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Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG)
NYSE:FERG
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Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) AI Stock Analysis

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FERG

Ferguson Enterprises

(NYSE:FERG)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$266.00
▲(8.81% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is driven by solid core profitability and constructive price trend signals, supported by a positive earnings call with raised guidance and strategic momentum (HVAC/large projects and accretive M&A). Offsetting these positives are the sharp deterioration flagged in the latest annual financial period and cash-flow volatility/working-capital pressure, while valuation (P/E ~23) appears somewhat demanding relative to the risk of near-term variability.
Positive Factors
Raised guidance and organic growth
Higher guidance and positive organic growth indicate continued customer demand and execution. Sustained growth across essential distribution categories could support earnings expansion over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Latest annual earnings deterioration
The latest annual decline weakens Ferguson’s recent growth and stability profile despite historically solid margins. If the deterioration persists, it could reduce operating leverage and constrain investment or shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Raised guidance and organic growth
Higher guidance and positive organic growth indicate continued customer demand and execution. Sustained growth across essential distribution categories could support earnings expansion over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ferguson Enterprises Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ferguson plc operates as a major supplier of plumbing, heating, and related industrial products throughout the United States and Canada. The company serves a diverse client base, providing essential solutions for residential, commercial, civil/inf...
How the Company Makes Money
Ferguson makes money primarily by buying products from manufacturers and selling them to trade and professional customers at a markup through its distribution network and e-commerce capabilities. Revenue is generated from the sale of: (1) plumbing...

Ferguson Enterprises Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Historically solid margins and returns (gross margin ~30%, operating margin high-single to ~10%, net margin ~6–7%) with generally decent free cash flow conversion. However, the latest annual period (2026) shows a sharp step-down in revenue, earnings, and free cash flow, and cash-flow coverage of debt can tighten quickly when operating performance softens.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownJun 2026Jul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.75B30.76B29.64B29.73B28.57B
Gross Profit2.71B9.44B9.05B9.03B8.76B
EBITDA898.00M3.06B2.98B2.97B3.12B
Net Income666.00M1.86B1.74B1.89B2.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.30B17.73B16.57B15.99B15.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments437.00M674.00M571.00M669.00M771.00M
Total Debt6.41B5.97B5.52B5.26B5.13B
Total Liabilities13.10B11.90B10.96B10.96B11.00B
Stockholders Equity6.20B5.83B5.62B5.04B4.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow482.00M1.60B1.50B2.28B859.00M
Operating Cash Flow716.00M1.91B1.87B2.72B1.15B
Investing Cash Flow-800.00M-543.00M-601.00M-1.05B-922.00M
Financing Cash Flow-17.00M-1.29B-1.31B-1.81B-744.00M

Ferguson Enterprises Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison

Ferguson Enterprises Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ferguson PLC Completes $1.2 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 14, 2026
On August 14, 2025, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. completed a public offering of $1.2 billion in senior notes, split between $700 million of 4.800% notes due 2029 and $500 million of 5.600% notes due 2036, fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Fergu...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Ferguson PLC Secures Loans to Support FloWorks Acquisition
Positive
Aug 11, 2026
As of August 11, 2026, Ferguson Enterprises entered into a $700 million unsecured bridge term loan and a separate $900 million unsecured term loan facility with JPMorgan Chase Bank and other lenders to help finance its previously announced acquisi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026