Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGPN) AI Stock Analysis
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
(BMV:UGPN)
No summary available
Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- MXN 6.24B
- Dividend Yield
- 5.23%
- Average Volume (3M)
- ―
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 9.9
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.15
- Revenue Growth
- 9.43%
- EPS Growth
- 19.14%
- Country
- Mexico
- Employees
- 11,481
- Sector
- Energy
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Ultrapar Participacoes SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is a Brazilian company with widespread operations in gas distribution, fuel supply, and logistics/storage. Its geographical reach extends across Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American nations, North...
Ultrapar Participacoes SA Earnings Call Summary
The call presents a strongly positive operational and financial picture: record operating cash flow, the highest-ever net income, robust consolidated EBITDA, reduced leverage to the lowest level since 2008, shareholder distributions (dividends and buyback), and solid performance at Ipiranga and Ultracargo. However, near‑term risks remain — notably Middle East‑driven supply volatility pressuring Q3 margins, working capital sensitivity to price swings, Ultragaz volume and market share challenges, and Hidrovias' year‑over‑year declines driven by a prior divestiture and higher costs. On balance, achievements and financial strength substantially outweigh the operational headwinds and short‑term uncertainties.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Ultrapar guided that Q3 should show lower Ipiranga margins than Q2 and closer to Q1 levels (Ipiranga Q2 volumes 6.173 million m3, +8% YoY; diesel +10%, auto +6%; network 5,855 stations; Q2 recurring EBITDA BRL 2.782 billion, margin BRL 451/m3; average retail price BRL 6.14/L, taxes BRL 1.53/L, Ipiranga EBITDA ~BRL 0.36/L), while Ultragaz expects Q3 EBITDA roughly in line with Q3‑2025 (Q2 LPG volume -3% YoY; Q2 recurring EBITDA BRL 468 million, +6% YoY), Ultracargo expects Q3 similar to Q2 (avg. installed capacity 1.156 million m3, +8% YoY; sales +19%; Q2 net revenue BRL 265 million; adj. EBITDA BRL 159 million, +13% YoY), and Hidrovias expects Q3 in line with Q3‑2025 (Q2 total volume -14% due to coastal sale; continuing ops volume +5%; Q2 recurring adj. EBITDA BRL 322 million, -8% YoY; -1% vs. continuing ops). At the corporate level management reiterated capital discipline: Q2 consolidated recurring adjusted EBITDA BRL 3.657 billion, net income BRL 1.677 billion (+46% YoY), record operating cash generation BRL 4.789 billion (BRL 3.956 billion excluding BRL 833 million draft‑discount effect), CapEx BRL 570 million, net debt BRL 8.864 billion (leverage 0.9x, lowest since 2008) with a BRL 1.85 billion dividend (BRL 1.00/share, 3.8% yield) and share buyback program up to 18 million shares; management indicated a comfort leverage range around 1.0–1.5x EBITDA and noted working‑capital sensitivity of ~BRL 300 million per 10% price move (total WC swing ~BRL 3 billion).
Ultrapar Participacoes SA Risk Analysis
Ultrapar Participacoes SA disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ultrapar Participacoes SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
- Finance & Corporate11
- Tech & Innovation1
- Legal & Regulatory7
- Production6
- Ability to Sell3
- Macro & Political9
Latest Risks Added
1 New RiskUltrapar Participacoes SA Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
SUN67Neutral
APC60Neutral
WKC56Neutral
DK55Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUN | 67Neutral | $14.51B | 14.72 | 18.17% | 5.60% | 83.34% | 123.75% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
| APC | 60Neutral | $714.50M | 19.00 | 8.43% | 5.27% | ― | ― |
| WKC | 56Neutral | $1.91B | -12.69 | -13.12% | 2.32% | 21.07% | 62.41% |
| DK | 55Neutral | $4.50B | 19.23 | 95.27% | 1.45% | 11.40% | ― |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MX:UGPN | Ultrapar Participacoes | 99.00 | 14.00 | 16.47% | |
| DK | Delek US | 70.19 | 32.52 | 86.35% | |
| WKC | World Kinect Corporation | 37.05 | 12.02 | 48.02% | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | 68.69 | 18.58 | 37.08% | |
| APC | ARKO Petroleum Corp. Class A | 15.00 | -1.86 | -11.05% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.