain period of time or which negatively impact our relationship with customers, vendors or other business partners. Our efforts to rebalance our workforce as planned may fail, for instance due to legal restrictions or collective bargaining agreements, which may result in a non-optimal workforce, larger than expected costs and not meeting our financial targets for such plans. Our inability to negotiate successfully with employee representatives or failures in our relationships with such representatives could result in strikes and other industrial actions by the employees which may in turn result in significant disruption in our day-to-day operations and higher ongoing labor costs. The market for skilled employees is increasingly competitive, particularly given the similar technology trends affecting various industries simultaneously and increased remote working expanding the job market for individual employees. We have encountered, and may in the future encounter, shortages of appropriately skilled employees or lose key employees or senior management. There can be no assurances that we will be able to implement measures successfully to retain or hire the employees we need. This may require significant time, attention and resources from our senior management and other key employees within our organization and may result in increased costs or otherwise have a material adverse effect on us.We have a hybrid workforce where employees can choose to work remote or from the office. With this there is a risk of dispersed collaboration which can impact our ability to innovate. In addition, newly joined employees may experience a lack of connection and sense of community.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Our pension and other post-employment benefit obligations are subject to numerous factors that could result in a need for increased funding, adversely affecting our results of operations and cash flow.
We are exposed to various employee cost-related risks, including those related to pension, and other post-employment benefits (OPEB). In the US, we maintain significant employee pension benefit plans and a significant retiree welfare benefit plan (providing post-employment healthcare benefits and post-employment life insurance coverage). Outside the US, we contribute to pension schemes for large numbers of current and former employees. The US and non-US plans and schemes have funding requirements that depend on, among other things, various legal requirements, how assets set aside to pay for those obligations are invested, the performance of financial markets, interest rates, assumptions regarding the life expectancy of covered employees and retirees, and medical cost inflation and medical care utilization. To the extent that any of those variables change, the funding required for those plans and schemes may increase, adversely affecting our results of operations and cash flow. The most significantly underfunded plans are in Germany which do not currently have minimum regulatory funding requirements. With respect to other significantly underfunded plans, there are the OPEB plans in the US where Nokia is able to fund the liabilities by utilizing IRC Section 420 transfers from the US pension surplus up until 2032. More details about these plans can be found in Note 3.4. Pensions and other post-employment benefits in our consolidated financial statements.
Supply Chain1 | 2.9%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
Performance failures of our partners as well as failures to agree to partnering arrangements with third parties could adversely affect us.
We are increasingly collaborating and partnering with third parties to develop technologies, products and services, as well as seeking new revenue streams through partnering arrangements. We also depend on partners in our efforts to monetize our technologies, including those of Nokia and Nokia Bell Labs, and we have outsourced various functions to third parties and are relying on them to provide certain services to us. Furthermore, according to our technology vision for 2030, the opportunities of digitalization, metaverse and digital twin will be realized by a multi-party value ecosystem developed around collaboration, co-innovation and partnering. Although the objective of the collaborative and partnering arrangements is a mutually beneficial outcome for each party, our ability to introduce and provide technologies, products and services in a timely manner and so that those are commercially viable and meet our, our customers’ and consumers’ quality, safety, security and other standards could be hampered by performance or other failures of our partners or the companies we collaborate with. For instance, if a partner acts inconsistently with our ethical, sustainability, compliance, brand or quality standards, this can negatively affect our reputation, the value of our brand and the business outcome of our partnerships. Furthermore, if we fail to achieve the collaboration or partnering arrangements needed to succeed, we may be unable to bring our products, services or technologies to market successfully or in a timely manner. It is also possible that the parties we currently collaborate with, turn into our competitors.In many areas, including R&D, IT, finance and human resources-related arrangements, a failure to maintain an efficient relationship with the selected partner may lead to ongoing operational problems or even to severe business disruptions, and the availability of the processes and services upon which we rely may be interrupted. Performance problems may result in missed reporting deadlines, internal controls challenges, financial losses, missed business opportunities and reputational harm. In addition, as management’s focus shifts from a direct to an indirect operational control in these areas, there is a risk that without active management and monitoring of the relationship, the services provided may be below appropriate quality standards. Partners may not meet agreed service levels, in which case, depending on the impacted service, our contractual remedies may not fully cure all of the damages we may suffer. This is particularly true for any deficiencies that would impact the reporting requirements applicable to us as a company listed on multiple stock exchanges. In outsourcing projects, we may encounter disruption to business resulting from broken processes and distraction of our employees that may need to train the partner’s staff or be trained in the partner’s systems. Adjustments to staff size and transfer of employees to the partner’s companies could have an adverse effect on us, for instance, through impacting the morale of our employees, raising complex labor law issues and resulting in the loss of key personnel. Additionally, partnering and outsourcing arrangements can create a dependency on a given partner causing issues in our ability to learn from day-to-day responsibilities, gain hands-on experience, adapt to changing business needs and properly transfer the specific know-how to the new outsourcing partners. Concerns could equally arise from giving third parties access to confidential data, strategic technology applications and books and records. There is also a risk that we may not be able to determine whether internal controls have been effectively implemented, and whether the partner company’s performance and controls monitoring reports are accurate.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 3/34 (9%)Below Sector Average
Competition1 | 2.9%
Competition - Risk 1
Changed
We face intense competition and are dependent on development of the industries and markets in which we operate. The markets are cyclical and are affected by many factors, including the general economic environment, technological changes or the speed of technological adoption, competitor behavior, customer consolidation, customers’ spending appetite and purchase behavior, including mix of supply, deployments and rollout timing. Our existing competition and new competition challenging the connectivity business models of our customers are driving price erosion.
The competitive environment in the markets in which we operate, including the related services markets, is characterized by maturing industry technologies, 5G and related new technologies, diversification of supplier ecosystems, equipment price erosion and aggressive price competition. Our competition endeavors to gain market share in selected regions where Nokia has a large footprint. Despite strong growth in mobile data traffic, most of our customer base has been facing persistent erosion in unit revenue and is reverting to vendors to compensate for it. Competition for new customers, as well as for new infrastructure deployment, is particularly intense and focused on the favorability of price and agreement terms. We compete with companies that have large overall scale, which affords such companies more flexibility compared to us. In addition, new competition may be entering the network infrastructure and related services business through adoption of new technologies or business models, such as virtualized RAN and Open RAN or as-a-service models for products or services.We are particularly dependent on the investments made by communications service providers in mobile connectivity, network infrastructure and related services. The pace and size of such investments are in turn dependent on the ability of communications service providers to increase their subscriber numbers, reduce churn, maintain or increase their average revenue per user, and compete with business models eroding revenue from traditional voice, messaging and data transport services, as well as the financial condition of such service providers. Their cost containment actions and merger activity have in the past constricted capital expenditure, and may continue to do so in the future, resulting in further competition and pressure on pricing and profitability. In addition, the investments of the communications service providers in the new spectrum assets may reduce their funds available for investing in the new network infrastructure and related services. Furthermore, the level of demand by communications service providers, enterprise and other customers that purchase our products and services is dependent on their ability to monetize their investment and introduce new use cases and can therefore change quickly and vary over short periods of time. Communications service providers may also consolidate their supplier base to our disadvantage — all the way to a one-supplier model, for instance in a specific product area. In addition, a portion of our revenues is driven by the timing of completion and customer acceptances. As a result of the uncertainty and variations in the telecommunications and vertical industries, accurate forecasting of revenues, results and cash flow remains difficult. Furthermore, significant reduction of business with us could result in the loss of benefits related to economies of scale.We may be unable to respond successfully to technological changes or to alternative technologies in the markets in which we operate. Market developments favoring new technological solutions, such as cloud, virtualization, edge computing, programmable networks, AI-enabled automation and alternatives such as satellite communications may result in reduced spending to the benefit of our competitors who have, or may have, a stronger position in such technologies. The technological viability of standardized, low-margin hardware products in combination with the virtualization of functions can induce a change in purchase behavior, resulting in favoring other vendors or in higher bargaining power versus Nokia due to more alternative vendors. Our customers may prefer best-of-breed from multiple vendors, a single vendor or turn to alternative vendors to maintain end-to-end services. Additionally, new competitors may enter the industry as a result of acquisitions or shifts in technology. Furthermore, some companies, including webscale companies, may drive a faster pace of innovation in telecommunications infrastructure through more collaborative approaches and open technologies across access, backhaul, core and management.We expect to generate a significant share of our growth from new customers, including webscale companies and vertical customers, for example in transportation & logistics, energy, manufacturing, defense and public sector verticals. Each of these sectors may face adverse industry developments, which may significantly impact the size of investments addressable by us and our ability to address these investments, in terms of both having the right products available and being able to obtain new customers and having the right go-to-market capabilities and expertise to address the specific needs of these sectors. Furthermore, there are various incumbent and new actors competing with Nokia in these customer groups we strategically target. With these types of customers, the nature of competition and the required capabilities can be significantly different from the communications service provider market, including competition based on access network, core network, cloud infrastructure, platforms, applications and devices, and related services.Competitive intensity remains high in the market as competitors seek to take share in 5G rollouts, which is creating a risk of persistent high price erosion in the industry. If domestic and global economic conditions worsen, overall spending on 5G infrastructure may be reduced or delayed, and spending in our other network products and services might be even more rapidly reduced to preserve the customer investment in 5G, which would adversely impact demand for our products and services in these markets. Further, any reduction in our market share in 5G compared with our installed base in 4G due to decisions to protect our profitability, inability to meet the customers’ requirements or other reasons, may have a material negative effect on our scale and profitability.
Demand1 | 2.9%
Demand - Risk 1
Changed
We are dependent on a limited number of big customers and large multi-year agreements. The loss of a single customer or contract, operator consolidation, unfavorable contract terms or other issues related to a single agreement may have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
significant proportion of the net sales and profits that we generate have historically been derived from a limited number of customers. As consolidation among existing customers continues, it is possible that an even greater portion of our net sales will be attributable to a smaller number of large communications service providers. These developments are also likely to increase the impact on our net sales based on the outcome of certain individual agreement tenders. Communications service providers are also increasingly entering into asset sharing arrangements, as well as joint procurement agreements, which may reduce their investments and the number of networks available for us to service. Furthermore, procurement organizations of certain large communications service providers sell consulting services to enhance the negotiating position of small operators with their vendors. As a result of the intense competition in the industry, we may increasingly be required to agree to less favorable contractual terms in order to remain competitive. Any unfavorable developments in relation to, or any change in the agreement terms applicable to, a major customer may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition. Also, agreements in the networks business are typically complex and long term in nature and it is possible that over time the contract terms of the agreement may prove less favorable to us than originally expected, for instance due to changes in costs and product portfolio decisions, and those may be difficult to amend promptly to address new developments, such as the recent period of accelerating inflation. Furthermore, in particular given the bargaining power of our customers or limited legal ability to deviate from the standard governmental contract terms, we may be exposed to onerous terms and liabilities in our customer contracts.Loss of a single customer, its significant business or contract, or other issues related to a single agreement, may have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. We have lost customers and contracts in the past and the same may happen in the future. Furthermore, any suspension, termination or non-performance by us under an agreement’s terms may have a material adverse effect on us, for example due to penalties for breaches, early termination or reduced orders or customer footprint. In addition, we may lose existing agreements, or we may be unable to renew or gain new agreements, for instance due to customer policies that limit the ability of customers to have one network provider exceeding a certain threshold of business in a given market or as a result of merger activity where the customer may decide to concentrate their spending elsewhere.The timing of sales and results of operations associated with large multi-year agreements or turnkey projects may differ significantly from expectations. For instance, recognition of sales and related costs in network implementation projects are often linked with achievement of customer acceptances, which may delay for reasons that may or may not be attributable to us. Moreover, such agreements often require dedication of substantial amounts of working capital and other resources, which may adversely affect our cash flow, particularly in the early stages of an agreement’s term, or may require us to continue to sell certain products and services, or to sell in certain markets that would otherwise be discontinued or exited, thereby diverting resources from developing more profitable or strategically important products and services, or focusing on more profitable or strategically important markets. Furthermore, our customer agreements may involve complex transformation of the networks as the customers deploy new technologies and the related costs and scope of required deliverables may differ from our expectations at the time we enter into such agreements.
Sales & Marketing1 | 2.9%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
We may be adversely affected by developments with respect to customer financing or extended payment terms that we provide to our customers. Unwillingness of banks or other institutions to provide guarantees or financing to our customers or purchase our receivables could impair our capability to enter agreements with new customers or markets, to mitigate payment risk and to manage our liquidity.
Requests for customer financing and extended payment terms are typical for our industry and uncertainty or lack of liquidity in the financing markets, among other things, may result in increased customer financing requests. In the event that export credit agencies face constraints on their ability or willingness to provide guarantees or financing to our customers, or there is insufficient demand from banks or other financial institutions to purchase receivables, such events could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. Furthermore, reduced availability of credits by export credit agencies supporting our sales could affect our ability to attract customers and enter new markets thus facing the possibility of reduced sales.In certain cases, the amounts and duration of these financings and trade credits, and the associated impact on our working capital, may be significant. We have agreed to extended payment terms for a number of our customers and may continue to do so in the future. Extended payment terms may result in a material aggregate amount of trade credits and even when the associated risk is mitigated by a diversified customer portfolio, defaults in the aggregate could have a material adverse effect on us. Our ability to manage our total customer financing and trade credit exposure depends on a number of factors, including, but not limited to, the market conditions affecting our customers, the levels and terms of credit available to us and our customers, the cooperation of export credit agencies and our ability to mitigate exposure on acceptable terms. We may be unsuccessful in managing the challenges associated with the customer financing and trade credit exposure that we may face from time to time, particularly in difficult financial conditions in the market. While defaults under financings, guarantees and trade credits to our customers resulting in impairment charges and credit losses have not been significant for us in the past, these may increase in the future. Further, commercial banks may not continue to be able or willing to provide sufficient long-term financing, even if backed by export credit agency guarantees, due to their own constraints, and certain of our competitors may also have greater access to such financing, which could adversely affect our competitiveness. Additionally, we have sold certain receivables to banks or other financial institutions, and any significant change in our ability to continue this practice could impair our capability to mitigate such payment risk and to manage our liquidity.Nokia also arranges bank guarantees and bonds in customers’ favor in relation to our business. In the event we are unable to collect outstanding guarantees and bonds, this could limit our possibilities to issue new guarantees and bonds, which are required in customer agreements or practices. We also face a risk that such commercial guarantees/bonds may be unfairly called.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 2/34 (6%)Below Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment1 | 2.9%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Changed
Our sales and profitability have been and may in the future be materially and adversely affected by general economic and financial market conditions, such as inflation, increased global macroeconomic uncertainty, major currency fluctuations, higher interest rates and financing costs, and other developments in the economies where we operate.
We are a company with global operations with sales, R&D, manufacturing facilities, partners and suppliers located in various countries around the world. Adverse developments in and the weakness of global economic conditions in general have an adverse effect on us and the spending of our customers. For instance, the uncertain nature, magnitude, and duration of hostilities stemming from Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine, including the potential effects of sanctions, retaliatory attacks on the world economy and markets, and any other geopolitical escalation, for instance in the US-China relations, in the Middle East or East Asia, and adverse developments in policies governing international trade such as export and import controls, including increases in tariffs, could contribute to increased market volatility and uncertainty, which could have an adverse impact on macroeconomic factors affecting market demand, inflationary development and supply.We are dependent on the purchase behavior of final end-users. Any adverse developments in economies, such as increases in the level of inflation, interest rates or unemployment, may affect market demand for consumables, such as mobile devices, mobile subscriptions and both the services that end-users subscribe to and the usage levels of such services, which may lead communications service providers to invest less in related infrastructure and services or to invest in low-margin products and services. This may further be mirrored as an adverse effect on the business of our patent, technology or brand licensees and our patent licensing income. Likewise, adverse developments in economic conditions may lead certain customer segments, such as webscale companies, transportation & logistics, energy, manufacturing, and public sector verticals, to invest less or delay spend in infrastructure and services to digitize their operations or to invest in low-margin products and services. Further, the purchasing power of our customers, particularly in developing markets, depends to a greater extent on the price development of basic commodities and currency fluctuations, which may render our products or services unaffordable. Economic slowdown may also lead to an overcapacity in supply and inflated inventories, and to delays and shortages in case of sharp recovery and ramp-up of demand with a potentially adverse effect on our ability and our suppliers’ ability to deliver products and services in time. Increasing inflation and other current market conditions are driving cost increases in operations, materials and labor, and may also result in strikes and other industrial actions.General uncertainty and adverse developments in the financial markets could have a material adverse effect on our customers’, suppliers’ and other partners’ ability to obtain sufficient or affordable financing on satisfying terms. Higher interest rates increase cost of financing. Uncertain market conditions may increase the price of financing or decrease its availability if the banks and investors were to tighten lending standards or increase interest rates, or if certain assets would decline in value, which could lead to difficulties in raising funds or accessing liquidity necessary to maintain our financial condition and ongoing operations.
Capital Markets1 | 2.9%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
Due to our global operations, our net sales, costs and results of operations, as well as the US dollar value of our dividends and market price of our ADSs, are affected by exchange rate fluctuations.
We operate globally and are therefore exposed to foreign exchange risks in the form of both transaction risks and translation risks. Our policy is to monitor and hedge foreign exchange rate exposures within defined exposure identification horizons. We manage our operations to mitigate, but not to eliminate, the impacts of exchange rate fluctuations and our hedging activities may prove unsuccessful in mitigating the potentially negative impact of exchange rate fluctuations. Additionally, significant volatility in the relevant exchange rates and interest rates may increase our hedging costs, as well as limit our ability to hedge our exchange rate exposures including, in particular certain emerging market currencies. Furthermore, exchange rate fluctuations may have an adverse effect on our net sales, costs and results of operations, as well as our competitive position, through their impact on our customers, suppliers and competitors. We also experience other financial market-related risks, including changes in interest rates and in prices of marketable securities that we own. We may use derivative financial instruments to reduce certain of these risks. If our strategies to reduce such risks are not successful, our financial condition and results of operations may be harmed. Additionally, exchange rate fluctuations may materially affect the US dollar value of any dividends or other distributions that are paid in euro, as well as the market price of our ADSs.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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