TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Guidewire (GWRE) AI Stock Analysis

MX:GWRE

Guidewire

(BMV:GWRE)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Cloud recurring growthThe rising cloud share strengthens recurring revenue visibility and embeds Guidewire more deeply in insurers’ operating workflows. This mix shift can support durable retention, scalable delivery, and more predictable growth as customers continue modernizing core insurance systems.
Negative Factors
Acquisition leverage and executionThe large Hyperexponential acquisition adds meaningful integration and execution demands while increasing debt obligations. Guidewire must realize the promised AI and ARR benefits without weakening margins or financial flexibility, particularly as the transaction combines a new platform with its existing cloud portfolio.

Guidewire (GWRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%MX:GWRE-35.30%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 13.33B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
667
Price to Earnings (P/E)
98.5
Beta (1Y)
-0.26
Revenue Growth
10.75%
EPS Growth
86.70%
Country
Mexico
Employees
4,174
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Guidewire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Guidewire Software, Inc. is a global supplier of software solutions tailored for the property and casualty insurance industry. Its primary offering is Guidewire InsuranceSuite, a comprehensive platform that incorporates core applications like PolicyC...

Guidewire Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 02, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:-13.77%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 02, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, characterized by record ARR, robust subscription and cloud growth, significant core-cloud deal momentum, strong profitability and cash flow, very low attrition, and encouraging traction for ProNavigator, PricingCenter and the company's AI platform. The main negative factors were the expected decline in license and support revenue as customers migrate to the cloud, lower services margins, normalized attrition assumptions and first-quarter timing-related margin and cash flow effects. Highlights significantly outweighed lowlights.

Positive Updates

Record ARR and Fully Ramped ARR Growth
ARR ended fiscal 2026 at $1.242 billion, up 19% year-over-year and above the high end of guidance. Fully ramped ARR grew 22% year-over-year, marking the fourth consecutive year that fully ramped ARR growth outpaced ARR growth.

Negative Updates

License Revenue Decline
Fiscal 2026 license revenue was $235 million, down 7% year-over-year as migration activity continued. Guidewire expects fiscal 2027 license revenue of approximately $189 million, a decline of $46 million year-over-year, including an almost $50 million decline in term license revenue from recent cloud migration customers.

Company Guidance

For fiscal 2027, Guidewire expects ARR of between $1.45 billion and $1.46 billion, representing 18% constant currency growth at the midpoint; total revenue of between $1.707 billion and $1.727 billion; subscription revenue to grow approximately 31%; subscription and support revenue of between $1.240 billion and $1.246 billion, representing 28% growth at the midpoint, with support revenue expected to decline about $8 million; license revenue of approximately $189 million, a decline of $46 million year-over-year, including term license revenue from recent cloud migration customers declining by almost $50 million; services revenue of approximately $285 million; subscription and support gross margins between 75% and 76%, professional services gross margin of approximately 12%, and total gross margins between 67% and 68%; non-GAAP operating income of between $403 million and $423 million, GAAP operating income of between $197 million and $217 million, stock-based compensation expense of approximately $202 million, cash flow from operations of between $445 million and $465 million, and CapEx of between $23 million and $28 million, including approximately $17 million in capitalized software development costs. For Q1, Guidewire expects ARR to be between $1.253 billion and $1.259 billion, subscription and support revenue between $279 million and $283 million, subscription and support margin around 77%, approximately $4 million in credit from its cloud infrastructure provider, services revenue of approximately $65 million, services margin around breakeven, and total gross margins of approximately 65%.

Guidewire Risk Analysis

Guidewire disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Guidewire reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.4949Part II – Other InformationPart II – Other InformationPart II – Other InformationQ1, 2025

Guidewire Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MX:GWRE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NICENICE81Outperform$6.58B16.1711.28%―8.08%-18.39%
PEGAPEGA74Outperform$5.55B19.5045.30%0.60%0.93%7.44%
SSNCSSNC74Outperform$18.86B22.5212.60%1.38%8.75%2.60%
FICOFICO66Neutral$15.36B20.43-33.43%―24.09%34.17%
CXMCXM63Neutral$1.58B71.164.29%―6.35%-79.74%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%MX:GWREFICONICEPEGASSNCCXMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:GWRE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:GWREGuidewire Software Inc.2954.41-1611.64-35.30%
FICOFair Isaac Corporation711.23-939.28-56.91%
NICENice Ltd.113.76-21.78-16.07%
PEGAPegasystems33.93-28.70-45.83%
SSNCSs&C Technologies Holdings80.39-3.15-3.77%
CXMSprinklr, Inc.6.81-0.91-11.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.