tiprankstipranks
ONE Gas (MX:OGS)
:OGS
Mexico Market
EarningsQ2 2026 Earnings Report

ONE Gas (OGS) Q2 2026 Earnings Report

0 Followers

MX:OGS Q2 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS$13.92
Consensus EPS$10.76
Beat/MissBeat by +$3.16
One Year Ago EPS$9.00

MX:OGS Q2 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue$6.99B
Expected Revenue$6.97B
Beat/MissBeat by +$22.93M
YoY Revenue Growth-2.86%

Earnings Announcement Details

QuarterQ2 2026
Date08/04/2026
TimeAfter Close
Conference CallTuesday, August 4, 2026
MX:OGS Upcoming Earnings
ONE Gas's next earnings date is estimated for November 2, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Audio

MX:OGS Q2 2026 Earnings Call
0:00 / 0:00

Q2 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

No slide deck is available for this earnings event.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q2 2026
Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call was broadly positive: management reported strong Q2 results with double-digit EPS growth, raised its full-year earnings expectation to the upper half of guidance, and highlighted significant growth opportunities (large-load projects, installed meters, and a deep project funnel) supported by constructive regulatory developments (notably Texas HB 4384 and recent GRIP/GSRS filings). Operational initiatives (insourcing) and cost discipline are expected to reduce O&M growth in the back half of the year. Headwinds include elevated O&M and fuel costs, timing volatility from weather and legislative accruals, and the dependency on project convertibility and remaining equity funding. Overall, the positives — stronger-than-expected earnings, tightened guidance to the upside, legislative tailwinds, and a healthy project pipeline — meaningfully outweigh the operational and timing risks discussed on the call.
Company Guidance
ONE Gas reiterated full‑year adjusted net income guidance of $306M–$314M and adjusted EPS guidance of $4.83–$4.95, and now expects to land in the upper half of those ranges (roughly $310M–$314M and $4.89–$4.95), supported by strong 1H results (Q2 adjusted net income $52.1M / adjusted EPS $0.82 vs $32.7M / $0.54 LY, a 52% Q2 increase and 16% YTD EPS growth despite a winter ~25% warmer than normal), about $16M of new‑rate revenue, an expected ~$0.42 full‑year EPS benefit from Texas HB 4384 (≈$0.28–$0.29 recognized in 1H), continued customer growth (11,000 new meters through July), $188M of capex placed in Q2, three contracted large‑load projects (~$15M incremental annual revenue and ~$175M associated capital), six late‑stage projects (collectively ~3 GW / up to 1 Bcf/d) plus 17 earlier opportunities, capacity‑release revenues of ~$0.9M in Q2 and ~$2.8M YTD with ~$1.2M remaining, Q2 O&M up ~6.6% YoY but long‑term O&M growth guide of 3%–4%, a maintained quarterly dividend of $0.68, and ~ $41.5M of forward equity sales in place (≈half this year’s need).
Strong Quarter — Adjusted EPS and Net Income Growth
Adjusted net income for Q2 was $52.1 million, or $0.82 per diluted share, versus $32.7 million or $0.54 in Q2 2025, a 52% increase in adjusted net income and a 52% increase in adjusted EPS year-over-year. GAAP EPS rose to $0.74 from $0.53, nearly a 40% increase.
First Half EPS Growth Despite Warm Weather
Through the first half of 2026 adjusted EPS grew 16% year-over-year despite winter weather that was ~25% warmer than normal, demonstrating resilience in underlying business performance.
Raised Full-Year Earnings Expectation (Upper Half of Guidance)
Management now expects adjusted net income in the upper half of prior guidance: $310 million to $314 million (previously $306M–$314M) and adjusted EPS of $4.89 to $4.95 (previously $4.83–$4.95).
Legislative Benefit Contribution (Texas HB 4384)
Texas House Bill 4384 materially aided results. Management expects the legislation to contribute approximately $0.42 to full-year adjusted EPS; roughly $0.28–$0.29 of benefit was reflected in the first half across GAAP and non-GAAP elements. Q2 included ~ $16 million of new revenue tied to new rates and benefits from the legislation.
Growth Projects and Capital Deployment
Completed ~$188 million of capital projects in Q2 (in line with prior year). Installed approximately 11,000 new meters through July. Company has 3 high-volume projects under contract representing ~ $15 million of incremental annual revenue and ~$175 million of associated capital (in-service dates 2H 2026–2028).
Large-Load Opportunity Funnel
Pipeline of opportunities remains robust: 3 contracted high-volume projects, 6 late-stage projects (previously cited potential for ~3 GW generation and up to 1 Bcf/day demand), and 17 additional early-stage opportunities across Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas — demonstrating multiple avenues for durable load-driven growth.
Operational Improvements and Insourcing Benefits
Insourcing initiatives continued: line locating activity in-sourced with damages down ~6% year-over-year; 40% of Watch and Protect in Oklahoma now insourced with full insourcing targeted by year-end. Management expects these efforts to lower future O&M growth and improve safety and quality.
Capital / Funding and Shareholder Return Actions
Forward equity sale agreements in place totaling ~$41.5 million (about half of 2026 need) and opportunistic ATM capacity remains. Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.68 per share (unchanged quarter-to-quarter). Payout ratio has moderated (from ~68% historically to an implied ~57% GAAP this year) to support self-funding growth.
Cost and Interest Benefits
Q2 interest expense (excluding KGSS-I) decreased by ~$3.8 million year-over-year due in part to lower commercial paper rates. Gas supply team monetized capacity release activity: ~$0.9 million in Q2 and ~$2.8 million year-to-date, with ~ $1.2 million incremental opportunity remaining this injection season.

MX:OGS Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Nov 02, 2026
2026 (Q3)
8.08 / -
7.469
2026 (Q2)
10.76 / 13.92
8.99754.72% (+4.92)
2026 (Q1)
36.80 / 35.82
33.6126.57% (+2.21)
2025 (Q4)
24.19 / 25.12
22.74810.45% (+2.38)
2025 (Q3)
7.08 / 7.47
5.77229.41% (+1.70)
2025 (Q2)
8.98 / 9.00
8.14810.42% (+0.85)
2025 (Q1)
31.46 / 33.61
29.70813.14% (+3.90)
2024 (Q4)
22.65 / 22.75
21.5595.51% (+1.19)
2024 (Q3)
6.62 / 5.77
7.639-24.44% (-1.87)
2024 (Q2)
8.25 / 8.15
9.846-17.24% (-1.70)
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed