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Neurogene (NGNE) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1We have a number of academic collaborations, and currently rely on our collaboration with the University of Edinburgh for certain aspects of our preclinical research and development programs, including working in collaboration to discover and preclinically develop our potential product candidates for our near-term future pipeline. Failure or delay of the University of Edinburgh or any other collaborator to fulfill all or part of its obligations under our agreements, a breakdown in collaboration between the parties or a complete or partial loss of the relationship would materially harm our business.
Our discovery engine is supplemented by academic collaborations to expand our platform, which we rely upon to advance discovery and development of product candidates. For example, our collaboration with the University of Edinburgh is critical to our business. In December 2020, we entered into a Master Collaboration Agreement (the "MCA") with the University of Edinburgh, which we rely on to conduct certain aspects of the preclinical development of our pipeline candidates, including NGN-401 and all of our early-stage pipeline product candidates. Further, in March 2022, we entered into an exclusive license agreement with the University of Edinburgh for, with respect to certain University of Edinburgh-owned technology, a worldwide, exclusive, sublicensable license to develop, have developed, use, manufacture, have manufactured, supply, have supplied, sell, have sold, offer for sale, commercialize, import, export, register, reproduce, dispose of or otherwise exploit any products, processes, components, services and/or technologies incorporating the technology for the prevention or treatment of disease or medical or genetic conditions in humans. We also currently rely on the University of Edinburgh for portions of preclinical research capabilities under the direction of Dr. Stuart Cobb, Professor in Translational Neuroscience at the University of Edinburgh and our Chief Scientific Officer. Pursuant to the MCA, we and the University of Edinburgh agreed to collaborate on certain research and development projects (the "Projects"), and we agreed to provide funding for such Projects. In exchange for such funding, the University of Edinburgh grants us an option to exclusively license any intellectual property arising from such Projects. Either party has the right in certain circumstances to terminate the collaboration pursuant to the terms of the MCA. If the MCA is not renewed or is terminated, our pipeline of product candidates would be significantly adversely affected, and our business would be materially harmed. Following an amendment to the MCA in November 2023, the term of the research funding portion of the MCA, under which we have the ability to acquire exclusive rights to additional technology and gene therapy products, now expires in December 2026. If we need to extend the term of this provision beyond that date, we will need to negotiate an additional extension with the University of Edinburgh, and we may not be able to agree on such an extension on terms that are acceptable to us, or at all. We may have disagreements with the University of Edinburgh with respect to the interpretation of the MCA, use of resources or otherwise that could cause our relationship to deteriorate. As a result, the University of Edinburgh may reduce focus on, and resources allocated to, our programs, potentially delaying or terminating our ability to advance product candidates through preclinical studies. Additionally, if Dr. Cobb were to leave the University of Edinburgh or to otherwise no longer be meaningfully involved with us, our preclinical research and development capabilities may be substantially reduced. Further, under the MCA, the University of Edinburgh is primarily responsible for prosecuting and maintaining our licensed intellectual property, and it may fail to properly prosecute, maintain or defend such intellectual property. In such event, if we are unable to otherwise maintain or defend such intellectual property, we could face the potential invalidation of the intellectual property or be subjected to litigation or arbitration, any of which would be time-consuming and expensive. To enforce the licensed intellectual property rights under the MCA, we will need to coordinate with the University of Edinburgh, which could slow down or hamper our ability to enforce our licensed intellectual property rights. If this happens, we could face increased competition that could materially and adversely affect our business. For a further description of the MCA, see "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-License and Collaboration Agreements." We also currently have or may in the future engage in other academic collaborations to supplement our internal discovery and product development program. While these academic institutions have contractual obligations to us, they are independent entities and are not under our control or the control of our officers or directors. Our research and licensing agreements with academic collaborators generally provide academic collaborators with license maintenance fees, development and regulatory milestone payments, royalties on net sales of products and a portion of sublicense income that we receive. Upon the scheduled expiration of any academic collaboration, we may not be able to renew the related agreement, or any renewal could be on terms less favorable to us than those contained in the existing agreement. Furthermore, either we or the academic institution generally may terminate the sponsored research agreement for convenience following a specified notice period. If any of these academic institutions decides to not renew or to terminate the related agreement or decides to devote fewer resources to such activities, our discovery efforts would be diminished, while our royalty obligations, if any, would continue unmodified.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 88
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 1NGN-401 is in clinical development and our preclinical programs are in early stages of development and may fail in development or suffer delays that materially and adversely affect their commercial viability. If we are unable to complete development of, or commercialize, our product candidates, or experience significant delays in doing so, our business will be materially harmed.
We have no products on the market and while we have completed dosing in our Phase 1/2 clinical trial of NGN-401 and our Embolden trial, NGN-401 is still in the clinical development stage. In addition, we have disclosed that unless we are able to find an alternative pathway for advancement, we will need to discontinue our NGN-101 program following the denial of RMAT designation for NGN-101 by the FDA, which would preclude a streamlined path to regulatory approval. Our other programs are in early stages of preclinical development, and we expect to expend the majority of our resources on our Rett program for the near future, which may delay the development plans for our pipeline. As a result, we expect it will be several years before we commercialize our product candidates and ultimately may not be successful in commercializing any of our product candidates. Our ability to achieve and sustain profitability depends on obtaining regulatory approvals for, and successfully commercializing, our lead product candidate NGN-401 or other product candidates, either alone or with third parties, and we cannot guarantee that we will ever obtain regulatory approval for any product candidates we may develop. We have limited experience as a company in conducting and managing the clinical trials necessary to obtain regulatory approvals, including approval by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities. We have not yet demonstrated our ability to obtain regulatory approvals, manufacture a commercial scale product or arrange for a third party to do so on our behalf, or conduct sales and marketing activities necessary for successful product commercialization. Before obtaining regulatory approval for the commercial distribution of product candidates, we or an existing or future collaborator must conduct extensive preclinical tests and clinical trials to demonstrate the safety, purity and efficacy or potency in humans of such product candidates. Following denial by the FDA of our RMAT application for NGN-101 for CLN5 Batten disease in November 2024, we disclosed that we do not expect to move forward with that program at this time. Given the rarity of the disease, continued investment in the program was predicated on alignment on a streamlined registrational pathway with the FDA. Despite our belief that we met the standard of preliminary clinical evidence required to obtain an RMAT designation, the RMAT application was denied. Similar challenges may prevent our success with or increase the cost of other current, planned or future clinical trials. We or our collaborators may experience delays in initiating or completing clinical trials, and also may experience unforeseen events during, or as a result of, any current or future clinical trials that could delay or prevent our ability to receive marketing approval or commercialize NGN-401 or any other product candidates, including: - regulators or institutional review boards ("IRBs"), the FDA or ethics committees may not authorize us or our investigators to commence a clinical trial or conduct a clinical trial at a prospective trial site;- we may experience delays in reaching, or may fail to reach, agreement on acceptable terms with prospective trial sites and prospective CROs, the terms of which can be subject to extensive negotiation and may vary significantly among different CROs and trial sites;- the observation of an actual or suspected unexpected serious adverse reaction, serious adverse events, or adverse events of special interest could result in a partial or complete clinical hold for an unpredictable length of time, delay or halt future enrollment, require increased staggering between patient dosing, require dose reductions that could adversely affect the anticipated efficacy or potency product profile, or require a program discontinuation;- clinical trial sites may fail to meet enrollment targets, may deviate from trial protocol, or may experience patients dropping out of a trial;- clinical trials of any product candidates may fail to show safety, efficacy or potency, or may produce negative or inconclusive results, and we may decide, or regulators may require us, to conduct additional preclinical studies or clinical trials or we may decide to abandon product development programs;- the number of subjects required for clinical trials of any of our product candidates may be larger than we anticipate, especially if the effect size observed in future clinical data from a Phase 1/2 clinical trial is small or is difficult to ascertain relative to natural history as a comparator, or if regulatory authorities require completion of a sham-controlled clinical trial;- enrollment in clinical trials may be slower than we anticipate or subjects may drop out of clinical trials or fail to return for post-treatment follow-up at a higher rate than we anticipate;- our third-party contractors may fail to comply with regulatory requirements or meet their contractual obligations to us in a timely manner, or at all, or may deviate from the clinical trial protocol or drop out of the trial, which may require that we add new clinical trial sites or investigators;- we may elect to, or regulators, independent data and safety monitoring boards ("DSMBs"), IRBs or ethics committees may require that we or our investigators suspend or terminate clinical research or trials, or delay further recruitment, enrollment or dosing of subjects in clinical trials or specific trial sites, for various reasons, including noncompliance with regulatory requirements, internal processes or protocols of the relevant review body, a finding that the participants in our trials are being exposed to unacceptable health risks, or any other development that may impact the benefit-risk assessment of our product candidates;- the cost of clinical trials of any of our product candidates may be greater than we anticipate;- the quality of our product candidates or other materials necessary to conduct clinical trials of our product candidates may be inadequate to initiate or complete a given clinical trial;- we may be unable to manufacture sufficient quantities at adequate scales of our product candidates for use in clinical trials;- reports from clinical testing of other therapies may raise safety, efficacy or potency concerns about our product candidates;- we may fail to establish an appropriate safety profile for a product candidate based on clinical or preclinical data for such product candidate and data emerging from other therapies in the same class as our product candidates; and - the FDA or other regulatory authorities may require us to submit additional data, such as long-term toxicology studies, or impose other requirements before permitting us to initiate a clinical trial. If safety concerns develop with respect to our product candidates or clinical trial designs, we may be delayed in our development plans as we may need to pause our enrollment in a clinical trial, revise our trial designs, investigate potential safety developments, or take other measures that may increase the amount of time and resources required to bring our product candidates forward. For example, in November 2024, following a severe adverse event ("SAE") that resulted in a fatality in the 3E15 vg dose of our Phase 1/2 clinical trial of NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome, we elected to initially pause further use of the 3E15 vg dose and subsequently made the determination to remove that dose and also paused enrollment until such time as we could update our trial protocol to remove the 3E15vg dose and add additional safety monitoring protocols, which we subsequently did. Commencing clinical trials in the United States is subject to acceptance by the FDA of an IND or, if commenced in other jurisdictions, acceptance by the comparable foreign regulatory agency of a similar application, as well as finalizing the trial design. In the event that the FDA or applicable foreign regulatory agency requires us to complete additional preclinical studies, or we are required to satisfy other regulatory requests prior to commencing clinical trials, the start of our clinical trials may be delayed. Even after we receive and incorporate guidance from these regulatory authorities, the FDA or other regulatory authorities could disagree that we have satisfied their requirements to commence any clinical trial or change their position on the acceptability of our trial design or the clinical endpoints selected, which may require us to complete additional preclinical studies or clinical trials, delay the enrollment of our clinical trials or impose stricter approval conditions than we currently expect. There are equivalent processes and risks applicable to clinical trial applications in other jurisdictions, including the United Kingdom ("UK"), Australia and the European Union ("EU"). We may not have the financial resources to continue development of, or to modify existing collaborations or enter into new collaborations for, a product candidate if we experience any issues that delay or prevent regulatory approval of, or our ability to commercialize, NGN-401 or any other product candidates we are developing or may develop in the future. We or our current or future collaborators' inability to complete development of, or commercialize, NGN-401 or any other product candidates or significant delays in doing so, could have a material and adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 2We are substantially dependent on the success of our most advanced product candidate, NGN-401, and our clinical trial of NGN-401 may not be successful.
Our future success is substantially dependent on our ability to timely obtain marketing approval for, and then successfully commercialize, our most advanced product candidate, NGN-401. We are investing a majority of our efforts and financial resources into the research and development of this product candidate, as we are currently conducting a registrational clinical trial of NGN-401 in patients with Rett syndrome (our Embolden trial) and completed dosing patients in that trial in the second quarter of 2026. NGN-401 will require additional clinical development, evaluation of clinical, preclinical and manufacturing activities, marketing approval in multiple jurisdictions, substantial investment and significant marketing efforts before we generate revenues from product sales, if any. We are not permitted to market or promote this product candidate, or any other product candidates we may develop, before we receive marketing approval from the FDA and/or comparable foreign regulatory authorities, and we may never receive such marketing approvals. The success of NGN-401 will depend on a variety of factors. We do not have complete control over many of these factors, including certain aspects of clinical development and the regulatory submission process, potential threats to our intellectual property rights and the manufacturing, marketing, distribution and sales efforts of any future collaborator we may work with. Accordingly, we cannot guarantee that we will ever be able to generate revenue through the sale of this product candidate, even if approved. If we are not successful in commercializing NGN-401, or are significantly delayed in doing so, our business will be materially harmed.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 3We have received orphan drug designation for NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome and we may seek orphan drug designation for certain future product candidates, but we may be unable to obtain such designations or to maintain the benefits associated with orphan drug designation, including market exclusivity, which may cause our revenue, if any, to be reduced.
We have received orphan drug designation from the FDA and orphan drug designation and advanced therapy medicinal product designation from the European Medicines Agency ("EMA") for NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome. Although we may seek orphan product designation for some or all of our other product candidates, we may never receive such designations. Under the Orphan Drug Act, the FDA may designate a drug or biological product as an orphan drug if it is intended to treat a rare disease or condition, defined as a patient population of fewer than 200,000 in the United States, or a patient population greater than 200,000 in the United States where there is no reasonable expectation that the cost of developing the drug will be recovered from sales in the United States. Orphan drug designation must be requested before submitting a BLA. In the EU, the EMA's Committee for Orphan Medicinal Products grants orphan drug designation to promote the development of products that are intended for the diagnosis, prevention, or treatment of a life-threatening or chronically debilitating condition affecting not more than five in 10,000 persons in the EU. Additionally, designation is granted for products intended for the diagnosis, prevention, or treatment of a life-threatening, seriously debilitating or serious and chronic condition when, without incentives, it is unlikely that sales of the drug in the EU would be sufficient to justify the necessary investment in developing the drug or biological product or where there is no satisfactory method of diagnosis, prevention, or treatment, or, if such a method exists, the medicine must be of significant benefit to those affected by the condition. In the United States, orphan drug designation entitles a party to financial incentives such as opportunities for grant funding towards clinical trial costs, tax advantages, and application fee waivers. After the FDA grants orphan drug designation, the generic identity of the drug and its potential orphan use are disclosed publicly by the FDA. In addition, if a product receives the first FDA approval for the indication for which it has orphan designation, the product is entitled to orphan drug exclusivity, which means the FDA may not approve any other application to market the same drug for the same approved use or indication for a period of seven years, except in limited circumstances, such as a showing of clinical superiority over the product with orphan exclusivity or where the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient product quantity for the needs of the orphan patient population for the same use or indication for which the already approved or licensed drug was approved or licensed. Exclusive marketing rights in the United States may also be unavailable if we or our collaborators seek approval for an indication broader than the orphan designated indication and may be lost if the FDA later determines that the request for designation was materially defective. In the EU, orphan drug designation entitles a party to financial incentives such as reduction of fees or fee waivers and ten years of market exclusivity following drug or biological product approval. This period may be reduced to six years if the orphan drug designation criteria are no longer met, including where it is shown that the product is sufficiently profitable not to justify maintenance of market exclusivity. Even with an orphan drug designation for our current and potential future product candidates, we may not be the first to obtain marketing approval for any particular orphan indication due to the uncertainties associated with developing pharmaceutical products. Further, even if we obtain orphan drug exclusivity for an existing or future product candidate, that exclusivity may not effectively protect the product from competition because different drugs with different active moieties still can be approved for the same condition even with an orphan drug designation. Even after an orphan drug is approved, the FDA can subsequently approve the same drug with the same active moiety for the same condition if the FDA concludes that the later drug is clinically superior in that it is safer, more effective, or makes a major contribution to patient care. Orphan drug designation neither shortens the development time or regulatory review time of a drug or biologic nor gives the drug or biologic any advantage in the regulatory review or approval process.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 4While we have received Fast Track designation and Breakthrough Therapy designation for NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome and NGN-401 has been accepted into the FDA's START Pilot Program and RMAT program and has received PRIME designation from the EMA, such designations may not lead to a faster development or regulatory review or approval process.
In 2024, the FDA began accepting applications from sponsors for the START pilot program with the purpose of further accelerating the pace of development of novel drug and biological products that are intended to address an unmet medical need as a treatment for rare disease. The pilot is designed to be milestone-driven (i.e., to facilitate the progression of a development program to pivotal clinical study stage or the pre-BLA meeting stage) where product development programs selected would benefit from enhanced communication with the FDA. The START pilot program is intended to provide a mechanism for addressing clinical development issues that otherwise would delay or prevent a promising novel drug or biological product from progressing to the pivotal clinical trial stage or pre-BLA meeting stage. Participants in the START Pilot Program will receive enhanced communications with the FDA review staff. These enhanced communications will include at a minimum an initial meeting to review features of the pilot, discuss a pathway intended to support a marketing application, and to discuss specific issues for which a sponsor requests enhanced communications with the FDA. Additional communications will include ongoing interactions via email or teleconference that take place on a scheduled and/or as needed basis as agreed upon by the sponsor to discuss information on how best to facilitate more efficient development of potentially life-saving therapies for rare diseases and help sponsors generate high-quality, actionable data to support future new drug or biologics license applications. In June 2024, we announced that our product candidate NGN-401 had been accepted into the FDA's START Pilot Program, which we expect will allow us to have access to more frequent advice from FDA staff to address product-specific development issues, possibly including clinical study design, choice of control group, patient population choices and other early development issues. As part of the START program, in June 2025 we announced written agreement from the FDA on key aspects of the registrational trial design for Embolden, our registrational clinical trial designed to evaluate NGN-401 gene therapy in patients with Rett syndrome. Despite the registrational trial and even though our product candidate NGN-401 for Rett syndrome has been accepted into the START Pilot Program, this may not result in a faster approval process for NGN-401 as a product candidate. The FDA's RMAT designation program is intended to fulfill the requirement of the 21st Century Cures Act that the FDA facilitate an efficient development program for, and expedite review of, any product that meets the following criteria: (1) it qualifies as an RMAT, which is defined as a cell therapy, therapeutic tissue engineering product, human cell and tissue product, or any combination product using such therapies or products, with limited exceptions; (2) it is intended to treat, modify, reverse, or cure a serious or life-threatening disease or condition; and (3) preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the product has the potential to address unmet medical needs for such a disease or condition. In 2024, the FDA granted an RMAT designation for NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome. RMAT designation provides potential benefits that include more frequent meetings with FDA to discuss the development plan for the product candidate, and eligibility for rolling review and priority review. Products granted RMAT designation may also be eligible for accelerated approval on the basis of a surrogate or intermediate endpoint reasonably likely to predict long-term clinical benefit, or may be able to rely upon data obtained from a meaningful number of sites, including through expansion to additional sites. RMAT designation does not change the standards for product approval, and there is no assurance that such designation will result in expedited review or approval or that the approved indication will not be narrower than the indication covered by the RMAT designation. Additionally, RMAT designation can be revoked if the criteria for eligibility cease to be met as clinical data emerges. The FDA may also designate a product candidate for Fast Track review if it is intended, whether alone or in combination with one or more other products, for the treatment of a serious or life-threatening disease or condition, and it demonstrates the potential to address unmet medical needs for such a disease or condition. For Fast Track products, sponsors may have greater interactions with the FDA and the FDA may initiate review of sections of a Fast Track product's application before the application is complete. This rolling review may be available if the FDA determines, after preliminary evaluation of clinical data submitted by the sponsor, that a Fast Track product may be effective. We have received Fast Track designation in the United States for NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome and we may seek additional designations for one or more of our other product candidates that could expedite review and approval by the FDA. In addition, the FDA may designate a product candidate for Breakthrough Therapy designation if the product candidate is intended, alone or in combination with one or more other products, to treat a serious or life threatening disease or condition has preliminary clinical evidence which indicates that the product may demonstrate substantial improvement over existing therapies on one or more clinically significant endpoints, such as substantial treatment effects observed early in clinical development. The benefits of Breakthrough Therapy designation include eligibility for Priority Review, rolling submission of sections of the BLA and the FDA's organizational commitment to help determine an efficient route to approval. In February 2026, the FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy designation to NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome following review of interim clinical data as of October 30, 2025. We may also seek Breakthrough Therapy designation for one or more of our other product candidates in the future. Participation in the START Pilot Program, RMAT designation, Breakthrough Therapy designation and the designation of a product for Fast Track review are within the discretion of the FDA. In addition, the START Pilot Program is still relatively new, having been established in 2024, so there is little historical information on how that program is expected to be administered, and the stated intentions of the program may not be met, or the program may cease to have appropriate funding due to changes in the regulatory landscape. Moreover, neither participation in the START Pilot Program nor the receipt of either Fast Track designation, Breakthrough Therapy designation or RMAT designation for a product candidate is any guarantee that there will be faster development or a faster or more streamlined regulatory review or approval process compared to products considered for approval under conventional FDA procedures. Neither participation in the START Pilot Program nor any of Fast Track designation, Breakthrough Therapy designation or RMAT designation will assure ultimate approval by the FDA. In addition, the FDA may later decide that the product candidates no longer meet the conditions to qualify for those programs, and we may not receive the benefits of those programs for the relevant product candidate, or decide that the time period for FDA review or approval will not be shortened. Additionally, changes in the leadership of the FDA and other actions taken by the Trump Administration, including mass layoffs within the federal government, may impose constraints on the FDA's ability to engage in activities in the normal course and may result in reductions to the FDA's budget, employees and operations, which may lead to slower response times and longer review periods, potentially affecting our ability to take advantage of the benefits for the START program or any of the other designations granted to NGN-401, and progress development of our product candidates or obtain regulatory approval for our product candidates may be delayed. In addition, we have also received PRIME designation from the EMA for NGN-401. PRIME is intended to enhance support for the development of medicines that target an unmet medical need, and is expected to allow enhanced interaction and early dialogue between us and the EMA on development plans for NGN-401 and to potentially speed up the evaluation process. However, similar to the START Pilot Program and Fast Track designation, we cannot be sure that the PRIME designation will actually result in a faster development time or more streamlined review, or that we will necessarily pursue the benefits of the program with respect to development of our product in the European market.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 5We have in the past and may in the future conduct clinical trials for our product candidates at sites outside the United States, and the FDA may not accept data from trials conducted in such locations.
We conducted parts of our Phase 1/2 clinical trials for NGN-101 and NGN-401 outside of the United States, and may in the future conduct additional clinical trials for our products at sites outside of the United States, including in Australia, the UK, Europe or other foreign jurisdictions. For example, we enrolled patients in our Phase 1/2 clinical trials for NGN-401 in the United States, the UK and Australia. In cases where data from clinical trials conducted outside the United States are intended to serve as the sole basis for marketing approval in the United States, the FDA will generally not approve the application on the basis of foreign data alone unless (i) the data are applicable to the United States population and United States medical practice; (ii) the trials were performed by clinical investigators of recognized competence and (iii) the data may be considered valid without the need for an on-site inspection by the FDA or, if the FDA considers such an inspection to be necessary, the FDA is able to validate the data through an on-site inspection or other appropriate means. Additionally, the FDA's clinical trial requirements, including sufficient size of patient populations and statistical powering, must be met. Many foreign regulatory authorities have similar approval requirements. In addition, such foreign trials would be subject to the applicable local laws of the foreign jurisdictions where the trials are conducted. There can be no assurance that the FDA or any similar foreign regulatory authority will accept data from trials conducted outside of the United States or the applicable jurisdiction. If the FDA or any similar foreign regulatory authority does not accept such data, it would result in the need for additional trials, which would be costly and time-consuming and delay aspects of our business plan, and which may result in our product candidates not receiving approval or clearance for commercialization in the applicable jurisdiction. Even if the FDA accepts such data, it could require us to modify our planned clinical trials to receive clearance to initiate such trials in the United States or to continue such trials once initiated. Other risks inherent in conducting international clinical trials include: foreign regulatory requirements, differences in healthcare services, and differences in cultural customs that could restrict or limit our ability to conduct our clinical trials; administrative burdens of conducting clinical trials under multiple sets of foreign regulations; foreign exchange fluctuations; diminished protection of intellectual property in some countries; and political and economic risks relevant to foreign countries.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 6We may not be able to meet requirements for the chemistry, manufacturing and control of our product candidates.
In order to receive approval of our products by the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities, we must show that we and our contract manufacturing partners are able to characterize, control and manufacture our biological products safely and in accordance with regulatory requirements. This includes manufacturing the drug substance, developing an acceptable formulation, performing tests to adequately characterize the formulated product, documenting a repeatable manufacturing process, and demonstrating that our biological products meet stability requirements. Meeting these chemistry, manufacturing and control ("CMC") requirements is a complex task that requires specialized expertise. If we are not able to meet the CMC requirements, we may not be successful in getting our products approved.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 7The disorders we seek to treat have low prevalence and it may be difficult to identify and enroll patients with these disorders. If we experience delays or difficulties in the enrollment and/or maintenance of patients in clinical trials, our receipt of necessary regulatory approvals could be delayed or prevented.
Successful and timely completion of clinical trials will require that we enroll and maintain a sufficient number of patients. Patient enrollment is affected by many factors, including the size and nature of the patient population and competition for patients with other trials. Genetic diseases generally, and especially the rare diseases for which some of our current product candidates are targeted, have low incidence and prevalence. For example, we estimate global incidence of Rett syndrome to be approximately one in 10,000 live female births. Accordingly, it may be difficult for us to identify and timely recruit a sufficient number of eligible patients to conduct our clinical trials. Further, any natural history studies that we or our collaborators may conduct may fail to provide us with patients for our clinical trials because patients enrolled in the natural history studies may not be good candidates for our clinical trials, or may choose to not enroll in our clinical trials. Trials may be subject to delays as a result of patient enrollment taking longer than anticipated or patient withdrawal. We may not be able to initiate or continue clinical trials for our product candidates if we are unable to locate and enroll a sufficient number of eligible patients to participate in these trials as required by the FDA, the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency ("MHRA") in the United Kingdom, the Therapeutic Goods Administration ("TGA") in Australia, the European Medicines Agency ("EMA") or other foreign regulatory authorities. We cannot predict how successful we will be at enrolling subjects in future clinical trials. Subject enrollment is affected by other factors including: - the eligibility criteria for the trial in question;- the timely diagnosis of disease to meet such eligibility criteria;- the size of the patient population and process for identifying patients;- the perceived risks and benefits of the product candidate in the trial, especially by clinician experts and patient advocacy organizations, including relating to AAV9-based gene therapy, which may evolve over time as more AAV-based gene therapy trials are conducted, and intra-cerebrospinal fluid delivery system;- the availability of competing commercially available therapies and other competing therapeutic candidates' clinical trials;- the willingness of caregivers to enroll their children in our clinical trials;- the efforts to facilitate timely enrollment in clinical trials;- potential disruptions caused by pandemics or other public health crises, including difficulties in initiating clinical sites, enrolling and retaining participants, diversion of healthcare resources away from clinical trials, travel or quarantine policies that may be implemented, and other factors;- the patient referral practices of physicians;- the ability to monitor patients adequately during and after treatment; and - the proximity and availability of clinical trial sites for prospective patients. Even if we are able to enroll a sufficient number of patients in our clinical trials, we may have difficulty maintaining enrollment of such patients. Our inability to enroll or maintain a sufficient number of patients would result in significant delays in completing clinical trials or receipt of marketing approvals and increased development costs, or may require us to abandon one or more clinical trials altogether.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 8We intend to identify and develop novel gene therapy product candidates, which makes it difficult to predict the time, cost and potential success of product candidate development.
We have invested in early stage research and development with the goal of identifying and developing additional product candidates as well as investments in research into new technologies to potentially augment our pipeline. Our future success may depend in part on the successful development of novel therapeutic approaches, including new therapies that may be able to use our EXACT technology or other transgene regulation technology. However, while our preclinical research and clinical trials may initially show promise in identifying potential product candidates, they may ultimately fail to yield product candidates for a number of reasons. For example, although EXACT is designed to deliver therapeutic levels of transgene while avoiding overexpression toxicity and off-target effects, there can be no assurance that any EXACT transgene regulation will result in product candidates that are shown in clinical trials to be safe, pure, and effective or potent. To date, very few products that utilize gene transfer have been approved in the United States, Europe or other markets, and no products have been approved using our EXACT technology or technology similar to it. There have been a limited number of clinical trials of gene transfer technologies, with only very few product candidates ever approved by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities. As a result, it is difficult for us to predict the time and cost of product candidate development, and we cannot predict whether the application of our approach to gene therapy will result in the identification, development, and regulatory approval of any product candidates, or that other gene therapy programs will not be considered better or more attractive. There can be no assurance that any development problems we experience in the future related to our current gene therapy approaches or product candidates or any of our research programs will not cause significant delays or unanticipated costs, or that such development problems can be solved. Research programs to identify new product candidates require substantial technical, financial, and human resources. If we are unable to identify suitable gene therapy product candidates for preclinical and clinical development in a cost effective manner, we may not be able to successfully implement this portion of our business strategy, and may have to delay, reduce the scope of, suspend or eliminate one or more of our current or future product candidates, clinical trials or future commercialization efforts, which would negatively impact our financial condition.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 9Participants in our clinical trials may experience undesirable side effects, which could cause delays or prevent regulatory approval of our product candidates, limit the commercial potential or create significant negative consequences to our development plans, even if such side effects are ultimately determined not to be attributable or possibly attributable to our product candidates.
Our primary product candidates, including NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome, are AAV-based gene therapies. AAV-based gene therapies in development or approved for use carry a risk of certain adverse side effects, known and unknown, including the potential for inflammatory events such as heightened innate or adaptive immune reactions in response to the presence of the AAV vector, including the development of a T-cell and/or B-cell immune response, complement system activation, thrombotic microangiopathy, thrombocytopenia, toxicity due to damage of the dorsal root ganglia, loss of nerve conductivity with or without the diminishment or loss of reflexes and sensory symptoms, increased liver enzymes and liver toxicity, organ damage to kidneys or the heart, vector integration that may result in cancerous cell development, or in rare cases, death. In addition, some participants in our AAV-based gene therapy clinical trials may have pre-existing conditions, such as diminished lean muscle mass, impaired function of biological systems or vital organs, or recent viral infections, or complications relating to their genetic makeup, and, as such, those participants may present a different risk profile and may have an increased potential for serious adverse events such as a heightened immune response, the re-activation of a viral infection due to immunosuppression measures that are taken in conjunction with administration of AAV-based gene therapy, or a diminished capacity to withstand treatment-related side effects that might be mild if they were to present in another participant. Because of the novel nature of gene therapy in general and specifically AAV-based gene therapy, not all side effects may have been discovered, and we may not be able to identify all of the increased risk factors for our participants, and additional unexpected serious adverse events may occur as a result. In addition, due to components of our product candidates used to carry the genetic materials, it is possible that some participants could develop delayed side effects from treatment. There can also be significant variability in how patients respond to gene therapy, especially in a mosaic disease presentation like Rett syndrome in females where some of the cells carry a correct copy of the DNA sequence for the impacted gene while other cells have a mutated variant. As a result, some patients may not respond as well to gene therapy as others. Serious adverse events related to our trial or to other clinical trials using AAV-based gene therapy, even if those other trials are not related to our product candidates or targeted disease states, and even if such adverse events are not ultimately attributable to the relevant product candidates or products, may result in unfavorable public sentiment about our clinical trial and our product candidates, increased government regulation, potential regulatory delays for approval of our product candidates, stricter labeling requirements, the imposition of additional monitoring of our products if they are approved, challenges in enrolling patients in our clinical trials and a decrease in demand for our product candidates. If our product candidates are believed to be or shown to be associated with side effects that significantly alter the benefit-risk determination of any of our product candidates, we may not be able to continue development of that product candidate. Some product candidates that have shown positive safety results in early clinical testing have later been found to cause side effects that required the abandonment of further development of that product candidate. We may also be required to delay or slow the development of a particular product candidate if there are side effects whose cause is unclear or uncertain in order to further understand the nature of such side effects, which could materially impact our plans for development and financial position.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 10We may expend our limited resources to pursue a particular product candidate, such as NGN-401, and fail to capitalize on candidates that may be more profitable or for which there is a greater likelihood of success.
Because we have limited financial and managerial resources, we intend to focus our research and development efforts on certain selected product candidates. To date we have allocated significant resources to our most advanced product candidates, NGN-401 and NGN-101. As a result, we may forgo or delay pursuit of opportunities with other potential candidates that may later prove to have greater commercial potential. For example, in November 2024, we announced that we do not expect to move forward with the NGN-101 for CLN5 Batten disease gene therapy program at this time. Given the rarity of the disease, continued investment in the program was predicated on a streamlined registrational pathway with the FDA. To support a streamlined pathway, we submitted an RMAT application to the FDA. Despite our belief that we met the standard of preliminary clinical evidence required to obtain an RMAT designation, the RMAT designation was denied. Our resource allocation decisions may cause us to fail to capitalize on viable commercial products or profitable market opportunities. Our spending on current and future research and development programs for specific indications may not yield any commercially viable product candidates. If we do not accurately evaluate the commercial potential or target market for a particular product candidate, we may relinquish valuable rights to that candidate through collaboration, licensing or other royalty arrangements in cases in which it would have been more advantageous for us to retain sole development and commercialization rights to such candidate.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 11Our current or future clinical trials may reveal significant adverse events or undesirable side effects not seen in our preclinical studies and may result in a safety profile that could halt clinical development, inhibit regulatory approval or limit commercial potential or market acceptance of NGN-401 or any other product candidates or result in potential product liability claims.
Results of our clinical trials could reveal a high and unacceptable severity and prevalence of side effects, adverse events or unexpected characteristics. We believe NGN-401 has been generally well-tolerated at the 1E15 vg dose; however, we have not yet completed this clinical trial and the benefit-risk assessments of our product candidates remains ongoing. In November 2024, a participant who had recently received the 3E15 vg dose of NGN-401 experienced an SAE consistent with the known risks of AAV gene therapy and subsequently died following complications from a rare and life-threatening hyperinflammatory syndrome associated with systemic exposure to high doses of AAV. Participants at the 1E15 vg dose have also experienced adverse events, and may experience adverse events in the future. If additional SAEs or other adverse events or other side effects are observed in any of our current or future clinical trials, we may have difficulty recruiting patients to such trials, patients may drop out of our trials, patients may be harmed, or we may be required to delay enrollment or abandon one or more cohorts of a trial or delay or abandon the trials or our development efforts of one or more product candidates altogether, including NGN-401. We, the FDA, MHRA, or other applicable regulatory authorities, or an IRB, may require suspension of any clinical trials of NGN-401 or any other product candidates at any time for various reasons, including a finding that subjects or patients in such trials are being exposed to unacceptable health risks or adverse side effects. Some potential products developed in the biotechnology industry that initially showed therapeutic promise in early-stage trials have later been found to cause side effects that prevented their further development. Even if the side effects do not preclude a product candidate from obtaining or maintaining marketing approval, undesirable side effects may inhibit market acceptance of an approved product due to its tolerability versus other therapies. In addition, as gene replacement has a potentially life-long activity, with no ability to withdraw the product as with other treatment modalities, this profile could prolong the duration of undesirable side effects, which could also inhibit market acceptance. Treatment-emergent adverse events could also affect patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled subjects to complete our clinical trials or could result in potential product liability claims. Potential side effects associated with NGN-401 or any other product candidates may not be appropriately recognized or managed by the treating medical staff, as toxicities resulting from NGN-401 or any other product candidates may not be normally encountered in the general patient population and by medical personnel. Any of these occurrences could harm our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects significantly. In addition, even if we successfully advance NGN-401 or any other product candidates through clinical trials, such trials will only include a limited number of patients and limited duration of follow up to such product candidates. As a result, we cannot be assured that adverse effects of NGN-401 or any other product candidates will not be uncovered when a significantly larger number of patients are exposed to such product candidate after approval, or a significantly longer follow up post-dosing is obtained as part of regulators' recommendations for long-term follow up of clinical study subjects treated with gene therapy. For example, product candidates tested in clinical-stage gene therapy trials by commercial stage companies have later been involved in well-publicized adverse events after approval and commercialization, including death, and/or have failed to demonstrate the expected efficacy. Lack of efficacy or the occurrence of serious adverse events, even if such adverse events are not ultimately attributable to the relevant product candidate, may result in increased government regulation, unfavorable public perception of gene therapies, potential regulatory delays in the testing or approval of our product candidates, stricter labeling requirements for those product candidates that are approved and a decrease in demand for any such product candidate. Further, any clinical trials may not be sufficient to determine the effect and safety consequences of using our product candidates over a multi-year period. For example, another company pursuing gene therapy in a clinical trial for a different rare disease recently reported the discovery of cancer believed to have been caused by vector integration several years after an AAV-based gene therapy treatment was received by that patient, although causality has yet to be fully established. While we believe such subsequent adverse events to be rare, because gene therapy is relatively new, there may be other potential risks of gene therapy that may emerge in the years following treatment of which we are not yet aware. Safety issues in other AAV-based gene therapy programs could result in increased regulatory scrutiny, new guidance, clinical holds on our trials, protocol amendments, or delays affecting our programs even if our trials have not experienced similar events. We have expended substantial efforts and costs testing our EXACT technology in preclinical studies of NGN-401, including completing toxicology studies prior to the FDA providing clearance of the IND for NGN-401 and have not seen any adverse effects that we believe are attributable to EXACT in our Phase 1/2 trial of NGN-401 as of our most recent data cut off date of June 16, 2026. However, we cannot guarantee that significant adverse effects will not be seen in the future in clinical trials for NGN-401, which could result in clinical holds, delays, suspension or withdrawal of our IND. If any of the foregoing events occur or if NGN-401, NGN-101 or any other product candidates prove to be unsafe, our entire pipeline could be affected, which would have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 12Preliminary, "topline" or interim data from our preclinical studies and clinical trials that we announce or publish from time to time may change as more patient data becomes available and are subject to audit and verification procedures.
From time to time, we may publicly disclose preliminary, interim or topline data from our preclinical studies and clinical trials, which are based on a preliminary analysis of then-available data, and the results and related findings and conclusions are subject to change following a more comprehensive review of the data. We also make assumptions, estimations, calculations and conclusions as part of our analyses of these data without the opportunity to fully and carefully evaluate complete data. Preliminary, interim or topline results also remain subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being materially different from the preliminary data previously disclosed. These preliminary, interim or topline data are subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical outcomes may materially change as patient enrollment continues and more patient data become available or as patients from our clinical trials continue other treatments. For example, in June 2024, we announced initial safety data related to the dosing of our first three participants at the 1E15 vg dose and the first participant at the 3E15 vg dose in our Phase 1/2 clinical trial of NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome which suggested a favorable safety profile. In November 2024, an SAE was reported in a participant who received the 3E15 vg dose, which caused us to revise our assumptions regarding the safety profile of the 3E15 vg dose. Because of this potential for change, preliminary, interim and topline data should be viewed with caution until final data are available. Further, others, including regulatory agencies, may not accept or agree with our assumptions, estimates, calculations, conclusions or analyses or may interpret or weigh the importance of data differently, which could impact the value of the particular product candidate, the approvability or commercialization of a particular product candidate and our company in general. In addition, the information we choose to publicly disclose regarding a particular preclinical study or clinical trial is based on what is typically extensive information, and you or others may not agree with what we determine is material or otherwise appropriate information to include in our disclosure. If the preliminary, interim or topline data that we report differ from actual results, or if others, including regulatory authorities, disagree with the conclusions reached, our ability to obtain approval for, and commercialize, NGN-401 or any other product candidate may be harmed, which could harm our business, operating results, prospects or financial condition. In addition, differences between preliminary, interim or topline data and final data could significantly harm our business prospects and may cause the trading price of our common stock to fluctuate significantly.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 13Preclinical and clinical development involves a lengthy and expensive process that is subject to delays and uncertain outcomes, and results of earlier studies and trials may not be predictive of future clinical trial results. If our preclinical studies and clinical trials are not sufficient to support regulatory approval of any of our product candidates, we may incur additional costs or experience delays in completing, or ultimately be unable to complete, the development of such product candidate.
Before obtaining marketing approval from regulatory authorities for the sale of any product candidate, we must complete preclinical studies, which are a lengthy, time consuming and expensive process with a high risk of failure. The length of time of such testing may vary substantially according to the type, complexity and novelty of the program, and often can be several years or more per program. Delays associated with programs for which we are conducting preclinical testing and studies may cause us to incur additional operating expenses. For example, we depend on the availability of NHPs to conduct certain preclinical studies that we are required to complete prior to submitting an IND and initiating clinical development. A sustained global shortage of NHPs available for biological product development could cause the cost of obtaining NHPs for our future preclinical studies to increase significantly and result in delays to our development timelines. However, after conducting preclinical studies, we must then conduct extensive clinical trials to demonstrate the safety, purity, and efficacy or potency of our product candidate in humans. Our clinical trials may not be conducted as planned or completed on schedule, if at all. Furthermore, failure can occur at any time during the preclinical study or clinical trial process, and the outcome of preclinical studies and early-stage clinical trials may not be predictive of the success of later clinical trials, especially as our initial clinical trials do not contain a control arm. In addition, we have designed our initial clinical trials with relatively small cohorts before expanding in size and dosing in subsequent cohorts. If safety issues arise in an early cohort, we may be delayed or prevented from dose escalating or subsequently expanding into larger trial cohorts. For example, in November 2024, following an SAE at the 3E15 vg dose in our Phase 1/2 clinical trial of NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome that resulted in a fatality, we elected to revise our trial protocol before resuming dosing and remove the 3E15 vg dose from the trial protocol with no plans to enroll any further participants at that dose. Moreover, preclinical and clinical data are often susceptible to varying interpretations and analyses, and many companies that have believed their product candidates performed satisfactorily in preclinical studies and clinical trials have nonetheless failed to obtain marketing approval of their product candidates. Earlier gene therapy clinical trials conducted by others also utilized AAV vectors. However, these studies should not be relied upon as evidence that our planned clinical trials will succeed. In addition, we expect to rely on patients, caregivers and clinicians to provide feedback on measures, which are subjective and inherently difficult to evaluate. These measures can be influenced by factors outside of our control, and can vary widely from day to day for a particular patient, and from patient to patient or caregiver to caregiver and from site to site within a clinical trial. We cannot be sure that the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities will agree with our clinical development plan. We have completed dosing in our Phase 1/2 clinical trial and our Embolden trial for NGN-401. However, if the FDA or any comparable regulatory authorities require us to conduct additional trials or enroll additional patients, our development timelines may be delayed, or we may not be able to pursue further development due to such delays. For example, in November 2024, we announced that we do not expect to move forward with the NGN-101 for CLN5 Batten disease gene therapy program at this time. Given the rarity of the disease, continued investment in the program was predicated on alignment on a streamlined registrational pathway with the FDA. To support a streamlined pathway, we submitted an RMAT application to the FDA. Despite our belief that we met the standard of preliminary clinical evidence required to obtain an RMAT designation, the RMAT application was denied. We cannot be sure that submission of an IND application, clinical trial application ("CTA") or similar application will result in the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities, as applicable, allowing clinical trials to begin in a timely manner, if at all. Moreover, even if these trials begin, issues may arise that could cause regulatory authorities to require us to suspend or terminate such clinical trials. Events that may prevent successful or timely initiation or completion of clinical trials include: inability to generate sufficient preclinical, toxicology or other in vivo or in vitro data to support the initiation or continuation of clinical trials; delays in reaching a consensus with regulatory authorities on study design or implementation of the clinical trials; delays or failure in obtaining regulatory authorization to commence a trial; delays in reaching agreement on acceptable terms with prospective CROs and clinical trial sites, the terms of which can be subject to extensive negotiation and may vary significantly among different CROs and clinical trial sites; delays in identifying, recruiting and training suitable clinical investigators; delays in obtaining required IRB approval at each clinical trial site; difficulties in patient enrollment in our clinical trials for a variety of reasons; delays related to safety concerns; delays in manufacturing, testing, releasing, validating or importing/exporting sufficient stable quantities of our product candidates for use in clinical trials or the inability to do any of the foregoing; failure by our CROs, other third parties or us to adhere to clinical trial protocols; failure to perform in accordance with the FDA's or any other regulatory authority's good clinical practices ("GCPs") or applicable regulatory guidelines in other countries; changes to the clinical trial protocols; clinical sites deviating from trial protocol or dropping out of a trial; changes in regulatory requirements and guidance that require amending or submitting new clinical protocols; selection of clinical endpoints that require prolonged periods of observation or analyses of resulting data; transfer of manufacturing processes to larger-scale facilities operated by a CDMO and delays or failure by our CDMOs or us to make any necessary changes to such manufacturing process and demonstrate comparability to materials used in earlier clinical phases; and third parties being unwilling or unable to satisfy their contractual obligations to us. We could also encounter delays if a clinical trial is placed on clinical hold, suspended or terminated by us, the IRBs of the institutions in which such trials are being conducted, or the FDA, the competent authorities and/or ethics committees of the UK, Australia, EU Member States or other regulatory authorities, if a clinical trial is recommended for suspension or termination by the DSMB or equivalent body for such trial, or on account of changes to federal, state, or local laws. If we are required to conduct additional clinical trials or other testing of NGN-401 or any other product candidates beyond those that we contemplate, if we are unable to successfully complete clinical trials of NGN-401 or any other product candidates, if the results of such trials are not positive or are only moderately positive or if there are safety concerns, our business and results of operations may be adversely affected and we may incur significant additional costs. In addition, even if we are able to successfully complete the clinical trial for NGN-401, we cannot guarantee that the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities will interpret the results as we do, and more trials could be required before we submit our product candidates for approval. This is particularly true for clinical trials in very rare diseases, such as with our Embolden trial of NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome, where the very small patient population makes it difficult to conduct two traditional, adequate and well-controlled studies. In such cases, the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities are often required or permitted to exercise flexibility in approving therapies for such diseases, but obtaining flexibility is uncertain and may never occur. Moreover, results acceptable to support approval in one jurisdiction may be deemed inadequate by another regulatory authority to support regulatory approval in the other jurisdiction. To the extent that the results of the trials are not satisfactory to the FDA or applicable regulatory authorities for support of a marketing application, we may be required to expend significant resources, which may not be available to us, to conduct additional trials in support of potential approval of our product candidates.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 14If we do not achieve our projected development goals in the timeframes we announce and expect, the commercialization of NGN-401 or any other product candidates may be delayed and, as a result, our stock price may decline.
From time to time, we estimate the timing of the anticipated accomplishment of various scientific, clinical, regulatory and other product development goals, which we sometimes refer to as milestones. These milestones may include the commencement or completion of scientific studies and clinical trials and the submission of regulatory filings. From time to time, we may publicly announce the expected timing of some of these milestones. All of these milestones are and will be based on numerous assumptions. The actual timing of these milestones can vary dramatically compared to our estimates, in some cases for reasons beyond our control. If we do not meet these milestones as publicly announced, or at all, the commercialization of NGN-401 or any other product candidates may be delayed or never achieved and, as a result, our stock price may decline.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 15Our programs are focused on the development of therapeutics for patients with neurological diseases, which is a rapidly evolving area of science, and the approach we are taking to discover and develop product candidates is novel and may never lead to approved or marketable products.
The discovery and development of therapeutics for patients with neurological diseases is an emerging field, and the scientific discoveries that form the basis for our efforts to discover and develop product candidates are relatively new. The scientific evidence to support the feasibility of developing product candidates based on these discoveries is both preliminary and limited. Although we believe, based on our preclinical work, that our programs have the potential to be disease-modifying therapies, clinical results may not confirm this hypothesis or may only confirm it for certain alterations or certain indications. The patient populations for our product candidates are limited to those with specific neurological diseases. We cannot be certain that the patient populations for each specific disease will be large enough to allow us to successfully obtain approval and commercialize our product candidates and achieve profitability. Further, our clinical trial of NGN-401 involves a small patient population. Because of the small sample sizes, the expansion of our clinical trial to an adolescent/adult cohort and the heterogeneity of the disease state, the results of the Phase 1/2 trial for NGN-401 may not be indicative of results of the Embolden trial or any future clinical trials we may conduct.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 16We have never completed any late-stage clinical trials and may not be able to file an IND application or other applications for regulatory approval to commence additional clinical trials on the timelines we expect. Even if we are able to complete such trials, the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may not permit us to proceed or could suspend or terminate any such trial after it has been initiated.
We are early in our development efforts and will need to successfully complete later-stage and pivotal clinical trials in order to obtain FDA or comparable foreign regulatory approval to market our product candidates. Carrying out clinical trials and the submission of a successful IND or CTA is a complicated process. Even though our product candidate NGN-401 for Rett syndrome has been accepted into the FDA's START program and granted Breakthrough Therapy and RMAT designations, the combination of which is expected to allow access to frequent advice from FDA staff, intensive guidance on efficient drug development and eligibility for an Accelerated Approval pathway and Priority Review, our lack of experience with FDA submissions may still slow our progress towards FDA approval. We have completed dosing in our Phase 1/2 trial of NGN-101 for the treatment of CLN5 Batten disease and our Phase 1/2 and Embolden trials of NGN-401 for the treatment of Rett syndrome in the United States; however, we have not yet completed a clinical trial and have limited experience as a company in preparing, submitting and prosecuting regulatory filings. We expect to engage with foreign regulators to determine the requirements to support initiation of a pivotal clinical trial in foreign countries; however, those regulatory authorities may have different requirements for approval, including different requirements for clinical trial designs, and may recommend or require changes to the study design for NGN-401, including the number and size of registrational clinical trials required to be conducted in that program to be considered for approval. Regulatory authorities could also require manufacturing changes or have us implement additional analytical processes prior to initiation of a future clinical trial. Consequently, we may be unable to successfully and efficiently execute and complete necessary clinical trials in a way that leads to regulatory submission and approval of our product candidates or we may determine that the regulatory requirements for submission are too burdensome to support continued development of one or more of our product candidates, as we did with our NGN-101 product candidate for CLN5 Batten disease, which we do not plan to move forward with due to a lack of alignment with the FDA on a streamlined pathway to registration. Additionally, even if regulatory authorities agree with the design and implementation of the clinical trials set forth in a regulatory meeting, such regulatory authorities may change their requirements in the future. The FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may require the analysis of data from trials assessing different doses of the product candidate alone or in combination with other therapies to justify the selected dose prior to the initiation of large trials in a specific indication. Any delays or failure to initiate clinical trials or obtain regulatory approvals for our trials may prevent us from completing our clinical trials or commercializing our products on a timely basis, if at all. We are subject to similar risks related to the review and authorization of our protocols and amendments by comparable foreign regulatory authorities. For our preclinical pipeline, if the IND-enabling studies support a decision to advance into clinical development, we would plan to submit an IND or CTA with a foreign regulatory authority. We may not be able to file the IND or CTA in accordance with our desired timelines for future product candidates. For example, we may experience manufacturing delays or other delays with IND-enabling studies, including with suppliers, study sites, or third-party contractors and vendors on which we depend. Moreover, we cannot be sure that submission of an IND application will result in the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities allowing further clinical trials to begin, or that, once begun, issues will not arise that lead us to suspend or terminate such clinical trials.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 17We have never commercialized a product candidate and may lack the necessary expertise, personnel and resources to successfully commercialize a product candidate on our own or together with suitable collaborators.
We have never commercialized a product candidate and currently have no sales force, marketing or distribution capabilities. To achieve commercial success for a product candidate, we may opt to license such product candidate to others, in which case we may rely on the assistance and guidance of our collaborators on that license arrangement. For a product candidate for which we retain commercialization rights and marketing approval, we will have to develop our own sales, marketing and supply organization or outsource these activities to a third party. Factors that may affect our ability to commercialize a product candidate, if approved, on our own include recruiting and retaining adequate numbers of effective sales and marketing personnel, developing adequate educational and marketing programs to increase public acceptance of our approved product candidate, ensuring regulatory compliance of our company, employees and third parties under applicable healthcare laws and other unforeseen costs associated with creating an independent sales and marketing organization. Developing a sales and marketing organization will be expensive and time-consuming and could delay the launch of a product candidate upon approval. Moreover, we may not be able to build an effective sales and marketing organization. If we are unable to build our own distribution and marketing capabilities or to find suitable partners for the commercialization of an approved product candidate, we may not generate revenues from them or be able to reach or sustain profitability.
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