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Northern Oil And Gas (MX:NOG)
:NOG
Mexico Market
EarningsQ2 2026 Earnings Report

Northern Oil And Gas (NOG) Q2 2026 Earnings Report

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MX:NOG Q2 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS$20.52
Consensus EPS$21.34
Beat/MissMissed by -$0.82
One Year Ago EPS$24.88

MX:NOG Q2 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue$12.26B
Expected Revenue$10.79B
Beat/MissBeat by +$1.47B
YoY Revenue Growth+16.79%

Earnings Announcement Details

QuarterQ2 2026
Date08/06/2026
TimeAfter Close
Conference CallThursday, August 6, 2026
MX:NOG Upcoming Earnings
Northern Oil And Gas's next earnings date is estimated for November 10, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Audio

MX:NOG Q2 2026 Earnings Call
0:00 / 0:00

Q2 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q2 2026
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call emphasized clear operational and financial momentum: sequential EBITDA growth (+17%), a large QoQ free cash flow improvement (>400%), strong YoY production and gas volume gains (+9% and +35%), and continued M&A and shareholder return activity (repurchases, dividend). Management also acknowledged near-term headwinds including Q2 Waha-driven curtailments, prior Permian logistics constraints, LOE dynamics from aging wells, and a persistent public-market valuation disconnect despite claiming substantial asset upside. On balance, the company presented multiple tangible wins and a constructive forward outlook while identifying manageable risks that the team has plans to address.
Company Guidance
Management's guidance emphasized strong cash‑flow generation: at current strip prices they expect roughly $1.4–$1.5 billion of adjusted EBITDA for 2026, supported by $850–$900 million of D&C capital that should produce about $375–$500+ million of free cash flow; they also flagged Q2 budgeted capex of $196 million (≈$151M D&C, $45M ground game) and normalized well costs of $761 per lateral foot, noting modest incremental spending could grow volumes while preserving FCF. To underpin that outlook, Q2 results showed adjusted EBITDA up 17% sequentially, free cash flow of $159 million (>400% vs. Q1), total production +9% YoY (gas +35% YoY, +5% QoQ), over $1 billion of liquidity, a $0.45/share dividend (~$48M) described as "several times" covered, 2.95 million shares repurchased (~3% of shares) at a $20.37 average, and an increased repurchase authorization to ≈$243 million.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA rose 17% sequentially; free cash flow increased over 400% from Q1 to Q2, generating $159 million of free cash flow in the quarter.
Production Growth and Record Gas Volumes
Total production increased 9% year-over-year; natural gas volumes set a record, up 35% year-over-year and 5% sequentially, driven by Appalachia (full quarter of Utica JV contribution), Williston and Uinta outperformance.
Material Oil Price Realization Improvement
Unhedged net realized oil price improved 36% from Q1; overall gas realizations equaled ~90% of Henry Hub and, including hedges (Waha base), reached 123% of the relevant benchmark.
Cost and Capital Efficiency Metrics
Production expenses per BOE declined 4% year-over-year; normalized well costs were $761 per lateral foot and essentially in line with Q1; budgeted capital expenditures were $196 million (D&C $151M, ground game $45M).
Balance Sheet Strength and Liquidity
Ended the quarter with over $1 billion of total liquidity and repeated emphasis that the balance sheet can fund development and opportunistic inorganic activity.
Shareholder Returns and Buyback Activity
Repurchased 2.95 million shares (~3% of outstanding shares) at an average price of $20.37; Board increased repurchase authorization to ~ $243 million and declared a $0.45 per share quarterly dividend (~$48 million) paid July 31, with the dividend covered multiple times by Q2 free cash flow.
M&A and Inventory Expansion
Closed Duvernay joint development early June and completed the Parallax acquisition (self-funding asset with ~20 years of inventory, avg breakeven < $50 and <$600k per location); ground game built D&C list to ~52 net wells and acquired >6 net wells in Q2.
Positive Forward Financial Outlook
Management's strip-based outlook: $1.4–$1.5 billion adjusted EBITDA for the year; sustaining D&C capital of $850–$900 million implies $375–$500 million of free cash flow, with dividend coverage across that range.
Operational Outperformance Across Basins
Williston and Uinta exceeded internal expectations; early Utica JV wells showed strong results; operators are drilling longer laterals with better decline profiles, producing outperformance across basins.

MX:NOG Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Nov 10, 2026
2026 (Q3)
18.16 / -
18.706―
2026 (Q2)
21.34 / 20.52
24.881-17.52% (-4.36)
2026 (Q1)
12.86 / 13.44
24.155-44.36% (-10.72)
2025 (Q4)
14.40 / 15.07
20.159-25.23% (-5.09)
2025 (Q3)
15.82 / 18.71
25.426-26.43% (-6.72)
2025 (Q2)
17.53 / 24.88
26.516-6.16% (-1.63)
2025 (Q1)
20.43 / 24.15
23.2473.91% (+0.91)
2024 (Q4)
19.87 / 20.16
29.24-31.06% (-9.08)
2024 (Q3)
21.72 / 25.43
31.419-19.08% (-5.99)
2024 (Q2)
22.54 / 26.52
27.06-2.01% (-0.54)
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed