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NetCapital (NCPL) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q4, 2025
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jan 31, 2026, filed Mar 19, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Our business and operations could be negatively affected if we become subject to any securities litigation or shareholder activism, which could cause us to incur significant expense, hinder execution of business and growth strategy and impact our stock price.
In the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of a company's securities, securities class action litigation has often been brought against that company. Shareholder activism, which could take many forms or arise in a variety of situations, has been increasing recently. Volatility in the stock price of our Common Stock or other reasons may in the future cause us to become the target of securities litigation or shareholder activism. Securities litigation and shareholder activism, including potential proxy contests, could result in substantial costs and divert management's attention and the attention and resources of our board of directors (our "Board") from our business. Additionally, such securities litigation and shareholder activism could give rise to perceived uncertainties as to our future, adversely affect our relationships with service providers and make it more difficult to attract and retain qualified personnel. Also, we may be required to incur significant legal fees and other expenses related to any securities litigation and activist shareholder matters. Further, our stock price could be subject to significant fluctuation or otherwise be adversely affected by the events, risks and uncertainties of any securities litigation and shareholder activism.
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2We have experienced net losses in every fiscal period since July 31, 2023. We cannot assure you that we can or will be able to operate profitably.
We have incurred net losses in every fiscal period since July 31, 2023. During the nine months ended January 31, 2026 and the years ended April 30, 2025 and 2024, we incurred net losses of approximately $7.6 million, $28.3 million and $4.98 million, respectively, on a consolidated basis. There can be no assurance that we will not continue to incur net losses in the future. Even if we do achieve profitability, we may not be able to sustain or increase profitability on a quarterly or annual basis. Our failure to become and remain profitable would depress our value and could impair our ability to raise capital, expand our business, or even continue our operations.
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3We recently recognized impairments totaling $19.9 million to the value of several of our portfolio company investments. If we are required to impair the value of additional portfolio companies in the future, it could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and result of operations.
On April 30, 2025, we conducted its quarterly evaluation of equity investments under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) Topic 321, Investments – Equity Securities. Based on this review, we identified multiple investments that were impaired and recognized a total impairment expense of approximately $17.9 million and we recorded a total impairment expense of approximately $19.9 million in the year ended April 30, 2025. These impairments were based on qualitative indicators including the resignation of key personnel, cessation of operations, regulatory setbacks, failure to file required annual reports, or technological obsolescence, depending on the specific issuer. If we are required to impair the value of additional portfolio companies in the future, it could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and result of operations.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 4Fluctuations in the Fair Value of Our Portfolio Company Investments Could Cause Significant Volatility in Our Financial Results and May Not Be Indicative of Operating Performance.
We hold minority equity interests in companies that were received as consideration for services, including equity securities received by our funding portal as a 1% equity fee from issuers that raise capital on our platform. These equity interests are generally illiquid, represent minority positions in early-stage companies, and are not traded on active public markets. Under U.S. GAAP, we measure these securities at fair value based on observable transaction prices when available, with changes in fair value recognized in earnings. As of January 31, 2026, we owned equity interests in a total of 91 companies. Of these investments, 12 equity securities were determined to be impaired and carried at a fair value of $0. The remaining equity securities had an aggregate fair value of $5,810,496, including $282,185 attributable to issuers that paid a 1% equity fee to the funding portal. The fair value of these investments may fluctuate materially from period to period due to changes in observable prices, issuer-specific developments, market conditions, and the limited nature of observable transactions for many of these securities. Because many of these investments lack active markets, the prices used to determine fair value may not reflect the amounts we could realize in an actual sale, if any, and declines in fair value could require us to recognize additional losses that materially and adversely affect our results of operations.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 5A significant portion of our total assets are held in equity securities of early-stage companies, which securities are illiquid and subject to volatility, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Payment related to the consulting and advisory services provided by Netcapital Advisors was often made through equity stakes from such customers. As of January 31, 2026 and April 30, 2025, approximately $5,810,495 and $5,748,050, respectively, of our holdings are issued by companies whose securities do not trade on public markets. The securities issued are typically in private companies with no established trading market for their securities, that often have limited operating histories, limited operating cash, and negative cash flows. Additionally, these securities are primarily restricted and are subject to legal holding periods pursuant to Rule 144 or other applicable exemptions. The stock price of such issuers is often volatile, unpredictable, and with limited liquidity, and the value of such securities on the date of receipt compared to the date when we are able to legally sell the securities may decrease significantly. The value ascribed to our assets in our financial statements as of a particular date may be materially greater than or less than the value that would be realized if our assets were to be liquidated as of such date. Accordingly, the value of such holdings may change over time due to factors that we do not control, such as issuance of securities by such companies at lower prices or other market factors. One such example of a change in value occurred in the period ended January 31, 2025, we recognized an unrealized loss of approximately $2.7 million on the value of our equity securities due to the decline in value of a single issuer, which represented an impairment of more than 80% of the previous value of our holdings in such issuer, which resulted in a reduction of our retained earnings. Changes to the value of our holdings could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 6Tokenization of securities and RWAs involves novel technological, operational, and cybersecurity risks.
Our efforts to tokenize securities and RWAs rely on emerging technologies that are untested at scale and subject to significant uncertainty. These activities expose us to risks including technological and operational risk, as blockchain networks, smart contracts, and related infrastructure may fail, contain errors, or become obsolete; (iii) cybersecurity and fraud risk, as tokenized assets and underlying blockchains may be targeted by malicious actors, subject to vulnerabilities, or used in connection with illicit activity; and (iv) valuation and volatility risk, as tokenized securities and RWAs may not maintain or increase in value and may be difficult to price accurately. Transaction fees, network congestion, or failures in smart contract code could also impair our ability to support tokenized securities and RWAs. Any such technological or operational failures could lead to financial losses, customer disputes, or reputational damage, and could materially and adversely affect our business and prospects
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 7Our financial situation creates doubt whether we will continue as a going concern.
At January 31, 2026, we had negative working capital of $2,922,843 and for the nine months ended January 31, 2026, we had an operating loss of $7,579,440 and net cash used in operating activities amounted to $7,661,306. There can be no assurances that we will be able to achieve a level of revenue adequate to generate sufficient cash flow from operations or additional financing through private placements, public offerings and/or bank financing necessary to support our working capital requirements. Our management has turned our focus to our funding portal business, and we plan to use our funding portal experience to build a broker-dealer business, initially for Regulation A and Regulation D offerings. We plan to continue to seek to raise money from private placements, public offerings and/or bank financing. Our management has determined, based on its recent history and the negative cash flow from operations, that it is unlikely that its plan will sufficiently alleviate or mitigate, to a sufficient level, the relevant conditions or events noted above. To the extent that funds generated from any private placements, public offerings and/or bank financing, if available, are insufficient, we will have to raise additional working capital. No assurance can be given that additional financing will be available, or if available, will be on acceptable terms. Accordingly, our management has concluded that these conditions raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern. There can be no assurance that we will be able to achieve our business plan objectives or be able to achieve or maintain cash-flow-positive operating results. If we are unable to generate adequate funds from operations or raise sufficient additional funds, we may not be able to repay our existing debt, continue to operate our business network, respond to competitive pressures or fund our operations. As a result, we may be required to significantly reduce, reorganize, discontinue or shut down our operations.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2025
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 13
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1AddedOur business and operations could be negatively affected if we become subject to any securities litigation or shareholder activism, which could cause us to incur significant expense, hinder execution of business and growth strategy and impact our stock price.
In the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of a company's securities, securities class action litigation has often been brought against that company. Shareholder activism, which could take many forms or arise in a variety of situations, has been increasing recently. Volatility in the stock price of our Common Stock or other reasons may in the future cause us to become the target of securities litigation or shareholder activism. Securities litigation and shareholder activism, including potential proxy contests, could result in substantial costs and divert management's attention and the attention and resources of our board of directors (our "Board") from our business. Additionally, such securities litigation and shareholder activism could give rise to perceived uncertainties as to our future, adversely affect our relationships with service providers and make it more difficult to attract and retain qualified personnel. Also, we may be required to incur significant legal fees and other expenses related to any securities litigation and activist shareholder matters. Further, our stock price could be subject to significant fluctuation or otherwise be adversely affected by the events, risks and uncertainties of any securities litigation and shareholder activism.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
