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Weyerhaeuser (WY) AI Stock Analysis

MX:WY

Weyerhaeuser

(BMV:WY)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Large timberland portfolioWeyerhaeuser’s extensive timberland base provides a durable supply of biological assets and multiple monetization options. Scale supports harvesting flexibility, recurring log sales, land-value realization, and access to higher-value uses such as carbon, energy, and development.
Negative Factors
Compressed profitabilityProfitability remains well below prior-cycle peaks, showing that current earnings power is materially less robust than during 2021–2022. Persistently lower margins reduce internal funding capacity and make results more sensitive to pricing, utilization, and operating-cost changes.

Weyerhaeuser (WY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%MX:WY-19.09%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 14.67B
Dividend Yield
4.67%
Average Volume (3M)
9,324
Price to Earnings (P/E)
32.3
Beta (1Y)
0.01
Revenue Growth
-11.45%
EPS Growth
22.90%
Country
Mexico
Employees
9,517
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Specialty

Weyerhaeuser Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands. These extensive holdings are cultivated responsibly, in full compliance with internationally accepted sustainable fo...

Weyerhaeuser Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was cautiously positive. Weyerhaeuser delivered 14% year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth, maintained a solid liquidity and debt maturity profile, advanced multiple growth initiatives, increased portfolio optimization activity, and plans to raise share repurchases. However, near-term operating conditions remain challenging, with subdued housing and repair-and-remodel activity, declining lumber pricing, an OSB loss, lower Wood Products and Strategic Land Solutions sequential results, elevated transportation costs, and additional expected pressure in the fourth quarter. Management remained confident in long-term housing, supply-demand normalization, Climate Solutions, and operational improvement opportunities.

Positive Updates

Third-Quarter Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Weyerhaeuser reported third-quarter GAAP earnings of $61 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, on net sales of $1.9 billion. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $248 million, a 14% increase compared to the third quarter of 2025.

Negative Updates

Macroeconomic and Inflationary Headwinds
Elevated interest rates continue to weigh on consumers and housing activity, while rising diesel and transportation costs have added to inflationary pressure. Management also cited the Middle East conflict as contributing to inflationary pressures and broader economic uncertainty.

Company Guidance

For the fourth quarter of 2026, Timberlands earnings and adjusted EBITDA are expected to be comparable to the third quarter of 2026; Western fee harvest volumes are expected to be slightly lower, South fee harvest volumes moderately lower, North fee harvest volumes moderately higher, China deliveries are expected to be 3 vessels, and China log pricing comparable to the third quarter with potential upside if tariffs are lifted before year-end. Strategic Land Solutions adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $45 million lower and earnings approximately $35 million lower than the third quarter, while full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance is approximately $450 million, representing nearly 10% growth compared to 2025. Wood Products fourth quarter earnings and adjusted EBITDA are expected to be moderately lower than the third quarter of 2026, excluding the effect of changes in average sales realizations for lumber and OSB; lumber production and sales volumes are expected to be slightly lower, OSB sales volumes slightly higher, EWP average sales realizations slightly higher, and distribution adjusted EBITDA is expected to decrease. Full year 2026 Monticello investments are expected to be approximately $250 million and the typical CapEx program approximately $375 million; Monticello remains on track for start-up in mid-2027 and total project cost is expected to be moderately higher than the $500 million initial estimate. Housing activity is expected to remain subdued through year-end, and repair and remodel activity is expected to experience the typical seasonal slowdown.

Weyerhaeuser Risk Analysis

Weyerhaeuser disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Weyerhaeuser reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Weyerhaeuser Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

MX:WY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GLPIGLPI73Outperform$11.34B11.7819.48%8.21%7.33%17.40%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
FPIFPI56Neutral$353.88M34.982.17%6.29%-5.57%-85.35%
RYNRYN56Neutral$5.80B39.532.02%12.65%-12.83%-80.73%
UNITUNIT43Neutral$1.23B1.01270.16%―199.70%2008.88%
LANDLAND42Neutral$319.64M-10.29-0.96%7.56%21.60%-60.95%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%MX:WYRYNGLPILANDFPIUNITDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:WY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:WYWeyerhaeuser Company351.33-82.91-19.09%
RYNRayonier Inc.19.38-1.32-6.40%
GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties38.98-3.32-7.86%
LANDGladstone Land7.41-1.22-14.10%
FPIFarmland Partners8.43-1.18-12.26%
UNITUniti Group5.06-1.07-17.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.