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Humana (HUM) AI Stock Analysis

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MX:HUM

Humana

(BMV:HUM)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

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Positive Factors
Strong Revenue GrowthHumana has expanded revenue substantially across its insurance and healthcare-services platform, demonstrating meaningful scale and continued demand. Although growth has slowed from earlier periods, the larger revenue base can support operating investments, care capabilities, and broader member reach over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Compressed ProfitabilityProfitability has deteriorated materially despite continued revenue growth, indicating that scale has not yet translated into comparable earnings quality. Lower net, EBIT, and EBITDA margins reduce financial resilience and leave less capacity to absorb adverse medical costs or fund strategic initiatives internally.

Humana (HUM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%MX:HUM+46.20%SPY+9.07%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
MXN 52.08B
Dividend Yield
0.85%
Average Volume (3M)
7
Price to Earnings (P/E)
41.8
Beta (1Y)
-0.29
Revenue Growth
9.25%
EPS Growth
-17.56%
Country
Mexico
Employees
67,060
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Healthcare Plans

Humana Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Humana Inc., a prominent health and well-being enterprise, operates across the United States through its various subsidiary companies. Its operational structure is divided into three main segments: Retail, Group and Specialty, and Healthcare Services...

Humana Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Humana raised its 2026 EPS outlook, reported better-than-expected cost performance, delivered exceptional Stars results, expanded Medicaid and CenterWell membership, improved balance sheet efficiency, and expressed confidence in 2027 margin progress and its 2028 commitments. The main challenges were the continuing Stars headwind, higher expected 2027 cost trends, localized Primary Care Organization pressure, and uncertainty around AEP retention and the eventual size of the 2028 tailwind.

Positive Updates

Raised 2026 Earnings Outlook
Humana raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS outlook from at least $9 to at least $9.50. Cost trends for new and existing members are in line to better than expectations, and the company remains on track to double its individual Medicare Advantage pretax margin this year, excluding the Stars headwind.

Negative Updates

Stars Headwind Carries Into 2027
Management said the only known 2027 headwind is the carryover of the Stars headwind from this year. The company also noted that value-based care providers have a 30% cap offset, including on the incremental Stars benefit above the company's target.

Company Guidance

Humana raised its full year 2026 adjusted EPS outlook from at least $9 to at least $9.50 and expects to double its individual MA pretax margin this year, excluding the Stars headwind; for 2027, it anticipates membership will be up, expects fewer new members, and expects to make a material improvement on both a Stars adjusted and Stars unadjusted basis, reaching well into the profitability range, while 2027 trend is expected to be 8% to 9% versus 7% to 8% for 2026, with Part D expected to increase 14% to 15%. The company expects margin progression in '27 to put it on track for a 3% plus margin in 2028, expects a onetime tailwind in 2028, and said 95% of members in 4+ Star plans this year would be upside to its target; it expects to maintain top quartile results for BY '29, with key HEDIS metrics running roughly 5% ahead of last year's quality improvement rate on a per member basis, and said group MA improved 500 basis points excluding the Stars headwind. It also expects approximately 130 basis points of fourth-quarter GAAP debt-to-cap reduction and no substantial change in reinsurance use into 2027.

Humana Risk Analysis

Humana disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Humana reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Humana Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

MX:HUM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CICI75Outperform$77.36B12.9214.10%2.11%6.79%-0.38%
ELVELV69Neutral$91.96B18.1311.59%1.61%3.60%-4.06%
CNCCNC66Neutral$34.53B23.556.78%―9.71%―
CVSCVS64Neutral$107.28B9.6814.13%3.17%6.77%2114.64%
UNHUNH62Neutral$353.17B22.5016.35%2.30%3.33%-8.75%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%MX:HUMCNCCICVSUNHELVDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
MX:HUM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:HUMHumana6967.902201.9246.20%
CNCCentene69.7435.49103.62%
CICigna293.5941.1516.30%
CVSCVS Health Corp83.858.6211.46%
UNHUnitedhealth Group Inc.394.1580.9125.83%
ELVElevance Health, Inc.425.62127.7642.89%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.