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Nikon (NINOY) AI Stock Analysis

NINOY

Nikon

(Other OTC:NINOY)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:$11.00â–²(6.05% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/10/26

The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance: a sharp swing into losses, negative margins, and weak/negative free cash flow despite strong revenue growth and only moderate leverage. Technical indicators are broadly neutral with slightly weak near-term momentum, while valuation is mixed due to a negative P/E (loss-making) partially offset by a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Optics and imaging capabilitiesNikon’s established expertise in optics, measurement, and imaging supports activity across several technically demanding markets. This capability can help preserve differentiation, enable product development, and provide a durable foundation beyond a single consumer-camera category.
Negative Factors
Profitability deteriorationNikon’s shift from consistent profits in 2022–2025 to negative margins and a large loss represents a material weakening in earnings power. If the reversal persists, it could reduce internal funding capacity, weaken returns on invested capital, and constrain strategic execution.

Nikon (NINOY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%NINOY-11.88%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$3.51B
Dividend Yield
1.27%
Average Volume (3M)
1,396
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.7
Beta (1Y)
0.41
Revenue Growth
-6.62%
EPS Growth
-808.36%
Country
US
Employees
19,928
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Leisure

Nikon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Tokyo, Japan, in 1917, Nikon Corporation is a global leader in the production and distribution of precision optical instruments. Its global presence covers Japan, North America, Europe, China, Thailand, and various other international...

How the Company Makes Money

Nikon makes money primarily by selling imaging and optical products and related services. A major revenue stream comes from its Imaging Products business, which includes sales of interchangeable-lens cameras (e.g., mirrorless and DSLR bodies), NIKKOR...

Nikon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:6.92%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were positive developments in imaging products and expectations for future profitability improvements, significant challenges in semiconductor-related business and operating losses in some segments led to a notable profit shortfall. Despite a positive outlook for the upcoming fiscal year, the overall sentiment is impacted by missed targets and restructuring challenges.

Positive Updates

Revenue Increase in Imaging Products
The Imaging Products Business saw revenue increase by ¥15.6 billion to ¥295.3 billion, driven by strong demand for new wireless cameras, particularly in China, and the benefit of a weaker yen.

Negative Updates

Decline in Semiconductor-Related Business
Sales in the Precision Equipment Business declined by ¥17.4 billion due to a decrease in new semiconductor lithography system sales, resulting in a ¥14.1 billion fixed asset impairment loss.

Company Guidance

During the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, Nikon reported revenue of ¥715.2 billion, with an operating profit of ¥2.4 billion and a profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥6.1 billion. Despite growth in imaging products and healthcare sectors, overall revenue slightly declined due to reduced sales in semiconductor-related businesses and precision equipment. The company faced a ¥27.2 billion one-time cost that significantly impacted profits. For FY 2026, Nikon forecasts revenue of ¥710 billion, operating profit of ¥36 billion, and a profit attributable to owners of ¥30 billion, expecting growth in components and digital manufacturing segments. The company aims to improve profitability by eliminating last year's one-time costs and leveraging gains from the sale of idle assets. They have revised dividend projections to ¥50 per share and plan a 54.8% shareholder return ratio for the current fiscal year. Nikon is also focused on long-term growth investments, particularly in professional video cameras, next-generation lithography, and metal additive processing, targeting a revenue of ¥1 trillion and a 10% operating margin by FY 2030.

Nikon Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak overall. Despite strong TTM revenue growth (+31.21%), profitability has turned negative (TTM net margin -13.8% and negative operating margin) with a large net loss in 2026. The balance sheet is comparatively stable with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.37), but returns are negative (ROE negative), and cash flow quality is pressured with negative TTM free cash flow and negative operating/free cash flow in 2026.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue694.72B718.00B715.28B717.25B628.11B539.61B
Gross Profit279.23B270.69B311.97B310.05B277.73B225.97B
EBITDA-56.02B32.97B55.72B77.73B86.83B71.01B
Net Income-95.97B-91.28B6.12B32.57B44.94B42.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.09T1.08T1.11T1.15T1.05T1.04T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments156.02B158.72B166.71B222.55B212.58B370.28B
Total Debt217.97B220.91B193.57B166.71B134.02B130.06B
Total Liabilities499.06B488.92B471.29B462.02B431.92B439.60B
Stockholders Equity589.44B589.33B637.98B683.79B614.97B597.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.40B-43.45B-21.40B-24.45B-33.01B7.53B
Operating Cash Flow12.09B-4.71B48.26B30.77B15.00M31.35B
Investing Cash Flow-13.78B-13.36B-69.99B-41.41B-112.15B-385.00M
Financing Cash Flow-19.36B909.74M-19.81B-8.94B-56.21B-26.15B

Nikon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price10.37

Price Trends

50DMA11.60Negative
100DMA12.32Negative
200DMA12.27Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.29Positive
RSI31.58Neutral
STOCH39.47Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NINOY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.36, below the 50-day MA of 11.60, and below the 200-day MA of 12.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NINOY.

Nikon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

NINOY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CALYCALY67Neutral$2.71B30.943.97%8.05%-37.17%84.41%
AOUTAOUT64Neutral$228.70M-58.40-2.35%―-5.84%13.11%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
CLARCLAR57Neutral$169.62M-5.39-15.46%2.26%-0.10%61.92%
JOUTJOUT56Neutral$473.60M-58.55-1.90%2.89%17.49%82.16%
GOLFGOLF51Neutral$4.98B23.1725.98%1.17%8.77%-2.02%
NINOYNINOY48Neutral$3.24B-5.70-15.65%1.27%-6.62%-808.36%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%NINOYCLARCALYGOLFJOUTAOUTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
NINOY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
NINOYNikon Corporation10.37-1.32-11.29%
CLARClarus Corp4.431.1936.64%
CALYCallaway Golf Company15.166.2169.39%
GOLFAcushnet Holdings85.269.7312.89%
JOUTJohnson Outdoors45.676.6216.95%
AOUTAmerican Outdoor Brands, Inc.18.1211.32166.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 10, 2026