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Warrior Met Coal (MX:HCC)
:HCC
Mexico Market
EarningsQ2 2026 Earnings Report

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Q2 2026 Earnings Report

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MX:HCC Q2 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS$28.65
Consensus EPS$23.99
Beat/MissBeat by +$4.66
One Year Ago EPS$1.89

MX:HCC Q2 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue$8.74B
Expected Revenue$8.37B
Beat/MissBeat by +$364.03M
YoY Revenue Growth+70.56%

Earnings Announcement Details

QuarterQ2 2026
Date08/05/2026
TimeAfter Close
Conference CallWednesday, August 5, 2026
MX:HCC Upcoming Earnings
Warrior Met Coal's next earnings date is estimated for November 4, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Audio

MX:HCC Q2 2026 Earnings Call
0:00 / 0:00

Q2 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q2 2026
Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call portrayed a strong operational and financial inflection driven by Blue Creek: record volumes, large adjusted EBITDA and net income growth, and substantial free cash flow generation. These positives were offset by meaningful near-term pricing and logistics headwinds — lower gross price realization, elevated freight/demurrage, and regional pricing disparities (notably weakened East Coast relativities) — as well as modest inflation risks and higher non-cash D&D. Management raised guidance and emphasized balance sheet strength, liquidity, and shareholder-return optionality, while cautioning that second-half performance could face pressure from index relativities and costs.
Company Guidance
Warrior raised full‑year production/sales guidance by 0.5 million short tons, taking Blue Creek sales to 5.0 million short tons for 2026 (90% contracted) and implying company‑wide sales of roughly 13–14 million short tons; Q2 free cash flow was $103 million and year‑to‑date free cash flow is +$11 million, with total available liquidity of $453 million at quarter‑end (cash $302M, short‑term investments $10M, $141M available under the ABL). Management reiterated expectations for continued free cash flow generation and potential increased shareholder returns, guided recurring CapEx of $105–115 million for existing mines plus an additional $25–30 million for Blue Creek (total ~ $130–150M), warned of modest inflationary pressure of a few dollars per ton in H2, expects the PLV to remain above 2025’s depressed levels but below H1‑2026 highs, anticipates second‑tier indices to stay depressed (which could pressure net selling prices, profitability and FCF in H2), and said the company prefers cash of $350–400 million and total liquidity near $500 million.
Record Sales and Production Volumes
Q2 sales volume of 3.7 million short tons, up 65% YoY (from 2.2 million). Q2 production of 3.3 million short tons, up 45% YoY (from 2.3 million).
Strong Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash
Generated more than $103 million of free cash flow in Q2; cash provided by operations $132 million; free cash flow for H1 2026 positive $11 million.
Material Net Income and EPS Improvement
Net income of $87 million in Q2 vs $6 million in Q2 2025; diluted EPS $1.65 vs $0.11 YoY.
Large Adjusted EBITDA Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA of $157 million vs $54 million YoY (+193%). Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 31% from 18% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA per ton $43 vs $24 (+78%).
Revenue Growth
Total revenues $510 million in Q2 vs $298 million YoY, an increase of $212 million driven primarily by higher sales volumes (+$186M) and higher gross selling prices (+$73M).
Lower Unit Cash Cost and Improved Cash Margin
Cash cost of sales per short ton, FOB port, decreased to ~$93 from $101 YoY (≈9% decline). Cash margin per short ton increased to $45 from $29 (≈57% increase).
Blue Creek Delivery and Upside
Blue Creek materially contributed to volume and lower costs; development CapEx complete. Full-year Blue Creek sales guidance raised to 5.0 million short tons (90% contracted) and company increased full-year sales/production guidance by 0.5 million tons.
Solid Liquidity Position
Total available liquidity of $453 million at quarter end: $302 million cash, $10 million short-term investments, $141 million available under ABL facility.

MX:HCC Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Nov 04, 2026
2026 (Q3)
25.17 / -
12.001―
2026 (Q2)
23.99 / 28.65
1.8861419.09% (+26.76)
2026 (Q1)
24.11 / 24.02
-2.743975.63% (+26.76)
2025 (Q4)
8.62 / 7.29
2.572183.33% (+4.71)
2025 (Q3)
-5.26 / 12.00
13.716-12.50% (-1.71)
2025 (Q2)
-6.22 / 1.89
23.145-91.85% (-21.26)
2025 (Q1)
-0.79 / -2.74
45.09-106.08% (-47.83)
2024 (Q4)
8.40 / 2.57
42.69-93.98% (-40.12)
2024 (Q3)
12.34 / 13.72
31.717-56.76% (-18.00)
2024 (Q2)
22.66 / 23.14
27.945-17.18% (-4.80)
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed