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Watsco (WSO) AI Stock Analysis

MX:WSO

Watsco

(BMV:WSO)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet and cash generationA debt-free balance sheet and sharply improved operating cash flow provide meaningful financial flexibility through industry cycles. Strong liquidity can support acquisitions, working capital and technology investment while reducing the need to rely on external financing during weaker demand periods.
Negative Factors
Gross margin remains below the long-term targetMargin performance remains below management’s long-term objective, limiting current earnings power and leaving improvement dependent on pricing, mix and technology initiatives. Customer consolidation, newer acquisition margins and equipment mix could continue to restrain margin expansion even as revenue grows.

Watsco (WSO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%MX:WSO-13.18%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 12.64B
Dividend Yield
4.25%
Average Volume (3M)
185
Price to Earnings (P/E)
26.7
Beta (1Y)
0.37
Revenue Growth
-9.99%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Mexico
Employees
7,000
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Distribution

Watsco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States, Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It distributes equipme...

Watsco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 26, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-5.36%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Watsco reported record revenue and gross profit, improving organic demand, strong acquisition performance, significant digital and technology growth, a robust balance sheet, and positive October momentum. The main challenges were gross margin below the 30% long-term goal, higher SG&A and variable costs, an incomplete replacement-market recovery, increased inventory, and expected input-cost-driven pricing pressure. Management characterized these issues as manageable within a broader recovery and long-term growth strategy.

Positive Updates

Record Third-Quarter Revenue and Earnings
Third-quarter sales increased 7% to a record $2.22 billion, including 4% same-store growth. Gross profit was a record $586 million, gross margin was 26.4%, operating income was $225 million with a 10.1% operating margin, and earnings per share was $3.77.

Negative Updates

Gross Margin Below Long-Term Target
Third-quarter gross margin was 26.4%, below Watsco's long-term 30% goal. Management cited customer and product mix, higher new-construction equipment sales, the addition of Jackson Supply at margins below Watsco's 27% range, and the comparison with last year's refrigerant shortage as factors affecting margins.

Company Guidance

Management expects the impact from the A2L transition to be “largely over by the end of this year,” remains focused on its “long-term goal of 30%” gross margins, and said Hydros “will continue to scale in 2027 to more locations and more vendors”; October was “looking healthy to date,” with management saying it “hope and expect to carry it through the end of the year, but hard to say,” while total-company revenues were “up double digits so far in this quarter,” including acquisitions. Management expects “some price increases this fall going into next year,” and said the expectation is that OEM pricing actions over “the next 12 months” will “come early and more conventional and kind of more ordinary”; fourth-quarter margin is “generally” better, with a “20, 30 basis points of improvement” over a “10-year average,” although management said, “I’m not giving guidance.” Management also said there is “an opportunity” for year-end inventory to be “more or less equal to last year at the year-end, excluding the two acquisitions we have made,” and that side discharge, currently “in the 8%-10% range of the total market today,” “is going to continue to grow.”

Watsco Risk Analysis

Watsco disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Watsco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Watsco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

MX:WSO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GWWGWW78Outperform$64.02B34.6448.70%0.70%7.80%-0.65%
AITAIT74Outperform$10.74B25.7322.68%0.68%8.45%8.52%
WCCWCC68Neutral$16.70B21.1415.21%0.57%13.50%26.11%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
REZIREZI60Neutral$2.84B7.7414.70%―3.42%―
FERGFERG57Neutral$46.17B22.8034.00%1.49%8.17%37.33%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%40%MX:WSOAITGWWWCCREZIFERGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:WSO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:WSOWatsco Inc5669.09-860.51-13.18%
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.294.1242.4816.88%
GWWW.W. Grainger1359.17400.7741.82%
WCCWesco International343.1183.5532.19%
REZIResideo Technologies18.73-11.02-37.04%
FERGFerguson Enterprises Inc.238.68-5.12-2.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.